The Denver Nuggets (-955) are favored by 13 points over the Portland Trail Blazers (+618) in this Western Northwest division matchup. The over/under line is currently sitting at 220 points.
This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and is scheduled to start at 8:30 ET. You can catch the action on NBA TV.
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Portland Trail Blazers +13
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 8:30 ET on Sunday, February 4th.
WHY BET THE PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-108 in favor of the Nuggets.
- Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists.
- From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 13 threes.
Will the Trail Blazers Defense Show Up in Denver?
In their last game, the Trail Blazers lost to the Nuggets by a score of 120-108. Going into the game, Portland was a 13.5-point underdog.
On the season, the Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 24-25 and have covered the spread in three straight games. On the road, they are 13-14 ATS, compared to 11-11 ATS at home.
As the underdog this season, Portland has a record of 14-31 and is 23-22 against the spread as the underdog. Today, they are 13-point underdogs on the spread.
This season, Portland has an O/U record of 21-27-1. In their games, the average combined scoring is 225.2 points, and the average O/U line is 227.1.
Against Western Conference teams, the Trail Blazers are 6-27 and are currently in 14th place in the West. Overall, they are 15-34.
This season, the Blazers are 29th in the league in scoring at 108.5 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 106 points per game.
In terms of pace, Portland is 18th in the league at 98.4 possessions per game. They are also 30th in true shooting percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Blazers are 23rd in the league at 35%. They are averaging 12 made threes per game, which is 18th in the NBA.
On defense, the Trail Blazers are ranked 17th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 55.1% of their games. The Portland defense has allowed opponents to shoot 33.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Portland.
Can Denver Deliver Being Favored at Home?
The Nuggets are favored by 13 points today and have gone 3-0 straight-up as the favorite. In those games, they have an average scoring margin of +5 points per game. Overall, they are 32-12 as the favorite.
In their last game against the Trail Blazers, the Nuggets won 120-108 as 13.5-point favorites. This improved their ATS record to 21-27 for the season. However, they did not cover the spread in that game.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 18-31-1, and their games have averaged 225.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 220, and 40 of their games have had higher O/U lines than that.
Looking at their Western Conference record, the Nuggets are 18-11 and are currently 4th in the West. Against the West, they are 16-5 compared to 3-5 against the Northwest Division.
At home, the Nuggets have won six straight games and have an average scoring margin of +9.7 points per game. Their home record for the season is 20-4.
At home, the Nuggets are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 119.8 points per game. Overall, they are 16th in the league at 114.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 6th in the NBA at 49%. However, they are just 28th in three-point attempts and 26th in made threes.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48% of their games. In terms of pace, Denver is the slowest team in the league at 95.9 possessions per game. In terms of free throw shooting, the Nuggets are 29th in free throws made per game.
When it comes to two-point shooting, Denver is 8th in the NBA at 56%. Overall, they are 4th in assists at 28.8 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, the Nuggets are 11th in the league.
On average, the Denver defense is giving up 110.7 points per game (4th). Right now, they are on a 3 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.9% and 36.0% from three-point territory.