cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
On 09/19/2011 04:32 PM in NCAA Football

Cnotes CFB Week # 4 Best Bets !

Central Florida In Friday Matchup At BYU Cougars

Central Florida and the BYU Cougars are meeting for the first time.
Both the UCF Knights and BYU Cougars thought that they were BCS-caliber teams this season. Neither one will be crashing the BCS party after early season losses, but there is still plenty to play for on both sides.

These two will meet at Lavell Edwards Stadium on Friday night at 8:00 p.m. (ET) in a nationally televised NCAA football betting affair on ESPN.

It's hard to think that this game really could change conference realignment in the future, but it really is possible. UCF (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) has dreams of getting into a revamped Big East, and a win like this one on the road against a program with some history and tradition to it would only bolster its case to join an AQ conference.

Meanwhile, BYU (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) stepped away from the Mountain West after last season and is now an independent, but could be looking for entry into the Pac-16 or potentially a revamped Big XII or Big Ten in the near future. A loss in this game could be devastating for head coach Bronco Mendenhall and the gang.

A pair of sophomore quarterbacks will be under the gun as the Cougars' Jake Heaps squares off with the Knights' Jeff Godfrey. Of all of the sophomore quarterbacks in the nation, these are two of the more intriguing players, though they're two completely different quarterbacks.

Heaps is more of a drop-back passer. He has completed 57.1 percent of his passes for 722 yards on the campaign, but he has a TD/INT ratio of 3/4. The only receiver he has on the team that is averaging even 50 yards per game is Cody Hoffman.

Godfrey looks to run first and throw second, something that head coach George O'Leary is trying to change at least just a tad. The sophomore leads the Knights with six touchdowns with six, but he has yet to throw for a score on the season.

The Knights have a trio of fantastic running backs behind Godfrey, and all are likely to get at least 8-10 touches in this one. Ronnie Weaver, Brynn Harvey and Latavius Murray have combined for 79 carries for 421 yards and four touchdowns on the campaign, and all three have over 120 total yards.

UCF is clearly a defensive-minded team, something that you don't see a lot in Conference USA. The team has allowed just 20 total points on the campaign, though 17 of those came in last week's loss against the Florida International Golden Panthers.

BYU's defense had kept both the Ole Miss Rebels and Texas Longhorns down in its first two games, but last week's home opener against the Utah Utes was an embarrassment. Though it wasn't all the defense's fault, the Cougars were outscored 40-0 in the second half of the "Holy War" en route to a 54-10 defeat.

This is the first meeting between these two teams, and it is as far west as UCF has traveled for a road game since 2002 against the Arizona State Sun Devils. The Knights are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games, but last week's loss came at FIU, their only road encounter on the season. They are also 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following an SU defeat.

The Cougars have covered four straight against teams with a winning record.

The hosts are favored by three points on the Don Best odds screen for Friday night's encounter, though they opened on Sunday night at minus 3 ½. The 'total' is still off the board as of Monday morning.

Expect a nice night in Provo on Friday, as the early forecast is calling for afternoon highs to reach the low-80s with no chance of rain and relatively light winds.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 04:37 PM

Books lose on Saturday

September 19, 2011

The first two weeks of college football action had seen the public favorites negate what could have been winning days for Las Vegas sports books. Past history has shown that when there is an evenly mixed ratio of underdogs to favorites winning, the house does well. Even though the favorites went only 25-23, Saturday’s games followed the same trend of the previous two weeks with public teams like Wisconsin, Stanford, Oklahoma, USC and Miami piling up large parlay payouts that the books couldn’t counter with.

However, for at least one chain of books, they fared well on the day thanks to a little boxing match held at their property. The MGM Resorts properties were cringing with every college football final score they posted on Saturday night, but got good news with Floyd Mayweather’s controversial fourth-round knocked of Victor Ortiz at the MGM Grand.

Other sports books around town all fared well on the bout too, but a major chunk of the state’s action on the fight was taken within the MGM and their other properties like the Mirage, Mandalay Bay and Bellagio.

Mayweather had opened a large -900 favorite over Ortiz and the sports books couldn’t find anyone to lay it. From the time the line came out until the start of the first round, it was all Ortiz money, both small and large. Mayweather closed as a -500 favorite at the MGM and dipped to -475 at the South Point.

Usually in fights where there is a big favorite like this, the sharp money likes to wait until the last possible moment because they know the public will always be all over the underdog due to the high returns should they win; they like the bet a little to win a lot. When the Sharps feel the price is as low as it will go, then they come with the large bets.

Between the small money and large money both being on Ortiz, the day’s college football losses took a back seat to the big win.

The rest of the city didn’t have the fortune of having the match at their property like the MGM did, but still managed to ease the pain of the large college football losses at the end of the day.

The biggest blow was the three-team 6-to-1 parlay from the night games with USC (-16) beating Syracuse, Oklahoma (-3) winning at Florida State and Miami (-2 ½) dominating Ohio State. Those results were magnified even worse when Stanford came in with their impressive 37-10 win at Arizona.

Games that helped the sports books not lose as much began with Nebraska (-17) getting back doored by Washington to win 51-38. TCU (-29) had a rough start in their game against Louisiana-Monroe, eventually winning 38-17, but didn’t cover.

The big 40-20 UNLV win over Hawaii could have been a massive win for the sports books -- and it did kill all kinds of dangerous parlays, but Sharp money was all over the Rebels despite their horrendous efforts in their first two games. Hawaii dropped from a 20 ½-point favorite all the way to -17 by kickoff. The books avoided the public parlay wrath, but still eventually lost the game because of the overwhelming large money on straight bets with UNLV.

UNLV paid out as the biggest moneyline underdog winner of the day at 7-to-1 odds. Of the 23 underdogs that covered on the day, 12 of them won outright. Tulane’s 49-10 surprising 49-10 win at UAB paid out at 7-to-2 odds and Wyoming’s 28-27 win at Bowling Green gave 3-to-1 odds. However, there weren’t too many bettors that could say they had the foresight that actually had tickets on those games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 04:40 PM

College Notebook

September 19, 2011

Air Force...Falcons senior starting LB Patrick Hennessey will likely miss the remainder of the season with a severe thumb injury. The position is one of the deepest on the AFA roster, although Hennessey's leadership could be missed.

Akron...The Zips continue to get boat-raced, now outscored 142-17 in losing their first three games after last Saturday's 59-14 beatdown courtesy of Cincinnati. HC Rob Ianello was forced to bench QB Clayton "Lone Ranger" Moore in the second half at Nippert Stadium after he was responsible for three turnovers (a fumble and two picks) that became Bearcat TDs in a 49-0 first half. Junior Patrick Nicely, last year's starter, was hardly more effective and Moore returned late to throw a pair of 4th Q TDs after the deficit had mushroomed to 59-0.

Arizona...WR Juron Criner, who underwent an emergency appendectomy just ten days earlier, returned to action at least a week sooner than expected for the Wildcats last Saturday vs. Stanford, catching six passes vs. the Cardinal. It mattered little in a numbing 37-10 loss, UA's seventh straight vs. FBS foes, with rumblings of heat beginning to turn up on HC Mike Stoops as Cats were again very imbalanced (just 52 YR after a mere 41 YR the previous week at Ok State) in lopsided home defeat.

Colorado State...Bad news for Ram defense, which lost its best player and perhaps the Mountain West's top defender when hybrid LB sr. Mychal Sisson, a starter since his freshman season, suffered a broken ankle in the Sept. 10 win over Northern Colorado and is likely lost for the season. CSU's stop unit had already seen DE Broderick Sargent KO'd by an ACL tear in the New Mexico opener. Reserves stepped into the breach admirably last week vs. Colorado before the Ram "D" wore out in the 4th Q of eventual 28-14 defeat in Denver.

Duke...RB Desmond Scott, last year's leading Blue Devil rusher with 511 yards, missed his second straight game due to a leg injury last week at Boston College. Duke gained only 81 YR in his absence at Chestnut Hill, but coped thanks to QB Sean Renfree's school-record 41 completions, and a missed 23-yard FG by Eagle PK Nate Freese in the final seconds. Scott is expected to be available for Saturday's game vs. Tulane.

Florida Atlantic...One of many reasons the Owls have started an ugly 0-2 is the absence of impact LB and all-name team Yourhighness Morgan, yet to be cleared to participate this season due to a concussion.

Florida State...Starting QB E.J. Manuel was KO'd with a shoulder injury in the 3rd quarter of last Saturday's major intersectional vs. Oklahoma, and his status is up in the air for this week's ACC showdown at Clemson. RS frosh backup QB Clint Trickett, son of FSU assistant Rick Trickett, led the Noles' only TD drive vs. the Sooners and kept FSU in the game until deep int he 4th Q of OU's eventual 23-13 win.

Georgia Tech...Those passing stats for Tech option QB Tevin Washington are no misprint; 17 of 28 for 637 yards and 7 TDs in the Jackets' first three games! Tech's fireworks continued with 768 yards of offense last Saturday vs. Kansas, with Paul Johnson's team scoring a hefty 59.7 ppg in three outings!

Hawaii...The Warriors were minus key slotback Jeremiah Ostrowski, who caught 19 passes in Hawaii's first two games, due to a foot injury last Saturday at UNLV. Although his replacement Justin Clapp caught 2 TD passes, its doubtful Ostrowski's absence was responsible for a poor showing by the Warriors, who gained only 208 yards and looked completely lethargic in a shock 40-20 loss to the Rebels. Ostrowski is likely to have returned by the Warriors' next WAC game, October 1, at La Tech.

Kansas...Explosive WR JaCorey Shepherd (27.5 yards per catch and 2 TDs in the first two games) missed last Saturday's Georgia Tech tilt with a strained groin, although with a bye upcoming he could be ready for the next game October 1 vs. Texas Tech. The Jayhawks needed a lot more help than Shepherd vs. the Jackets, especially on defense after allowing Tech to erupt for a whopping 768 yards in a 66-24 wipeout over KU.

Louisville...Starting QB Will Stein was KO'd in the 2nd Q last Saturday at Kentucky with a shoulder injury, opening the door for touted true frosh Teddy Bridgewater, a Miami area product, to take control of the offense a bit earlier than expected. Don't be surprised if Bridgewater keeps the job after completing 10 of 18 passes and 2 TDs in the Cards' 24-17 upset win at Lexington.

LSU...Explosive WR Russell Shepard is likely to return from suspension for the Tigers game this Saturday at West Virginia.

Maryland...Key WRs Ronnie Tyler and Quintin McCree were suspended indefinitely by HC Randy Edsall prior to last Saturday's game vs. West Virginia. Tyler, who was the Terps' leading career receiver on the roster with 67 catches, was recently charged with an assault relating to an incident in the dangerous Prince George's County. McCree was not charged in the incident but was similarly suspended for conduct unbecoming to the team. It took QB Danny O'Brien a while to adjust to their absences in an eventual 37-31 loss to the Mountaineers at College Park.

Memphis...RB Jerrell Rhodes, the Tigers' most-explosive back, missed his second straight game last week vs. Austin Peay (a rare Memphis with) with a lingering knee injury. His return date in unknown for Memphis, which could use him this Saturday vs. SMU at the Liberty Bowl.

Ole Miss...The war drums are beating for HC Houston Nutt in Oxford after last Saturday's ugly 30-7 loss at Vanderbilt, Nutt's third loss to the Dores in four years as Rebel coach. The QB situation continues to deteriorate, as starter Zack Stoudt tossed five picks at Nashville and was replaced by juco RS Randall Mackey in the second half, only to return to fire the last two of his five picks. Original starter Barry Brunetti didn't even get into the game at Vandy.

Navy...The Mid defense was thinned last Saturday at South Carolina, with starting LBs Jarrod Shannon (shoulder) and Mason Graham (knee) out vs. the Gamecocks. The Annapolis could have used them both to better slow SC RB Marcus Lattimore, who rumbled for 249 YR in the Cocks' narrow 24-21 win. D.c. Buddy Green hopes to have both back in the lineup for the next game, October 1, vs. hated Air Force.

Northwestern...Expect QB Dan Persa, who has been rehabbing from Achilles tendon surgery, to be in the starting lineup for the first time this season when NU next takes the field October 1 at Illinois. HC Pat Fitzgerald indicated that Persa could have been used in "emergency duty" last weekend at Army; that definition apparently didn't include ineffectiveness by starter Kain Colter, who was pulled in the 2nd half after three straight possessions with gaining a first down. Backup Trevor Siemian tossed a 62-yard TD to Jeremy Ebert (who broke the short pass for a long gain) in relief, but the Cats' inability to control the West Point option and its 381 rush yards proved too much in a 21-14 Army win.

Oklahoma...Star LB Travis Lewis returned to the lineup earlier than expected from a recent broken toe, back on the field last Saturday in the Sooners' 23-13 win at Florida State.

Oregon State...The banged-up Beavers took advantage of last week's bye and hope to have the services of RB Malcolm Agnew (223 YR in opener vs. Sac State but out with a hamstring vs. Wisconsin) and TE Joe Halahuni (66 career catches but has missed both games with shoulder problems) for this week's game vs. visiting UCLA. It's unknown, however, if OSU will have available leading WR Markus Wheaton (14 catches but injured ribs at Wisconsin) or the explosive but long absent WR James Rodgers, still rehabbing his knee that was injured last October at Arizona. Sources say HC Mike Riley, dealing with a QB controversy in Corvallis, is likely to start RS frosh Sean Mannion over 2010 starter Ryan Katz for this week's game vs. the Bruins.

Purdue...QB Robert Marve, out since last year after ACL injury, returned to action last Saturday vs. SE Missouri State and completed 7 of 8 passes in the 2nd Q of eventual 59-0 Boilermaker blowout. Caleb TerBush remains Danny Hope's starting QB for the moment, but Marve's availability now gives Purdue some extra options that were absent when Marve and Rob Henry (out for the year with a knee injury) were both unavailable.

San Jose State...Don't be surprised if HC Mike McIntyre makes his second QB switch in September and goes back to original starter Matt Faulkner for this week's game vs. New Mexico State. Senior Faulkner, who has earlier relinquished the job, relieved his ineffective replacement Dasmen Stewart in the second half last Saturday vs. Nevada. Faulker completed 10 of 19 passes and ignited a late Spartan rally that fell just short in a 17-14 loss to the Wolf Pack.

TCU...RB Ed Wesley, last year's leading Frog rusher, missed his second straight game last week vs. UL-Monroe with a shoulder injury. The deep TCU backfield compensated effectively while churning out 205 yards rushing vs. the Warhawks, and might see Wesley held out one more week vs. FCS Portland State before the Metroplex showdown vs. SMU on September 30.

Texas...As expected, HC Mack Brown has benched original starting QB Garrett Gilbert, who is unlikely to see the field the rest of the season if sophomore Case McCoy and frosh David Ash continue to perform as they have since relieving Gilbert vs. BYU on Sept. 10. McCoy took the majority of the snaps and completed 12 of 15 passes for 2 TDs last week at UCLA, with Ash completing all 3 of his throws in a 49-20 romp past the Bruins.

Texas Tech...Those passing stats for the Red Raiders last Saturday at New Mexico were no mirage; 45 of 50 completions for 446 yards and 6 TD passes in a 59-13 wipeout over the Lobos. Starting QB Seth Doege gets credit for 40 of those completions in 44 attempts as well as 5 TDs in the rout at Albuquerque.

Tulsa...QB G.J. Kinne was KO'd with an apparent knee injury in the first half of last Saturday's (or should we say early Sunday morning) game vs. Oklahoma State and did not return to the game. Backup Kalen Henderson struggled in Kinne's absence, completing just 6 of 20 passes in the Cowboys' lopsided 59-33 win.

UCLA...HC Rick Neuheisel yanked QB Kevin Prince, returning to the lineup for the first time since being forced out of the opener vs. Houston with a neck stinger, after three picks in his first seven passes during last Saturday's humbling 49-20 loss to Texas. Backup Richard Brehaut, who has started more games than the injury-prone Prince since last season, completed only 8 of 19 passes in an ugly beatdown administered by the Longhorns, as the heat gets turned up another notch on Neuheisel.

UTEP...With QB Nick Lamaison sidelined another couple of weeks due to a shoulder injury suffered Sept. 10 at SMU, backup Jay Hall was at the controls for the Miners last Saturday at New Mexico State, and led UTEP to a 16-10 win despite completing only 9 of his 28 passes.

Vanderbilt...Look out for the Dores, undefeated for new HC James Franklin and off of their biggest SEC win in 40 years after last Saturday's 30-7 romp pass beleaguered Ole Miss. Vandy succeeded without a couple of key offensive cogs, RB Warren Norman (knee) and TE Brandon Barden (ankle), but replacements stepped in nicely, especially RB Zac Stacy , who zoomed for 132 YR vs. the Rebs, including a 77-yard TD jaunt.

UAB...Star RB Pat Shed, who missed the Blazers' Florida opener with a sports hernia and wasn't expected to return until Sept. 24 at ECU, was back in action last Saturday vs. Tulane. Underlining UAB's plight, Shed's mere 21 yards on 7 carries led all UAB rushers in a lopsided 49-10 defeat that turns up the heat on HC Neil Callaway. A lot of good new d.c. Tommy West is doing the Blazers, too, allowing 44 ppg the first two outings and surrendering 540 yards to a Green Wave outfit held without a TD in its previous game vs. Tulsa.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 04:43 PM

NC State visits Cincinnati Thursday night


Kickoff: Thursday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Cincinnati -7.5

A pair of 2-1 teams duel to kick off the weekend in college football when NC State of the ACC visits Cincinnati of the rapidly-dissolving Big East Conference.

A year ago, QB Russell Wilson shredded the Bearcats defense for 333 passing yards and 3 TD, as part of 491 total yards for the Wolfpack in a 30-19 home win. Wilson is gone, and new starting QB Mike Glennon is not the same kind of athlete, but he’s completing 64.1% of his passes and has an 8-to-1 TD/INT ratio through three games this year. Cincinnati is 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS against BCS conference opponents over the past two years. NC STATE is the pick to cover the spread, as led by Tom O’Brien, who boasts a remarkable 22-11 ATS record as an underdog as the Wolfpack head coach.

The FoxSheets show a rare six-star coaching trend to further support O’Brien and the Wolfpack:

Tom O’Brien is 15-1 ATS (93.8%, +13.9 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of NC STATE.

State lost its only game against an FBS opponent this year, at Wake Forest 34-27. Glennon has done a good job spreading the wealth, as 10 players already have three receptions on the year, led by T.J. Graham (12 rec, 252 yards, 2 TD) and Tobias Palmer (13 rec, 170 yds, 1 TD). The Wolfpack already have seven defensive interceptions, 13 sacks (tied for 2nd in nation) and have carted a +5 turnover margin in their three contests. However gambling to force turnovers hasn’t fully worked as NC State ranks 103rd in the nation in passing defense (271 YPG).

This is good news for Cincinnati’s great quarterback Zach Collaros, who actually had a better passer efficiency rating than Wilson in last year’s meeting, completing 19-of-31 passes for 310 yards and three touchdowns. Collaros has also started 2011 on fire, completing 43-of-69 passes for 562 yards, 7 TD and zero INT in three games this year. D.J. Woods continues to be his go-to guy, with 15 catches for 232 yards. Defensively, the Bearcats are very opportunistic, as they lead the nation with 13 takeaways, and are one of a handful of schools with only one giveaway. However, like NC State, the risk-taking nature of the secondary has led to a bunch of passing yards, as Cincy places 94th among the 120 FBS schools in passing defense (258 YPG).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 06:03 PM

College football odds: Week 4 opening line report

Through three weeks, Alabama coach Nick Saban and his Crimson Tide have clearly lived up to billing. The defense has been stifling, the offense has been adequate and Saban has been able to keep players fresh by displaying that dynamic depth chart he’s compiled.

But let’s face it, Kent State and North Texas at home are walks in the park for a team like Alabama. And anyone who saw Penn State barely escape Temple on Saturday should realize that the Crimson Tide’s 27-11 win in Happy Valley last week doesn’t look so impressive, after all.

Things are about to change, though. The SEC schedule opens this week, and Alabama plays host to Arkansas.

“Obviously, Arkansas has a very good team, so we’re going to have to execute a lot better,” Saban said. “But your effort, your mental and physical toughness, all those things should be at the same level all the time if you’re playing the way you’re supposed to play.”

And it’s that kind of thinking that has the pros in Las Vegas still leaning heavily on Alabama. Sure, Arkansas is a tough, talented, conference foe. But it looks like Saban has the makings of something special, and the lines are proof positive.

“Well, it’s a marquee SEC matchup, and it’s the beginning of a lot of them for Alabama,” Pete Korner, of Esportclub, LLC, told “But they’re really looking good so far. They should win here easily. Arkansas is OK, but I give it no chance of an upset.”

Korner established Alabama as a 13-point favorite.

“I think we have,” Arkansas coach Bobby Petrino said, “a lot to work on to get ready for Alabama.”

Korner concurs. And with that, let’s take a look at some of next week’s other marquee games:

N.C. State (+4) at Cincinnati

“Not much of a game on a Thursday night here,” Korner said. “We had some discussion on this one, as we don’t really have a good feel for either team right now. Cincinnati’s at home, though, and may have something to show.”

Florida State (-3.5) at Clemson

“Disappointed in how Florida State finished against Oklahoma. We were hoping they were going to stay close,” Korner said. “But we expect them to do what they need to do this week to get back. We’re expecting them to have a bounce back, though that’s always tough to do in the ACC on the road.”

Notre Dame (-2.5) at Pitt

“Not big fans of Pitt right now. Not much to say there,” Korner said. “Notre Dame has been moving the ball well, and I just think they’re going to roll right over Pitt, to tell you the truth.”

LSU (-4) at West Virginia

“We had LSU favored all of the way. Good game, good matchup, but clearly, we know they’re the better team, and they should take care of business here,” Korner said. “We feel the number is pretty fair, as West Virginia can definitely win. We just don’t expect it.”

Colorado (+15.5) at Ohio State

“Tough task for Colorado, though neither team has shown much yet,” Korner said. “But Colorado doesn’t travel well, never has, and we expect Ohio State to get back up and really get ready for Big Ten play.”

Oklahoma State (+3) at Texas A&M

“In this one, we’re expecting a close, conference game between two very equal teams,” Korner said. “We left it at the three, and that’s just the basic, home-field field goal, nothing more.”

Missouri (+20) at Oklahoma

“We knew we needed a big number here,” Korner said. “No reason to make a deal with Oklahoma here. Just stick it up as high as you can, and see what the public does with it.”

Tulsa (+32) at Boise State

“A similar one here, as we definitely needed to go high,” Korner said. “Especially with Tulsa having some injury problems. I’d hate to be rooting for Tulsa. So, we stick it high, root for Boise, and see what happens.”

Oregon (-14) at Arizona

“Not much of a game, as we really feel that Oregon has turned a corner,” Korner said. “They’ve had a few games where they could get back playing like they play, and they’re really in a groove right now. Arizona did not look good against Stanford, and Oregon’s better.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 06:18 PM

Top 5 NCAAF Trends

CENFL/BYU CENFL are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.

UCLA/OREST Under is 7-0-1 in OREST last 8 games overall.

CONN/BUFF Under is 8-0 in BUFF last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CONN/BUFF CONN are 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

ULLAF/FLINT ULLAF are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 09:52 PM

Oklahoma State Cowboys And Texas A&M Square Off

A big-time Big 12 Conference matchup on the gridiron that doesn't involve either the Sooners or Longhorns – if not both – has been a rare sight over the years. It makes the collision this Saturday at Kyle Field all the more important.

Amid all sorts of conference realignment talk throughout college sports, the Texas A&M Aggies host the Oklahoma State Cowboys in a game that will start the Big 12 dominoes to fall. The way things are going, this matchup between a couple of top 10 teams in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll could be the last time the two schools meet on a gridiron as conference rivals.

College football odds opened with the Aggies favored by a field goal at home. The total has not been released yet, but it should be among the higher numbers on Saturday's slate given the recent history between A&M and Okie State, not to mention their two high-powered offenses.

Oklahoma State (3-0 straight up, 2-1 against the spread) comes in second in the country averaging 601 yards per game, nearly 420 of that through the air. The Cowboys are third in scoring (54.3 PPG).

A big chunk of those yards as well as the points can be directly attributed to quarterback Brandon Weeden and wide receiver Justin Blackmon. Weeden has completed over 72 percent of his 131 aerials for 1,154 yards and eight scores. Twenty-seven of the completions have been hauled in by Blackmon, three of them for touchdowns.

The Cowboys are coming off a strange game this past week when they routed Tulsa, 59-33, as 13½-point road favorites. The game at Tulsa's Chapman Stadium was delayed for over three hours due to severe thunderstorms in the area, and kickoff didn't come until after midnight.

Blackmon was actually held under 100 yards receiving for the first time in 14 games, but Weeden found nine other receivers to throw to as part of his 369-yard effort. Sophomore tailback Joseph Randle rumbled over 100 yards for a third consecutive contest, scoring three times. Texas A&M defensive coordinator Tim DeRuyter is no doubt scrambling for ways to defend this team.

