cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
On 09/27/2011 05:29 PM in MLB

Cnotes Tuesday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

Indiana Fever Host Atlanta Dream In East Final

The ’over’ is 8-1-1 in the last 10 road games for the Atlanta Dream.
The Indiana Fever and Atlanta Dream play the deciding Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Tuesday night and the foot injury to Tamika Catchings is the big question mark.

The Don Best odds screen lists the Fever as 2½-point favorites and a 157½-point total for the contest that will the tip from Conseco Fieldhouse coming at 8:00 p.m. (ET). The winner of this game will meet the red-hot Minnesota Lynx for the WNBA title.

Indiana (24-15 straight up, 21-17-1 against the spread) lost Game 2 at Atlanta on Sunday, 94-77 as 5-point underdogs. Catchings pulled down nine rebounds, but was carried off the floor in the fourth quarter and is listed as doubtful on the Don Best injury report.

The 6-foot-1 forward Catchings averaged 15.5 points, 7.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists during the regular season. That helped her just win league MVP.

If Catchings can’t go, then a number of Fever players will need to step up. Guard Katie Douglas has already done so, averaging 20.4 PPG in the five playoff games and leading the team in scoring (25) last game.

The 32-year-old Catchings has been mortal this postseason (10.8 PPG), shooting just 33.3 percent from the field. However, her all-around production would be sorely missed and it’s a real emotional blow to the team.

The good news for Indiana is returning home where it went 13-4 SU and 12-5 ATS during the regular season. The playoffs have been more of the same (3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS). This series opener was an 82-74 win as 2 ½-point home favorites. Five players scored in double-digits, led by Tangela Smith’s 25.

Atlanta finished 20-14 SU in the regular season, one game back of both Indiana and Connecticut in the Eastern Conference. The team rebounded from an awful 3-9 SU start to finish 17-5 SU (13-8-1 ATS).

The Dream are continuing to be a nightmare for their opposition this postseason, sweeping two games from Connecticut and now having the momentum this series. The big change last game was Iziane Castro Marques replacing Erika de Souza in the starting lineup. Castro Marques responded with a season-high 30 points.

The 6-foot-5 de Souza is the team’s starting center, but left to play a game for the Brazilian national team. She is out for the remainder of the series. Ironically, the 6-foot swingman Castro Marques could have also played for the Brazilian team, but chose not to.

Forward Angel McCoughtry also added 27 points last game and she easily led Atlanta in scoring during the regular season (21.6 PPG). The All-Star had been struggling in the playoffs (much like Catchings), 13 PPG and 31 percent shooting over the first three games.

Atlanta is much smaller now without de Souza and took advantage of the speed with a 25-11 advantage in fast break points. Indiana needs to win this game with rebounding, even if Catchings is out.

The Dream are 10-9 SU and 8-10-1 ATS overall on the road this year. The ‘over’ is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games away. The one ‘under’ came in this series opener when the 156 combined points scored just couldn’t reach the 158-point total.

Atlanta won all four regular season meetings between the teams (3-1 ATS). The ‘over’ is 5-1 in the six meetings overall this year.

Neither of these teams have won an WNBA title, but each has been in the finals recently. Atlanta lost to Seattle last year and Indiana was defeated by Phoenix in 2009.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:31 PM

Rangers, Angels Continue Series In Anaheim

The Los Angeles Angels play Game 2 of their divisional series Tuesday night against the playoff-bound Texas Rangers. The game is scheduled to start at 10:05 p.m. (ET) from the Angel Stadium in Anaheim.

The Rangers went into Monday's series opener with a 9-7 lead in the season series and have won five of their last seven meetings dating back to the beginning of August.

The Angels were three games back of the Boston Red Sox (two games back of Tampa Bay) for the lead in the American League Wild Card going into Monday evening’s action.

Los Angeles wasted a pivotal opportunity Sunday night by blowing a late three-run lead against the Oakland Athletics, which would have trimmed the wild card deficit to two.

Game 1 of this series is scheduled for Monday night with C.J. Wilson (Texas) and Dan Haren (Los Angeles) scheduled to start in the opener. The MLB odds listed the Halos as 125-130 favorites.

