cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/02/2012 10:21 PM

Tale of the tape: Giants at Redskins

Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s NFC East showdown between the New York Giants and Washington Redskins.


Eli Manning owns a 7-2 record in his last nine starts against Washington. In his only previous Monday night meeting with the Redskins on Dec. 21, 2009, Manning threw three touchdown passes without an interception. Running back Andre Brown suffered a broken leg last week and is out for the remainder of the season. David Wilson should see more playing time in place of Brown, who is second in the NFC with eight rushing touchdowns. Ahmad Bradshaw is listed as probable with a foot issue and should also see some touches in the backfield.

Robert Griffin III performed well in his first career game against the Giants, completing 20 of 28 passes for 258 yards and two touchdowns while running for 89 yards on nine carries. Running back Alfred Morris is second among rookies with 982 yards on the ground and leads a rushing attack that ranks second in the
league with an average of 162.9 yards per game.

Edge: Redskins


Back in Week 7, Griffin mastered the Giants defense leading Washington to 480 total yards — the most Big Blue has allowed this season. This time, New York may have to stop him without S Kenny Phillips and possibly DE Jason Pierre-Paul. Phillips is listed as doubtful and Pierre-Paul is listed as questionable after missing practice for a second straight day on Saturday with a back problem.

Washington has buckled under the late-game pressure this season and ranks dead last in fourth-quarter defense, giving up an average of 10.5 points in the final 15 minutes. The Redskins, who allow 11.7 points per first half, have softened for more than two touchdowns in the second half of games. Washington is yielding an average of 301.4 passing yards, the second-worst mark in the NFL.

Edge: Giants

Special teams

The Giants have one of the most reliable kickers in the league in Lawrence Tynes, who ranks among the leaders in nearly every statistical category this season. New York has failed to return a kick or punt for a TD this season, but David Wilson has a respectable 25.3 kick return average.

Mike Shanahan recently said he and his coaching staff will “take a hard look,” at struggling punt/kick returner Brandon Banks’ decision making. A year after averaging 9.1 yards per punt return, Banks is averaging 6.8-yards per attempt this season (24th in the NFL), and 24.1 yards per kick return (23rd in the league).

Edge: Giants

Word on the street

“I’d say that he’s more a down-the-field passer than I think that people expected him to be. He’s got good poise in the pocket and he can also extend the play and look to get the ball down the field, not just the runner that everybody knew that he was coming out.” - Giants LB Mathias Kiwanuka on RG3.

"We had five receivers last week, (in win against Dallas), that played at a different level than they have all year. Five receivers not on the starting roster a year ago...We've played better collectively as a team." – Redskins coach Mike Shanahan on the evolution of his WR corps.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/02/2012 10:27 PM

NFL Week 13 Preview: Giants at Redskins



Kickoff: Monday, 8:20 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -2.5, Total: 51

A pair of NFC East teams coming off huge confidence building wins will close out Week 13 when the Giants visit the Redskins on Monday night.

Eli Manning snapped out of a slump by throwing for 249 yards and 3 TD in last week’s blowout win over the Packers. The Redskins have also completely snapped out of a midseason funk, topping 30 points each of the past two weeks. In these teams’ first meeting in Week 7, Robert Griffin III and the Redskins offense torched the Giants for 480 yards of offense, including a go-ahead TD with less than two minutes left. The Giants avoided an upset thanks to an Eli Manning-to-Victor Cruz 77-yard TD with a little more than a minute to go. Washington has covered in its past four meetings with New York (2-2 SU), but is just 3-10 SU (5-7-1 ATS) versus New York since 2006.

