The Vikings and Grizzlies are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Grizzlies will host the game at Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT. The over/under for this game is set at 145 points, and Montana is favored by -7.5 vs. Portland State in a Big Sky conference matchup.


The Pick: Portland State Vikings +7.5

This game will be played at Dahlberg Arena at 9:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Even though we have Montana winning straight-up, we like Portland State at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Portland State Make it Happen on the Road?

Portland State has struggled on the road this season, going 5-10. Their average scoring margin on the road is -7.6, and they have lost six straight road games. In their last game, they lost to Montana State 72-67.

Overall, the Vikings are 16-12, including a 6-8 record in Big Sky play. They have gone 10-4 in non-conference games compared to 6-7 as the underdog. For the season, they have been the underdog 13 times, going 6-7.

Portland State has an ATS record of 12-13 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-8, and over their last 10 road games, they are just 3-7 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Vikings are 8-5 ATS this year and have gone 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Portland State’s over/under record this season is 11-14, and today’s line of 145 is right around the average over/under line in their games (145.5). So far, 11 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 145. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.

The Vikings’ offense finished with 67 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 72 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Vikings have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, ranking 344th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 288th in terms of percentage and 178th in three-pointers made.

The Vikings’ defense is presently ranked 159th nationally, allowing an average of 71.4 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Portland State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Montana State knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 72 points.

Will the Grizzlies Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Montana enters this game with an 18-9 record and has won two straight games. They are 9-5 in Big Sky play and 8-3 at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, the Grizzlies have gone 8-2.

On the year, Montana has been the favorite in 17 of their 27 games, going 13-4 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home is +9.8 compared to -3.8 on the road.

Montana’s ATS record this season is 14-10, including a 6-5 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Grizzlies have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 145 is similar to the average over/under line of 142.6 in Montana’s games this season. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 147 points.

The Montana offense is coming off a game where they scored 68 points against Sacramento State. They posted a field goal percentage of 57.4% and connected on 6 threes. The top scorer for the Grizzlies was Te’jon Sawyer with 14 points, while Josh Vazquez also chipped in with 12 points.

In terms of defense, Montana is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Montana’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.