cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 01:22 AM


Week 3

Where the action is: NFL Week 3 lines moves

Still waiting to see where Sunday’s odds are going to go? We talked to Jay Rood, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, about the biggest line moves on the NFL Week 3 board:

Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans – Open: Titans -3, Move: -7

Money on the Titans has moved this spread off one key number and on another, with Tennessee sitting around a touchdown favorite. Rood believes most of those bets are against the Broncos, rather than on the Titans.

“This is the first road test for Denver, which has struggled with its identity,” says Rood.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills – Open: Bills +9, Move: +7

According to Rood, this is the most bet game on the Week 3 board (along with Detroit-Minnesota), with almost all the early action on the 2-0 Bills. Rood expects the public to come back on New England before kickoff and says Buffalo’s offense is the reason people are buying up the Bills.

“If they were 2-0 but not putting up so many points, this spread wouldn't be as low,” he says. “But right now, the Bills offense is just clicking.”

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns – Open: Browns -3, Move: -1.5

Almost all the early action is on the Dolphins, who hit the road to face the Browns after taking on the Texans and Patriots at home in the first two weeks of the season.

“It might be good for (Miami) to get away from home, after losing two straight there,” says Rood.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Open: Bucs +1 Move: -2.5

Sharp action on the Bucs pushed the home side to the favorite, however, a lot of parlay action is tied to the Falcons. Rood thinks people are still trying to figure out Atlanta, especially after its come-from-behind win over Philadelphia last Sunday.

“People don’t know what to think right now,” he says. “Is Atlanta going to click and be like last year? Maybe since they didn’t address their defensive needs in the offseason, that it will come back to bite them.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 01:24 AM


Week 3

Sunday Night Football: Steelers at Colts

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (+10.5, 39.5)

THE STORY: Peyton Manning's neck injury could turn out to be painful for more than the Indianapolis Colts. The executives at NBC Sports who were probably salivating at the prospect of Sunday night's matchup between Indianapolis and the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers could be spitting mad at the thought of the prime-time television ratings if the downtrodden Colts are unable to be competitive for a third straight week. Indy will be looking to avoid starting the season 0-3 for the first time since Manning’s rookie season, but its struggling offense will face a stiff challenge against a Pittsburgh defense that is coming off a shutout of Seattle last week.

TV: NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET

LINE MOVES: The Steelers opened at -11 and were bet down to -10.5. The total was posted at 38.5 and has been bet up as high as 39.5 points.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (1-1, 1-1 ATS): After absorbing a beating from Baltimore in its season opener, Pittsburgh found the perfect tonic to remedy its woes against the offensively challenged Seahawks. The result was a predictable 24-0 romp over the league’s lowest-scoring team. The Steelers registered five sacks and limited Seattle to 164 total yards and only eight first downs. Rashard Mendenhall and Isaac Redman each ran for a touchdown and combined for 115 yards rushing as Pittsburgh held the ball for 38.5 minutes. QB Ben Roethlisberger bounced back from a rocky opener to complete 22 of 30 for 298 yards and one TD.

ABOUT THE COLTS (0-2, 0-2 ATS): Indianapolis has been as bad – if not worse – as feared in the absence of Manning, the league’s only four-time MVP. The Colts were steamrolled at Houston 34-7 in their season opener and weren’t much better in a 27-19 home loss to Cleveland last week. In Kerry Collins’ second start, Indy could not punch the ball into the end zone until the final 24 seconds. Collins, who came out of retirement to replace Manning, committed two costly four-quarter turnovers and completed only 50 percent of his passes (19 of 38, 191 yards) against a defense that doesn’t conjure up memories of the ’85 Bears.


1. Steelers WR Mike Wallace has back-to-back 100-yard games, extending his streak to five in the regular season dating to Dec. 19, 2010. He has eight receptions in each of the first two games.

2. The Colts have managed to put up only 26 points in their first two games. With Manning under center, they surpassed that total in one game 10 times in each of the last two seasons.

3. Pittsburgh has won seven of the last nine regular-season matchups with Indy, but the Colts have won the last two at home.


- Steelers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as favorites of 10.5 or greater.
- Colts are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs of 10.5 or greater.
- Over is 5-1 in Steelers last six games as road favorites.
- Under is 4-1 in Colts last five games as home underdogs.

