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Nebraska vs. Northwestern, 10/20/2012 15:30
Point Spread: -6½/-105 Nebraska
Nebraska Cornhuskers -6.5
As if getting its tail kicked 63-38 at Ohio State isn't enough motivation, Nebraska will be further fueled by last season's 28-25 home loss to Northwestern. Having had an extra week to prepare, there's no doubt the Huskers will be ready to exact revenge on the Wildcats.
Northwestern is 6-1, but forgive me if I'm not sold. It only has one victory this season against a team that currently has a winning record. In fact, five of its wins have come against teams that are currently 2-4 or worse.
Consider that Northwestern is just 4-12 ATS in home games when matched up against a team with a winning record under coach Pat Fitzgerald. It has lost by an average score of 33.5 to 22.9 in this situation.
The Nebraska offense has been awesome. It is averaging 43.7 points on 507.3 yards per game and should have little trouble moving the football on a Northwestern stop unit that ranks 56th in the country in total defense.
Nebraska's issue, at times, has been its defense, but I'm expecting its best defensive performance of the season to date in this highly motivated spot and following a bye week. The numbers are certainly in our favor as the Huskers are a perfect 7-0 ATS under coach Bo Pelini after giving up 17 points or more in the first half in two consecutive games. They have won by an average score of 37.6 to 19.6 in this situation. Lay the points.