cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/10/2013 11:02 AM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 10

-- VCU won eight of last nine games, with only loss by 14 at St Louis; Rams are 5-2 on A-16 road (other loss was in OT at Richmond), 1-5 as road favorites. Temple won last six games; they're 3-1 as A-16 dog, with last three such games all decided by a point. A-16 home underdogs of 4 or less points are 8-12 vs spread. Owls are 5-2 SU in A-16 home games, losing as double digit favorites to St Bonaventure and Duquesne.
-- Illinois (+3) shot 65% inside arc, beat Ohio State 74-55 at home Jan 5, game they led by 25 at one point. Illini are 3-5 on Big Dozen road, 2-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 7-23-5-13-8 points. Buckeyes are off big win at Indiana, their fourth win in row; OSU is 5-3 as home fave in league play. Six of last eight Illinois games, last four OSU games went under total. Big Dozen home favorites of 8+ points are 17-19.
-- Michigan won four of last five games, with last three all decided by 6 or less points; Wolverines (+5.5) lost 81-73 at Indiana Feb 2, as Indiana shot 59% inside arc, outscored Michigan 22-6 from foul line. Six of last nine Michigan games went over total. Big Dozen home teams are 17-12 when spread is 4 or less points. Hoosiers lost two of last three, are 2-2 in last four road games- they're 2-0 as a Big Dozen underdog this year.
-- Virginia (+2) made 11-19 from arc, won 80-69 at Maryland Feb 10, as Harris scored 22 points while taking only eight shots; Cavaliers just lost at BC/Florida State, after beating Duke, so they're on bubble, are 8-0 vs spread in ACC home games (6-0 as home favorite)- six of seven wins are by 9+ points. Maryland is 2-4 as road underdog, losing away games by 7-10-20-2-11-10. ACC home favorites of 8 or less points are 14-21.
-- Wichita State/Creighton split two games this year; Bluejays had an eFG% of 81.9% last Saturday in 91-79 win, making 22-26 inside arc, 11 of 21 outside it, unheard of numbers- they lost by 3 at Wichita in first meeting. Shockers haven't won MVC tourney since 1987, so this would be bigger for them; think both teams are in NCAAs. Creighton won this event LY, 4th time in 10 years; they've won six of last seven games.

-- Northeastern had bye yesterday, George Mason struggled with 60-54 win over Drexel, making them 4-4 in last eight games; Mason had three guys play 31+ minutes, only two subs play more than six. Huskies beat Mason twice this year, by 10-20 points, but they're 2-3 last five games after starting out 12-1 in CAA- they shot 51%+ inside arc both games vs George Mason. Four of Northeastern's last six CAA tourney games were decided by 4 or less points.
-- James Madison is 4-2 in last six games, with all six decided by five or less points. Last six times Delaware won CAA tourney game, they lost next game, all by 9+ points; Hens are 11-2 in last 13 games after starting year 8-11- they've won five in row since 72-71 home loss to JMU Feb 17, game Hens led by 11 in second half. Dukes beat Delaware by 14 Jan 23. JMU played 7 guys yesterday, two 39 minutes each. Hens also had 7-man rotation, with three guys playing 34+ minutes.
-- Richard Pitino has FIU 17-13 after being 8-21 for Isiah Thomas LY; Panthers lost twice to top-seed Middle Tennessee this year, with 66-64 home loss (+8.5) after FIU led by 20 in first half. Immense pressure on Middle to win this event; they're 20-1 in league, won last 17 games, are 58-29 in league last five years, but haven't gone to NCAAs. FIU played four guys 30+ minutes Saturday, used two subs for 22+ minutes.
-- Arkansas State survived OT game with Troy last nite, with 22-8 edge on foul line; State beat Western Kentucky twice this year, by 18-14, so they've got to be expecting to beat WKU squad that is playing for third night in row, while State is playing second. ASU had four guys play 30+ minutes last nite, two play 40+- they won last seven games they held foe under 70 points. WKU had only two guys play 29+ min. last nite.
-- Iona won MAAC tourney in '06, Niagara in '07; neither team won it since, but winner here will be favored in final Monday. Iona won its last three games, scoring 86.3 ppg; eight of their last ten games were decided by 4 or less points, or in OT. Gaels beat Niagara by 11 at home, lost by 3 in OT in rematch; they outscored Canisius 34-12 on foul line in 89-85 win last nite, playing four guys 31+ minutes. Niagara forced 20 miscues in win over Siena last night- three kids played 34+ minutes.
-- Manhattan beat Fairfield twice this year, 62-40/34-31, second game being worst D-I game I've seen, ever. Stags survived Rider 43-42, using three kids 32+ minutes in brickfest where Broncs were 0-6 from arc for whole game. Jaspers sent Loyola out of MAAC for good with upset last nite, playing seven guys, but only one more than 28 minutes. Fairfield is playing third night in row, Manhattan only second night in row.