PREDICTION: Steelers 27, Colts 13. Pride goeth before the fall. Indy rides the emotion of a prime-time home game to hang tough for a while before Pittsburgh’s defense finally takes control of the game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 01:32 AM

•NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road

•NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

•Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

•Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants

•Denver is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games

•Denver is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games

•The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 12 games at home

•Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver

•Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road

•The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road

•New Orleans is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

•New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

•Detroit is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota

•Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

•The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

•Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

•San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

•San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cincinnati

•Cincinnati is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco

•Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

•Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

•Jacksonville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

•The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home

•Carolina is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

•Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

•Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

•Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

•The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games

•New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

•New England is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

•Buffalo is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England

•Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England

•The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing St. Louis

•Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

•St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

•St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

•Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road

•Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

•San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

•The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home

•The total has gone OVER in 11 of the NY Jets last 12 games on the road

•NY Jets are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games on the road

•Oakland is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Jets

•The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games

•The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 14 games when playing Seattle

•Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road

•The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 13 games

•Seattle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

•Green Bay is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Chicago

•Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

•Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay

•The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay

•Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

•The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

•Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

•The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

•Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

•The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road

•Indianapolis is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh

•Indianapolis is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh

•The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road

•The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas

•The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

•Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 11:57 AM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/19/11 1-*0-*1 100.00% +*500 Detail
09/18/11 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*1900 Detail
09/12/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
09/11/11 8-*18-*0 30.77% -*5900 Detail
09/08/11 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
Totals 28-*34-*2 45.16% -*4700

Sunday, September 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Jacksonville +3.5 500
Carolina - Under 42.5 500

Denver - 1:00 PM ET (Tennessee -7 500 Early Blowout )
Tennessee - Under 43.5 500

Houston - 1:00 PM ET New Orleans -3.5 500
New Orleans - Over 51.5 500

Detroit - 1:00 PM ET (Minnesota +3 500 Shocker of the Day)
Minnesota - Over 44.5 500

N.Y. Giants - 1:00 PM ET Philadelphia -9 500
Philadelphia - Under 46.5 500

New England - 1:00 PM ET New England -7 500
Buffalo - Under 54.5 500

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Miami -1 500
Cleveland - Over 42.5 500

San Francisco - 1:00 PM ET (San Francisco +1.5 500 DOG OF THE DAY)
Cincinnati - Over 38.5 500

N.Y. Jets - 4:05 PM ET N.Y. Jets -3 500 ( HOT DOG SPECIAL OF THE DAY )
Oakland - Over 41 500

Baltimore - 4:05 PM ET Baltimore -5 500
St. Louis - Over 41.5 500

Kansas City - 4:05 PM ET Kansas City +14 500
San Diego - Under 44.5 500

Atlanta - 4:15 PM ET Atlanta +1 500
Tampa Bay - Under 46 500

Green Bay - 4:15 PM ET Green Bay -4 500
Chicago - Under 44.5 500 (BLACK AND BLUE SPECIAL)

Arizona - 4:15 PM ET Seattle +3 500 ( AFTERNOON DOG )
Seattle - Over 43 500

Pittsburgh - 8:20 PM ET Pittsburgh -10.5 500
Indianapolis - Over 39.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 12:15 PM

Week 3 Sunday NFL Betting Update

Are the Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions for real, and will they both remain unbeaten and improve to 3-0 after Sunday’s NFL action? Those are just a couple of key questions bettors are looking to answer before laying down their money on Week 3 games.

So far, the Bills have seen the line move in their favor, down from the opener of +9 to +7 at most sportsbooks in their matchup with AFC East favorite New England, according to the Don Best odds screen.

Many experts believe this is already a key point of the season, when the contenders start separating themselves from the pretenders. A limited training camp following the lockout has favored offenses so far, as the ‘over’ cashed in 11 of 16 games last week and is 23-8-1 overall through the first two games. Defenses need to start making more stops, otherwise teams like the Lions and their prolific passing game will continue to roll through opponents.

The Lions will be looking to break a 13-game losing streak at the Metrodome when they visit the Minnesota Vikings, and they are favored on the road against the Vikings for the first time in 30 years. However, the public has bet the line down from the opener of -4 to -3 ½ as Minnesota tries to avoid their first 0-3 start in nine years. Detroit has not started 3-0 since 1980.

The Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) have been another popular team with the public, and they are expected to have starting quarterback Michael Vick under center after he went through Friday’s walk-through. Vick suffered a concussion on Sunday night at Atlanta and was forced to leave the game in the second half of Philadelphia’s 35-31 loss.

