Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves Free Pick 06/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-12

Freddie Freeman and the streaking Atlanta Braves will go for their sixth win in a row when they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at SunTrust Park. The game gets going at 7:20 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on ATPT and FSSE.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves Odds

The Braves are 38-29 straight up (SU) and 32-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units ATS. The Pirates are 30-36 SU and have gone 32-33 against the spread. They’ve gained 0.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 7.7 units ATS.

Atlanta games have an over/under record of 35-26-5 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has also been a good over bet with a total record of 37-26-2.

Mitch Keller will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Keller (0-1, 13.50 ERA) has racked up seven punchouts in four innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves will turn to righty Mike Soroka (7-1, 1.38 ERA), who has 57 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a 0.87 WHIP. Soroka did not register a start against the Pirates in 2018.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.30, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

Atlanta’s offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 6.9 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .275/.368/.560 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Freddie Freeman has helped lead the Braves’ offense this year with 18 home runs, 43 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

For the visitors, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.88 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.58, along with a K/9 of 9.75.

Pirates hitters have slashed .256/.315/.407 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Josh Bell has provided a spark to the Pittsburgh offense. Bell is slashing .324/.390/.656 with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Braves are coming off a 7-5 win in the prior game of the series.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has cashed in only two of Atlanta’s last seven games.

The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 23 over their last 10.

The Pirates have an OPS of .722 this season and an OPS of .739 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .783 overall and .765 against righties.

Pittsburgh has posted 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.

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