-- Davidson is 14-3 in SoCon tourney last 7+ years, winning four times; Wildcats pounded Appalachian State twice this year, by 23-35 points in games played two weeks apart. ASU played three guys 31+ minutes last night but used three subs 12+ minutes. Davidson made 13-28 from arc in easy win last night. ASU is 1-3 in second conference tourney game last four years, with losses by 16-13-10 points.
-- Elon is 1-7 in its second SoCon tourney game last nine years (are 8-1 in first game); they lost 56-54 at home to Charleston in December, when Elon was just 5-3 (they're on 13-3 run now). Cougars are 10-6 in SoCon tourney last six years but haven't won it during that time- they had 29-9 edge in foul line last night, their 11th win in last 13 games. Elon played four guys 29+ minutes last nite, but used three subs 10+.
-- Oakland won eight of its last ten games, but both losses were against Fort Wayne, by 6-2 points; sharpshooter Bader (38.9% from arc for the year) is just 3-21 from arc in two games vs Mastadons, who've won five games in row, scoring 79.7 ppg last three, after 8-16 start vs D-1 teams. Fort Wayne lost first game in Summit tourney last two years; Six of last seven Oakland games were decided by six or less points.
-- North Dakota State's Braun scored 22 points in 29 minutes last game, after missing 10 of previous 11 games; Bison pounded on UMKC twice this season by 65-44/71-34 scores- they're just 6-5 in last eleven games, after starting season 16-3. Kangaroos shot 16-49 (32.7%) inside arc in two losses to Bison this year. Not big fan of laying double digit spreads in conference tournaments, but hard to back UMKC here.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/10/2013 11:04 AM


Sunday, March 10

Trend Report

12:00 PM
Wisconsin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Wisconsin is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Penn State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Commonwealth's last 6 games on the road
Virginia Commonwealth is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Temple's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Temple's last 5 games at home

12:30 PM
Illinois is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 9 games at home

2:00 PM
Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Virginia Tech's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 7 games
Wake Forest is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

4:00 PM
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games at home
Michigan is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games

6:00 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games on the road
Northwestern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games at home

6:00 PM
Maryland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Maryland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 6 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/10/2013 11:05 AM


Sunday, March 10

Study group: Sunday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes

(19) VCU at Temple (+2)

Virginia Commonwealth needs to land a tough road win at Temple to clinch at least a share of the Atlantic 10 regular-season title. The Rams have won three straight to keep the pressure on Saint Louis on top of the tightly-wound standings. The running Rams are 12th in the nation in scoring averaging 78 points and they've rang up at least 90 points eight times on the season. Temple is suddenly the hottest team in the conference. The Owls are 13-3 at home and bring a six-game winning streak into Sunday afternoon's contest. The Owls have an RPI of 41 and would relish another signature win to add to their NCAA Tournament resume. VCU is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games.

(21) Wisconsin at Penn State (+8.5)

Two consecutive losses in the past week knocked the Wisconsin Badgers out of the Big Ten title race. On Sunday, the Badgers will try to avoid finishing their regular season on a season-high three-game losing skid. Penn State, guaranteed to finish at the bottom of the conference, has won two of three after snapping a 14-game losing skid with a shocking home win over No.4 Michigan. The Nittany Lions were blown out by Minnesota on the road after that, but recovered to defeat Northwestern by seven points. Wisconsin defeated Penn State 60-51 at home on Jan. 3 to open conference play for both teams. The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Illinois at (13) Ohio State (-9.5)

When Ohio State met a ranked Illinois team on Jan. 5, the Illini enjoyed their largest margin of victory against a ranked opponent since 1964. But when the Buckeyes host Illinois on Sunday, they will have a chance to avenge that loss and earn a share of their fourth consecutive Big Ten title. Ohio State began the season 11-2, but endured one of its worst shooting performances against the Illini in a 74-55 road loss. The Buckeyes have since recovered and won four straight – including Tuesday’s 67-58 victory at Indiana – after a 1-3 stretch in February. Ohio State is one game behind Indiana in the Big Ten standings, but can grab a share of regular-season crown with a loss by the Hoosiers at Michigan on Sunday and a win against Illinois. The Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

(2) Indiana at (8) Michigan (Pick)

Indiana has already secured the top seed in next week’s Big Ten Tournament, but one more win on Sunday at Michigan could wrap up its first outright conference title since 1993. Indiana also owns a league-best 6-2 road record and an 81-73 victory over the Wolverines in Bloomington on Feb. 2, but has lost two of its last three. Michigan has won four of five, with three of the victories coming at the Crisler Center. The Wolverines, who shared the regular-season title with the Buckeyes and Spartans last season, are 17-0 at home this season. Michigan is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games overall.

Northwestern at (12) Michigan State (-19.5)

Michigan State can possibly claim a piece of the Big Ten title when it hosts Northwestern in the regular-season finale Sunday. The Spartans will need Indiana to lose earlier in the day at No. 8 Michigan to put itself in position to share the championship with a win against the Wildcats. Michigan State is coming off four straight games against ranked opponents. The Spartans ended a three-game losing streak with a win Thursday against Wisconsin. Northwestern enters the game on a seven-game slide, their longest losing streak since 2007-08. The Wildcats have lost five players for the season due to injury or disciplinary reasons. The road team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/10/2013 11:07 AM


Sunday, March 10

Indiana at Michigan: What bettors need to know

Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines (Pick, 145.5)

No. 2 Indiana has already secured the top seed in next week’s Big Ten Tournament, but one more win on Sunday at No. 8 Michigan could wrap up its first outright conference title since 1993. However, a loss to the Wolverines could open the door for as many as four teams – including Michigan – to share the regular-season crown. The Hoosiers hold a one-game lead over Michigan State, Ohio State and Michigan and have already guaranteed themselves a piece of the Big Ten crown for the first time since 2002.

Indiana also owns a league-best 6-2 road record and an 81-73 victory over the Wolverines in Bloomington on Feb. 2, but has lost two of its last three. Michigan has won four of five, with three of the victories coming at the Crisler Center. The Wolverines, who shared the regular-season title with the Buckeyes and Spartans last season, are 17-0 at home this season.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT INDIANA (25-5, 13-4 Big Ten): Three starters – Victor Oladipo (49.1 percent), Jordan Hulls (48.3) and Christian Watford (48.1) – are shooting over 48 percent beyond the arc, contributing to the nation’s fourth-best 3-point field goal percentage (41.8). Along with Cody Zeller and Kevin “Yogi” Ferrell, the Hoosiers boast the highest-scoring starting lineup in college basketball. The Hoosiers also convert more free throws per game than any other team (19.7), rank second in scoring margin (plus-19.1) and third in scoring (81.1 points). The Hoosiers enjoyed a 22-6 advantage from the foul line over Michigan in February and have made 111 more free throws than their opponents have attempted (590-479).

ABOUT MICHIGAN (25-5, 12-5): Trey Burke (19.1 points, 6.9 assists) is averaging 24 points and shooting 52.1 percent from the floor over his last five games. He became only the fourth Wolverine to post more than 200 assists in a season in last Sunday’s win over the Spartans and is 28 assists shy of setting the school record for the most in a single season. Michigan leads the country in fewest turnovers (9.4 per game) and is shooting 49 percent from the floor – the seventh-best mark in the nation. The Wolverines are 22-0 when converting at least 33 percent of their 3-pointers this season, but 3-5 when they do not.


* Wolverines are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Hoosiers’ last five road games.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.


1. Indiana has won the last four meetings when both teams are ranked in the top 10, but lost each of its last three in Ann Arbor.

2. Michigan – seeking its fifth undefeated home season since 1976-77 – has won seven straight home games against nationally-ranked opponents.

3. Six starters in this game (Oladipo, Hulls, Watford, Zeller, Burke and Tim Hardaway Jr.) have scored at least 1,000 career points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/10/2013 11:30 AM

Sunday, March 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

VCU - 12:00 PM ET ( Temple +0 500 POD # 1 )
Temple -

Wisconsin - 12:00 PM ET Penn St. +8.5 500
Penn St. -

Liberty - 12:00 PM ET ( Liberty +6.5 500 POD # 2 )
Charleston Southern -

Illinois - 12:30 PM ET Illinois +9.5 500
Ohio St. -

Virginia Tech - 2:00 PM ET Wake Forest -5.5 500
Wake Forest -

George Mason - 2:00 PM ET Northeastern +1.5 500
Northeastern - Over 135 500

Iona - 2:00 PM ET Niagara +2.5 500
Niagara -

Wichita St. - 2:05 PM ET Creighton -3 500
Creighton - Under 133 500

Indiana - 4:00 PM ET Michigan -1.5 500
Michigan - Over 145.5 500

James Madison - 4:30 PM ET ( Delaware -1.5 500 POD # 3 )
Delaware - Under 132 500

Fairfield - 4:30 PM ET Manhattan +2.5 500
Manhattan -

Stony Brook - 5:00 PM ET Albany +4.5 500
Albany -

Northwestern - 6:00 PM ET ( Northwestern +19.5 500 POD # 4 )
Michigan St - Over 122 500

Maryland - 6:00 PM ET Virginia -8 500
Virginia - Under 122 500

Appalachian St. - 6:00 PM ET ( Appalachian St. +16 500 POD # 5 )
Davidson -

IUPU - Ft. Wayne - 7:00 PM ET IUPU - Ft. Wayne +3.5 500
Oakland -

MD Baltimore Cty - 7:00 PM ET MD Baltimore Cty +13 500
Vermont -

Florida International - 7:30 PM ET ( Middle Tennessee St. -13 500 POD # 6 )
Middle Tennessee St. -

Charleston - 8:30 PM ET Elon University +3 500
Elon University -

UMKC - 9:30 PM ET North Dakota State -18 500
North Dakota State -

Western Kentucky - 10:00 PM ET Arkansas St. -2.5 500
Arkansas St. -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/11/2013 06:14 PM

Gonzaga starts 2nd week at No. 1

March 11, 2013

Gonzaga is no one-week wonder at No. 1.

The Bulldogs beat Loyola Marymount 66-48 in its first - and so far only - game as the nation's top-ranked team. They will look to win the West Coast Conference title Monday night.

Gonzaga received 54 first-place votes from the 65-member national media panel. Duke, which received the other 11 first-place votes, moved up one spot to second after beating Virginia Tech and North Carolina last week. Indiana dropped one place to third after losing to Ohio State then rallying for the dramatic win at Michigan that gave the Hoosiers the outright Big Ten title.

Louisville jumped from eighth to No. 4 and was followed by Georgetown, Michigan, Kansas, Michigan State, Miami and Ohio State.

The week's lone newcomer is Missouri Valley Conference champion Creighton, which returns after being out of the poll the last four weeks. The Bluejays replace Oregon, which dropped out from 19th after losing two games last week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/11/2013 06:16 PM

Championship Angles

March 11, 2013

Cutting Down The Nets

It’s Championship Week and with it the reward of a ticket to the Big Dance to all the teams who will be cutting down the nets immediately after their conference tournament championship game.

Before knee jerking and playing on teams in title games that on paper look to be the better squad, instead pay close attention to these four College Conference Championship Game moneymaking scenarios.

You could end up padding your NCAA Tournament bankroll.

Note: All results are prior to this year’s tourneys and are since 1990…

Size Matters

Having been there and done that goes a long way toward a team’s success in conference title games.

That’s confirmed by the fact that team who won 27 or more games the previous season use that weight to their advantage, going 64-44-3 against the spread in these affairs.

Put them up against a No. 4 or lower seed and they improve to 29-3 SU and 23-8-1 ATS, including 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS if they defeated their lightweight opponent in a most recent contest.

Ain’t No Stopping Us Now

Momentum can carry a team a long way, especially when they arrive to the championship game of their conference tourney.

No. 1 or 2 seeded favorites that enter off three wins in a row by an average win margin of 20 PPG or better are 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS.

Put them up against an opponent that failed to cover the spread by more than six points in its last game and they zoom right to the head of the class, going 12-0 SU and 12-0 ATS.

Home Teams in Title Games – Use Them, Don’t Abuse Them

Home is where the heart is. It’s also where the money is in championship games. That’s confirmed by the fact that ‘on-board’ teams are 38-15 SU and 29-23-1 ATS.

If these home advantaged teams lost one or fewer games at home on the season they improve to 23-1 SU and 15-8-1 ATS, including 15-1 SU and 12-3-1 ATS if they are hosting a No.1 or No. 2 seeded opponent.

Best of all, these one-loss or less wonders are 4-0 SU and ATS if the opponent did not cover the number in its semifinal contest.

Dogs With a Higher Win Percentage Have Little to No Bite

As rare as it may seem, teams with the better record are not always favored in Championship Games. Believe me, when the linemakers install the opponent with an inferior win percentage the favorite in the game he’s knows what he’s doing. That’s because underdogs with a better win percentage are just 17-26-2 ATS in these games.

And if the favorite owns a win percentage of .700 or more, the dog dips to 7-18 ATS.

Better yet, puppies with a better record who arrive to the title game off back-to-back SU and ATS wins against .700 or greater opponents are a lowly 1-9 ATS. Buyer beware.

There you have it, four time-tested Championship Game theories to ponder for Championship Week. Now, get your dancing shoes ready.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/11/2013 06:19 PM

Saint Mary's vs. Gonzaga

March 11, 2013

**Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s**

--Another season and another WCC Tournament finals featuring Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga battling for the league’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. These bitter rivals will clash once again Monday night in Las Vegas at The Orleans Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

--As of 4:00 p.m. Eastern, most books had Gonzaga (30-2 straight up, 16-12-2 against the spread) favored by six with a total of 136. The Gaels are plus-240 on the money line (risk $100 to win $240).

--Mark Few’s team advanced to the finals by overcoming a sloppy first half to turn it on in the final 20 minutes en route to a 66-48 win over Loyola-Marymount. The Lions took the cash for the fourth straight time in four nights as 21-point underdogs. They trailed by only one at halftime, setting up an easy winner for those (like me) who took Gonzaga as an 11.5-point favorite for second-half plays (-12.5 adjusted). Elias Harris was the catalyst, needing only nine shots from the field to produce 21 points. Harris also pulled down eight rebounds, made two steals and blocked a pair of shots. Kevin Pangos was also in double figures with 14 points.

--Saint Mary’s (27-5 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) needed overtime to stave off San Diego’s upset bid in Saturday’s semifinals showdown. The Gaels prevailed 69-66 but never threatened to cover the spread as 15-point favorites. The Toreros had a double-digit lead at the under-12 television timeout, but Brad Waldow turned in a career-best performance to lead Randy Bennett’s team back. Waldow finished with a career-high 23 points, 16 rebounds and four blocked shots, while Beau Levesque scored 19 points before fouling out. Gaels’ star guard Matthew Dellavedova had an awful shooting night (2-of-12 from the field, 1-of-7 on 3’s) but did dish out 12 assists.

--Gonzaga has won 13 consecutive games and hasn’t tasted defeat since getting beaten by a buzzer beater at Butler on Jan. 19. The Bulldogs’ only other loss this season came to Illinois at home.

--Gonzaga has been a single-digit favorite eight times this year, compiling a 4-3-1 spread record.

--Although many seem to think that Gonzaga is going to be a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, I do not. If Saint Mary’s wins this game, I think the Bulldogs will be a No. 2 seed. Remember, folks, the AP Top 25 has zero significance compared to the selection committee. Gonzaga is No. 12 in the RPI Rankings, going 5-2 against the RPI Top 50 and 11-2 against the RPI Top 100.

--Saint Mary’s has won six in a row, going 3-3 ATS over that stretch. The Gaels have been underdogs twice, posting a 2-0 spread record with one outright win at BYU (on a buzzer beater by Dellavedova).

