dave Posts:80 Followers:2
On 03/15/2013 10:47 AM in Cappers


Miami vs. Milwaukee, 03/15/2013 20:30
Point Spread: -5½/-108 Miami

FREE PLAY for 3/15/13
Miami Heat -5.5
The Key: The Heat won't get caught overlooking the Bucks. First off, the winning streak has kept them interested even against lesser competition. Secondly, it's likely the Heat will face the Bucks in the first round of the playoffs so they'll be looking to send a message. Thirdly, Miami took an embarrassing 19-point loss in Milwaukee in December the last time these two met. LeBron James and company have not forgotten about that loss and will be out for their revenge. The high total suggests oddsmakers are expecting Miami to show much better in Milwaukee this time around. Consider that the Heat are 7-0 ATS this season in road games when the total is between 200 and 204.5 points. They have won these contests by an average score of 105.7 to 91.7. It is also worth noting that Milwaukee is 1-11 ATS the last 2 seasons in home games when the total is between 200 and 204.5 points. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bucks are 18-37 ATS in their last 55 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Take Miami.

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