Looking to win big? The Mastodons and Penguins face off at 6:30 ET on ESPN+. The Penguins are hosting the game at Beeghly Center in Youngstown, OH. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 156 points, and the Penguins are favored to win at home against the Mastodons.

PURDUE FORT WAYNE MASTODONS VS YOUNGSTOWN STATE PENGUINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Youngstown State Penguins -4.5

This game will be played at Beeghly Center at 6:30 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.

WHY BET THE YOUNGSTOWN STATE PENGUINS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Penguins.
  • Not only will Youngstown State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Mastodons Win in Youngstown?

Despite being the underdog, Purdue Fort Wayne has a strong record on the road this season, going 4-2. Their average scoring margin on the road is +4.0, and their record as the underdog is 2-2.

Over their last 10 road games, Purdue Fort Wayne is 5-5. In their most recent game, they lost to Wright State by a score of 106-98.

As the underdog, Purdue Fort Wayne has an ATS record of 2-1-1 this season and an overall ATS mark of 9-4-1. On the road, the Mastodons are 4-1-1 vs. the spread this year and have gone 6-3-1 in their last 10 road games. In their last three road games, Purdue Fort Wayne is 2-0-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Purdue Fort Wayne games is 8-6 and today’s line of 156 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (149.9). So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 161 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-4.

Purdue Fort Wayne is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 98 points vs. Wright State. This figure is more than their season average of 84.4 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Jalen Jackson, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.1, while Rasheed Bello also carries a PPG average of 15.1 into the game.

The Mastodons’ defense is presently ranked 96th nationally, allowing an average of 68.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Purdue Fort Wayne’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 24.6% this season.

Will the Penguins Come Through as Home Favorites?

Youngstown State is 4-0 at home this season, and they have won their last four games at home. So far, they have been favored in six games and have won all six of those games. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +13.0 points per game.

Overall, Youngstown State has gone 11-5 this season, and they have a record of 3-1 in Horizon League games. In their most recent game, they defeated IUPUI by a score of 75-65.

Youngstown State has an ATS record of just 5-6 this season and they are 2-2 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Penguins have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Youngstown State’s over/under record for the season sits at 4-6-1, and today’s line of 156 is higher than the average OU line in their games (147.5). So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points, and their over/under record during that stretch is 1-1.

In their recent matchup, the Youngstown State offense ended with 75 points against IUPUI. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 38.4% and made 9 threes. Brett Thompson was the leading scorer for the Penguins, putting up 20 points. In addition, Ziggy Reid contributed 14 points.

Currently, the Penguins’ defense holds the 125th rank in the nation, allowing 69.7 points per game. Youngstown State’s three-point defense is currently 82nd in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.7% of their shots vs. Youngstown State.