Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 05/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-15

Josh Bell and the surging Pittsburgh Pirates will be hitting the diamond against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. This NL matchup gets going at 3:40 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both ATPT and FSAZ.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-150) is hosting this one as the favorite against Pittsburgh (+140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. There’s a runline of Pirates +1.5 (-155) and Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135) for this matchup.

The Pirates have gone 21-18 SU this year and are 21-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 1.2 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 23-20 SU and 27-15 ATS. They’ve gained 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 9.7 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 22-18-2 so far in 2019. Pirates games have gone over 19 times, gone under 18 times and pushed on one occasion.

The right-handed Chris Archer will get the start for the visiting Pirates. Archer is 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Diamondbacks will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Greinke (5-1, 3.16 ERA, 0.93 WHIP), who has 57 strikeouts and eight walks. Greinke is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .251/.304/.433 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by David Peralta and Eduardo Escobar. Peralta is hitting .324/.365/.540 with six home runs, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Escobar’s line sits at .288/.359/.525 with eight homers, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.94 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.71 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.62, along with a K-per-9 of 10.56.

The Pirates offense has slashed .242/.305/.382 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Pittsburgh’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Melky Cabrera, who have already combined to drive in 50 runs. Bell is slashing .329/.401/.692 with 12 home runs, 39 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Cabrera is hitting .342/.379/.479 with three homers, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Pirates have gained 6.7 units and are 16-11 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 2.9 units and are 18-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Arizona’s last seven games.

The Pirates have a total OPS of .687 this season and an OPS of .715 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS stands at .781 overall and .740 against righties.

The Pirates have won four of their last five games SU.

Arizona has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.

The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 11 over their last 10.

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