Northwest Division foes will collide when the Oklahoma City Thunder (23-19) square off against the Portland Trail Blazers (18-25) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 18, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma.
Portland Trail Blazers at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Preview
In the Trail Blazers’ last game, they lost to the Dallas Mavericks, 120-112, but were able to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. Portland’s Hassan Whiteside had 21 points, 18 rebounds and five blocks in the game. Dallas did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (22-28; 78.6 percent). Portland, meanwhile, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.571 (above their season average of 0.515). The two teams combined to put up 232 points, which finished under the projected point total of 237.5.
The Thunder are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 1-point favorites in their 115-108 loss to the Miami Heat in their last outing. Danilo Gallinari was the game’s high scorer with 27 points on 7-for-15 shooting. Miami held the Thunder to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.3 (below their season average of 19.9). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (9.8 vs. 10.4). Combined, the two squads scored 223 points, which finished over the projected point total of 213.
These two teams have met three times already this season, with the Trail Blazers winning two. In the most recent game, the Trail Blazers lost 108-96, unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites. Whiteside had 14 points, 10 rebounds and five blocks. The two teams combined to score 204 points, which was 18.5 points below the projected point total of 222.5 points. Oklahoma City did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (27-34; 79.4 percent). Portland, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (6.9 vs. 9.1).
Of Portland’s 42 games with betting action, 22 have finished under the projected point total, while 23 of Oklahoma City’s 41 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Thunder have a clear advantage. They are 23-19 SU and 26-14-1 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 18-25 SU and 16-24-2 ATS.
The aggressive Oklahoma City offense might be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this showdown. The Thunder rank third in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.227, while Portland is among the league’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 19th-ranked FTA rate of 0.208). Furthermore, the Trail Blazers rank third in turnover percentage (12.2 percent), while the Thunder rank 21st in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.3 percent).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under
The Trail Blazers rank 14th in fast break points per game (12.8) while the Thunder rank 29th (9.5).
Oklahoma City ranks 18th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while Portland ranks 28th (14.1).
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Portland ranks 18th (5.2).
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.8) while Portland ranks 11th (23.5).
On the road, Portland is 10-12-1 ATS with 14 unders, 8 overs and 1 push.
At home, Oklahoma City is 11-9-1 ATS with 11 unders and 10 overs.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Oklahoma City is 7-3 and Portland is 4-0.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Thunder are 22-12 and the Trail Blazers are 18-19.
The Thunder rank 20th in steals per game (7.5) while the Trail Blazers rank last (5.9).
Oklahoma City ranks sixth in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while Portland ranks 29th (15.8).
The Thunder rank 10th in rebounds allowed per game (44.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (48.2).
The Thunder rank 21st in points in the paint per game (45.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (43.4).
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (31.6) while Portland ranks 22nd (35.1).
Oklahoma City is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Portland is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 1.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (1.6 above their season average).