At 1:40 PM ET, the Pittsburgh Pirates will be looking to sweep the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. The Marlins are favored in this one, with a money line of -128 compared to the Pirates’ +107.

Looking at the over/under, the line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -103 compared to -119 for the under. On the mound, Bailey Falter will be starting for the Pirates, while Trevor Rogers will be starting for the Marlins.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline -128

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, March 31st.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS MARLINS:

  • We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The Pirates and Marlins played the previous game of this series, with the Pirates coming out on top by a score of 9-3. Despite the lopsided final score, the Pirates only out-hit the Marlins 16-5. Jared Jones got the win for Pittsburgh, while Ryan Weathers took the loss.

Neither team hit a home run in the game, but the Pirates had five doubles compared to just one for the Marlins. Pittsburgh did most of its damage in the 7th inning, scoring four runs to pull away from Miami. The Marlins only had one multi-RBI performance, which came from Jesus Sanchez.

Connor Joe had a big game for the Pirates, going 3/5 with three runs scored. Bryan Reynolds and Michael A. Taylor also had two hits apiece for Pittsburgh. Despite giving up just three earned runs, Weathers took the loss, while Jones gave up three runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Pirates Records & Stats

Left-hander Bailey Falter will be on the mound for the Pirates in their matchup with the Marlins. Last season, he made 18 appearances and 14 starts, finishing the year with a record of 2-9. His ERA for the season was 5.36, and he allowed a total of 17 home runs. Falter’s WHIP for the season was 1.41, and his FIP was 5.25. Opponents hit .282 against him, and his OBP allowed was .321. For the season, he averaged 1.1 walks per game and had a K/BB ratio of 3.0.

For the Pirates, our model is projecting Ke’Bryan Hayes to have a solid day at the plate. His total hits projection is the best on the team and 14th best in the league today. He also has the 11th best odds to hit a home run. Bryan Reynolds is our top projected Pirates player to go deep, as his home run projection is 8th best in the league. His total hits projection is 2nd on the team and 24th in the league. Oneil Cruz has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Pirates and 9th best in the league.

Marlins Records & Stats

Trevor Rogers is coming off a season in which he made four starts and finished with a record of 1-2. His ERA for the season was 4.00, and he finished with a WHIP of 1.22. Rogers allowed two home runs and finished the season with a batting average against of .229. His FIP for the season was 4.09, and he finished with one quality start. Rogers averaged 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings and 3.0 walks per nine innings. For the season, he averaged 1.5 walks per game and finished with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.2.

When it comes to the Marlins’ hitting projections, we have Luis Arraez as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His total hits projection is 4th best in the league today. Tim Anderson is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his total hits projection is 9th best in the league. If you’re looking for a Marlins player to hit a home run, we have Jake Burger with the best odds on the team and the 10th best odds in the league today.