The Boilermakers and Wolverines are set to face off at 2:00 ET on CBS. The Wolverines will host the game at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, MI. Purdue come into this Big Ten conference matchup as the -13 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 151.5 points.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS MICHIGAN WOLVERINES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +13

This game will be played at Crisler Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.

WHY BET THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Wolverines.
  • Not only will Michigan pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can the Boilermakers Offense Score Enough on the Road?

After winning their last game against Rutgers by a score of 96-68, Purdue is 24-3 overall and 13-3 in Big Ten play. The Boilermakers have been dominant at home, going 17-0 with an average scoring margin of +20.8 points per game.

On the road, Purdue has gone 7-3 this season, and they have a scoring margin of +5.2 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Boilermakers are 7-3.

As the favorite, Purdue has gone 14-10-2 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS record is 5-4-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 17-9-1. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (147.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 155 points.

The Purdue offense is coming off a game in which they scored 96 points vs. Rutgers. Overall their field goal percentage was 58.9% while connecting on 12 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Zach Edey, who is averaging 23.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Lance Jones also maintains a PPG average of 12.9 heading into game.

At this time, the Boilermakers’ defense is positioned 116th in the country, permitting 69.9 points per game. Purdue’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Rutgers offense to knock down 58% of their shots on their way to putting up 68 points.

No Pressure for Michigan as Home Dogs

Michigan enters this matchup with a record of 8-19, including a 3-13 mark in Big Ten play. The Wolverines have lost four games in a row and have gone 5-11 at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, Michigan is 3-7.

As the underdog, the Wolverines are 3-11 this season, and they have gone 2-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road is -10.4 points per game, and they have lost seven consecutive games away from home.

Michigan has struggled against the spread this season, going 6-20. Their home ATS mark is even worse at 4-12. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines are just 1-9 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Michigan games is 14-12. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (149). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. On the year, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 151.5.

In their most recent game, the Michigan offense put up just 62 points vs. the Northwestern Wildcats. Overall, they are now averaging 74.7 points per game which is 173rd in the country. Nimari Burnett was the leading scorer for the Wolverines, putting up 15 points. In addition, Tarris Reed Jr. contributed 13 points.

So far, the Wolverines’ defense is ranked 314th in the country at 78.8 points per contest. Against Northwestern in their most recent game, the Michigan defense gave up a total of 76 points while allowing Northwestern to hit 46% of their shots.