The Eagles opened as 9-point favorites but have also been bet down to -8 and -8 ½ at some places. Vick is still listed as questionable on the injury report, and Philly trainer Rick Burkholder will continue to monitor his progress heading into Sunday’s game.

Other key injuries to keep an eye on include Arizona Cardinals running back Beanie Wells, who hurt his hamstring in practice on Thursday. Wells is considered a game-time decision when his Cardinals (1-1) travel to Seattle to face the Seahawks as 3 ½-point favorites.

Arizona opened at -3 against a Seattle team that ranks dead last in the NFL offensively with just 191.5 yards per game.

Houston Texans RB Arian Foster was limited in practice on Thursday and Friday due to a lingering hamstring injury, which means Ben Tate will likely get his first career start. The Texans (2-0) visit the New Orleans Saints (1-1), who opened as 5 ½-point favorites but have seen the line shrink as low as 3 ½.

Neither St. Louis Rams RB Steven Jackson (quad) nor Denver Broncos RB Knowshon Moreno (hamstring) played last week for their respective teams, and they both remain very questionable to return this week. The Rams (0-2) host the Baltimore Ravens (1-1) while the Broncos (1-1) visit the Tennessee Titans (1-1).

The Ravens (-4) and Titans (-7) have each seen betting in their favor.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 12:19 PM

Gridiron Trends - Week 3

September 24, 2011


The Bills are 11-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since November 1999 after a win by three points or less during which they controlled the battle of posession.


The Broncos are 0-13 ATS (-16.2 ppg) since November 12, 2006 following a game which they led at half and allowed more points than expected.


The Giants are 0-13-1 OU (-7.8 ppg) since November 01, 1992 as a road 7+ dog after a straight up win.


The Falcons are 0-11 ATS (-12.7 ppg) since September 18th 1994 over the first five weeks of the season when they are off a game in which they scored at least 28 points and allowed at least 10.


Ohio is 10-0 ATS (10.6 ppg) since October 2006 when they scored between 35 and 45 points last game and aren’t more than a 30 points favorite.


Eastern Michigan is 0-12 ATS (-15.0 ppg) since 2006 when facing a team they scored between six and 13 points against last meeting.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 12:21 PM

Week 3 Line Moves

September 24, 2011

Who would have ever thought that the NFL’s feature game of Week 3 would be the mighty New England Patriots visiting the upstart Buffalo Bills. If you had looked at the M Resort’s Week 3 odds a few months ago, picking this game with the Patriots being nine-point favorites wouldn’t have entered anyone’s mind as being the only game this week to match two undefeated teams against each other.
Despite the Bills piling up 79 points in the first two games, the market price when most Las Vegas sports books opened the game Monday was still Patriots -9, the same line it was before we knew what the Bills had in store offensively for the 2011 season. The Patriots are every bit as good -- maybe better -- than we anticipated, so why -9?

It didn’t take long for sharp money to answer those questions with cash, because they took the Bills at +9, +8 ½,+8, and +7 ½. Despite all the straight bets on Buffalo, most books will still be rooting the Bills in this one because the public loves New England.

“We’ve got a lot of action on the Bills,” said South Point sports book director Bert Osborne, “and you would think that we would be needing the Patriots, but the public money is so overwhelming on the parlays and teasers with the Patriots that I will probably be rooting for the sharp side to win for the book’s best interest.“

The Patriots are one of many very popular public sides this week. In fact, this is the weighted public opinion week of the three weeks. The public has seen two games from each team and feel they have a good read on who will do well, and who won’t, and have bet accordingly.

There are 10 games this week where the ticket counts on a certain side are weighted at a 7-to-3 ratio or higher. In each of the first two weeks of NFL action, there were 10 games combined that had that kind of weight.

Needless to say, if seven or eight of those games come in, it’s going to be a rough day for the books. If the sports books can split those games, they’ll do well.

Here’s a look at the most weighted public games:

The top two teams that link almost everyone’s parlays are the Packers (-4) at Chicago and the Ravens (-4) at St. Louis, two teams that let the public down considerably last week by not covering.

In addition to the Patriots, they also love the Saints laying four points at home against the Texans, the Lions laying three at Minnesota, The Chargers laying two touchdowns at home to Kansas City, the Jets (-3) at Oakland and the Cardinals (-3 ½) at Seattle.

The Steelers (-10 ½) are also popular choices at Indianapolis along with Washington (+6) at Dallas in the two isolated games under the lights.

It’s not surprising that of the 10 games, nine of them are favorites. The one underdog finding support is the Redskins. Between having Tony Romo’s ribs banged up and his two starting wide receivers being very ‘questionable’ or ‘out,’ the public has found all the reason in the world to back the 2-0 Redskins led by the appearance of a vastly improved Rex Grossman at quarterback.

Other than the New England game, there hasn’t been too much movement on the week. Most sports books react only to large straight bets when moving the line. In this week’s case, with so many books getting one-sided action, it could be that they are waiting for the risk to mount and force the book to move and get an extra half-point on a game by kickoff.

The games the sharps have shown their hand on already are the Bills, Raiders, Seahawks and Colts.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 12:24 PM

Total Talk - Week 3

September 24, 2011

Week 2 Recap

If you’re a gambler that likes to be ‘over’ tickets then you’ve been doing well this NFL season. The ‘over’ went 10-5-1 (67%) in Week 2 and that was after the sportsbooks made healthy adjustments from the opening weekend to offset the action from the betting public. Guess what? It didn’t matter and once again, the books have made even more tweaks, perhaps too many for Week 3.

We had six totals in Week 1 close at 39 points or less and that number was split in half last weekend to three. For Week 3, it appears that the Steelers-Colts (39.5) matchup could fit in this situation, which is the only one. Then again, that battle will be the primetime affair on Sunday and all total players should be aware that every game under the lights has gone ‘over’ this season.

After two weeks of action, the ‘over’ has gone 21-8-3 (72%) on the season.

What’s the reason behind the shootouts? handicapper Lee Kostroski and his ASA stable of experts are still trying to answer that question. He said, “While we can't say for sure it may have to do with the lockout and the shorter prep time along with conditioning for the players and coaches. Could it be the rule changes regarding defensive back and less hitting in practices?”

“ One thing for sure is that passing, league wide, is certainly up this year as teams are averaging 246.4 yards per game passing in the first two weeks compared to the 2010 average of 221.3 YPG. On average the league is completing a combined 27.2 more passes per week this season compared to 2010.”

“It's been said the NFL is turning into a pass-first league and the numbers from the first two weeks certainly support that thinking. In 2010 the percentage of pass plays called by offensive coordinators was 57% per game. This year that number has trended up to 59%. On average teams are running 63 plays per game thus far this season which is the exact average of 2010. It's interesting to note that 12 teams are averaging over 6.0 yards per play this season compared to only three teams finishing above that number last season. “

“Explosive plays are clearly contributing to the higher scoring games too as teams are converting points inside the Red Zone just 48% of the time this season compared to 53% all of last season.”

Bad Beats

Whether you win or you lose, you should always grade the outcomes, especially if you’re betting every football weekend. Watching the DirecTV shortcuts on Monday and Tuesday is a great way to handicap, but even looking at a box score will tell you so much more than the final.

Gamblers, particularly ‘under’ bettors who took the following games witnessed some crazy finishes and tough losses.

Oakland-Buffalo: Scoreless after 15 minutes, 73 the rest of the way, including 35 in the fourth quarter.

Green Bay-Carolina: A conservative 13-7 score at half turns out to be a 30-23 final. And the Packers kicked three field goals in one quarter.

Cleveland-Indianapolis: Probably the toughest one to swallow if you had the ‘under’ here. Seventeen points in the last four minutes. Ouch!

Dallas-San Francisco: Another 0-0 score after the first quarter. Still, 30 points in the second help the cause.

San Diego-New England and Philadelphia-Atlanta: Playing the ‘under’ on these games is always tough due to the prolific attacks involved and bettors witnessed that. The Pats and Bolts combined for 29 in the fourth, while the Battle of the Birds saw a 42-spot posted.

Total players chasing their bets at the break watched the ‘over’ go 10-6 in the second-half of Week 2.

Divisional Trends

New England at Buffalo: If you’re looking to fade an inflated number, then this is the game for you. The total opened at 51, and has spiked to 54 at some shops. That’s ridiculous. Even when the Patriots were blasting people during their undefeated season that fell short in the Super Bowl, the totals would rarely be over 50 points. The Bills have come out firing with 41 and 38 in their first two weeks, but will that last? Does Buffalo really think it can beat New England in a shootout? Considering the Bills have posted 3, 10, 0, 10 and 6 in their last five home encounters against the Pats, maybe a high-scoring outcome could help their chances.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia: Three of the last four in this series has gone ‘over’ the number, but make a note that the Giants have posted 17 points in each of their last two trips to Philadelphia. And despite putting up 28 last Monday, the defense added seven points. However, the Rams scored four times (3 FGs) and definitely left points off the board.

Detroit at Minnesota: The Lions and Vikings have watched the ‘under’ cash in six straight meetings. During that span, Detroit has cracked 20 points once. Vikings’ offense looks lethargic, which has hurt a defense (24 PPG) that was once dominant.

Kansas City at San Diego: The Chiefs have scored 10 total points in two games, yet the ‘over’ has cashed in each affair. That’s because your defense has allowed 89 points. Number started high (45) but is slowly creeping down. The ‘under’ went 2-0 between the pair in 2010.

Arizona at Seattle: For the past three seasons, the ‘over/under’ has gone 1-1 in this head-to-head series. Does that mean you pass and do the opposite of the second encounter? Make a note that Seattle has score no points in the first half through two games.

Green Bay at Chicago: Seven straight ‘under’ tickets in this series, yet we have a total hovering around 45 points.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: Both battles went ‘over’ last year, which snapped a four-game ‘under’ run in the series. Bucs have watched both of their games go ‘over’ this season.

Washington at Dallas: The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in the last four meetings, including a split last season. Last year, the Cowboys saw all eight of their home games go ‘over’ the number, which included a 33-30 shootout against the ‘Skins.

Primetime Cash

As mentioned above, every game played under the lights this season has gone ‘over’ the number, which is surprising since these contests are always shaded higher due to the late push from the betting public. Some bettors may’ve had the Giants-Rams ‘over/under’ at 44 last Monday, while others could’ve shopped for the hook in either direction and pulled the quick middle between 43 ½ and 44 ½ points.

This week, we have two more games and something tells us that the streak could end here.

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis: The Steelers’ offense hasn’t looked sharp in terms of points but they are putting up the yards. Quarterback Kerry Collins will get better with Indy as the season progresses but it’s hard to see him mustering up anything special against Pitt’s defense on SNF.

Washington at Dallas: (See above)

Fearless Predictions

Perhaps we should’ve waited another week to hop back on the gridiron. We put up a 1-3 spot last Sunday, losing all three of our straight plays and barely cashing the teaser. With all bets based on one-unit, the deficit stands at minus $230.

Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Houston-New Orleans 52

Best Under: San Francisco-Cincinnati 40.5

Best Team Total: Rams Over 19.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over Houston-New Orleans 43
Over Baltimore-St. Louis 33
Under San Francisco-Cincinnati 49.5

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/25/2011 12:32 PM

Las Vegas Hilton SuperContest Picks


Leroy's College Challenge
Week 3 Consensus Picks

1) Philadelphia (-6.5) vs. New York Giants
2) Oakland (+3.5) vs. New York Jets
3) Miami (+2.5) at Cleveland
4) Minnesota (+3.5) vs. Detroit
5) Baltimore (-4) at St. Louis

Weekly and Overall Consensus Records
Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage
1 2-3 2-3 40%
2 1-2-2 3-5-2 38%

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 09/26/2011 05:27 PM

    Dallas Cowboys Host Redskins On Monday Night Football

    Friday, September 23, 2011 Sep 26, 2011

    It's a good thing the Dallas Cowboys have a group health insurance plan. One look at the list of walking wounded on the Cowboys roster, and you begin to wonder if some of the few healthy players might have to go both ways when they host the Washington Redskins on Monday night.

    Let me rephrase that; I don't want to get this preview rolling by adding to all of the Troy Aikman rumors.

    Dallas probably won't employ any two-way players in ESPN's next edition of Monday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET). But Jason Garrett and the Cowboys are going to at least see their depth chart on the offensive side of the ball tested against Mike Shanahan's club in the key NFC East matchup between longtime rivals. Washington has the very early hold on the division lead and a Dallas win would guarantee that all four teams go into Week four just a game apart.

    Getting the win, despite being at home and favored by 5-6½ points depending where you place your NFL wagers, isn't going to be easy for the Cowboys. A lot of shops have yet to put the game on the board due to the Dallas injuries.

    Tight end Jason Witten is probable with bruised ribs, so count him among the lucky ones on the Dallas offense. Running back Felix Jones (shoulder) and wideout Dez Bryant (hamstring) are listed as probable, with WR Miles Austin recently downgraded to doubtful according to the Don Best injury report.

    The offensive line is the next concern with center Phil Costa (knee) questionable and the guard position weak due to Derrick Dockery (knee injury) expected to miss the game. Dockery replaced Wisconsin rookie Bill Nagy after the first week, and Nagy is now probable with a neck injury that was likely caused by turning his head to see another one of his missed blocks in the Cowboys season opener.

    The injuries on the line come at a bad time since this week of all weeks is one the Cowboys need their quarterback protected. Tony Romo is officially probable after cracking a rib and, oh yeah, puncturing a lung in his gutsy performance during last week's overtime win at the 49ers. It's a game that will go down in sports folklore alongside Curt Schilling's bloody ankle from Game 6 of the '04 ALCS.

    Last week's victory in San Francisco also went down in the Thank You, Jesus/Allah/Buddha/Ra (pick one) files of the Dallas backers who were laying three points on the NFL betting line. It was the second 'over' of the year for the Cowboys, with a lot of NFL teams presently sporting 2-0 'over' records.

    This is Dallas' first home game of the year, and Jerry Jones may want to keep some nitroglycerin handy just in case. The Cowboys were a pathetic 2-6 in Jerry's new playground last season, so it could aid a possible heart attack in case of a Dallas defeat, as well as help blow the North Texas Caligula Coliseum up after the game.

    Washington is hitting the road for the first time this year. Ironically, getting their first two wins at home this year was a big deal for Shanahan and the 'Skins after they too went 2-6 in front of their home faithful in 2010.

    The latest triumph didn't cover the 4½-point number Washington was laying, but it was a solid winning effort with 13 points in the final quarter to edge the Cardinals, 22-21. Having Rex Grossman for your QB is a bit like having your No. 3 starter in baseball take on the other team's ace each week, but he has gotten the job done to this point.

    Grossman will have to avoid giving it up through the air this week since the Dallas defense isn't going to concede much on the ground. A key player for the Redskins might be rookie running back Roy Helu Jr. who has given them a perfect complement to Tim Hightower in the backfield.

    Monday's NFL odds total is at 45½. Dallas' 33-30 win at home in Week 15 of last season stopped a string of four straight 'unders' between the two clubs.

    A warm, clear day is in the forecast for the D-FW metroplex on Monday. Kickoff should find temps in the mid-80s with a very light breeze out of the northeast.

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/26/2011 05:29 PM

Tony Romo Expected To Play For Dallas Cowboys

Sep 26, 2011

The status of Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo remains up in the air as he is officially listed as questionable on the injury report for Monday night’s home game against the Washington Redskins.

Most sportsbooks are holding off on posting a line on the game, although the Cowboys are favored by 6 ½ points at the Las Vegas Hilton, according to the Don Best odds screen.

Romo practiced Saturday on a limited basis after suffering a punctured lung and fractured rib in last week’s 27-24 overtime win at San Francisco. He left the game in the second half and was replaced briefly by backup Jon Kitna before returning to lead Dallas to a thrilling come-from-behind victory.

However, there are more key injuries for the Cowboys than just Romo. They could also be without both of their starting wide receivers, as Miles Austin (hamstring) is out and Dez Bryant (quad) is listed as questionable while starting running back Felix Jones is also questionable with a separated shoulder.

Austin scored a career-high three touchdowns last week against the 49ers and finished with seven catches for 143 yards. Bryant did not play in that game but had three catches for 71 yards and scored a touchdown in the season-opening 27-24 loss to the New York Jets. Jones has yet to be much of a factor for Dallas with 69 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards in two games.

If Bryant does not play, the Cowboys are expected to start Kevin Ogletree and Jesse Holley at wide receiver. Ogletree has 14 career receptions, including four this year, while Holley has even less experience with three catches for 96 yards.

However, Holley made arguably the biggest play of the game against San Francisco, hauling in a 77-yard pass from Romo in OT that set up Dan Bailey’s game-winning field goal. Holley won a tryout with the team courtesy of Michael Irvin’s “Fourth and Long” reality television show.

The Redskins are relatively healthy in comparison and covered the spread in both meetings with Dallas a year ago. Washington QB Rex Grossman enjoyed a breakout performance in his first year with the team last season in Week 15 when he threw for 322 yards and four touchdowns in a 33-30 road loss to the Cowboys.

The Redskins beat Dallas 13-7 in last year’s season opener with Donovan McNabb under center, and they are 7-2 against the spread in the past nine games between the teams despite losing four of five in the series straight-up.

The ‘under’ has cashed in four of the last five meetings.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: