The Friars and Musketeers are set to face off at 8:00 ET on CBSS. The Musketeers will host the game at Cintas Center in Cincinnati, OH. The over/under for this Big East conference contest is set at 149.5 points, with Xavier being favored by -4.5 at home against Providence.


The Pick: Xavier Musketeers -4.5

This game will be played at Cintas Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Musketeers.
  • Not only will Xavier pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Does Providence Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Providence enters this game as a 4.5-point underdog, and they are 4-6 this season when listed as the underdog. The Friars are coming off an 81-70 win over DePaul.

On the road this season, Providence has gone 3-6, and their average scoring margin is -1.4 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Friars have gone just 3-7.

As the underdog this season, Providence has an ATS record of 8-2 and an overall ATS mark of 16-10. On the road, the Friars are 7-2 vs. the spread this year and have gone 2-1 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Providence has an ATS mark of 8-2.

Providence’s over/under record this season is 12-14, and today’s line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (141.3). So far, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. However, their last three games have averaged 148 points compared to their season average of 141.8.

Coming off their recent game, the Providence offense tallied 81 points in a matchup against DePaul. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.7%, and they made 13 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Devin Carter who comes into today’s matchup averaging 19.3. Josh Oduro also heads into the game with a PPG average of 16.8.

The Friars’ defense is presently ranked 82nd nationally, allowing an average of 68.0 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Providence defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as DePaul knocked down 13 three-pointers on their way to 70 points.

Can Xavier Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Despite coming off a 88-70 loss to Seton Hall, Xavier has been solid at home this season with a 10-5 record. Over their last 10 games at home, the Musketeers are 7-3.

This season, Xavier has been favored in 14 games, going 11-3 in those contests. On the year, they are 13-12 overall and 7-7 in Big East play.

As the favorite, Xavier has gone 8-5-1 against the spread this season and are 5-3-2 vs. the number in their last 10 home games. Overall, the Musketeers are 14-9-2 ATS this year and have an ATS mark of 8-5-2 at home.

On the season, the over/under record for Xavier games is 14-11, and today’s line of 149.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (148.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 138 points.

In their recent matchup, the Xavier offense ended with 70 points against Seton Hall. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.6% and made 5 threes. Quincy Olivari led the scoring for the Musketeers, contributing 25 points. Additionally, Dayvion McKnight chipped in with 11 points.

In terms of defense, Xavier is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Providence, the Xavier defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Xavier made 15 free-throws vs. the Musketeers.