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Atlanta vs. Denver, 03/04/2013 21:00
Point Spread: -10/-104 Denver
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Denver Nuggets -10
The Key: This may seem like a lot of points, but the Hawks find themselves in a tough spot. This will be their third road game in four days and their sixth in 10 days. This stretch would be tough enough to tackle at home, let alone on the road with all the travel mixed in. I think it's safe to say the Nuggets, who have had the last two days off, will be the fresher team. In addition to Atlanta's level of fatigue, it will likely be hard for the Hawks to bounce back emotionally from last night's heartbreaking loss to the Lakers. They battled their way back from 16 down only to come up a point short. Denver has been deadly at home where it has won 10 in a row by an average of 11.5 points. It has also won 5 straight at home versus the Hawks. Atlanta has struggled against explosive offensive teams this season, going 0-7 ATS versus teams that average 103.0 points or more per game. Lay the points.