marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
On 02/28/2013 09:13 AM in NCAA Basketball

Some Thursday NCAA Hoops Helpful Information

Study Group: Thursday's Top 25 NCAAB Betting Notes

Ohio State Buckeyes at Northwestern Wildcats (+10, 122)

Ohio State has slipped to the fringe of the Big Ten race as it visits struggling Northwestern on Thursday. The No. 15 Buckeyes are in fifth place in the bunched-up conference, two games behind first-place Indiana with three games remaining. Ohio State is just 3-3 over its last six games and a visit to Indiana looms after playing the Wildcats. Northwestern has lost five straight games and seven of eight. The Wildcats averaged 41.7 points over their last three defeats.

Northwestern’s closest loss in the five-game skid came during a visit to Ohio State when it lost 69-59 on Feb. 14. Since then, the Wildcats have lost by 21 to Illinois, 28 to Wisconsin and 31 to Purdue last Saturday. The Buckeyes have won seven of the last eight meetings in Northwestern’s home building. Ohio State is 3-5 on the road this season with its most recent away win coming against lowly Nebraska on Feb. 2. The Buckeyes delivered an impressive 68-60 victory over Michigan State on Sunday.

Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers (+2, 135)

Duke has a showdown with first-place Miami looming on Saturday, but first the No. 3 Blue Devils face a tough contest when they visit Virginia on Thursday. The Cavaliers have won 15 consecutive home games and sold-out John Paul Jones Arena figures to be rocking at the sight of Duke. The Blue Devils have won eight of their past nine games but are just 4-3 on the road. Virginia is tied for third in the Atlantic Coast Conference.

The Cavaliers know their next victory will be No. 20 and would like it to come against Duke, the only ACC program Virginia hasn’t beaten in Tony Bennett’s four seasons as coach. “I’m really looking forward to the challenge,” senior point guard Jontel Evans said. “I know it’s going to be a battle.” Duke is bracing for the upcoming return of senior forward Ryan Kelly, who has missed the last 12 games with a foot injury. “I’ve been doing most of my running in the pool, but I feel really good about it and my foot’s feeling good,” Kelly said. “As this week progresses, I think I can become more and more a part of practice.”

Gonzaga Bulldogs at BYU Cougars (+6, 146)

Despite a slew of accomplishments over the past 15 years, Gonzaga has never been the top-ranked team in the nation. The second-ranked Bulldogs may have a chance to climb atop the rankings if they win at Brigham Young on Thursday and finish the regular season by beating Portland on Saturday. Top-ranked Indiana lost to Minnesota on Tuesday, setting the state for the Zags to claim the top spot with back-to-back solid victories.

Brigham Young badly needs an upset of Gonzaga to bolsters its resume in terms of a possible NCAA tournament berth. The Cougars notched an 83-73 home win over the Zags last season but were routed 83-63 when they visited Gonzaga earlier this season. BYU has lost three of five games, including a 64-57 loss to Saint Mary’s in its last West Coast Conference game on Feb. 21. Gonzaga coach Mark Few said it is an honor for the Bulldogs to be ranked second this late in the campaign. “The polls mean a lot more this time of year than they do in November and December, even January, so all of us are being judged on the true body of work,” Few said. “It’s definitely rewarding.”

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:14 AM

Betting the Bubble: Teams Fighting for Their Tournament Lives

The Minnesota Golden Gophers’ upset win over the No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers Tuesday should quiet all doubters that didn’t have Tubby Smith’s squad making the NCAA tournament cut.

The Gophers’ 77-73 win is not only damaging to the Hoosiers’ bid for the top seed in the NCAA but is crushing to those programs balancing on the tournament bubble, hoping to slide in front of a struggling Minnesota team.

Plenty of schools are still fighting to have their names announced on Selection Sunday, which can offer some added value when it comes to covering the spread. Here are four NCAA bubble team bettors should keep an eye on as the regular season winds down:

Tennessee Volunteers (17-10 SU, 15-10 ATS)

Key wins: Florida, Wichita State, UMass

The other big upset on Tuesday’s card was the Volunteers’ 64-58 home win over Florida. Tennessee is one of the hottest teams in the land, winning six in a row SU and ATS, and the victory over UF puts it in the bubble conversation.

The Vols don’t have the best overall resume but when it comes to the selection committee, it’s like Janet Jackson: What have you done for me lately? Tennessee runs the risk of a huge letdown spot at Georgia this weekend, then plays at Auburn and hosts Missouri in the finale.

Villanova Wildcats (18-11 SU, 16-9-1 ATS)

Key wins: Marquette, Syracuse, Louisville

A bad loss to Seton Hall all but erases a victory over Marquette last week, leaving the Wildcats bouncing on the bubble heading into their final two games. Jay Wright has had the entire week to prepare for Sunday’s clash at Pittsburgh, which thumped Villanova in their previous meeting.

That game against the Panthers could be the deciding factor on whether or not the Wildcats go dancing. Following that crucial matchup, Villanova wraps up the schedule versus Georgetown at home on March 6. Win or lose Sunday, the game with the Hoyas stinks of letdown.

Virginia Cavaliers (19-8 SU, 16-7-1 ATS)

Key wins: Wisconsin, Tennessee, North Carolina, N.C. State

The Cavs have been the best bet in the ACC in recent weeks, building a 5-1 ATS count in their last six games. However, when it comes to making the field of 68, success against the spread has nothing to do with it.

Virginia missed opportunities to boost its NCAA resume versus Miami and UNC, and now a win over Duke at home Thursday may be its only hope. The Cavaliers’ win over Tennessee gained some shine after the Vols’ upset over UF. The deciding game for Tony Bennett’s kids could be the season finale versus Maryland, another ACC bubble team.

Baylor Bears (16-11 SU, 10-12 ATS)

Key wins: Kentucky, St. John’s

Baylor is mired in a three-game losing skid and its tournament bubble is on the brink of bursting. The only things that can stop it are wins over Kansas and Kansas State in its final four games. Luckily for Baylor, both of those matchups come in Waco. The Bears haven’t been great bets at home but will be leaving it all on the court versus the Kansas schools.

Baylor does come with a warning, having dangerous lookahead/letdown spots against West Virginia and Texas on the road. The trip to Morgantown Wednesday takes them 1,300 miles from home – BU’s longest conference road trip ever.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:15 AM


S. Carolina

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:15 AM



These two teams met back on January 22nd in Missouri, with the Tigers winning at home by 6 points, 71-65. That first meeting was in Missouri, but Missouri is NOT the same team on the road, as they 're an UNDEFEATED 15-0 SU at home, but struggled to a 4-8 SU (5-7 ATS) road record. Now they meet a month later in South Carolina, were the Gamecocks are own a "winning" 9-7 SU record and can pull the upset on a Missouri squad that's been a MONEY BURNING 1-6 SU & ATS away from their home court against fellow SEC conference rivals this season!

7* FREE Play On South Carolina

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:16 AM

Free College Basketball Prediction from Doc's Sports:

#511 Take Ohio State over Northwestern (7 p.m. ESPN 2)

The Wildcats have thrown in the towel on the season, and, thus, just do not have any talent on the roster. The Wildcats have been blown out for 5 straight games, and tonight will be another double-digit setback. During this losing streak, Northwestern lost to Ohio State in Columbus by 10 points in one of their better efforts during the second half of the season. The Buckeyes are coming off to impressive home victories against Minnesota and Michigan State and will pound Northwestern into the ground.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:17 AM

Free play

Take: (554) HAWAII

A long road trip for UC Santa Barbara, flying to Hawaii. And do they even want to play basketball after a long flight? Santa Barbara (8-18) has lost 8 of the last 9 games and the offense has fallen off a cliff, scoring 49, 45 and 50 points the last three games (all defeats). Hawaii (16-11) is in a battle with Pacific for second place in the Big West, has won 6 of 8 and has a terrific offense averaging 74.3 ppg (35th in the nation). The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Hawaii has already won 78-73 at UC Santa Barbara and will have no trouble winning at home. Play Hawaii!

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:18 AM

Rewards: 2,158 [Donate]

-- North Carolina won 14 of last 15 games vs Clemson, winning last four by 10-2-5-22 points; UNC won four of last five visits here, winning by 19-22-2-2. Tar Heels are 9-3 in last 12 games but 2-3 in last five on road, winning by 12 at both BC/Ga Tech. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 11-5 vs spread. Clemson lost five of last six games, losing its last two home games by total of three points.
-- Ohio State (-17) outscored Northwestern 14-2 on foul line, won by 10 (69-59) over Wildcats two weeks ago; NU made 11-26 from arc. OSU is 3-4 on Big Dozen road, losing last two, at Michigan/Wisconsin- they've got Indiana on deck. Northwestern lost its last five games, last three by 21+ points- four of its five home losses are by 20+. 13 of last 18 OSU games stayed under total. Big Dozen single digit home dogs are 11-13.
-- Detroit is 8-6 against #18 non-conference schedule in country; Titans lost two of last three road games, are 2-5 vs teams in top 75, with three of five losses by 13+ points. Quick turnaround for Titans after winning by point on Senior Night vs Loyola Tuesday. Temple won five of last six games, scoring 80 ppg; they won six of last seven home games, have games with two A-16 lightweights on deck, so no looking ahead here.
-- Louisiana Tech (-2.5) survived 51-48 brickfest at Utah State Jan 26, as Tech shot 33% from floor, State 27.3%; Bulldogs won last 16 games- its last three home wins were by 13-13-15 points. State won five of its last seven games; they're 5-2 on WAC road, with losses by 13-11 points. Shaw was 9-16 inside arc in first meeting; other Aggies were 3-25. WAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-14 against the spread.

-- San Diego (+5.5) won 70-66 at San Francisco Jan 10, making 11-22 on arc, ending 6-game series skid. USF won last three visits here, by 2-10-11 points. Toreros lost eight of last ten games, losing last four, scoring just 56.3 ppg in last three. USF won four of last five road games; visiting team won six of their last seven games. WCC home teams are 2-10 when spread is 5 or less points. USD lost three of last four at home.
-- Cal Bears won last five games, allowing 61 ppg, to get back on bubble; they beat Utah 62-57 (-1) Jan 24, forcing 17 turnovers (+8). Cal won its last five home games, with three of five by 8+. Utah is 1-6 on road, with all six losses by 9+ points, but they're 5-2 vs spread in those setbacks. Cal is 4-2 as home favorite, covering last three. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 4-9 vs spread. 14 of last 18 Cal games stayed under total.
-- Missouri (-14) outscored South Carolina 28-11 on foul line in 71-65 home brickfest over Gamecocks Jan 22, where teams combined to make 11-47 behind arc. Mizzou is 1-5 on SEC road, with only win at dreadful Miss State; they're 3-5 in last eight games as favorites. Carolina is 1-7 in last eight games; they're 6-5 as SEC underdogs, 2-2 at home. SEC home underdogs of 11 or less points are 18-10 against the spread.
-- Duke won eight in row, 14 of last 15 vs Virginia, winning last three in this arena by 16-18-15 points; Blue Devils are 4-3 on ACC road, 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, 0-3 vs teams in top 60; #17 Virginia is 7-0 at home in ACC, with six wins by 9+ points. Cavaliers lost two of last threr games. ACC home teams are 10-3 when spread is 2 or less points. Duek has revenge game with Miami coming up Saturday.
-- Cal Poly shot 57% inside arc, outscored Northridge 24-12 on charity stripe in 75-64 (-6.5) win Jan 26, its third win in last four series games. Home side won last eight series games; Mustangs lost last five visits to Northridge, with four losses by 12+ points. Big West home favorites of less than 5 points are 12-14 vs spread. Matadors lost last three games, by 3-7-12 points; they're 1-4 vs spread as Big West home favorites.

-- Pacific lost its last two visits to Fullerton by 3-5 points; Tigers made 8-13 from arc in 71-67 (-7) home win over Fullerton Jan 26; Titans were 12-24 from arc, in first series loss in last five games. Pacific lost four of last six games; they lost last four road games, by 5-13-5-9 points. Titans are 1-6 vs spread as Big West home favorite, with one win by more than 7. Big West home teams are 14-18 when spread is less than five points.
-- Oregon (-2) shot 61% inside arc, won 79-66 in Corvallis Jan 6, fourth win in last five series tilts; State won two of last three visits to Eugene- they're 5-1 as Pac-12 road dogs, losing away games by 10-1-3-8-10, with win at Wash State. Four of last five Beaver games stayed under the total. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 19-36 vs spread. Oregon won four of last five games; they're 1-6 vs spread as a Pac-12 home favorite.
-- Gonzaga shot 70% inside arc, was up 40-21 at half of 83-63 win over BYU Jan 24, its third win in row over Cougars, by 11-19-20. Zags won last 10 games in row; five of their seven WCC road wins are by double digits. BYU lost three of last five games; they're 5-2 at home in WCC, losing by point to St Mary's, 12 to USF. WCC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 2-7 vs spread. Zags playing for #1 seed in tourney now.
-- Rider (+2.5) shot 53% inside arc, beat Niagara 72-69 (+2.5) Feb 7, 6th win in last seven series games for Broncs, who won two of last three at Niagara, winning by 1-17 points. Rider won five of last six games, giving up 61.3 ppg in last three; they're 4-3 on MAAC road, losing by 6-10-7. Niagara won 10 of last 13 games; six of its last eight games were decided by 4 or less points, or in OT. MAAC single digit home faves are 16-23.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:18 AM

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/28/13 Predictions

Straight Up: 3329-1140 (.745)
ATS: 1537-1572 (.494)
ATS Vary Units: 4415-4722 (.483)
Over/Under: 426-410 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 442-481 (.479)

Gotham Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
TEMPLE 83, Detroit 74

America East Conference
ALBANY 63, New Hampshire 50
HARTFORD 67, Umbc 53
Stony Brook 61, BOSTON U. 59
Vermont 66, BINGHAMTON 48

Atlantic Coast Conference
Duke 67, VIRGINIA 65
North Carolina 70, CLEMSON 62

Atlantic Sun Conference
LIPSCOMB 78, Jacksonville 72
NORTHERN KENTUCKY 62, North Florida 61
STETSON 81, Kennesaw State 59

Big Sky Conference
EASTERN WASHINGTON 75, Northern Colorado 74
NORTHERN ARIZONA 69, Idaho State 63
PORTLAND STATE 74, North Dakota 70
SOUTHERN UTAH 79, Montana State 70
Weber State 72, SACRAMENTO STATE 60

Big Ten Conference
Ohio State 64, NORTHWESTERN 53

Big West Conference
HAWAI'I 78, UC Santa Barbara 64
UC Davis 69, UC RIVERSIDE 64

Colonial Athletic Association
Drexel 65, OLD DOMINION 61

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
CANISIUS 72, Saint Peter's 59
NIAGARA 73, Rider 66

Northeast Conference
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 79, Saint Francis (Pa.) 68
LONG ISLAND 91, Sacred Heart 75
Mount St. Mary's 75, MONMOUTH 70
ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 73, Quinnipiac 72

Ohio Valley Conference
Eastern Kentucky 72, TENNESSEE TECH 66
MURRAY STATE 86, UT Martin 62
Southeast Missouri vs. AUSTIN PEAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TENNESSEE STATE 78, Morehead State 69

Pacific-10 Conference
CALIFORNIA 68, Utah 53
OREGON 76, Oregon State 64

Southeastern Conference
Missouri 74, SOUTH CAROLINA 64

Southern Conference
THE CITADEL 71, Furman 63
WESTERN CAROLINA 78, Chattanooga 69

Southland Conference
Central Arkansas 77, LAMAR 75
Oral Roberts 72, McNEESE STATE 67
SAM HOUSTON STATE 70, Nicholls State 63
Southeastern Louisiana 62, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 59

Southwestern Athletic Conference
Alabama A&M 67, GRAMBLING STATE 57
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 69, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 64
JACKSON STATE 69, Alabama State 59
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 64, Alcorn State 56
TEXAS SOUTHERN 65, Southern 57

Summit League
South Dakota 79, IUPUI 76
South Dakota State 83, OMAHA 74
WESTERN ILLINOIS 66, Kansas City 47

Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas State 69, NORTH TEXAS 61
Fairleigh Dickinson 74, ULM 65
Middle Tennessee 71, TROY 55
UALR 74, UL Lafayette 67
WESTERN KENTUCKY 69, South Alabama 67

West Coast Conference
Gonzaga 78, BYU 69
SAN DIEGO 69, San Francisco 68
SANTA CLARA 74, Loyola Marymount 60

Western Athletic Conference
LOUISIANA TECH 69, Utah State 64
TEXAS STATE 74, Seattle 72
UT ARLINGTON 67, San Jose State 53
UT SAN ANTONIO 70, Idaho 69

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:19 AM

NCAA Basketball Picks
St. Peter's at Canisius

The Golden Griffins look to take advantage of a St. Peter's team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. Canisius is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Griffins favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-12 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 507-508: North Carolina at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 67.870; Clemson 66.246
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Drexel at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 51.857; Old Dominion 54.667
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 3; 133
Vegas Line: Drexel by 2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+2); Over

Game 511-512: Ohio State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 67.871; Northwestern 63.000
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 5; 118
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 10; 122
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+10); Under

Game 513-514: Detroit at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 62.858; Temple 63.165
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Temple by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2)

Game 515-516: Arkansas State at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 61.994; North Texas 50.409
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-4 1/2)

Game 517-518: South Alabama at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.787; Western Kentucky 55.991
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 3
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 5
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+5)

Game 519-520: San Jose State at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 43.347; TX-Arlington 58.921
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 11
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-11)

Game 521-522: Seattle at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 48.927; Texas State 51.808
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 3
Vegas Line: Texas State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-1)

Game 523-524: Utah State at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 59.389; Louisiana Tech 66.912
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-6)

Game 525-526: Idaho at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 51.904; TX-San Antonio 49.226
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho by 1
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-1)

Game 527-528: UL-Lafayette at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 47.879; AR-Little Rock 56.024
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 8
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 6
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-6)

Game 529-530: Florida International at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 49.335; UL-Monroe 46.749
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida International by 7
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+7)

Game 531-532: Middle Tennessee State at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 66.126; Troy 53.921
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+13 1/2)

Game 533-534: San Francisco at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 56.363; San Diego 60.332
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-2 1/2)

Game 535-536: Utah at California (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 56.788; California 70.621
Dunkel Line: California by 14; 129
Vegas Line: California by 10; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-10); Over

Game 537-538: Missouri at South Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 70.982; South Carolina 57.413
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Missouri by 9; 138
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-9); Under

Game 539-540: Duke at Virginia (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.376; Virginia 74.134
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Pick; 129
Dunkel Pick: Virginia; Over

Game 541-542: Cal Poly at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 57.718; CS-Northridge 53.512
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 4
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+2 1/2)

Game 543-544: Pacific at CS-Fullerton (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 54.320; CS-Fullerton 51.046
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+1)

Game 545-546: Oregon State at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 59.653; Oregon 66.949
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 141
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+10); Under

Game 547-548: Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 70.505; BYU 66.370
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 4; 143
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6; 147
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+6); Under

Game 549-550: Loyola Marymount at Santa Clara (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 49.035; Santa Clara 64.950
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 16
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 14
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-14)

Game 551-552: UC-Davis at UC-Riverside (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 55.061; UC-Riverside 46.549
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-3 1/2)

Game 553-554: UC-Santa Barbara at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 50.093; Hawaii 53.739
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+8 1/2)

Game 555-556: Samford at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 47.575; Appalachian State 51.499
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 4
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-3)

Game 557-558: Chattanooga at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 45.837; Western Carolina 50.425
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 8
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+8)

Game 559-560: Furman at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 38.780; The Citadel 40.133
Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: The Citadel by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+4 1/2)

Game 561-562: Morehead State at Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.997; Tennessee State 57.846
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 10; 144
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 7; 140
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-7); Over

Game 563-564: Rider at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.774; Niagara 58.326
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Niagara by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+8 1/2)

Game 565-566: St. Peter's at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 43.673; Canisius 59.844
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 16
Vegas Line: Canisius by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-12 1/2)

Game 567-568: Wofford at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 46.742; College of Charleston 57.546
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 11
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 8
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-8)

Game 569-570: South Dakota at IUPUI (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 43.536; IUPUI 43.167
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 2
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+2)

Game 571-572: South Dakota State at NE-Omaha (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 61.949; NE-Omaha 48.144
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 14
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 11
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-11)

Game 573-574: Tennessee-Martin at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 39.615; Murray State 54.964
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 20
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+20)

Game 575-576: SE Missouri State at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 47.921; Austin Peay 49.527
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay

Game 577-578: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Tech (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 58.673; Tennessee Tech 49.675
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 9
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-5 1/2)

Game 579-580: UMKC at Western Illinois (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 40.443; Western Illinois 62.950
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 15
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-15)

Game 581-582: Idaho State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 43.875; Northern Arizona 48.600
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-3 1/2)

Game 583-584: Montana State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 37.495; Southern Utah 47.511
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 10
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (-4 1/2)

Game 585-586: Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 48.015; Eastern Washington 47.538
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 1
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+1 1/2)

Game 587-588: Weber State at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 60.268; Sacramento State 48.085
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 12
Vegas Line: Weber State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-8)

Game 589-590: North Dakota at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 46.027; Portland State 48.091
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+3 1/2)

marksmoneymakers Posts:29740 Followers:142
02/28/2013 09:20 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets


Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (SANTA CLARA) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's)
172-100 since 1997. ( 63.2% 62.0 units )
14-7 this year. ( 66.7% 6.3 units )


Play On - A road team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS ST) average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games.
229-131 since 1997. ( 63.6% 74.4 units )
19-13 this year. ( 59.4% -0.1 units )


Play Against - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (OREGON) good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO) after 15+ games.
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )