The Mastodons and Norse are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPNU. The Norse will host the game at Truist Arena in Highland Heights, KY. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 150.5 points, and Northern Kentucky is favored by -5 to win at home against Purdue Fort Wayne.
PURDUE FORT WAYNE MASTODONS VS NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE BETTING PICK
The Pick: Northern Kentucky Norse -5
This game will be played at Truist Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.
WHY BET THE NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-67 in favor of the Norse.
- Not only will Northern Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Will the Mastodons Win in Highland Heights?
Despite their recent struggles, Purdue Fort Wayne comes into this game with a 13-7 overall record. They have gone 4-5 in Horizon League play and are currently on a five-game losing streak. On the road this season, the Mastodons are 4-5 and have an average scoring margin of +.7.
So far this season, Purdue Fort Wayne has been the underdog in six games, going 2-4 in those matchups. As the underdog, they have gone 1-4 on the road. In their last game, the Mastodons lost 75-68 to Cleveland State.
As the underdog this season, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone just 2-3-1 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mastodons have an ATS mark of 4-5-1. On the road, their ATS record is 4-4-1 this year and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three road games.
So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue Fort Wayne games is 11-7. The average scoring total in their games this year is 154.7 points, which is higher than the average OU line of 151.1. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 161 points.
In contrast to their season average of 83.5 points per game, the Purdue Fort Wayne had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Cleveland State and had a field goal percentage of 40%. The top scorer for the Mastodons was Rasheed Bello with 20 points, while Anthony Roberts also added 16 to the scoreboard.
In terms of defense, Purdue Fort Wayne is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.8 points per game. Purdue Fort Wayne’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Cleveland State offense to knock down 51% of their shots on their way to putting up 75 points.
Will the Norse Find a Way to Win at Home?
After a 74-52 win over Green Bay, Northern Kentucky has now won three straight games. So far this season, the Norse have gone 11-9, including a 6-3 mark in Horizon League play.
At home, Northern Kentucky has been dominant, going 6-1. Their average scoring margin at home is +11.9 compared to -7.1 on the road. So far, they have been favored in eight games, going a perfect 8-0.
As the favorite this season, Northern Kentucky has an ATS record of 6-2. At home, the Norse are 6-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Northern Kentucky has gone 7-3.
Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Northern Kentucky’s games this year (140.9). This season, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 147 points.
The Norse’s offense finished with 74 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 74.3 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Marques Warrick, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19.2, while Trey Robinson also carries a PPG average of 9.4 into the game.
On defense, Northern Kentucky is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Green Bay, the Phoenix finished with a field goal percentage of 53% and a total of 52 points vs. Northern Kentucky.