Playoff CFL Pick & Prediction: Saskatchewan at Ottawa

Last Updated: 2017-11-12

While the NHL and college football are beginning to enter their respective homestretches, the Canadian Football League is already there, beginning its playoffs today with a pair of interesting games. So far the CFL has been decent to us, as we enter today’s action with a 21-15 record.

The first game on today’s CFL schedule is a cross-over game, which features the Saskatchewan Roughridgers visiting the defending CFL champions, the Ottawa REDBLACKS. Ottawa is favored by 2 and the total on the game is 51.5.

After pulling the upset to win the Grey Cup last season, it’s been a struggle for Ottawa this season, who managed to sneak into the playoffs with an 8-9-1 regular season record. A big reason for that dismal record is a 3-5-1 home record that sees Ottawa outscored teams 26.8-26.7. The REDBLACKS were 3-5 against the spread and 3-6 in totals at home. Even though Ottawa struggled straight-up, they were pretty good to bettors, going 12-6 against the number on the strength of a 7-3 ATS record.

These two teams split during the regular season and each game was decided by just one point, as Saskatchewan won 18-17 at Ottawa and the REDBLACKS returned the favor with a 33-32 road victory in October.

Both games saw one team with a sizable time of possession advantage and surprisingly they lost both games. The Roughriders had the ball more than 38 minutes in their home loss, while Ottawa, which rushed 33 times for 203 yards, had the ball more than seven minutes longer that the Roughriders in their home loss.

The Roughriders were 6-2 ATS against the East and 6-4 as an underdog this season and went 10-8 straight up, going 5-4 both at home and on the road. In road totals, they were just 2-7 and 7-11 for the season overall.

Overall, these two teams have pretty comparable statistics, with the ‘Riders being a little better on defense and Ottawa picking up a few more yards offensively. Both teams come into the game in good form, as the REDBLACKS won their last three games, although it wasn’t particularly easy with a combined margin of victory of just 11 points, while the Roughriders won two of their last three and allowed just 47 points in those three games.

The betting is the key to this one, I believe, as the game opened even and the ‘Riders are getting a slight majority of the bets and the game still moved to Ottawa -2. Several of the sharper sportsbooks have you laying 2.5, so the REDBLACKS look to be getting a bit of sharp money and I’ll take along with the small home favorite.

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