The Pilots and Waves are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Waves will host the game at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA. The odds for this West Coast conference game currently have Pepperdine as the -5.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 154 points.

PORTLAND PILOTS VS PEPPERDINE WAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pepperdine Waves -5.5

This game will be played at Firestone Fieldhouse at 10:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE PEPPERDINE WAVES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Waves.
  • Not only will Pepperdine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Can the Pilots Offense Score Enough in Malibu?

Portland heads into tonight’s game as a 5.5-point underdog, and they are just 2-16 this season when listed as the underdog. The Pilots have lost three straight games, and they are 9-18 overall this season.

On the road, Portland is just 2-12 this season, and they have lost two straight games away from home. Over their last 10 road games, the Pilots are just 2-8.

As the underdog, Portland has gone 6-12 against the spread this season and they are 11-15 overall. On the road, the Pilots have an ATS mark of 4-10 and vs. the spread in their last 10 road games, they are just 3-7. In their last three road games, Portland is 2-1 vs. the spread.

Portland’s over/under record this season is 11-15, and today’s line of 154 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (150.5). So far, 15 of their games have finished with less than 154 points, including their last three contests which have had an average of 141 points.

Against San Diego, the Portland had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 72.1 points per game. They scored 66 points and posted a field goal percentage of 34.8% in the game. On the offensive front, the Pilots have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 295th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 233rd in terms of percentage and 52nd in three-pointers made.

The Pilots’ defense is presently ranked 323rd nationally, allowing an average of 80.3 points per contest. Portland will look once again to perform well on defense, holding San Diego to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.

Will the Waves Find a Way to Win at Home?

Pepperdine comes into this game as a 5.5-point favorite, and they have gone 6-4 this season when favored. Overall, the Waves are 10-17, including a 3-9 record in West Coast Conference play.

At home, Pepperdine is 6-8 this season, and their average scoring margin in these games is +2.4 points per game. However, they have lost their last four games at home, and they are just 4-6 in their last 10 at home.

As the favorite this season, Pepperdine has gone 6-4 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 7-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Waves are 6-4 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Pepperdine is 1-2 ATS.

Pepperdine’s over/under record for the season sits at 11-12-2 and today’s line of 154 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (149.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.

Against Saint Mary’s, the Pepperdine had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 72 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 36% in the game. In terms of offense, the Waves have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 247th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 174th in percentage and 263rd in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Waves’ defense holds the 249th rank in the nation, allowing 75.2 points per game. The Pepperdine defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 103 points and allowed Saint Mary’s to connect on 12 threes.