Starting for Texas in the second game of the series will be right-handed pitcher Colby Lewis (13-10, 4.45). Lewis has allowed a total of seven home runs in his last six starts and has seven strikeouts in each of his last three starts.

Lewis has faced the Angels a total of three times this season with the Rangers winning two of those games and the righty posting a 4.50 ERA.

His last road start versus the Angels was one of his best road starts of the year. Lewis pitched seven innings, allowed four hits, no earned runs, two walks and struck out seven.

Pitching for the Angels in this American League West showdown will be Ervin Santana (11-12, 3.38). The Angels have lost each of Santana’s last four starts, with Ervin picking up the loss in three of the four games. Los Angeles is 7-3 in Santana’s last 10 home starts versus the Rangers.

Santana’s faced the Rangers four times already this season, with this home start being his fifth and final start of the year. The Angels are 1-3 in the Dominican's four starts versus Texas, with only one of those starts coming in Anaheim (a 4-3 loss).

The ‘over’ is 5-1 in Lewis’ last six starts, while the ‘under’ is 4-1 in Santana’s last five starts.

Los Angeles first baseman Mark Trumbo is questionable for Tuesday’s game versus the Rangers. Trumbo left Sunday’s game with a sore right ankle and could miss the rest of the season.

Tuesday’s weather forecast for Anaheim looks to be a perfect night for late-September baseball with clear skies and temps in the mid-to-upper 70s at game time.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:34 PM

Diamond Trends - Tuesday

September 27, 2011


The Mariners are 0-14 since June 24, 2010 at home after a win in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings for a net profit of $1554 when playing against.


The Pirates are 0-9-2 OU since September 21, 2008 when Ross Ohlendorf starts as a 140+ dog when the bullpen has allowed at least one run for two straight games for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.


The White Sox are 11-0 since June 17, 2010 when Mark Buehrle starts when not a favorite of 150+ after a quality start on the road for a net profit of $1280.


The Mariners are 0-21 O/U (-3.2 rpg) since 2009 when their last game went under by one run.


The Giants are 5-0 OU since May 26, 2010 as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $500 when playing the over.

The Pirates are 0-7 since May 21, 2010 when Ross Ohlendorf starts as a 140+ dog after his team lost the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $700 when playing against.

The Cardinals are 0-5 since August 02, 2010 when Jake Westbrook starts as a 140+ favorite after a quality start at home for a net profit of $715 when playing against.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:36 PM

Rays try to keep rolling Tuesday vs. Yankees


at TAMPA BAY RAYS (89-71)

First pitch: Tuesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Tampa Bay -170, New York +160, Total: 8.5

The surging Rays will try to win on Tuesday night against the Yankees and hope for a Red Sox loss to gain sole possession of first in the AL Wild Card race. The Rays were nine games back on Sept. 2, but thanks to Boston going 6-19 in September, Tampa Bay (15-10 in September) is now tied for first in the AL Wild Card.

Bartolo Colon (8-10, 4.02 ERA) will be on the hill Tuesday night for the Yankees. Colon has had his share of troubles against the Rays this year, going 0-3 with a 6.60 ERA. Opposing Colon will be possible rookie of the year Jeremy Hellickson (13-10, 2.90 ERA). Hellickson has been fantastic of late, going 2-0 with a 2.28 ERA in his past four starts. Despite New York’s success this year, the Yanks have had an odd problem of playing at night where they are only 53-51 (-16.6 Units). The Pinstripes also are rarely underdogs, but are just 15-15 in the non-favored role. Tampa, on the other hand, is 43-22 when tabbed as a favorite of -125 to -175. The Rays also should benefit from a rested bullpen, as they are 23-10 with a bullpen that pitched one inning or less in the previous game. Expect Colon’s problems against the Rays to continue, as surging TAMPA BAY will win again Tuesday night and put mountains of pressure on Boston.

This four-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Rays:

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - below-average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start. (130-38 since 1997.) (77.4%, +67 units. Rating = 4*).

Colon needs a good outing to prove to manager Joe Girardi and the Yankees that he’s worth a bullpen spot for the postseason. Colon has struggled badly of late, going 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA his past nine starts. The aging right-hander was hit very hard on Thursday against these Rays, allowing seven runs (5 ER) and seven hits in only three innings of a 15-8 loss. The Yankees are expected to play most of their starters on Tuesday night despite not having anything to play for. On Monday, Nick Swisher and Mark Teixeira got the night off to rest, and Girardi might sit another starter or two on Tuesday.

Hellickson pitched well against the Yankees on Wednesday, throwing seven innings and allowing only two runs on two hits. He did walk four batters though, and didn’t get much run support as he got a no-decision in a 4-2 loss to New York. Hellickson is 1-1 with a 3.93 ERA in three starts against the Yanks this season, but he allowed just two runs with seven strikeouts in seven frames in his lone home start against them on July 19. The Rays will keep a close eye on the scoreboard Tuesday, as the Red Sox face Baltimore, with the first pitch also being at 7:10. If the Rays can scratch out a win, they will have lots of momentum with their ace David Price slated to pitch the final game of the regular season on Wednesday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:38 PM

Lowe aims to keep Atlanta atop NL Wild Card



First pitch: Tuesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Philadelphia -110, Atlanta +100, Total: 8

The skidding Braves will need to pull it together for the final two games of the season against division rival Philadelphia. Atlanta is holding a slim one-game lead over St. Louis in the NL Wild Card race with just two games remaining.

Roy Oswalt (8-10, 3.86 ERA) will get the start for the Phillies who look to match a franchise-record with their 101st win of the season. Oswalt has been terrific against the Braves in a Phillies uniform, going 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 21 innings against Atlanta. Opposing Oswalt will be veteran right-hander Derek Lowe (9-16, 4.92 ERA). Lowe has had one of his worst years, with an especially dreadful September (0-4, 8.24 ERA, 2.09 WHIP). The Phils have been unbelievable the last two seasons when playing against teams with a winning record in the second half of the year, going a remarkable 59-22 (.728). Philadelphia also has been strong as a favorite of -100 to -150, where it is 43-24. The Braves have a woeful 9-16 record in September, but have played well at home all year (47-32). Despite this strong home record, the Phillies have a huge advantage in the pitching matchup on Tuesday that is not properly reflected in the money line. The pick here is PHILADELPHIA to continue Atlanta’s downward spiral and further damage the Braves chance for a postseason berth.

This pair of FoxSheets trends also side with the Phillies:

ROY OSWALT is 57-17 (77.0%, +32.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record). The average score was OSWALT 5.4, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*).

PHILADELPHIA is 45-21 (68.2%, +20.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.3, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*).

With Monday night’s 4-2 victory, Philadelphia has won five straight games over the battered Braves by a combined score of 36 to 8. Oswalt is coming off a poor effort Thursday, in which he gave up six runs over 7.2 innings in a 6-1 loss to the Nationals. The right-hander had a solid start against Atlanta back on Sept. 7, when he threw seven innings, allowing only two runs on four hits and struck out seven in a 3-2 victory.

In the past two seasons, Derek Lowe has lost six of his eight starts against Philadelphia, posting a 4.59 ERA over that span. Lowe pitched decent on Wednesday, allowing three runs in 6.1 innings, but suffered his fourth straight loss in a 4-0 defeat in Florida. Atlanta has lost three straight game, batting a miserable .183 those three contests. With St. Louis playing the worst team in the majors, the 56-104 Astros, to finish the season, the Braves know they most likely have to win the final two games of this series to keep playoff hopes alive.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:39 PM

Tuesday's betting tips: CHW trading Ozzie to Fish?

Who’s hot

MLB: Milwaukee is 7-1 in Randy Wolf’s last eight starts as a favorite.

MLB: Washington has won 11 of its last 12 as an underdog.

WNBA: Indiana is 13-4 against the spread in its last 17 home games.

Who’s not

MLB: The Chicago White Sox are just 6-22 in their last 28 meetings with Toronto.

MLB: The Reds are 1-8 in their last nine games against NL East opponents.

WNBA: Atlanta is 5-11 against the spread in its last 16 games playing on one day of rest.

Key stat

838 – With Manuel Neuer patrolling the Bayern Munich goal, the club hasn’t conceded a goal in 838 minutes heading into Tuesday’s Champions League home game against Manchester City. Bayern is set at -110 with the draw at +240 and a Man City win at +265.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Wayne Rooney, Manchester United – Rooney will sit out Tuesday’s Champions League match with Basel as he continues to nurse a hamstring injury. Dimitar Berbatov has taken Rooney’s place in the team’s last two games, but manager Sir Alex Ferguson was noncommittal about who would start at striker Tuesday. Man U currently sits as a -585 favorite with the draw at +540 and an FC Basel victory at +1150

Game of the day

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-175, 8.5)

Notable quotable

“You never hear me talk about that. You never did. Did I ever say I wanted the Marlins out of my mouth? No, that’s their problem. If they want me, they should. F--- it, I’m bad, I’m good at what I do. They should. Everybody can want me, but it’s one thing if they can get me. It’s not easy like, ‘OK I’m going to get you and you’re going to come here.’ No it’s a process.’’ – Ozzie Guillen on the speculation that he managed his last game with the Chicago White Sox Monday night. Word out of Chicago has the White Sox trading him to the Florida Marlins.

Notes and tips

With three games left in the season, the Boston Red Sox are still seeking another starting pitcher. The Boston Globe reported that the Red Sox are attempting to trade for another starter as they look to maintain their tenuous one-game lead over Tampa Bay in the American League wild-card chase. Last week, the Red Sox failed to land New York Mets lefthander Chris Capuano to beef up their ailing and ineffective pitching staff. Boston has yet to announce a starter for Wednesday's regular-season finale against the Baltimore Orioles. The likely option is sending ace lefty Jon Lester to the mound on three days' rest. Lester, though, has lost three straight starts and was pounded for eight runs in 2 2/3 innings by the New York Yankees on Saturday.

The Indiana Fever could be without league MVP Tamika Catchings Tuesday against Atlanta with a trip to the WNBA finals on the line. Catchings left Sunday’s 82-74 victory that forced the third and deciding game when she landed on an opponent’s foot. The perennial All-Star averaged 15.5 points, 7.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists this season. "I know Catch," teammate Katie Douglas told reporters. "I know if she has to crawl, she will crawl for this team. I don't want to speculate on how we are going to play without her until we know for sure." Indiana is currently set as a 2-point home favorite Tuesday.

B.J. Upton and Johnny Damon each knocked in two runs, and James Shields pitched 8 2/3 strong innings as the Tampa Bay Rays moved into a tie for the American League wild card lead with a 5-2 victory over the visiting New York Yankees on Monday. The Rays, who were nine games behind Boston on Sept. 3, are even with two games to play. The Red Sox lost at Baltimore 6-3 on Monday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:41 PM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- White Sox granted Ozzie Guillen his release, and Ozzie goes back to Miami to manage the Marlins. Ozzie's quick-trigger tongue won't last very long with Florida's quick-tempered owner Jeffrey Loria.

-- Cardinals/Braves both lost, Atlanta still leads NL Wild Card race by a slim game. Losing to the Astros has to sting St Louis.

-- Rays won, Boston lost, teams are now tied for AL Wild Card; Red Sox are sending Erik Bedard out to save their season Tuesday. Red Sox are 2-19 this month when scoring less than 12 runs.

-- 12 of 16 NFL games this week were decided by 7 or less points.

-- Redskins lost their three visits to Jerry World by a combined total of six points. Tough to lose when you don't give up a touchdown.

-- Our condolences to the family of Arch West, a Frito-Lay marketing executive credited with inventing Doritos, who passed away of natural causes last week at age 97. I love Doritos, so thank you, Mr West.


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Michael Vick needs to stop complaining; guy should kiss the ground in thanks every day, for having a job that still pays him millions. Instead, he complains because he thinks he’s treated unfairly by league’s referees, playing an unspoken but very much inferred race card. NFL quarterbacks get paid millions, but part of the job’s downside is occasionally you get beat up pretty good. Get over it, pal. Count your blessings.

12) Caddy Joe LaCava quit working for Dustin Johnson to become Eldrick Woods’ new caddy. Interesting decision, and not a no-brainer; over the last two years, Johnson earned $8,783,083, Woods $1,924,628. Johnson is ranked 5th in the world, Woods 50th.

Woods hasn’t won since the infamous night he ran his car into a tree outside his house, with his future ex-wife chasing him with a 7-iron. Am curious to see how this turns out.

11) NBA people are going to be surprised (or maybe not) at how little they’re missed when the season’s tip-off comes and goes without games being played. Players’ union is going to have to cave in this dispute, or there won’t be a season.

10) NHL stands to benefit from the NBA’s troubles; I for one, am either buying the NHL or NBA package on DirecTV. Not both, because a day is only so long and I’ll have the college basketball package too, so its either NBA or NHL. If NBA hasn’t settled by mid-October, then the NHL gets my $170, or whatever it is now.

9) If I’m running the Big IV conference, I say good riddance to Texas A&M, add Memphis/Louisville/SMU and I’m back to being the Big 12. Would improve the league’s basketball and hurt football, but not as much as you think. SMU would become a power again if they elevate to the Big 12. They have boosters with very deep pockets.

8) It takes onions for a bigtime football program (in this case, South Carolina) to schedule Navy, because simply put, you can lose, and there ain’t much upside in beating them, since you’re a 14+-point favorite and they’re a service academy.

7) Pittsburgh Pirates used 52 different players this season, most they’ve ever used in one season. It didn’t help.

6) Ray Lewis III plays high school football, and he’s pretty good, running ball for 384 yards on 27 carries in a recent game. Not sure what level a prospect he is, but how would you like to be the college coach going into that house on a recruiting visit?

5) Manager of the Year races are so clearcut this season, even Captain Obvious could get them right; Joe Maddon/Kirk Gibson.

4) Cubs have around $50M coming off their books this winter; will be curious how aggressive they’ll be in free agent market. Their new owner is an avid fan who seems to get it, but we’ll know more after this winter.

3) I laugh every time I hear some college yahoo say the term “student-athlete”. When TCU’s “student-athletes” make road trips to Villanova and Georgetown next year, and miss several days of classes in process, just so the Horned Frogs can get a piece of the BCS cash that is out there, tell me if they’re more “student” or “athlete”.

2) Former NFL coach Steve Mariucci works on NFL Network now; he has one of the tougher jobs on TV, working on the Sunday night highlight show with Deion Sanders and Michael Irvin. Keeping those two in line, especially when everyone starts talking over everyone, ain’t an easy task. Mariucci is the voice of reason on what isn’t a bad highlight show.

1) Red Sox shouldn’t be talking about firing Terry Francona, they should be planning where to put the statue of him that should be built. He’s done a great job in a tough city. If they let him go, he’ll have a new job within 10 minutes, if he wants another job. Sometime next summer, Sox fans will be wondering why they let Francona go.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:43 PM


Tuesday, September 27

Tuesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers


Jeanmar Gomez, Cleveland Indians (5-2, 3.52 ERA)

Gomez has won five straight starts and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in an outing since July 17. He pitched the Indians to an 11-2 win over the White Sox last week, allowing two runs over six innings while striking out three and walking two. The youngster hasn’t thrown 100 pitches in a start this season with his longest outing going 6 2/3 innings.

Javier Vazquez, Florida Marlins (12-11, 3.77 ERA)

The beat goes on for the veteran as he hasn’t allowed a run in 25 consecutive innings, a Marlins franchise record. Vazquez has allowed only 10 hits and three walks while striking out 20 batters over that span. However, he’s still considering retirement in the offseason.

“[Vazquez] has been a professional and a quiet leader his whole career,” Marlins manager Jack McKeon said. “I hate to see him think about quitting because he’s so good with the younger pitchers and teaching them what it takes to have a long career.”


Bartolo Colon, New York Yankees (8-10, 4.02 ERA)

The 38-year-old is showing his age lately and hasn’t won a start since July 30. He has lasted just seven combined innings over his last two starts, giving up 11 total runs. He was drilled for seven hits and five earned runs in just three innings in a 15-8 loss to Tampa Bay last week, putting his playoff rotation spot in jeopardy.

"When we went into this year we weren't sure how many innings we could get out of him, so there is some concern there.'' Yankees manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "It's location, it's movement and it's velocity. That's why were concerned about him. We’ll just continue to evaluate him.''

Derek Lowe, Atlanta Braves (9-16, 4.92 ERA)

Lowe is 0-4 with a 8.24 ERA this month, but seemed to make progress in his last start with a new delivery he’s been working on. He held the Marlins to three runs in 6 1/3 innings while keeping his hands down to slow down his move to the plate.



Tuesday, September 27

Hot lines: Tuesday's best MLB bets

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (n/a)

Matt Kemp has some work to do if he’s going to pick up the first Triple Crown baseball has seen since Carl Yastrzemski turned the trick back in 1967.

He went into Monday’s action leading the NL with 119 RBIs and was tied with Albert Pujols in home runs (37), but was nine points back of Ryan Braun’s .333 batting average.

"If I have any chance at getting there, my mindset, my approach can't change," Kemp told reporters. "I'm not going to be trying to hit home runs or worrying about hits. Once I start to do that, that's when I lose my focus and I won't be successful. I have to stay focused and do the same things that have gotten me to where I am at right now."

He is a career .304 hitter at Chase Field and will be up against rookie starter Jarrod Parker, who makes his first big-league start.

Pick: Dodgers

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (-165,9)

It’s been a tough year for Grady Sizemore and the Cleveland Indians. Sizemore has battled injuries for most of the season and the Indians could never really keep it together long enough to stay in the playoff race.

They finish up the season in Detroit without Sizemore, who has been shut down to avoid more damage to his knees.

"There's no need for Grady to play," said manager Manny Acta. "The knee is not 100 percent. It's still an issue for him."

Meanwhile, playing in Detroit – and against the Tigers in general – has been a major issue for the Tribe all season long. They had lost seven straight against the Tigers and 20 of their last 26 games in the Motor City heading into Monday’s series opener.

But while they won’t have Sizemore, they will have Jeanmar Gomez on the hill and he deserves some respect. Gomez hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any of his last five starts – all wins.

Pick: Indians

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:43 PM


Philadelphia at Atlanta
The Phillies look to build on their 10-2 record in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Oswalt) 14.920; Atlanta (Lowe) 14.384
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Under

Game 953-954: Washington at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 14.940; Florida (Vazquez) 15.259
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-155); Over

Game 955-956: Cincinnati at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.452; NY Mets (Capuano) 15.204
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Over

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 14.993; Houston (Sosa) 13.796
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.553; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.428
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-185); Over

Game 961-962: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 16.718; Arizona (Parker) 16.218
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 15.308; San Diego (Bass) 15.821
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 965-966: Colorado at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (White) 15.115; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.153
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+160); Over

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 15.149; Detroit (Scherzer) 14.740
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+150); Over

Game 969-970: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Bedard) 14.471; Baltimore (Britton) 15.763
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Under

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Colon) 16.240; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.345
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+155); Under

Game 973-974: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 14.342; Minnesota (Swarzak) 14.709
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115); Over

Game 975-976: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Alvarez) 14.949; White Sox (Buehrle) 14.536
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Over

Game 977-978: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.271; LA Angels (Santana) 16.994
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 979-980: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.543; Seattle (Beavan) 14.950
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33166 Followers:38
09/27/2011 05:44 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, September 27

Hot pitchers
-- Vazquez won his last five starts, allowing one run in 36 IP.
-- Kuroda is 6-2, 3.81 in his last eight starts.
-- Cubs won last five Garza starts (3-0, 2.75). Bass is 2-0, 0.90 in two starts this season.
-- Bumgarner is 5-1, 2.09 in his last six starts.

-- Gomez is 5-0, 2.40 in his last five starts.
-- Britton is 5-1, 3.82 in his last seven starts.
-- Alvarez is 1-0, 2.91 in his last five starts.
-- Hellickson is 3-2, 2.03 in his last seven starts.
-- Beaven is 2-0, 2.11 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lannan is 2-6, 6.81 in his last eight starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-2, 5.76 in his last five starts. Capuano is 1-1, 5.61 in his last five starts.
-- Lowe is 0-4, 9.00 in his last four starts. Oswalt is 1-2, 4.57 in his last three starts.
-- Westbrook is 2-2, 4.26 in his last six starts. Sosa is 1-3, 5.14 in his last four starts.
-- Ohlendorf is 1-3, 9.09 in eight starts this season. Wolf is 2-2, 4.91 in his last five starts,
-- Arizona prospect Parker was 11-8, 3.79 in 26 AA starts this season; he was 1st round pick in 2007. This is his MLB debut.
-- White is 2-3, 9.00 in six starts this season.

-- Scherzer is 1-2, 5.33 in his last five starts.
-- Bedard is 1-2, 5.11 in his last five starts.
-- Colon is 0-4, 6.20 in his last nine starts.
-- O'Sullivan is 0-3, 15.29 in his last four starts, last of which was way back on June 2. Swarzak is 0-4, 7.03 in his last six starts.
-- Buehrle is 1-3, 10.13 in his last four starts.
-- Cahill is 2-5, 6.28 in his last ten starts.
-- Santana is 0-3, 5.40 in his last four starts. Lewis has a 7.49 RA in his last six starts.

-- Under is 5-2 in Lowe's last seven starts.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Arroyo's last eight starts. Capuano's last four starts all went over.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Vazquez starts.
-- Over is 5-1 in Westbrook's last six starts.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Wolf starts. Over is 5-0-1 in Ohlendorf's last six starts.
-- Last seven Kuroda starts went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2 in Garza's last nine road starts.
-- Over is 5-1 in White's starts this season.

-- Five of last six Gomez starts went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Britton starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Colon starts went over the total.
-- Last five O'Sullivan starts went over the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Buehrle's last five starts.
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Cahill starts.
-- Five of last six Lewis starts went over total. Four of last five Santana starts stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Reds won four of their last six games.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 15 games.
-- Cardinals won 11 of their last 16 games. Houston is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
-- Brewers won nine of their last thirteen games. Pittsburgh won four of its last six games.
-- Arizona won six of its last eight games. Dodgers won nine of their last twelve games.
-- San Diego won seven of its last ten games.

-- Indians won four of their last six games. Detroit won 18 of its last 23 games. .
-- Rays won their last three games, outscoring foes 16-6. Bronx won seven of its last eleven games.
-- Orioles won 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Royals won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Rangers won 12 of their last 14 games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost 11 of their last 16 games.
-- Atlanta lost 11 of its last 16 games. Phillies lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Marlins lost four of their last five games.
-- Cubs lost six of their last seven road games.
-- San Francisco lost four of its last five games. Rockies lost ten of their last thirteen games.

-- Red Sox are 6-19 so far this month.
-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 16 games. Toronto lost seven of its last nine road games.
-- Minnesota lost 15 of its last 17 games.
-- Angels lost four of their last five games.
-- Oakland is 8-12 in its last 20 games. Mariners lost four of their last five games.

-- Phil-Atl-- Under is 11-6 in last 17 Iassogna games.
-- Wsh-Fla-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Guccione games.
-- Cin-NY-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Hudson games.
-- StL-Hst-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Demuth games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Fletcher games.
-- LA-Az-- Favorites won six of last seven Hoye games.
-- Chi-SD-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Cousins games.
-- Col-SF-- Road team is 12-1 in last 13 Hernandez games.

-- Cle-Det-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Randazzo games.
-- Bos-Balt-- Underdogs are 10-10 in last twenty Bell games.
-- NY-TB-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Fairchild games.
-- KC-Min-- Underdogs won four of last five Carlson games.
-- Tor-Chi-- Underdogs won 10 of last 13 Cederstrom games.
-- Tex-LA-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Dreckman games.
-- A's-Sea-- Underdogs are 4-4 in last eight Wendelstedt games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: