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Line moves: Total opened at 51.5, sitting at 51.5.
Sharp says: "The Saints and Cowboys are No. 2 and No. 7 in my rankings of teams that tend to go over. The Saints have gone over team total for in 8 out of 11 games, not doing it against Denver, San Fran and Atlanta on a short week. Dallas has been rolling, and since 2010 at the new stadium, if the total is 46 or above, it has gone over eight out of nine games. Dallas is converting 55 percent on third down the past three weeks; it will move down the field. Meanwhile, the Saints are 30th in red zone conversion defense, meaning the percentage of touchdowns they allow within 20 yards. On the road, they allow 72 percent on red zone conversions."
Spread: Packers minus-12.5
Public consensus pick: 56 percent picked Packers
Public perception: The Packers put away the Bears last week to clinch the NFC North, so maybe some people are thinking they won't be motivated here, but they are still fighting for a first-round bye. Even though it was ugly, the Monday Night winner usually gets some public support the next week.
Wiseguys' view: The LVH advance line was Packers minus-10 while Cantor Gaming had it at minus-7.5 last week, so this is another line that is inflated. Wise guys are thinking "dog or pass."
Tuley's Take: Several people this week have approached me and assumed I would love the Titans this week, but not so fast, my friends. I just don't see the Titans slowing down the Packers' offense or scoring enough to keep up (even though the cold weather -- 25 degrees predicted at kickoff ... though weathermen have worse records than touts -- could slow both teams). The pick: Pass (pool play: Titans).
QB Nick Foles will make his sixth straight start on Sunday. He started off December throwing the football quite well with 632 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT in two games, but Foles was off the mark last week versus Cincinnati, completing only 16-of-33 passes for 180 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT.