The Oklahoma City Thunder (36-19) look to continue a five-game home winning streak when they take on the Portland Trail Blazers (33-22) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231 points with Oklahoma City set as a 7-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 11, 2019.
Portland Trail Blazers at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Trail Blazers lost a close one to the Dallas Mavericks in their last outing, 102-101, but did cover as 6-point underdogs. With 30 points on 10-for-23 shooting, Damian Lillard was the game’s leading scorer. Dallas did a fantastic job of making free throws (18-23; 78.3 percent). Portland, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.0 vs. 23.4). The two teams combined to score 203 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 226.
In the Thunder’s previous outing, they beat the Houston Rockets, 117-112, as 2.5-point underdogs. Oklahoma City rallied around Paul George, who was the game’s high scorer with 45 points on 12-for-22 shooting. The Thunder held the Rockets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 24.1) and had a free throw rate of 0.270 (above their season average of 0.196). The two squads combined to score 229 points, which came in under the O/U total of 238.
Conflicting tempos will be on display in this matchup. Oklahoma City has preferred to play fast (first in possessions per game), while Portland has been slower-paced (16th in possessions per game).
Of Portland’s 54 games that accepted bets, 28 have finished over the projected point total, while 28 of Oklahoma City’s 55 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have solid straight up (SU) records (33-22 for Portland; 36-19 for Oklahoma City), but the Thunder hold a slight edge against the spread (ATS). Oklahoma City is 32-23 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 30-24.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Trail Blazers, it’s been CJ McCollum, who has averaged 28 points,6.0 rebounds,3.4 assists,1.4 steals, while the Thunder have gotten solid contributions from George (37 points,6.0 rebounds,4.0 assists,2.6 steals).
These two teams have already met twice this season, with the Thunder winning both. In the most recent game, the Trail Blazers lost 123-114, unable to cover as 4-point underdogs. Lillard recorded 34 points, eight assists and five rebounds. The two teams combined for 237 points, which was 13 points above the projected point total of 224 points. The Thunder played a nearly perfect game. They had a great turnover percentage of 9.1 and a solid free throw rate of 0.306. The Trail Blazers were 15.4 and 0.189, respectively, for those same stats.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Prediction
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Oklahoma City averages 14.7 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Portland ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
Portland ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 19th (25.0).
The Thunder average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
Portland is 10-13 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 15-11 ATS at home.
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Portland is 4-1 ATS with 5 overs.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 5.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (0.6 above their season average).