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Welcome everyone to the week long pregame coverage of Thanksgiving football!
I am your host Cole Ryan and I will be here leading up to kickoff
Unlike the Saturday and Sunday morning pregame show, we are trying something different for the Thanksgiving football schedule!
We have threads up for all of the games on Turkey day. As the week progresses we will add all of the information that we can find from around the league. This information will help bettors try and find a winning angle to make money on Turkey day!
Feel free to chime in with who you think will win and why. The idea is to share information and picks and join together to get some winners for turkey day!
If this does well we can do it every week for the midweek games, so let us know what you think.
Thanks for your input in advance and let’s find some winners!
RGIII has been as advertised and more in his rookie season, displaying the mobility everyone expected but the arm and pocket presence no one could have imagined. Ranked fourth in the NFL at 7.92 YPA and fifth in passer rating at 101.0, there’s no doubt that Washington’s offense will run through their dynamic quarterback for years to come.
Defensive coordinators often blitz rookie quarterbacks, but we saw Rob Ryan come after Brandon Weeden only four times on Sunday. He actually sent more three-man rushes—six—than blitzes. RGIII is certainly a different type of quarterback, but it could be more of the same from Ryan on Thanksgiving. Griffin has absolutely destroyed the blitz this year, racking up a passer rating of 126.3 when defenses rush more than four defenders. He has 9.82 YPA, seven touchdowns, and one interception against the blitz, and that doesn’t include how he can hurt defenses with his legs.
Thus, you’ll probably see the Cowboys keep seven and eight defenders in coverage most of the time on Thursday. Griffin is still going to try to beat the Cowboys as a runner, so the defense will need to play with sound gap control to halt the quarterback on the ground, especially when Washington runs read option.
The Cowboys’ best shot at keeping up with RGIII is inside linebacker Bruce Carter. With a 10.6 percent tackle rate and 5.79 YPA allowed in coverage, Carter may very well be playing football at a level equal to that of Sean Lee before he went down for the year. That’s big praise, but Carter deserves it. On Thursday, he’ll be a crucial cog in the Cowboys’ defensive attack.
After allowing three sacks on Sunday, it’s appropriate to wonder whether or not Free will be starting for Dallas in 2013. For now, there probably aren’t any better options, especially if offensive tackle Jermey Parnell must fill in for Smith on the left side. Free’s matchup will again be pivotal for Dallas because he’ll face off against Washington’s top pass-rusher in outside linebacker Ryan Kerrigan—a player who has rushed the passer from the right side of the Redskins’ defense on only 7.8 percent of snaps this year. Free, who I’ve tracked as allowing more pressure this year than he did in all of 2011 at the more difficult left tackle position, will probably need help on the outside. Look for the Cowboys to run a lot of double-tight sets so that John Phillips can chip Kerrigan or stay in to block altogether.
Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC East.
Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Redskins are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.
Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Cowboys are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
Cowboys are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC East.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Cowboys are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Cowboys are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Redskins last 4 vs. NFC East.
Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 vs. NFC.
Under is 6-2 in Redskins last 8 games in November.
Under is 9-3 in Redskins last 12 games in Week 12.
Over is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 19-9-1 in Redskins last 29 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 vs. NFC.
Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games on fieldturf.
Under is 9-4 in Cowboys last 13 games overall.
Under is 65-32-4 in Cowboys last 101 vs. a team with a losing record.
Head to Head
Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Redskins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Dallas.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 22-6 ATS in their last 28 meetings.
If the Redskins (4-6) are truly serious about making a playoff push, they can’t rest after a runaway victory over an Eagles team in disarray. They need to put together a streak, and a victory over the Cowboys (5-5) followed by another against the New York Giants (6-4) would get Washington to .500 and truly make the team a legitimate contender for the NFC East title.
And it has to be worked around a tight schedule. While it’s a thrill to be a part of the NFL’s Thanksgiving tradition, it’s a busy week for everyone involved. The Redskins caught a bit of a break because they recently had a bye, giving the coaching stuff two full days to start putting together a game plan for the Cowboys before turning their attention to the Eagles.
“Physically you’re not meant to do it,” defensive tackle Barry Cofield said, “so it’s just got to be a mental thing. We’ve just got to think about everything that we’re playing for, trying to build on the momentum of last week.”
The Redskins held a special teams walkthrough Monday and a regular practice Tuesday. They’ll be back on the field Wednesday before flying to Dallas.
“These last 30 hours have been a grind,” offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan said. “Just trying to get a full game plan in. Four days of work in one day. But you’re excited to play on Thanksgiving, this is my first time doing it. I think it’ll be fun.”
Griffin is returning home to Texas for the game, and he had plenty to say about his family. The underside of the tongues of his shoes were camouflaged for Sunday’s game, and the names of his parents — who both served in the military — were inscribed on the tops. He spoke again about how his father is one of his worst critics and was asked how important it is to make his father proud.
“It’s paramount to me. I didn’t even know what that word meant until he taught it to me a few years ago,” Griffin said with a laugh. “It’s really important. ... There are some games like the last one where you go 14 of 15 and he’s chewing you out, and you’re like, ‘C’mon, Dad.’”
With Kevin Ogletree missing his second straight day of practice because of a concussion suffered Sunday, the Cowboys could be looking at Dwayne Harris as their No. 3 wide receiver against Washington.
In the last three games Harris has made difference-making plays in the punt return game and against Cleveland he caught the first three passes of his career. He also drew a critical 35-yard pass interference penalty on the Cowboys’ game-tying drive in the final seconds of the fourth quarter.
“Anytime I get a chance to help the team any way I can, it’s always a good thing,” Harris said. “When my number’s called, I’ve got to do my job.”
“I think that he has just done a real good job understanding what his role is on this football team and really embracing it,” coach Jason Garrett said. “He’s made some big plays in the kicking game the last three weeks. He’s catching the ball on offense. We have a lot of confidence in him. Not afraid to put him out there.”
Brandon Meriweather's debut season with the Washington Redskins is a total loss.
The Redskins announced Monday that the strong safety will be placed on injured reserve after he tore his anterior cruciate ligament during Sunday's 31-6 win over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Meriweather had seven tackles, two pass breakups and one interception in the game, but he missed most of the second half after suffering what initially was diagnosed as a sprained knee. An MRI revealed the full extent of the damage, and Meriweather's recovery time after surgery is expected to be six months.
Meriweather made his season debut Sunday after missing the first nine games with strains in his medial collateral ligament and posterior cruciate ligament in his left knee during the preseason.