coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:15 AM

Eli Manning continues to flounder on the road this season with a 77.3 passer rating (6.9 YPA, 5 TD, 6 INT), including last week's 38.9 rating (13-of-25, 161 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT).

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:15 AM

Tennessee Titans are 29-14 SU versus NFC opponents since 2002

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:16 AM

QB Andy Dalton: 0-3, 49% completion rate vs Steelers; 17-10, 61% completion rate vs others

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:17 AM

Matchup: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins

Spread: Dolphins minus-4.5
Public consensus pick: 54 percent picked Dolphins

Public perception: The Dolphins are getting up to 60 percent of the tickets at other bet-tracking sites, probably just due to recent form with Dolphins covering three of their last four. (And they should have covered against the 49ers, too.) The Bills did win the previous meeting, 19-14.

Wiseguys' view: Sharps know that teams are not as bad as they look on their worst day, and not as good as they look at their best. So, in all sports, it's usually not a bad bet to take a team to bounce back from a blowout loss like the Bills had in their 50-17 drubbing by the Seahawks.

Tuley's Take: I lost with the Bills last week and the Dolphins beat my Jaguars' play as well. I haven't been able to figure out either team all season. The pick: Pass (pool play: Bills, but I won't put up an argument if anyone likes the Fish).

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:18 AM

Chargers Trends vs Jets
1-8 ATS after allowing 30+ points.
0-7 ATS last 7 away vs. AFC East.
10-4 ATS L14 vs. AFC.
0-5 ATS last 5 on fieldturf.
Dog is 4-1 ATS last 5 in series.

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:19 AM

New York Jets Trends:
6-1 ATS last 7 in series.
22-11 last 33 matchups on the Over bet vs. conference opponents.
1-4 ATS last 5 in December.

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:20 AM

Ravens QB Joe Flacco has also had much better success on his home turf (96.8 rating, 13 TD, 5 INT) than on the road (75.3 rating, 7 TD, 5 INT). However, his past two home games (both losses) have been shaky, as he's completed just 48.6% of his passes for 6.0 YPA, 3 TD and 2 INT.

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:22 AM

Buffalo at Miami, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 17-6 ATS away after allowing 35+ points
Miami: 8-1 Under as a favorite

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:23 AM

Atlanta at Detroit (3.5, 50.5)

Atlanta can secure home-field advantage throughout the conference playoffs with a triumph in the Motor City. The Falcons bounced back from a 10-point road loss to Carolina in a big way as they recorded a dominating 34-0 home win over the New York Giants last week. Atlanta ran more than it passed for just the second time this season, gaining 125 yards on 35 carries while attempting just 28 passes. Detroit is looking to snap its six-game losing streak. Things hit rock bottom for the Lions last Sunday, when they suffered a 38-10 loss in Arizona to the Cardinals. Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall.

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
12/23/2012 10:24 AM

The Saints have won 6 of the last 7 games vs the Cowboys