Can the Redskins close the gap in the race for the NFC East crown? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Manning is 11-5 versus the Redskins in his career with 224 passing YPG, but he's thrown more interceptions (15) than touchdowns (13) over this span. However, this Redskins team is allowing the 2nd-most passing yards in the NFL (301 YPG) and Manning's 337 passing yards against them in Week 7 was the most he's ever had in this series. Cruz was the hero in that most recent meeting, as his 77-yard TD gave him 131 yards on seven catches for the game. Manning's other starting wideout, Hakeem Nicks, is starting to find his groove after a mostly injury-riddled season, catching 14 passes for 152 yards and a touchdown over the past two games. While New York's air attack appears to be in fine shape, their ground game was dealt a real blow with RB Andre Brown (8 TD in 10 games) breaking his leg in last week's win. That puts more pressure on starting RB Ahmad Bradshaw (733 rush yds, 5 TD), who has been slowed by a foot injury for the past month. The good news is that he has rushed for 4.0 YPC and 7 TD in his past seven meetings with the Redskins. Rookie RB David Wilson (4.3 YPC this year) may see some significant carries in this game, but Washington's run-stop unit is quite stingy, allowing just 89 rushing YPG this year (3rd in NFL). New York also has some offensive line injuries with C David Baas (shoulder) and OT David Diehl (shoulder) both questionable for Monday's game.

Griffin III has been unbelievable in his past two games, both wins over division foes Philadelphia and Dallas, completing 33-of-42 passes (79%) for 504 yards (12.0 YPA), 8 TD and just 1 INT. He's also rushed for 113 yards on 5.9 YPC. In the Week 7 matchup with New York, he threw for 258 yards (71% completions, 9.2 YPA) and ran for 89 yards on 9.9 YPC. Griffin hasn't been the only outstanding offensive rookie in Washington, as RB Alfred Morris has 982 rushing yards (4.7 YPC) and six touchdowns. He ran for 113 yards in last week's win in Dallas, marking his fourth game of 110+ rushing yards in his past eight games. It hasn't been just the youth going wild for the Redskins though, as 33-year-old WR Santana Moss has caught 5 TD passes over the past five games. He also has 1,048 yards and 11 TD in 16 career meetings with the Giants, whose passing defense is usually much better than they are this year (253 passing YPG allowed, 25th in NFL). New York's rushing defense is right at the middle point of the league, ranking 16th with 114 YPG allowed. Although Washington hurt itself by committing four turnovers against the Giants in Week 7, the team has just one turnover combined in four games since.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/03/2012 06:45 PM

Monday, December 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount

N.Y. Giants - 8:30 PM ET Washington +2.5 500

Washington - Over 49.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/06/2012 07:32 PM

Raiders Host Broncos In AFC West Battle On Thursday

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/06/2012 at 8:20 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Broncos -10, O/U 50½
Television: NFL Network

Denver Broncos: With the AFC West Division title already wrapped up, Denver (9-3 straight-up, 7-4-1 against the spread) sets its sights on securing one of the top two records in the conference to earn a first-round bye. The Broncos clinched the division crown with a 31-23 thumping of the Buccaneers on Sunday, their seventh consecutive victory that just covered the 7½-point spread. Quarterback Peyton Manning threw three touchdown passes in the contest, two to wide receiver Demaryius Thomas, and linebacker Von Miller all but sealed the triumph with a third-quarter interception return for a TD. Denver backers are 5-1-1 ATS during the seven-game winning streak, and "over" bettors have cashed in six of the Broncos' last eight trips to the gridiron. The Raiders and Broncos met Week 4 in the Mile High City, and Denver coasted to an easy 37-6 win as 6½-point favorites. The Broncos have won seven of their last nine in Oakland.

Oakland Raiders: Another dismal season for the Raiders (3-9 SU, 3-8-1 ATS) finds the home team just one game out of the division cellar and in the throes of a five-game losing skid. The latest setback came at home on Sunday when the Browns held on for a 20-17 decision that "pushed" a 3-point spread. The Black & Silver rank near the bottom of the league in several defensive categories, including total yardage (29th) and scoring, where the Raiders are dead-last in allowing 31.3 points per game. Starting QB Carson Palmer is seventh in the league with over 3,500 yards passing, a product of Oakland playing from behind so often and having an anemic rushing attack. The Raiders could get running back Darren McFadden back for Thursday's contest after he has missed the last four games with an ankle injury (click to check updated NFL injury report). Oakland's last three games have stayed below the total, but four of the last five in this series played at The Coliseum have gone "over" the number.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/06/2012 07:34 PM

NFL Week 14 Preview: Broncos at Raiders



Kickoff: Thursday, 8:20 p.m. EDT
Line: Denver -10, Total: 48

Two teams moving in opposite directions collide on Thursday night when sizzling-hot Denver visits the slumping Raiders.

The Broncos have a chance to keep rival Oakland’s misery going. The Raiders have lost five in a row, SU and ATS, and are 1-5 ATS at home this season. When these teams met in Week 4, it was a complete mismatch, with the Broncos piling up 503 yards of offense in a 37-6 win. Oakland did have a string of four straight wins over Denver spanning from late 2009 to early last season, but that was all pre-Peyton Manning. The Broncos enter this one on a seven-game SU win streak (5-2 ATS). They’ve topped 30 points in six of those seven games. The good news for Oakland is that RB Darren McFadden (ankle) could be ready to return.

Can the Broncos continue their win streak with a double-digit victory? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Manning continues to amaze, ranking second in the NFL in passer rating (104.6) and tying for second with 29 touchdown passes. Last week he threw three touchdowns for the seventh time in the past nine games, helping beat Tampa Bay 31-23. Manning also tossed 3 TD in a 37-6 win over Oakland in Week 4, connecting on 30-of-38 passes (79%) for 338 yards. WR Eric Decker had 79 yards and a touchdown on seven catches, while Demaryius Thomas had a team-best 103 receiving yards in that win over the Raiders. Both wideouts have eight touchdowns this season, while Thomas has 1,114 receiving yards, which is tied for fourth in the NFL. Both receivers are excited to face Oakland's porous pass defense, which not only ranks 25th in the league, but has three key players in the secondary all listed as doubtful with concussion symptoms -- CB Phillip Adams and safeties Matt Giordano and Mike Mitchell. A big reason Denver was able to win easily in Week 4 was the ground game that chewed up 165 rushing yards, including 112 from Willis McGahee. But McGahee (knee) is now out for the season, and the Broncos are really struggling to run the football without him, gaining just 3.5 yards per carry and failing to reach 100 yards in either of the two games since his injury. Denver won't completely abandon the run though, as Oakland has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards in the NFL this year (130 YPG). The Raiders defense has been dreadful during the five-game losing skid, allowing 37.8 PPG on 441 total YPG. They have forced just four turnovers during this stretch as well.

Neither McFadden nor Goodson has played since Nov. 4, but McFadden is having his worst season as a pro with just 3.3 yards per carry. He gained just 34 yards on 13 carries (2.6 YPC) in the Week 4 loss to Denver. Goodson has nearly twice McFadden's season average (6.5 YPC), including 7.3 YPC against the Broncos, but has gotten a total of just 17 rushing attempts in his eight games this season. RB Marcel Reece has been a nice fill-in with 114 total YPG in four games since the pair of injuries, but he is listed as questionable for Thursday with a hamstring injury. This could make for a long evening, as Denver's rushing defense ranks seventh in the NFL with 96 YPG allowed. Raiders QB Carson Palmer will try to move the football through the air, but the Broncos also have an outstanding pass defense (212 YPG, 6th in NFL) led by future Hall-of-Fame CB Champ Bailey. Palmer has been pretty poor in his career versus Denver (71.3 passer rating, 6 TD, 8 INT), but he did throw for 332 yards, 3 TD and 3 INT in last year's home game against the Broncos, a 38-24 defeat. The Denver defense also has some key injuries though, with LB Wesley Woodyard (ankle) and CB Tracy Porter (head) both questionable for Thursday's game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/06/2012 07:36 PM


Week 14

Denver at Oakland
The Raiders look to build on their 9-4 ATS record in their last 13 meetings with Denver. Oakland is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by only 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+10 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


Game 101-102: Denver at Oakland (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 133.693; Oakland 126.244
Dunkel Line: Denver by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 10 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+10 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/06/2012 07:39 PM

Long Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, December 6


DENVER (9 - 3) at OAKLAND (3 - 9) - 12/6/2012, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Broncos (9-3) @ Raiders (3-9)—Oakland lost last five games (0-5 vs spread), allowing 37.8 ppg; they’re 1-3 as home underdog this year, 9-14-1 since ’08. Denver won last seven games (5-2 vs spread), scoring 30+ points six times, with road wins by 11-8-22-8 points; they’re 2-1 as road favorites this year, 6-4 since 2009. Fox’s defense is creating shorter fields for his offense; eight of last 11 Denver TD’s were on drives of less than 60 yards. Broncos (-6.5) crushed Raiders 37-6 in Week 4, outrushing Oakland 165-56 (TY 503-237)- they were 10-16 on 3rd down, Oakland 1-12. Manning was 30-39/338 passing. Denver won three of last four visits here, but haven’t swept Raiders since ’06. Eight of last 10 series games were decided by 14+ points. AFC West home teams are 3-5 vs spread in division games; home dogs are 1-2. Six of last eight Denver games, five of last seven Bronco games went over the total. Note: Raiders' coach Allen has been away from team this week, due to the death of his father.



Week 14

Trend Report

Thursday, December 6

8:20 PM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games



Thursday, December 6

Thursday Night Football: Broncos at Raiders

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (+10.5, 48)

With a division title already in their pocket, the Denver Broncos still have a first-round bye in their sights as they prepare for Thursday night's road game against the AFC West-rival Oakland Raiders in the Week 14 opener. Denver secured its 12th division crown with a 31-23 home triumph over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. It was the seventh consecutive victory for the Broncos, who have repeated as AFC West champions for the first time since 1986-87.

With four contests remaining, Denver is tied for the second seed in the conference with the AFC East champion New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens, who all are two games behind the top-seeded Houston Texans. The Broncos manhandled the Raiders in Week 4 as Peyton Manning threw for 338 yards and three touchdowns while Willis McGahee rushed for 112 yards and a score. Oakland enters the rematch hoping to end its losing streak, which reached five games with a 20-17 setback against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. The Raiders have allowed an average of 37.8 points during their slide.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: Denver opened as high as a 12-point favorite and has been bet down to as low as -10. The total has moved from 49.5 to 48.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid 50s. Winds are expected to blow west at 5 mph.

CONSENSUS: Covers Consensus is siding with the Broncos, with 54 percent on Denver. As for the total, 51 percent of consensus picks are on the under.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (9-3, 6-6 ATS): Executive Vice President of Football Operations John Elway was elated to acquire Manning last offseason. The former Broncos superstar quarterback has watched Manning pass him on two lists in the last two weeks. After moving past Elway for second place on the NFL's all-time list for victories by a starting QB, Manning set the franchise record for most touchdown passes in a single season on Sunday with three scoring tosses that raised his total to 29. He eclipsed the previous mark shared by Elway and Jake Plummer. The Broncos are not satisfied with winning the division title, a sentiment echoed throughout the locker room following Sunday's win. "That's not our biggest goal," cornerback Champ Bailey said. "It's just one thing out of the way." Coach John Fox added, "It's just a starting point, really."

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (3-9, 3-9 ATS): Oakland's losing streak is its longest since the club dropped six in a row in 2007 under first-year coach Lane Kiffin. Tight end Brandon Myers had 14 receptions Sunday against Cleveland, matching the franchise record set versus Jacksonville on Dec. 21, 1997, by Tim Brown. Myers now has 69 catches on the season, the most by a Raiders tight end since Todd Christensen hauled in 95 passes in 1986. Quarterback Carson Palmer has thrown for 300 yards in seven games this season. It's the most 300-yard performances by an Oakland signal-caller since Rich Gannon had 10 in 2002. Coach Dennis Allen believes RBs Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson will be in the lineup Thursday. Allen left the Raiders following Sunday's game to be with his father, who is dealing with a serious medical issue, but is expected to rejoin the team Wednesday.


* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oakland.
* Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings.


1. Fox is the second coach in NFL history to inherit a last-place club and guide it to division titles in his first two years.

2. Oakland K Sebastian Janikowski's 51-yard field goal on Sunday was the 40th of his career of at least 50 yards, tying him with Morten Andersen for third place on the all-time list in that category.

3. Janikowski has converted 124 consecutive extra points and is 24-for-26 on field-goal attempts this season. His only two misses were from 64 and 61 yards.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/06/2012 07:42 PM

Thursday, December 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Denver - 8:20 PM ET Oakland +10 500

Oakland - Under 48.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/09/2012 12:33 AM

Bengals, Cowboys Looking To Stay In NFL Playoff Picture

Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/09/2012 at 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Bengals -3, O/U 45½
Television: FOX

Dallas Cowboys: Still a solid fade against the NFL odds, the Cowboys (6-6 straight-up, 4-8 against the spread) have nonetheless climbed back into the NFC East title hunt with three wins in their last four games. The latest came this past Sunday against the Eagles, who have been the victims in two of Dallas' three wins in the last month. Quarterback Tony Romo helped rally the 'Boys with two touchdown passes in a 21-point fourth quarter to help them to a 38-33 win as 10½-point home favorites. It was the third straight contest that Dallas failed to cover the spread and fifth in the last six games. The Cowboys rank eighth in the league in total offense (379.1 yards per game) and a middling 15th in scoring (23.3 ppg) while the defensive unit is 11th and 21st in those two columns. Dallas won the most recent meeting with the Bengals in 2008, a 31-22 decision in the Lone Star State as 16-point chalk.

Cincinnati Bengals: A fourth consecutive win has the Bengals (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) tied with Pittsburgh for second in the AFC North, two games behind the front-running Baltimore Ravens. Cincinnati overcame three turnovers in San Diego last week and rallied back with 10 fourth-quarter points to slip past the Chargers, 20-13. The victory also marked the Bengals' fourth straight cover and fourth consecutive "under." Defense has been a big factor during the winning streak, allowing just 42 points (10.5 points per game) during the stretch compared to the team's season average of 21.7 ppg. The stop unit ranks eighth overall (331.3 ypg) and 11th in both passing (221.5 ypg) and rushing (110.3 ypg). Six of the last eight meetings between Dallas and Cincinnati have exceeded the total, but "under" trends are heavy for this year's clash. Seven of the last nine road games for the Cowboys have fallen short of the total while four of the Bengals' last five at home have finished below the mark.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34892 Followers:38
12/09/2012 12:36 AM

Giants, Saints Both Trying To Rebound From Losses

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
NFL Betting Preview
Date: 12/09/2012 at 4:25 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Giants -4½, O/U 53½
Television: FOX

New Orleans Saints: Postseason hopes took a hit last week for New Orleans (5-7 straight-up, 6-6 against the spread) with a 23-13 loss at Atlanta. The defeat was the second straight for the Saints, who were 3-point road 'dogs and also the second consecutive setback against the odds after dropping a 31-21 decision to the San Francisco 49ers at home the previous week, also as 3-point underdogs. Quarterback Drew Brees was intercepted five times in the loss to the Falcons (seven in the last two games) and saw his NFL record of games with at least one touchdown pass end at 54. New Orleans is 2-4 on the road, 3-3 vs. the spread, and 3-5 when facing NFC squads (4-4 ATS). Four of the Saints' last six games have stayed below the total after they began the season 5-1 "over." Their last two matchups against the Giants have gone past the total, but four of the last five played in East Rutherford have finished "under."

New York Giants: Coming off their 17-16 loss at the Redskins on Monday night, the Giants (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) need a win Sunday to ensure they stay at least one game ahead of Washington and Dallas in the NFC East title race. New York's third loss in four games was also the third point spread defeat in four games for Giants backers, who were giving up three points to the 'Skins. All four games in this stretch have stayed "under" the total. The Giants are 4-2 at MetLife Stadium this campaign, but they have covered just two of their six home tilts while four of the six failed to reach the total. The Giants have lost their last three meetings with the Saints, also failing to cover the spread in those matchups. New York is 5-2 at home vs. New Orleans since 1994, and four of the last five on this field have stayed below the scoreboard hurdle.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: