Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Pick 01/17/20


The Dallas Mavericks (26-15) will be at home in the American Airlines Center when they square off with the Portland Trail Blazers (18-24). Action begins at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 17, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN.

Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks ATS Preview

The Trail Blazers were victorious over the Houston Rockets in their last contest, 117-107, despite being 8.5-point underdogs. With 18 points and 18 rebounds, Portland’s Hassan Whiteside played well. Portland played a perfect game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 6.1 (better than their season average of 11.3) and a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.193). For those same stats, Houston was 10.2 and 0.156, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 224 points, which came in under the O/U total of 237.5.

In the Mavericks’ last outing, they covered the 3.5-point spread against the Sacramento Kings, 127-123. Dallas rallied around Luka Doncic, who accumulated 25 points, 17 assists and 15 rebounds. This gave him his 11th triple-double this season. The Mavericks made 20 of their 24 free throws (83.3 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.5 (above their season average of 24.6). The two clubs combined to score 250 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 226.

These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 240 points, well over the projected point total of 218.5. The Trail Blazers won 121-119, covering as 3-point underdogs. Portland made nine of their 22 three pointers (40.9 percent). Dallas was, on the other hand, 13-50 (26.0 percent). CJ McCollum was the game’s leading scorer with 35 points.

Of Portland’s 42 games, 22 have finished under the projected point total, while 25 of Dallas’ 41 games have finished over the O/U total. The Mavericks hold a substantial advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 26-15 SU and 24-17 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 18-24 SU and 16-24-2 ATS.

Dallas could put on a ball-control clinic in this matchup. Dallas ranks first in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent), while Portland forces the second-fewest turnovers (11.9 percent).

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Trail Blazers rank second in blocks per game (6.4) while the Mavericks rank 19th (4.6).

Dallas ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (45.6) while Portland ranks 29th (43.0).

Portland ranks 14th in fast break points per game (12.9) while Dallas ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).

Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. Dallas is 27th in the NBA with 6.3 steals per game while Portland is 29th with 5.9 steals per game.

Dallas is 9-13 ATS at home, while Portland is 10-12-1 ATS on the road.

The Trail Blazers have 14 unders, 8 overs and 1 push in 23 road games.

In 22 home games, the Mavericks have 13 overs and 9 unders.

When holding opponents under 100 points, Dallas is 7-0 and Portland is 4-0.

The Mavericks are 26-13 when they reach the century mark, while the Trail Blazers are 18-18.

The Mavericks rank 15th in assists per game (24.3) while the Trail Blazers rank last (19.7).

Dallas ranks second in second chance points per game (15.0) while Portland ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.7).

The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (48.3).

The Trail Blazers rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while the Mavericks rank sixth (15.0).

Dallas averages 40.8 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Portland ranks 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (34.8).

Bettings Trends:

Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Portland is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, down from 7.3 for the season.

During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 107.2 points per game (4.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (2.4 below their season average).

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