marksmoneymakers Posts:29643 Followers:142
On 02/14/2013 09:29 AM in NCAA Basketball

thursday ncaa hoops helpful information

Since my new work schedule sucks and I don't go in until 10:00 or later and don't get home until after 7:00-8:00, I will try and post some of this information/service plays before I go to work. I will try and get it done everyday but cannot promise anything.

Dave Essler

Thursday Cliff Notes

Gonzaga at St. Mary's: Obviously Gonzaga with the name recognition and undefeated in Conference play. What's new there. St. Mary's one conference loss was to Gonzaga by five, in a game they were down big in the first half. I would think that would give them some confidence, no matter what, in this game. Both teams made well over 60% of their two-point shots, and both sucked from deep, while St. Mary's did dominate their offensive glass. Having said that, I may lean in that direction simply because they did everything BUT win that last game. Last year these guys both covered their home court easily, and St. Marys' won the Conference Tournament in OT. St. Mary's a bit more experienced and Gonzaga considerably bigger which made me wonder how the got hammered on the boards last game. Clearly that will be a point of emphasis for them in this game. To me, at this point, this is a total coin flip. Honestly, if you made me bet this game, I'd follow the money if I could find it. The total has already come down a point, but I tend to think it may go over since St.Mary's may want to push the pace a bit. Probably all depends on the last minute and the score.

Arizona at Colorado: Rematch of an overtime game that Colorado lost earlier this season. Colorado's only home loss was by three to UCLA, and they've got six of the last eight games at home, so they may be one of the better bets going forward. They are young, but they did play a brutal non conference schedule, so they're not going to be intimidated at home. 'Cats have all the pieces to make a deep run in the post season, but this is just one game. If Arizona has a weakness it's defensively defending the perimeter, but as fate would have it Colorado is far more of an inside team. 'Zona will shoot from anywhere, and Colorado's three point defense is third in the Pac-10 and their 2-point defense is numero uno. Because Colorado knows they probably won't win a track meet, I do lean to the under in this one.

Wisconsin at Minnesota: Badgers are only one game back of Indiana and Michigan State in the loss column, beat Indiana, and do have a game left with Michigan State. Minnesota may be another team with a bunch of losses not to be taken too lightly, although I still remember taking them against Michigan. FML on that one. Badgers beat Minnesota in a 45-44 thriller a few weeks back. Badgers come back home to face Ohio State Sunday, so the spot says Gophers here, perhaps since Wisconsin had played and won two straight overtime games. Tough to sustain that emotion again on the road. However, Gophers three point defense is 12th in the Conference and Badgers have the #1 defense in terms of efficiency in the Big Ten. SOME of that is due to their slow pace and a lot of home games. Stats have deeper meaning. Have to revert back to the emotion of the Badgers and can they sustain it, and have to lean Gophers to even this year's score.

UCLA at Cal: Bruins are playing up to their preseason potential/hype and Cal is really not. However, Cal has played a great schedule and at home have only lost in Conference to Washington and have won three of the last four, including Oregon at home and then most recently at Arizona. Bruins fairly soft early season schedule and their youth, which may be catching up to them. Not unlike Michigan and some of these other hyped teams with tons of Freshmen that simply are playing way more basketball than a year ago, and obviously at a higher level with even more pressure. Cal will try ot slow this game down and simply pound away inside with their length, plus they've got a short bench so they don't really want a run 'n shoot game. I like Cal in this spot. They're more well rounded on defense, and if they can stop the penetration (hence free throws) then they win the game, inside, and perhaps under the number.

Denver at Utah State: I think I will not touch a USU game this season. We keep waiting for them to fall apart without Medlen and Reed and they rattle off three straight road wins. Granted those wins were against lousy teams, but they were impressive wins. They lost at Denver, the first game those two did not play. Denver is simply going to walk up the floor and shoot at three pointer when it's available to be shot. It's what they do. USU is also going to walk up the floor, but has a bit more diverse offense. Denver is at a huge size disadvantage (against almost everyone) but they can create some turnover, and that could eventually be the undoing of USU one day. I wouldn't touch a side here with someone else's money at this point, and lean under.

Davidson at CoC: Neither team is what people are used to seeing on the floor, and they are walking through the SoCon almost by default. This is a CoC team that actually lost at home, by 16 points, to NR Anderson. This is a Davidson team that lost AT Georgia Southern by thirteen. I suppose that loss isn't quite as bad. Davidson won the earlier meeting and may well be slight favorites here as well, and I could not fade them. The get to the line a ton and shoot 81% as a team in Conference this season. That's hard not to take almost anywhere. CoC can be turnover prone at times, and with nobody (OK at Elon) left on their schedule this game probably means more long term to Davidson. They can separate themselves from everyone in the SoCon.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29643 Followers:142
02/14/2013 09:31 AM

Free Play from Doc's Sports.

#529 Take Denver -1 over Utah State (Thursday, 9 pm ESPN 3)

The Aggies have been able to stabilize the ship after losing many of their key players and will enter tonight having won three straight games. But that winning streak was done against bad teams and they will be in for a much harder test tonight against Denver, the second best team in the WAC. The Pioneers have lost just one game since December 30th. Denver has won 11 games during this span and 10 of those victories have come by double digits. This is a team that gets the job done on the defensive side of the floor and I really expect the Aggies to struggle scoring points all night. Denver is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a victory in their previous game. Utah State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 WAC games. The Aggies are still without Berger, Bradhsaw, Harris, Medlin, and Reed and that is just too much to overcome against the top teams in the WAC.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29643 Followers:142
02/14/2013 09:32 AM


-- George Mason (-4.5) blew 20-point first half lead, lost 58-54 at home to Drexel Jan 31, scoring five points in last 10:00 of game; Mason lost last two visits here, by 13-7 points. Road team won Patriots' last four games; Mason, Drexel are both 2-3 in last five games; Dragons are 2-4 at home in CAA, with only home wins vs Georgia State/JMU. CAA faves of 3 or less points are 14-4 against spread, 7-4 at home.
-- Minnesota shot 31% inside arc, lost 45-44 (+3.5) at Wisconsin Jan 26, Badgers' 10th win in last 13 series games, winning the last four by 8-7-7-1. Wisky is 4-2 in last six visits here. Gophers lost six of last eight tilts, scoring 50-53 in last two. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-6 vs spread. Badgers won last three games, last two in OT; they are 3-2 on Big Dozen road- their league losses are by 4-2-9 points.
-- Denver (-10) beat Utah State 68-57 at home Jan 19, making 10-19 on arc, 59% inside it; Pioneers never trailed in game, led by 22 with 12:07 to play. Denver is 11-1 in last 12 games, winning last four, all by 14+; they are 5-2 on WAC road. Utah State won its last three games, by 10-22-27 points; they're 3-2 at home in WAC, winning by 9-7-6 points. WAC home underdogs are 3-14 against the spread.
-- Cal was outscored 23-5 on foul line, went 0-13 from arc in 79-65 loss at UCLA (+7.5) Jan 3, just second Bruin win in last seven series games. UCLA won six of last seven visits here, but split last six games overall; they're 3-1 on Pac-12 road, losing only at ASU. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-18 vs spread. Cal won three of last four games; they're 3-1 at home in league- this is their first home game in 18 days.

-- UMass won four of last five games, is 2-2 on A-16 road, losing by 8 at Saint Louis, 1 at Charlotte; Minutemen are 13-3 in last 16 games after 3-3 start that included losses to NC State/Miami. VCU won its last three games by 6-16-7 points; they're 3-1 in A-16 home games, winning by 12-6-16 points. Last two UMass losses were by combined total of four points. A-16 double digit home favorites are 5-11 vs spread.
-- Arizona (-12) won controversial 92-83 OT game over Colorado Jan 3 in Tucson, when Buffs' winning hoop was ruled no good by refs, even after replays showed it was good. Three of four Pac-12 meetings in this series were decided by 1-2 points, or in OT. Colorado won five of last six games; they're 3-1 at home in league, losing only to UCLA. Wildcats won four of last five games. Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 vs spread.
-- Home side is 14-2 in last 16 USC-Stanford games; Trojans lost eight of last nine visits here, with six of eight losses by 6+. Stanford (-3) got beat 71-69 at USC Jan 3, after leading by 9 at halftime; SC shot 53.5% inside arc for game, won last three games overall, by 4-4-11. Stanford is 4-1 at home in league, with only loss to Washington. Pac-12 home faves of 8+ points are 5-13 against the spread.
-- St Mary's (+9) lost 83-78 at Gonzaga Jan 10, game Zags led 46-28 at half; Gonzaga is 5-4 in last nine visits here, but teams split last eight in series, with Gaels winning in WCC tourney LY, Bulldogs won their last six games, five by 14+ points; they're 5-0 on WCC road, with three wins by 16+/ WCC home teams are 1-10 vs spread in game with spread of 5 or less points. St Mary's won last nine games, with five of nine on road; they're 5-0 in WCC home games, with four wins by 12+ points.
-- Belmont (-15) beat Tennessee State 78-66 at home Jan 19, making 11 of 25 from arc while turning ball over only seven (+9) times; Bruins are 5-1 on OVC road, with four wins by 11+ points, only loss at Murray State last week. State is 5-0 at home in OVC, with all five wins by 6+ points, but they've lost four of last six games overall, are turning the ball over 22% of time. OVC home underdogs of 5+ points are 5-9 vs spread.

-- Canisius made 13-19 from arc, beat Loyola 91-79 (-3.5) Jan 31 out in Buffalo, offsetting -13 (16-3) turnover ratio; Griffins are 6-2 in last eight games, 4-3 on MAAC road- they scored 76+ points in four of last five wins. Loyola is just 2-3 in last five games, but is 5-2 in its MAAC home games, losing to Niagara/Iona. MAAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-12 against the spread.
-- Davidson (-10) beat Charleston 77-68 at home Jan 19, shooting 58% inside arc, outscoring Cougars 21-10 on foul line; Wildcats won their last eight games, seven by 9+ points- they're 5-1 on SoCon road, with four of five wins by 8+. Cougars won last six games, are 5-1 in its SoCon home games, losing by 5 to Samford. Under is 4-0-1 in Davidson's last five games, 1-4 in last five Charleston tilts. Southern Conference home underdogs of 8 or less points are 10-5 vs spread.
-- North Dakota State (-3.5) got outscored 21-4 from foul line in a 50-42 loss at Western Illinois Jan 19; Bison were 4-5 on line, Western 21-36. State is 6-0 in Summit home games, with five wins by 8+ points- they've won three of last four games overall. Western won four of its last five games; its only Summit losses are by 7-6 points. Summit League home favorites are 11-16 vs spread, 4-9 if laying single digits.
-- Montana was 30-33 from foul line in 76-74 (-3) home win vs Weber State Jan 26, offsetting Wildcats' 63% shooting inside arc. Griz won last 14 games, is 6-0 on Big Sky road-- home team won last seven regular series meetings, with Montana losing last seven regular season visits to Ogden (they won Big Sky tourney on this floor in '10). Wildcats won last fou games, all by 15+ points; they're 6-0 at hone in Big Sky games. Big Sky home favorites of less than 7 points are 22-11 vs spread.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29643 Followers:142
02/14/2013 09:32 AM

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/14/13 Predictions

Straight Up: 2891-976 (.748)
ATS: 1298-1347 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 3836-4167 (.479)
Over/Under: 355-341 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 380-406 (.483)

Atlantic 10 Conference
TEMPLE 83, Duquesne 64
VCU 78, Massachusetts 70

Atlantic Coast Conference
GEORGIA TECH 60, Clemson 54

Atlantic Sun Conference
EAST TENNESSEE STATE 73, Kennesaw State 62
Florida Gulf Coast 71, NORTHERN KENTUCKY 63
LIPSCOMB 78, Stetson 77
Mercer 64, USC UPSTATE 62

Big East Conference
LOUISVILLE 75, St. John's 59

Big Sky Conference
Montana State 67, IDAHO STATE 66
NORTH DAKOTA 71, Sacramento State 64
NORTHERN COLORADO 79, Northern Arizona 69
Southern Utah 74, PORTLAND STATE 71
WEBER STATE 71, Montana 66

Big Ten Conference
Iowa 71, PENN STATE 58
MINNESOTA 59, Wisconsin 58
OHIO STATE 68, Northwestern 55

Big West Conference
Hawai'i 79, UC DAVIS 76
PACIFIC 75, Cal State Northridge 69

Colonial Athletic Association
DREXEL 62, George Mason 59

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
FAIRFIELD 65, Siena 51
LOYOLA (MD.) 70, Canisius 67
RIDER 67, Saint Peter's 54

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Savannah State 60, FLORIDA A&M 51

Northeast Conference
Bryant 74, MOUNT ST. MARY'S 73
Long Island 82, MONMOUTH 75
SACRED HEART 79, Saint Francis (Pa.) 67
St. Francis (N.Y.) 76, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 69
WAGNER 77, Central Connecticut State 69

Ohio Valley Conference
Belmont 77, TENNESSEE STATE 69
EASTERN ILLINOIS 73, Austin Peay 66
EASTERN KENTUCKY 74, Tennessee Tech 60
MOREHEAD STATE 67, Jacksonville State 64
Murray State 72, SIUE 57

Pacific-10 Conference
CALIFORNIA 71, Ucla 67
STANFORD 71, Usc 61

Southeastern Conference

Southern Conference
CHATTANOOGA 74, Furman 67
ELON 75, Appalachian State 68
SAMFORD 60, Wofford 58
THE CITADEL 67, Georgia Southern 66

Southland Conference
CENTRAL ARKANSAS 76, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 67
Northwestern State 77, SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 71
ORAL ROBERTS 70, Sam Houston State 58
Stephen F. Austin 69, NICHOLLS STATE 55

Summit League
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 57, Western Illinois 49
Oakland 86, SOUTH DAKOTA 76

Sun Belt Conference
North Texas 70, ULM 65
SOUTH ALABAMA 77, UL Lafayette 68
TROY 69, Fairleigh Dickinson 68

West Coast Conference
PEPPERDINE 71, Loyola Marymount 64
SAINT MARY'S 72, Gonzaga 70
SAN FRANCISCO 78, Portland 60
SANTA CLARA 73, San Diego 66

Western Athletic Conference
Louisiana Tech 74, SEATTLE 63
New Mexico State 71, SAN JOSE STATE 57

CSU Bakersfield 69, TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN 64

marksmoneymakers Posts:29643 Followers:142
02/14/2013 09:33 AM

NCAA Basketball Picks
Wisconsin at Minnesota

The Golden Gophers look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games versus the Badgers. Minnesota is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Gophers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5). Here are all of today's games.

Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 505-506: Duquesne at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 48.115; Temple 64.919
Dunkel Line: Temple by 17
Vegas Line: Temple by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-16 1/2)

Game 507-508: Clemson at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 60.987; Georgia Tech 61.709
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 3
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3)

Game 509-510: George Mason at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 55.677; Drexel 53.987
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 1 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Drexel by 3; 124
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+3); Under

Game 511-512: Wisconsin at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 68.675; Minnesota 75.076
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 5; 118
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Over

Game 513-514: Northwestern at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 62.112; Ohio State 74.860
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 12 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+17 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: LSU at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 58.195; South Carolina 58.282
Dunkel Line: Even; 133
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 1 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+1 1/2); Under

Game 517-518: Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 52.722; Florida Atlantic 49.852
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 3
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-1 1/2)

Game 519-520: AR-Little Rock at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 52.372; Arkansas State 63.018
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-9)

Game 521-522: UL-Lafayette at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 53.112; South Alabama 56.810
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 6
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+6)

Game 523-524: North Texas at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.712; UL-Monroe 42.390
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-3 1/2)

Game 525-526: Florida International at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 53.638; Troy 51.443
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Florida International

Game 527-528: Iowa at Penn State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 67.906; Penn State 56.804
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 11; 135
Vegas Line: Iowa by 8; 131
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-8); Over

Game 529-530: Denver at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 62.515; Utah State 63.103
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 1
Vegas Line: Denver by 2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+2)

Game 531-532: UCLA at California (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 64.557; California 64.632
Dunkel Line: Even; 138
Vegas Line: California by 3; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+3); Under

Game 533-534: St. John's at Louisville (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 62.317; Louisville 76.478
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 14; 127
Vegas Line: Louisville by 17; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+17); Under

Game 535-536: Massachusetts at VCU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 59.457; VCU 73.478
Dunkel Line: VCU by 14; 151
Vegas Line: VCU by 11 1/2; 147
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-11 1/2); Over

Game 537-538: CS-Northridge at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 52.172; Pacific 61.628
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-7 1/2)

Game 539-540: Arizona at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 66.510; Colorado 67.754
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+2 1/2)

Game 541-542: San Diego at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 53.820; Santa Clara 67.721
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 14
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 10
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-10)

Game 543-544: Loyola Marymount at Pepperdine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 46.871; Pepperdine 55.083
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 8
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 4
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (-4)

Game 545-546: Portland at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 47.728; San Francisco 63.039
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-9 1/2)

Game 547-548: Louisiana Tech at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 58.209; Seattle 53.297
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 5
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+6 1/2)

Game 549-550: Hawaii at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 49.756; UC Davis 55.094
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (-2 1/2)

Game 551-552: New Mexico State at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.478; San Jose State 47.347
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 12
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-9 1/2)

Game 553-554: TX-Arlington at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 55.211; Idaho 55.437
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Idaho by 2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+2)

Game 555-556: USC at Stanford (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 61.092; Stanford 72.047
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 11; 141
Vegas Line: Stanford by 9; 135
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-9); Over

Game 557-558: Gonzaga at St. Mary's (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 72.229; St. Mary's 68.336
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 4; 150
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 1; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-1); Over

Game 559-560: Furman at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 42.132; Chattanooga 50.007
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 8
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 5
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-5)

Game 561-562: Western Carolina at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 46.585; NC-Greensboro 46.422
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+2)

Game 563-564: Appalachian State at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 47.682; Elon 54.414
Dunkel Line: Elon by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Elon by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+8 1/2)

Game 565-566: Georgia Southern at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 45.179; The Citadel 41.614
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-2)

Game 567-568: St. Peter's at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 44.606; Rider 54.274
Dunkel Line: Rider by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Rider by 8
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-8)

Game 569-570: Belmont at Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 62.751; Tennessee State 57.148
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 5 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Belmont by 7 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+7 1/2); Under

Game 571-572: Tennessee Tech at Eastern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 45.711; Eastern Kentucky 60.233
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-12 1/2)

Game 573-574: Jacksonville State at Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.329; Morehead State 50.878
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+4)

Game 575-576: Canisius at Loyola-MD (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 53.101; Loyola-MD 59.740
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-3 1/2)

Game 577-578: Davidson at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 59.186; College of Charleston 60.040
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1
Vegas Line: Davidson by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+2 1/2)

Game 579-580: Wofford at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 48.535; Samford 45.634
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Wofford

Game 581-582: IPFW at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 46.603; UMKC 44.314
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: IPFW by 1
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (-1)

Game 583-584: Oakland at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.959; South Dakota 52.108
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Oakland by 6
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+6)

Game 585-586: IUPUI at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 41.027; South Dakota State 63.421
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 18
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-18)

Game 587-588: Western Illinois at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 55.008; North Dakota State 65.654
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 9
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-9)

Game 589-590: Austin Peay at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 40.925; Eastern Illinois 44.406
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+5 1/2)

Game 591-592: Murray State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 56.977; SIU-Edwardsville 44.480
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-10 1/2)

Game 593-594: Sacramento State at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.365; North Dakota 46.153
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 1; 130
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 4 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 595-596: Siena at Fairfield (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 43.855; Fairfield 55.799
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 12
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+13 1/2)

Game 597-598: Northern Arizona at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.919; Northern Colorado 48.293
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+7 1/2)

Game 599-600: Montana State at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 45.464; Idaho State 42.351
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 3
Vegas Line: Montana State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-1)

Game 601-602: Montana at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 55.385; Weber State 63.765
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-6 1/2)

Game 603-604: Southern Utah at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 47.594; Portland State 44.007
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+2)

marksmoneymakers Posts:29643 Followers:142
02/14/2013 09:34 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets


Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (APPALACHIAN ST) playing only their 3rd game in a week, with a losing record.
196-116 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.8% 68.4 units )
17-15 this year. ( 53.1% 0.5 units )


Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TX-ARLINGTON) revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% 32.3 units )


Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after allowing 60 points or less.
212-127 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.5% 72.3 units )
6-0 this year. ( 100.0% 6.0 units )

marksmoneymakers Posts:29643 Followers:142
02/14/2013 09:34 AM

Free College Basketball Prediction From Jason Sharpe

Take #584 South Dakota +3 over Oakland (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 14)

Home court can be huge in the Summit League, and these two teams have shown that to be the case time and time again this year.South Dakota comes in struggling of late, but a lot of that probably has to do with the fact they have had to play five of their last six games away from home. The Coyotes have played a tremendously tough schedule this season and mostly so away from home, losing nonconference games at Wyoming, Gonzaga, Iowa and Kansas State and then have had to travel to conference powers North Dakota State and South Dakota State (which they won). One of their most impressive showings were just a few weeks back against their opponent here in this game, beating Oakland by 19 points in Oakland.

Speaking of Oakland, give this team some credit as they knocked off the conference big boys last week, beating North Dakota State and South Dakota State in a three-day span. The Golden Grizzlies have won five straight games currently, but keep in mind that they have played seven of their last eight games overall at home. This is a huge fact for a team that is just 4-12 away from home this season. Though a fairly decent program, Oakland has been awful on defense these last few years, ranking in the bottom five in all of CBB in effective field goal percentage on defense and are dead last again this season in league play in two-point defense, and that is for the second year in a row in the Summit League.

Tough spot here for Oakland to travel all the way to South Dakota from Michigan and get up for a bottom-level league team, especially after two emotionally draining wins just last week. Take South Dakota and the points here.