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Houston vs. Chicago, 12/25/2012 20:00
Point Spread: -4½/-110 Chicago
Chicago Bulls -4.5
This is not a favorable situation for Houston, which checks in off a 25-point win over Memphis. Consider that plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a win of 20 points or more over a division rival are 78-41 ATS since 1996. These teams have lost by an average of 9.1 points in this situation.
In addition, plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, are 45-18 ATS since 1996. These teams have won by an average of 8.8 points in this situation.
The Bulls lost at Houston by four points just over a month ago, but they are an impressive 17-6 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent over the last three seasons. They have won by an average score of 95.1 to 86.8 in this situation.
The Rockets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. They are only 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Bet the Bulls.