At 8:00 ET, the Portland Trail Blazers (+773) will travel to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (-1308) in a Western Northwest Division matchup. The Timberwolves (-14.5) are favored and the over/under is 221.5.

Portland is currently 14th in the Western Conference with a record of 10-27 and they have lost 2 straight games. Minnesota is 1st in the West with a record of 26-11.


The Pick: Portland Trail Blazers +14.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, January 12th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-102 in favor of the Timberwolves.
  • Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.4% and knocking down 13 threes.

Do the Trail Blazers Have a Shot at a Win at Minneapolis?

Portland enters today’s game vs. Minnesota with an overall record of 10-27. In the Western Conference, they are in 14th place. In non-conference games, the Trail Blazers are 5-6, compared to 5-21 vs. other Western Conference teams.

As the underdog, Portland has a record of 9-24 this season. Their average scoring differential as the underdog is -10.1 PPG, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog. Against the spread, they are 15-18 as the underdog and have an average scoring differential of -10.1 PPG.

On the road, the Trail Blazers are 5-16 this season, and they are 10-11 ATS in those games. Their average scoring differential on the road is -12.3 PPG. As the underdog, their road ATS record is 10-11.

In their last game, Portland lost to the Thunder by a score of 139-77. They were 13.5-point underdogs going into the game, and their ATS losing streak is now at two games. The combined point total of 216 was well below the O/U line of 236.5.

This season, 25 of Portland’s 37 games have had higher O/U lines than 221.5. Their games have averaged 224.3 PPG, and their O/U record for the season is 16-20-1. The under has hit in two straight games for the Trail Blazers.

Heading into tonight’s game, the Trail Blazers are one of the worst scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 107.4 points per game (30th). On the road, their scoring average drops to 105.0 (30th).

Portland has scored below the NBA scoring average in 78.4% of their games this season and are currently on a two-game streak of scoring less than their season average.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Blazers are 23rd in the league at 35% but have made the 19th most threes per game (12.3). In terms of field goal percentage, Portland is 30th at 43%.

So far, the Trail Blazers’ defense is ranked 19th in the league at 116.8 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Trail Blazers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 58.9% and allowing 33.9% from beyond the arc.

Can the Timberwolves Please their Home Crowd?

The Timberwolves are having a great season and are currently in 1st place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 8-5 and 18-6 against other teams in the West.

Minnesota has been the favorite in 28 of their 37 games this season and has a record of 22-6 in those games. However, they have failed to cover the spread in their last four home games. Overall, their ATS record at home is 8-8.

For the season, the Timberwolves have an average scoring differential of +9.6 points per game at home. When favored, their scoring differential is +8.2 PPG. Today, they are 14.5-point favorites.

In their last game, the Timberwolves lost to the Celtics by a score of 127-120. They were 10.5-point underdogs going into the game, so they covered the spread. The game’s combined scoring total of 247 points was higher than the over/under line of 227.

This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 20-17. In their games, the average over/under line is 223.4, which is higher than today’s line of 221.5. 21 of their 37 games have had higher over/under lines than 221.5.

The Timberwolves have been a good shooting team this season, ranking 8th in field goal percentage. However, they have struggled to score at home, averaging just 112.6 points per game. Overall, Minnesota is 22nd in scoring at 113.1 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Timberwolves are one of the most accurate teams in the league, hitting 38% of their attempts. They are also 4th in free throw shooting at 79%. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 23rd in the NBA.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 40.5% of their games. They have also seen an increase in scoring in their last two contests. In terms of assists, Minnesota is 19th in the league with 25.8 per game.

This season, the Timberwolves’ defense is the 1st ranked defense in the NBA at 1st PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 73.0% of their games. Inside the arc, the Timberwolves defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 50.4% and 34.9% from three-point territory.