steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 03/08/2013 01:20 PM in Cappers

Friday's Free NBA Pick: Portland Trailblazers +11.5

Portland vs. San Antonio, 03/08/2013 20:30
Point Spread: +11½/-105 Portland

Friday's Free NBA Pick: Portland Trailblazers +11.5

It's never easy betting against the Spurs at home, but I feel like there's a lot of value here with the Trailblazers. San Antonio was able to rally in the 2nd half against Chicago to pull out a 101-83 win at home as a 8.5-point favorite. They have now won two straight by double-digits without Tony Parker in the lineup. While the Spurs can make an injury seem like it doesn't matter with their ability to plug someone in and keep winning, I don't believe they will keep blowing teams out without him on the floor.

The Spurs have had their troubles with Portland of late. The Trailblazers lost by just 3-points in the first meeting between these two teams this season and were able to hold on for a 98-90 victory in the second meeting. After blowing a big lead Wednesday in a 85-91 loss at Memphis, I look for Portland to come out and lay everything on the line to get a win here. While it's unlikely they pull off the upset, this game should be decided by single-digits.

Portland is 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 games vs a team with a winning S.U. record, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a winning % above .600. San Antonio has covered three straight, but are still just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a game where they covered the spread. BET THE TRAILBLAZERS!

To see more of Steve Janus's plays click here.