The Sunday action in Week 7 of the NFL will conclude on October 23 with this conference duel in Florida, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Steelers vs. Dolphins betting pick and odds.
Miami is desperate to snap a losing streak and avoid the fourth straight defeat when they welcome Pittsburgh at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins are 7-point favorites on BetDSI Sportsbook, while the total is set at 45 points. These conference rivals will meet for the first time since 2019.
Steelers shocked the Buccaneers in Week 6
The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4, 2-3-1 ATS) suffered four consecutive defeats and everybody expected them to lose the fifth in a row when they hosted the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, but the Steelers had other plans. Pittsburgh made one of the biggest upsets of the season with a 20-18 victory, in which they never trailed.
Kenny Pickett completed 11 of 18 passes for 67 yards and a touchdown, but exited the game with concussion-like symptoms and didn’t return. Mitch Trubisky took over and had 9/12 for 144 yards and a touchdown. Chase Claypool received a game-high 96 yards for a score on seven catches, while Najee Harris also found the end zone through the air. Harris was Pittsburgh’s best runner in this win with 42 yards on 14 attempts. Defensively, Terrell Edmunds was strong with ten tackles.
LB T.J. Watt (pectoral) is still unavailable and will not help the Steelers on Sunday against Miami. CB Cameron Sutton (hamstring), CB Ahkello Witherspoon (hamstring), S Minkah Fitzpatrick (knee), and TE Pat Freiermuth (concussion) are questionable to play.
Dolphins to have Tagovailoa back under the center
The Miami Dolphins (3-3, 3-3 ATS) will be quite happy to have their starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa from a head injury. Tua is much needed for the Dolphins, who started the campaign with three wins and then suffered three consecutive defeats. In the last two, Tagovailoa was sidelined. Miami suffered the first home loss of the season despite being dominant in total yards (458-234), first downs (23-11), and possession (35:29-24:31) against the Minnesota Vikings. Still, the hosts committed three turnovers and forced none on the other end in a 24-16 loss.
Skylar Thompson completed seven of 13 passes for 89 yards before sustaining a thumb injury. He was removed from the game and Teddy Bridgewater came in and completed 23 of 34 passes for 329 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle were phenomenal and combined for 306 receiving yards on 18 catches (25 targets), but tight end Mike Gesicki was the one to get both receiving touchdowns. Raheem Mostert had 49 rushing yards on 14 carries, while Elandon Roberts was good defensively with team-high seven tackles and 1.5 sacks.
T Terron Armstead (toe), DE Emmanuel Ogbah (back), TE Durham Smythe (hamstring), WR Jaylen Waddle (shoulder), and QB Skylar Thompson (thumb) are questionable to face the Steelers on Sunday.
- 2-6 ATS in the last eight road games
- 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 games following an ATS win
- 0-3-1 ATS in the last four vs. AFC rivals
- 7-2 ATS in the last nine home games
- 10-2 ATS in the last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
Pittsburgh Steelers and Miami Dolphins Pick
Even though the Steelers beat the Bucs last week, I don’t think they will make another surprise this Sunday. Pittsburgh’s offense is one of the worst three in the NFL as it averages 16.2 points per game and is not even in the top 20 in pass offense (204.8 ypg) and run offense (86.7 ypg). While the Dolphins are also ineffective on the ground with only 81.2 yards per game, they do have the second-best pass offense that averages 285.0 ypg. Now with Tagovailoa back and always dangerous Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, arguably the best wideout duo in the NFL, Miami should be able to slice the Steelers’ weak secondary. Against the pass, Pittsburgh has the third-worst defense that allows 277.8 ypg.
Pick: Take the Dolphins at -6.5 (-125)
I expect multiple passing touchdowns from Tagovailoa and 25+ points from the hosts, but let’s not ignore the fact that Miami’s team defense allows more points on average than Pittsburgh’s. The Dolphins allow 25.8 points per game and surrendered 24+ in each of the last three games, so the visitors will definitely have an opportunity to do damage here. Over is 11-5 in the Dolphins’ last 16 games following an ATS loss, while Over is 14-2 in Miami’s previous 16 games in Week 7.
Pick: Go Over 44.5 points (-110)