Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick 06/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-13

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to take the field against the Atlanta Braves. This NL matchup begins at 12:10 p.m. ET and you can catch it on ATPT and FSSE.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+140) as the underdog to Atlanta (-150). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at -115 for over 9 runs and -105 for under 9. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -155 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +135 for the Braves -1.5 runs.

The Braves are 39-29 straight up (SU) and 33-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.5 units for moneyline bettors and 1.4 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Pirates are 30-37 SU and have gone 32-34 ATS. They’re down 0.8 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Braves games have a 36-26-5 over/under record thus far in 2019. The Pirates have also been a good over bet with a total record of 38-26-2.

Joe Musgrove is getting the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Musgrove (4-6, 4.40 ERA) has racked up 58 strikeouts in 73.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.12 ERA against Atlanta this year (two starts).

The Braves are turning to righty Julio Teheran (4-4, 3.03 ERA), who’s got 74 punchouts and 37 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.20. Teheran hasn’t faced the Pirates yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.99 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.50, along with a WHIP of 1.38 and a K/9 of 9.69.

The Pirates offense has slashed .257/.316/.408 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Pittsburgh’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte. Bell is slashing .325/.392/.663 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Marte has a .287 average with 10 homers, 32 RBIs, 40 runs and 11 steals.

For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.37 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Atlanta offense has produced 5.2 runs per contest, including 6.7 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.381/.559 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.

First baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have led the Braves’ batters this year. Freeman is hitting .309/.401/.588 with 18 home runs, 44 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line sits at .283/.365/.491 with 15 homers, 45 RBIs, 41 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Pirates have gained 1.7 units and are 24-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 0.5 units and are 25-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 23 which went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has recorded 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Atlanta has 27 XBH over its last five.

Pittsburgh has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.

The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 21 over their last 10.

The Pirates have an OPS of .724 this season and an OPS of .742 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .787 overall and .773 versus righties.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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Play Line: TAMPA BAY 134
BTB PowerLine: TAMPA BAY -143

Edge On: TAMPA BAY 77Bet Now
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BTB PowerLine: TORONTO -104

Edge On: TORONTO 16Bet Now