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Go with Notre Dame as the home favorite over St. John's.
You have to wonder why the Irish are favored by nearly double-digits against a team that has beaten them in each of the last three meetings, including a 67-63 outright win on January 15th in New York?
My theory is, "there has got to be a reason", and that having been said, I will ride Notre Dame in triple-revenge against the Johnnies. St. John's comes to South Bend with losses in five of their last seven games, and the Redstorm have lost their last four on the conference road, going 2-2 against the spread in those four setbacks.
Notre Dame is off a loss at Marquette, and they have played three of their last four on the road. The lone home game in that span was a double-digit romp over Cincinnati, as the Irish improved to 16-3 straight up at home for the season.
With three straight series losses to St. John's, look for the Irish to show no mercy tonight as they run up the final margin.
Memphis already has the Conference USA title locked up and this is their third straight road game. Memphis is 1-1 on this trip, losing at Xavier as -4.5 chalk. UTEP is very good, third in the conference and the Miners are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. They play great defense and have been playing well of late, 3-2 SU, 4-0-1 ATS the last 5 games. And when UTEP faces a good team the Miners are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Play UTEP!
Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan
Pick: Central Michigan
Now that Keno Davis’ CMU has finally snapped a debilitating 10-game SU losing streak by pounding Northern Illinois on Saturday, the Chippewas might like the feel of winning so much that they do so again vs. the limited EMU weaponry. Keno getting nice contributions lately from frosh G Chris “ESPN” Fowler, who has scored in DDs in his last five games and is tallying a hefty 18 ppg his last three, relieving some of the offensive burden from explosive UNC-Greensboro transfer Kyle Randall (17.6 ppg). Expect CMU to hit better than the 23% beyond the arc that hindered the Chips vs. Rob Murphy’s zone in the first meeting on Jan. 15 at Ypsilanti, where Eagles won by 6.
LTKO revenge rears its ugly head again in this one as the Illini will look for payback from an opening round 64-61 defeat at the hands of the Hawkeyes in the 2012 Big Ten tourney, a loss that ended an Illinois 5-game win-and-cover streak over Iowa. John Groce’s team also had a 5-game streak snapped last week by Michigan. Hey, no shame in dropping a contest to a Wolverines squad with two guys named Tim Hardaway and Glenn Robinson and their 25 years of combined NBA experience. Anyway, that 5-game Illini win streak, which began with back-to-back upsets of Indiana and Minnesota and ended with three straight trouncings of Big Ten bottom-feeders, put Illinois up on the 20-win pedestal, an accomplishment that nearly guarantees they’ll be dancing in March. Now they need to seal the deal with a big road win in Iowa City against a Hawkeye squad in the middle of an Indiana/Nebraska same-season revenge sandwich and a 3-8 SU record versus teams with a win percentage greater than .666 this season. We have no problem fading this wobbly home favorite tonight. Neither should you. We recommend a 1-unit play on Illinois.
Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (WI-GREEN BAY) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games.
113-61 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.9% 45.9 units )
9-10 this year. ( 47.4% -2.0 units )
CBB PRESBYTERIAN at CAMPBELL
Play On - Neutral court teams (PRESBYTERIAN) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road loss.
221-231 since 1997. ( 48.9% 27.0 units )
CBB SOUTHERN MISS at MARSHALL
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more.
109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% 45.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )
Game: Marquette at Rutgers (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Marquette -6.5 (-110)
It has been another agonizing season for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, as once again they find themselves near the bottom of the Big East standings. Overall, Rutgers is 13-14 on the season, but is just 4-12 in Big East play, and just 1-10 in their last 11 games. While they have played better at home, they are 0-4 at home in their last four vs. teams that have a winning record within the conference, with an average margin of -12 points per game. Marquette still has a chance to win the Big East at just one game out, so this is an important game for them. Marquette has been doing damage on the road vs. a team with a winning home record at 30-4-1 ATS in their last five. Play this one on Marquette.