--Saint Mary’s hasn’t lost to a team not named Gonzaga since dropping an 82-75 decision at No. Iowa on Dec. 23. The Gaels’ two other defeats came on a neutral court to Ga. Tech and Pacific. They are 33rd in the RPI, posting a 1-2 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 6-3 ledger versus the RPI Top 100.

--Gonzaga won both regular-season meetings between these schools, including a 77-60 win at Saint Mary’s as a 1.5-point road underdog. Gary Bell Jr. scored a team-high 20 points for the Bulldogs, while Pangos had 18 points and six assists without committing a turnover. Dellavedova scored a game-high 22 points for the Gaels.

--The ‘under’ is on an incredible 13-1-1 run in Gonzaga’s last 15 games to improve to 18-8-1 overall. In the Bulldogs’ 16 games played on the road or on a neutral court, the ‘under’ is 12-4.

--The ‘under’ is 12-10 overall for Saint Mary’s, 4-2 in its last six games despite seeing back-to-back ‘overs.’

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--With its never-a-doubt 69-53 pimpslap win Saturday night at North Carolina, I think Duke is a No. 1 seed even if it loses early at the ACC Tournament. UNC saw its 7-0 ATS surge halted but the ‘under’ did connect in a sixth straight game for the Tar Heels.

--Even though Cincinnati needed overtime to win 61-53 Saturday vs. South Florida, the 114 combined points still stayed ‘under’ the 116-point total. The Bearcats have now seen the ‘under’ cash at an amazing 20-4 overall clip.

--On the flip side, the 'over' has hit in 13 consecutive games for Iowa St., which has seen the 'over' cash at an incredible 19-3 overall rate.

--With yet another cover in Saturday’s gut-wrenching loss at Alabama, Georgia improved to 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games. Trailing by 14 at halftime as a 7.5-point road underdog, Mark Fox’s team rallied to get ahead of the number and actually tied the game in the final minute on a trey from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. UGA had the ball with a chance to win at the end of regulation but committed a turnover on a drive to the basket with a few ticks remaining. Alabama point guard Trevor Releford had enough time for a few dribbles before launching a desperation heave from halfcourt. Fittingly in terms of how the Bulldogs have been beaten in heartbreaking fashion so many times this year, Releford’s shot got nothing but net to lift the Crimson Tide to a 61-58 home win.

--Assuming Auburn makes the no-brainer decision (never a given on The Plains) to jettison Tony Barbee out of town, I believe the looming coaching search should revolve around two veterans who might be realistic ‘gets:’ Minnesota’s Tubby Smith or Colorado State’s Larry Eustachy. The Gophers are still going to the NCAA Tournament, but they have been the nation’s most inconsistent team this year and the locals aren’t happy. The last time things got like this for Smith, he bolted Kentucky for Minnesota. Auburn isn’t a great job by any means but it does have a new arena, is a two-hour drive from the rich recruiting fields of Atlanta and isn’t exactly facing a murderer’s row of opponents when you think about the rest of the SEC. I’m told Eustachy loves Colorado and he has a very solid Rams squad that could play deep into March. With that said, he established a lot of recruiting contacts in the South during his eight-year tenure at So. Miss, and he would certainly listen to Auburn if it came strong with a lucrative offer.

--When Tourney Time rolls around, I think about what (if any) elite players have the ability to put their teams on their back and carry them for six games. Danny Manning did it for Kansas in 1988, Carmelo Anthony did it for the ‘Cuse in 2003 and Kemba Walker did it for UConn in 2011. Does Creighton’s Doug McDermott have the stones/talent/heart to pull off a similar act? I don’t know the answer to that question but after watching the Bluejays beat a very solid Wichita St. team Sunday in the MVC Tourney finals, I know that his supporting cast is capable of big things. Although McDermott doesn’t have Larry Brown on the sidelines, he certainly has as much talent around him as Manning had with ‘The Miracles.’ Gregory Echenique gives Creighton a big guy that can bang with any post player in America. Grant Gibbs is a terrific shooter (53% from the field, 40% from deep) with an excellent 202/71 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Ethan Wragge is another guy who can stroke it, making 44 percent of his 3’s and 94% from the free-throw line. One more key stat to keep in mind with the Bluejays is that six of their best players shoot 74 percent or better from the charity stripe.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/11/2013 06:21 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

12 guys taken ahead of Kobe Bryant in the 1996 NBA Draft..........

