Last Updated: 2019-06-14
The Pittsburgh Pirates will head south to face the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on either ATPT or FSFL.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (-115) is the favorite over Pittsburgh (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds sit at -200 for taking the Pirates +1.5 runs and +170 for the Marlins -1.5.
The Marlins are just 24-42 straight up (SU) and 31-35 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 4.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Pirates are 30-38 SU and have gone 33-34 ATS. They’ve lost 1.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 30-33-3 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a good over bet with a total record of 39-26-2.
Steven Brault will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The southpaw Brault (2-1, 5.05 ERA) has racked up 34 strikeouts in 40 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins are planning to start righty Trevor Richards (3-6, 3.31 ERA), who has 68 strikeouts and 33 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Richards only made one start against the Pirates in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts across seven innings).
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.42, along with a K-per-9 of 9.65.
The Pirates offense has slashed .257/.316/.408 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte have led Pittsburgh’s hitters. Bell is hitting .320/.389/.653 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Marte (.285/.326/.474) is up to 10 homers, 33 RBIs, 40 runs and 11 stolen bases.
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.09 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Miami hitters have produced 3.5 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .240/.293/.349 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Miguel Rojas have led the charge for the Marlins’ batters this year. Anderson is hitting .246/.327/.379 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Rojas has put up a line of .272/.335/.327 with 59 hits, 18 RBIs and 22 runs.
The Pirates have gained 0.7 units and are 25-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 1.1 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, compared to seven which went under the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
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The under has hit in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
Miami has posted 24.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
The Pirates have a total OPS of .724 this season and an OPS of .743 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .647 overall and .649 versus righties.