You are using an old web browser. Such browsers do not support modern web technologies and do not offer proper security. Please update your browser or download one of the others suggested for free.
Mozilla Firefox |
Google Chrome |
Internet Explorer |
Thursday features a few starting pitchers that have been strong for bettors during their most recent starts.
Here's a look at three pitchers taking the hill Thursday that have been cashing in for moneyline bettors recently.
Ervin Santana, Kansas City Royals (3-1, 2.00 ERA)
The Royals have won Santana's last four starts earning the $100 bettor $360.85 if betting on the righty in those four games. All four of those were quality starts as he has given up just four earned runs in 30 innings pitched.
Kansas City is at home to conclude its series against the Tampa Bay Rays Thursday. The Rays will counter with Roberto Hernandez.
Justin Grimm, Texas Rangers (2-0, 1.59 ERA)
Grimm will make his fourth start of the season Thursday and he is coming off seven innings of shutout work against the Minnesota Twins on April 26. Texas has won all three games that Grimm has started this season and bettors would be up $280.45 when wagering on Grimm's starts this season.
The Rangers host the Chicago White Sox Thursday evening in the final game of the series. Jake Peavy is on the mound for the White Sox.
Wily Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers (2-1, 5.02 ERA)
Milwaukee has won Peralta's last three starts and the righty has personally notched wins in his last two outings. Peralta's put together two excellent starts in a row, giving up five earned runs in 12 2-3 innings pitched in those two games. The $100 bettor would be up $278.30 if wagering on Milwaukee in Peralta's last three starts.
The Brewers open a four game home stand versus the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday. Jake Westbrook gets the start for the Cards.
Some guys hit for power while others hit for contact. You can make a pretty good living doing either, if you know when to swing. The same goes for MLB moneylines and runlines.
Some baseball teams are making the most out of the moneyline, stacking the units on MLB’s straight up odds. Others have benefited the best from the runline, baseball’s version of the pointspread, with 1.5 runs set as the norm.
We take a look at four teams and explain why they’ve been better to the bettors on either the moneyline or the runline.
Tampa Bay Rays (12-14)
Moneyline: -4.65 units
The Rays were supposed to be contending for the American League East lead at this point in the season, but inconsistent efforts at the plate and a struggling ace have dealt moneyline bettors some big loss. Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in David Price’s six starts, burning -6.67 units alone.
However, when the Rays do win, they win big and cover the runline with ease, posting an average margin of victory of four runs in its 12 wins. Tampa Bay is current in the midst of a 10-game road trip and is presenting solid value on the runline as the visitor.
Pittsburgh Pirates (15-12)
Moneyline: +6.18 units
Runline: -0.25 units
The Pirates finished April with a bang, going 6-4 SU in their final 10 games. Pittsburgh didn’t build that record against cupcakes either, taking wins over the Braves, Phillies, Cardinals and Reds last month. Those upset wins meant big moneyline payouts, with the Bucs set as high as +185. Pittsburgh has also been a great bet at home, posting an 8-4 record at PNC Park.
Sizing up its runline potential at home, the Pirates have outscored visitors by just 1.25 runs per game. On the road, they been outscored 72-57 but that’s an average of just one run per away game. With a five-game home stand starting Friday (vs. Washington and Seattle), the Bucs look to be a solid moneyline play but a shaky runline risk.
Detroit Tigers (15-10)
Moneyline: +1.29 units
Runline: +5.36 units
Expectations were high for the Tigers entering 2013, as were their moneyline odds. A slow start to the year quickly buried bettors in red ink and has left Detroit digging itself out of that hole ever since, despite a winning record. The team has lost three of Justin Verlander’s first six starts, boasting -2.26 units when its ace has taken the mound.
There is more value giving the 1.5 runs on Detroit’s games. The Tigers have won five straight heading into Wednesday but that’s equaled only $314.42 for $100 moneyline bettors. Runline fans betting $100 have earned $370.25 on those games, even with Detroit failing to cover the 1.5-run spread in a 4-3 win over Minnesota Monday.
Milwaukee Brewers (14-11)
Moneyline: +2.35 units
Runline: -2.05 units
The Brewers have sprung to life as the calendar flips to May, winning 12 of their last 15 games heading into Wednesday. Milwaukee was able to gain some momentum against a softer schedule, which featured San Diego, Chicago and Pittsburgh. The Brew Crew were moneyline favorites in 11 of those 15 contests, including each outing of a three-game home set versus San Francisco.
Miller Park has been kind to Milwaukee so far. The Brewers are 9-5 as hosts, including back-to-back wins over the Pirates to open a nine-game home stand which also welcomes the Cardinals and Rangers. But while the SU wager has been safe at the beer gardens, Milwaukee is outscoring opponents 79-71 in its 14 home games – an average of just 0.57 runs per contest.
-- Wood is 2-1, 2.53 in five starts this season.
-- Kendrick is 2-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.
-- Westbrook is 1-1, 1.52 in five starts this season.
-- Santana is 3-0, 1.50in his last four starts.
-- Dempster is 1-1, 3.15 in his last three starts. Happ is 1-0, 3.27 in his last couple starts.
-- Peavy is 2-0, 2.08 in his last three starts. Grimm is 2-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Tillman is 1-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- Stults is 1-2, 6.95 in four starts this season.
-- Sanabia is 1-3, 6.08 in his last four starts.
-- Medlen is 0-2, 4.91 in his last three starts. Haren is 1-2, 7.05 in his last three starts.
-- Peralta has a 5.65 RA in five starts this season.
-- Hernandez is 1-4, 6.16 in five starts this season.
-- Porcello is 1-2, 9.87 in four starts this season. This is Lyles' first '13 start; he was 2-1, 2.74 in his last four '12 starts.
-- Blanton is 0-4, 7.42 in five starts this season.
-- Under is 11-6-1 in last eighteen Cub games.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Philly's last twelve home games.
-- Eight of last eleven Washington games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of 15 games at Miller Park went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Kansas City games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Toronto games.
-- Four of last five White Sox games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Houston games.
-- Seven of last eight Baltimore games went over the total.
-- San Diego, Cubs both won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves won nine of their last ten games with Washington.
-- Miami won three of its last four games.
-- Brewers won 12 of their last 16 games. St Louis won six of last nine.
-- Kansas City won seven of its last ten games.
-- Boston won six of its last seven games.
-- Detroit won six of its last eight games.
-- Rangers won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Washington lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- Phillies lost ten of their last sixteen games.
-- Tampa Bay lost 11 of its first 15 road games.
-- Houston lost 13 of its last 17 games.
-- Blue Jays lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Angels lost six of their last eight games. Baltimore lost three of last four.
The Padres look to bounce back from yesterday's 6-2 loss to Chicago and take advantage of a Cubs' team that is 0-7 in Travis Woods' last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. San Diego is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+130). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, MAY 2
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: San Diego at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 15.997; Cubs (Wood) 15.120
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); No Total
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+130); N/A
Game 953-954: Miami at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Sanabia) 14.151; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.875
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Over
Game 955-956: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Haren) 15.626; Atlanta (Medlen) 14.980
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150); Over
Game 957-958: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.365; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.275
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Under
Game 959-960: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hernandez) 15.668; Kansas City (Santana) 16.812
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Over
Game 961-962: Boston at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Dempster) 15.271; Toronto (Happ) 15.843
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Under
Game 963-964: Chicago White Sox at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 14.721; Texas (Grimm) 14.426
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+110); Under
Game 965-966: Detroit at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.123; Houston (Lyles) 13.541
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 967-968: Baltimore at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.920; LA Angels (Blanton) 13.866
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Over