jimmy Posts:329 Followers:6
On 03/04/2013 11:13 AM in Cappers

Free Pick on Texas Tech +24.5

Texas Tech vs. Kansas, 03/04/2013 19:00
Point Spread: +24½/-101 Texas Tech

Conference play is hard on teams, even top tier teams like Kansas. You should always play against favorites of 20 points or more like Kansas when they are off a win against a conference rival. This system is 95-59 (61.7%) over the last five seasons.

This matchup also falls into a system to play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Texas Tech when they are revenging a home loss. This scenario happens a lot in college basketball and over the last five seasons we have seen an 809-615 (56.8%) success rate. Those numbers tighten up to 192-130 (59.6%) when the teams are playing with one or less days of rest.

Playing on only one day of rest, the Jayhawks are in a situation where they may take their foot off the gas against Texas Tech. The season is winding down and Kansas is ready for a few days of rest before they begin to prepare for the Big 12 conference tournament.

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