The Vikings and Hornets are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Hornets will host the game at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA. Portland State is favored by -1.5 in this Big Sky conference matchup the against Sacramento State. The over/under for the game is set at 132 points.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +1.5

This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 5:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Does Portland State Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Portland State enters this game with a record of 16-13, including a 7-9 mark in Big Sky play. The Vikings have lost two straight games, including an 82-73 defeat at the hands of Montana.

On the road this season, Portland State is just 5-11, and they have lost their last seven games away from home. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of -7.7 points per game on the road.

As the favorite this season, Portland State has gone 4-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Vikings are just 3-7 ATS. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-9 this year and 3-7 over their last 10 road games.

Portland State’s over/under record this season is 12-14-1 and today’s line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in their last three games (148 points) is higher than today’s OU line of 132.

The Vikings’ offense finished with 73 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 72 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Vikings have a season-long field goal percentage of 41%, ranking 348th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 272nd in terms of percentage and 172nd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Portland State defense is giving up an average of 71.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.8 threes per game vs. Sacramento State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.6%.

Will the Hornets Make it Happen at Home?

After winning their last game against Montana State by a score of 66-63, Sacramento State will look to snap their five-game home losing streak. So far this season, they have gone 3-9 at home and 7-22 overall.

As underdogs, the Hornets have a record of 3-16, and they have been underdogs in 19 of their 29 games. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -6.7 points per game.

As the underdog, Sacramento State has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 9-9-1. They have been even better as the underdog recently, going 7-3 vs. the spread over their last 10 games in that role. At home, the Hornets have an ATS mark of just 4-7-1 this season and they are just 4-4-1 vs. the spread over their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 10-17. Today’s over/under line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season of 137.4. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points.

In their recent matchup, the Sacramento State offense ended with 66 points against Montana State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 38.9% and made 8 threes. Austin Patterson led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Zee Hamoda contributed 15 points for the Hornets.

So far, the Hornets’ defense is ranked 115th in the country at 70.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Portland State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.6%.