Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Friars versus the Golden Eagles? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on FS1. The game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI. This Big East conference matchup has an over/under of 149.5 points, and Marquette is favored to win by -10.5 at home vs. Providence.


The Pick: Providence Friars +10.5

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Golden Eagles.
  • Even though we have Marquette winning straight-up, we like Providence at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the Providence Defense Show Up on the Road?

Providence is 18-9 on the season, including a 9-7 mark in Big East play. They have won three games in a row and are coming off a 79-75 win over Xavier. On the road, the Friars are 4-6 this season, and they are underdogs today, as they have been in 11 of their 27 games.

For the season, Providence has been outscored by an average of 0.9 points per game on the road. They are 5-6 as underdogs, and their record as the underdog is 5-6. So far, they have been favored in 16 games, going 13-3 in those matchups.

As the underdog this season, Providence has an ATS record of 9-2. Their overall ATS mark is 17-10, and on the road, the Friars have gone 8-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Providence has an impressive 8-2 ATS record.

Providence’s over/under record for the season sits at 12-15, and the average scoring total in their games is 142.2. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (141.8). So far, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Providence offense tallied 79 points in a matchup against Xavier. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.5%, and they made 9 threes. The top scorer for the Friars was Devin Carter with 22 points, while Jayden Pierre also chipped in with 17 points.

At present, the Friars’ defense is nationally ranked 84th, allowing 68.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Xavier, the Musketeers finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 75 points vs. Providence.

Can Marquette Grab a Win at Home?

Marquette has been dominant at home this season, going 15-2 with an average scoring margin of +16.2 points per game. They have won their last five home games and are 9-1 in their last 10.

Overall, the Golden Eagles are 21-6, including a 12-4 mark in Big East play. They have won two straight games, including an 88-64 victory over Xavier.

Marquette has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 16-10-1. They have been even better at home, going 11-5-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Marquette is 7-3 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Marquette is 10-17 and the average over/under line in their games is 149.3. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 149.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points.

Marquette’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Xavier, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 79.1 points per game. Offensively, the Golden Eagles have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 53rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 166th in percentage and 47th in three-pointers made.

The Golden Eagles’ defense is presently ranked 91st nationally, allowing an average of 68.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Marquette’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.5% this season.