The Phoenix Suns (24-38) will be at home in Talking Stick Resort Arena when they challenge the Portland Trail Blazers (28-35). Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, March 6, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Portland Trail Blazers at Phoenix Suns Odds Preview
The Trail Blazers had no trouble getting past the Washington Wizards in their last contest, 125-104, easily covering as 7-point favorites. With 24 points and 16 rebounds, Portland’s Hassan Whiteside played well. The Trail Blazers made 28 of their 32 free throws (87.5 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.599 (above their season average of 0.527). The two teams combined to score 229 points, which was well under the O/U total of 244.
The last time the Suns played, they were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 123-114, and were unable to cover as 4-point underdogs. Devin Booker was Phoenix’s leading scorer with 22 points on 5-for-14 shooting. Toronto held the Suns to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.6 (below their season average of 22.2). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.547 vs. 0.547). The two squads combined to score 237 points, which finished over the O/U total of 225.5.
The aggressive Phoenix offense looks poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Suns rank fifth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.224, while Portland ranks 17th in FTA rate allowed (0.203). Moreover, the Trail Blazers rank fourth in turnover percentage (12.2 percent), while the Suns rank third in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.8 percent).
Of Portland’s 63 games, 34 have finished over the projected point total, while 31 of Phoenix’s 62 games have finished over the projected point total. The Trail Blazers have the clear advantage straight up (SU) (28-35 vs. 24-38), but the Suns have been better against the spread (ATS) (27-34-1 vs. 26-35-2).
These two teams have already met twice this season, each winning once. Booker recorded 33 points, seven assists and six rebounds in the most recent contest, in which the Suns, who were 4-point underdogs, beat the Trail Blazers 122-116. The two teams combined to put up 238 points, which was 5.5 points above the projected point total of 232.5 points. The Suns played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.228 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.8. For those same stats, the Trail Blazers had marks of 0.146 and 22.7, respectively.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Phoenix Suns Free Prediction
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
The Suns rank ninth in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while the Trail Blazers rank last (47.6).
Phoenix ranks ninth in fast break points per game (14.4) while Portland ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (15.1).
Portland ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Phoenix ranks 22nd (8.2).
Phoenix averages 31.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. Portland ranks 24th in three pointers allowed per game (35.1).
Portland is 14-18-1 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 11-21-1 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 16 of the Trail Blazers’ 33 road games, while 18 of the Suns’ 33 home games have gone over.
Phoenix is 7-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
When scoring over 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 28-28 and the Suns are 23-30.
The Suns rank 12th in second chance points allowed per game (12.8) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (15.6).
Phoenix ranks first in assists per game (27.1) while Portland ranks last (20.1).
The Suns rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Trail Blazers rank last (13.9).
The Suns rank 16th in points in the paint per game (47.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (44.2).
Portland ranks second in blocks per game (6.2) while Phoenix ranks 27th (4.0).
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, up from 1.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 115.6 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.8 points per game (2.3 below their season average).