1) Allen Iverson, Phil 7) Lorenzen Wright, LAC
2) Marcus Camby, Tor 8) Kerry Kittles, NJ
3) Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Van 9) Samaki Walker, Dal
4) Stephon Marbury, Milw 10) Erick Dampier, Ind
5) Ray Allen, Minn 11) Todd Fuller, GSt
6) Antoine Walker, Bos 12) Vitaly Potapenko, Clev


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) 15-20 Liberty won the Big South tournament and will likely head to Dayton for the First Four next Tuesday/Wednesday; Flames started season 0-8, are coached by former Colorado State coach Dale Layer.

12) Big East wants $2.5M from Notre Dame for the Irish to leave for the ACC a year early. Seeing as those other seven schools are leaving to form their own league next year, not sure why Notre Dame would have to pay.

11) Los Angeles Angels used a designated runner for Albert Pujols when they played the Reds/Royals this week. Not sure if they had a keg on second base or not, but designated runners are highly unusual, even in the spring.

10) When Graeme McDowell double-bogeyed 18th hole at Doral Sunday, it cost him $172,500. Thats an expensive hole.

9) Speaking of the 18th at Doral, Luke Donald played it four times this week, and doubled it all four times. If he pars the hole all four days, he only makes an additional $32,500, thats how far back he finished (T43).

8) Quick question: How much money does Butch Harmon make? Anyone who coaches Phil Mickelson and used to coach Eldrick Woods has to make a small fortune teaching golf, no?

7) Middle Tennessee did it again; despite going 19-1 in Sun Belt regular season, Blue Raiders lost in Sun Belt tourney, this time to Richard Pitino's FIU Panthers, 61-57. Middle is 2-5 in SBC tournament the last five years, 66-20 in the regular season. Not good.

Some notes on upcoming conference tournaments..........
6) Big X-- Kansas is 16-2 in this event last seven years; Texas, which has to win the tournament to make the NCAAs, is just 4-4 last four years and has never won the tourney, going 0-6 in the finals.

5) Conference USA-- Memphis has dominated this event, going 20-2 last eight years, with both losses by a point- its useless to mention anyone else.

4) Big Dozen-- Indiana is 1-6 in this event last six years; Michigan went W-L in each of its last six tourneys. Ohio State is 15-4 last seven years.

3) Big East-- Louisville is 9-2 last four years, Pitt 1-4. Syracuse hasn't won this event since Gerry McNamara carried them in '06. This is the last time we'll see Syracuse in this event, which doesn't seem right.

2) Atlantic 16-- Temple won this event three years in row, 2008-10, but won only one game last two years, despite being 27-5 in regular season. Owls need to win a game or two this week to make the NCAAs.

1) ACC-- Duke won 22 of last 26 ACC tournament games, with two of four losses in OT; Virginia is 1-5 last five years- they might need a win or two to get themselves in the field of 68.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33180 Followers:38
03/11/2013 06:23 PM


First Post

St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga
The Bulldogs look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 neutral site games. Gonzaga is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-5). Here are all of today's early games.


Game 511-512: James Madison vs. Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 513-514: Western Kentucky vs. Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 515-516: Central Michigan at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.103; Buffalo 58.284
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 11
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7 1/2)

Game 517-518: Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 40.566; Eastern Michigan 47.524
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 7
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+8 1/2)

Game 519-520: Miami (OH) at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 46.961; Bowling Green 51.705
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7)

Game 523-524: St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 69.025; Gonzaga 75.956
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 7; 134
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 5; 138
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-5); Under

Game 525-526: IPFW vs. South Dakota State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 527-528: North Dakota State vs. Western Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 529-530: College of Charleston vs. Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 531-532: Manhattan vs. Iona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 541-542: Savannah State vs. MD-Eastern Shore (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 46.420; MD-Eastern Shore 35.739
Dunkel Line: Savannah State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Savannah State by 12
Dunkel Pick: MD-Eastern Shore (+12)

Game 543-544: Morgan State vs. South Carolina State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 53.488; South Carolina State 37.442
Dunkel Line: Morgan State by 16
Vegas Line: Morgan State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (-13)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: