The Boilermakers and Hawkeyes are set to face off at 2:00 ET on FS1. The Hawkeyes will host the game at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, IA. The Boilermakers are the favorites in this Big Ten conference matchup the against the Hawkeyes. The over/under for the game is set at 165.5 points.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes +6.5

This game will be played at Carver-Hawkeye Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.

WHY BET THE IOWA HAWKEYES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hawkeyes.
  • Not only will Iowa pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 165.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the Boilermakers Find a Way to Win on the Road?

After a win over Indiana, Purdue is 16-2 on the season, including a 5-2 mark in Big Ten play. The Boilermakers have won two straight games and are 15-2 when favored this season.

Purdue is 4-2 on the road this season, and over their last 10 road games, they are 5-5. On the season, the Boilermakers’ average scoring margin on the road is +4.7 points per game.

When looking at Purdue’s overall ATS record this season, they are 10-6-2. On the road, they are 3-2-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have gone 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 13-5 and today’s over/under line of 165.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (148.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 161 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

Purdue’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Indiana, finishing the game with a total of 87 points. Their season average is now 85.1 points per game. Zach Edey is leading the team in scoring at 22.9 points per contest. Braden Smith has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12 going into the game.

At this time, the Boilermakers’ defense is positioned 107th in the country, permitting 69.3 points per game. Against Indiana, the Boilermakers’ defense gave up 66 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Indiana only made 4 free-throws.

Can the Hawkeyes Grab a Win at Home?

At home this season, Iowa has been dominant, going 10-2 with an average scoring margin of +18.1 points per game. Their three-game win streak has brought their overall record to 11-6, including a 3-3 mark in Big Ten play. The Hawkeyes have been the underdog in six of their 17 games this season, going just 1-5 in those contests.

In their last game, Iowa defeated Minnesota by a score of 86-77. Over their last 10 games at home, the Hawkeyes have gone 8-2, compared to their 1-4 record on the road. This season, Iowa has been favored in 11 of their 17 games, going 10-1 in those matchups.

As the underdog this season, Iowa has gone just 2-4 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark for the year is 8-9 and they are 6-6 vs. the spread at home. In their last three home games, the Hawkeyes have covered the spread each time and they are 5-5 vs. the spread at home this year.

So far this season, the over/under record in Iowa games is 13-4. Today’s over/under line of 165.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (160.9). In their last three games, their over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 164 points.

In their recent game, the Hawkeyes’ offense concluded with 86 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 87.1 points per contest. Offensively, the Hawkeyes have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 62nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 156th in percentage and 213rd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Iowa defense is giving up an average of 77.5 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Minnesota, the Golden Gophers finished with a field goal percentage of 48% and a total of 77 points vs. Iowa.