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Dallas vs. LA Clippers, 01/09/2013 22:30
Point Spread: +10½/-108 Dallas
Free Pick on Dallas Mavericks +
You couldn't get two teams headed in more opposite directions, but that has given us a little bit of value in the Mavs here tonight.
A couple of systems support our play that say to go against favorites of 10 points or more off a cover by 18 or more points in their previous game. These teams follow those blowouts up by going just 71-114 ATS (38.4%). Another one says to take double digit underdogs on the road that have failed to cover in their last two games provided they have won less than 40% of their games and their opponent has a winning record. These teams are 147-91 (61.8%) since 1996.
Dallas has lost three in a row but have started to play better now that Dirk can log 30 minutes a game. He's put in 29 minutes, 34, and 32 the last three and the Mavs might have lost each, but they were all by less than 10 and included games at Miami and at Utah.
Plus, this Dallas team is a veteran club and they will want to prove something to themselves after losing by 22 here in LA in early December. I think Dallas surprises and keeps things close against a Clippers team that has had a few extra days off and might struggle to get back into form.
***7-0 CBB run continues with Wednesday's FIVE SOLID CBB winners that includes a 4* TOTAL NO BRAINER! 5* NBA TOTAL NO BRAINER goes with TWO additional NBA plays! 15-5 since Saturday, let's KEEP ROLLING!***