Playoff CFL Pick & Prediction: Saskatchewan at Toronto

Last Updated: 2017-11-19

The first game on the CFL playoff schedule Sunday is an interesting game between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the Toronto Argonauts, as the two are battling for a spot in the Grey Cup. The game opened even but the Argonats are now favored by 3 and the total is 53. The line move occurred even though the betting is pretty evenly split on this game.

Saskatchewan won the first meeting of the season between the two 38-27 and also captured last month’s rematch with a 27-24 victory in Toronto even though the Argos rushed for more yardage and also threw for more.

While home favorites haven’t been the greatest wager historically in the CFL playoffs, smaller home chalk of a field goal or less have posted a 7-3 ATS mark dating back to 2008, so there’s no reason to avoid Toronto if you believe they’re the right side.

Toronto quarterback Ricky Ray knows a little something about playing on the big state, winning three Grey Cups in his career, while his counterpart, Kevin Glenn, is still looking for his first ring. While the two quarterbacks will inflience the outcome, both teams have enough key pieces elsewhere to decide the final score.

The ‘Riders enter the game with an 11-8 record and went 6-4 on the road, while Toronto is just 9-9, but managed to post a 6-3 record at home. The ‘Riders were tough against the weaker East, while the Argos struggled a bit against the West, but what happened in the regular season doesn’t really matter at this point.

Marc Trestman’s offense has to pick up yardage on first down down to be successful and Toronto will utilize its number of short passes to put themselves in managable second-down situations. Whether they have success with that will go a long way in determining who comes away with the victory.

The ‘Riders ascore more points and allow fewer than Toronto, while the Argonauts gain more yards and allow fewer.

The trends will probably point to Saskatchewan, as the Argonaus have a few ugly numbers, such as 7-18 ATS at home the past three years and 1-5 when favored by 3 or fewer points at home over the same time span, which is to be expected from the team from Canada’s biggest city and the line gets slated against them a bit.

But the playoffs are a different story and believe that the Argonauts are the right side, so will go ahead and lay the -3 (-105).

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