At 8:00 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-1000) will host the Portland Trail Blazers (+645) in a Northwest Division matchup. The Thunder are currently favored by 13 points and have won two in a row. The over/under line for the game is 233.5 points.
This game will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on BSO. The Blazers are 14th in the Western Conference with a record of 10-26, while the Thunder are 2nd in the West at 25-11.
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -13
This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-102 in favor of the Thunder.
- Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 13 threes.
Do the Trail Blazers Have a Shot at a Road Win?
Portland comes into today’s game vs. Oklahoma City with a record of 10-26, which has them in 14th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 5-6 and 5-20 against other Western Conference teams.
As for their record vs. the spread, the Trail Blazers are 16-20 overall and 10-10 on the road. They have been the underdog in all but four games this season and have gone 9-23 straight-up and 15-17 vs. the spread in those games.
On the road, Portland is 5-15 this season and has an average scoring differential of -9.8 points per game. Their average scoring differential as the underdog is -8.4 PPG.
This season, the Trail Blazers have played in games with an average over/under line of 226.8, and their games have averaged 224.5 points. Today’s O/U line of 233.5 is higher than 30 of their previous games. Overall, their O/U record for the season is 16-19-1, and their last game vs. the Knicks finished with 196 points (O/U line of 230).
In their last game, the Trail Blazers lost to the Knicks by a score of 112-84. They were 12.5-point underdogs going into the game, and the combined scoring was 196 (U/O line of 230). Portland also failed to cover the spread in the game.
When it comes to scoring, the Trail Blazers are one of the worst teams in the NBA, averaging just 108.3 points per game (29th). On the road, they are even worse, averaging 106.4 points per game (30th).
So far this season, Portland has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 22.2% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 17th in the league at 98.9 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Trail Blazers are last in the NBA in field goal percentage at 43%. They are also last in two-point shooting percentage at 48%.
On defense, the Trail Blazers come into the game ranked 17th in the league in points allowed at 116.2 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 126 points per contest (2nd). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Trail Blazers are forcing 14.5 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 23rd in blocked shots at 4.6 per game.
Does Oklahoma City Stand a Chance at Home?
The Thunder are 25-11 this season and are currently 2nd in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 11-3 compared to 14-8 against other Western Conference teams.
Oklahoma City has won two straight games and is 4-0 at home during this stretch. At home, they are 14-5 straight up and have an average scoring differential of +8.2 points per game. As the favorite, their record is 17-5.
For the year, the Thunder have been the favorite in all but 14 of their games. Against the spread, they are 15-7 as the favorite and have covered the spread in four straight home games. Their average scoring margin as the favorite is +11 PPG.
In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Heat by a score of 128-120. The over/under line for the game was 233.5, and the teams combined for 248 points. This marked the 5th straight game for Oklahoma City that has gone over the O/U line.
So far this season, the Thunder have been one of the most efficient offenses in the league, ranking 4th in points per game at 122.3. At home, they have been even better, averaging 124.4 points per game.
Oklahoma City has been one of the top shooting teams in the NBA, hitting 50% of their shots overall. They are also 1st in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. In terms of pace, the Thunder are 8th in the league.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder have been average, ranking 15th in free-throw attempts. However, they are 10th in free throws made at 18.9 per game.
On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 15th in the league in points allowed at 114.8 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 124 points per contest (29th). Opponents are hitting 51.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.6% of their three-point attempts.