If there's a shortcoming for the Cowboys, at least statistically, it's on the defensive side of the ball. Louisiana-Lafayette and Tulsa scored 34 and 33 points respectively against head coach Mike Gundy's 'D' while allowing those two schools to average over 400 yards of total offense.

Nick Foles and Arizona also found plenty of passing lanes a couple of weeks ago, but the Cowboys still held the Wildcats to just two scores in a 37-14 win. It's the only Oklahoma State game so far to stay 'under' the total.

Texas A&M (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) has plenty of offensive weapons of its own and enters 18th in the country with an average of nearly 490 yards per game. Senior Ryan Tannehill directs the show with Cyrus Gray and Christine Michael in the backfield plus his own group of talented receivers led by Jeff Fuller and Ryan Swope.

The Aggies are off last week's 37-7 victory over Idaho, failing to cover the 36½-point spread when the Vandals pushed across the goal in the fourth quarter for their only score of the evening. It came against defensive backups after the first-teamers had choked off anything Brian Reader and the Idaho offense threw at them.

The Cowboys have reeled off three straight wins in this series, averaging over 43 points per victory. They doubled up A&M in 2008, 56-28, with the last two meetings some of the most entertaining games the past couple of seasons.

Oklahoma State booted a 40-yarder as the clock ran out for a 38-35 victory at Stillwater in 2010. The Aggies blew a 21-7 halftime lead in that one. The defeat kept Texas A&M out of the Big 12 title game, and a shot at a BCS Bowl. That was preceded by OSU holding off the Aggies for a 36-31 victory at this site in 2009.

Texas A&M's last win over Oklahoma State came here at Kyle Field in 2007, a 24-23 decision in which the Aggies trailed 17-zip at the half.

The Aggies could be without tight end Michael Lamothe for this game, the junior officially questionable due to a concussion. He and sophomore Hutson Prioleau have been splitting time at the position through the first two games.

Oklahoma State isn't reporting any new injuries.

Kickoff in College Station is 3:30 p.m. (ET) with the game part of the ABC regional broadcast.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 09:55 PM

West Virginia Offense Meets LSU Tigers Defense

Unlike some BCS title contenders, LSU certainly can't be accused of ducking anybody on its 2011 schedule. For the third time in four games, the Tigers face a ranked team this week. Moreover, none of those three battles will have been played in Baton Rouge.

The task this Saturday for LSU (3-0), fourth in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll, is a trek to Morgantown to face a dangerous West Virginia (3-0) squads that ranks 24th. Kickoff for the ESPN special is slated for 3:30 p.m. (ET), with early prices seeing LSU posted as a 6-point favorite.

The contest marks a chance for new Mountaineer coach Dana Holgorsen to make a statement on the national stage after his WVU troops survived a 37-31 scare at Maryland last weekend. The Mounties, staked to a 34-10 lead in the third quarter, had to hold on for dear life as the Terps rallied to within three points early in the final quarter before WVU held on.

Holgorsen has imported his high-tech spread attack from a stint as offensive coordinator at Oklahoma State, where his offense posted big numbers just at it did at previous stop Houston. The subtle differences from the “spread option” looks of predecessors Bill Stewart and Rich Rodriguez seem to have been quickly mastered by QB Geno Smith, who has already passed for 1008 yards and seven scores in just three weeks.

Big East sources, however, are wondering if the Holgorsen offense has become too imbalanced toward the pass. The infantry diversion has practically disappeared from the new West Virginia offensive mix, with the rush game ranking 107th nationally while gaining just 79 yards per game and a paltry 2.6 yards per carry.

So far, Smith has been able to compensate through the air, but one wonders how the Mounties will deal with the sort of big-time defense they have yet to face...until Saturday, that is.

The challenge of slowing Holgorsen’s West Virginia spread does not look to be a task too far for John Chavis’ Baton Rouge stop unit which has already had to deal with similarly designed and high-powered Oregon and Mississippi State strike forces. And after holding the potent Maroon without a TD in last week’s 19-6 win at Starkville, the quick-footed LSU defense, loaded with speed, appears well-suited to similarly disrupt Holgorsen’s attack.

Further, thanks in part to the offensive imbalance, West Virginia has experienced extended lulls on the attack end, such as September 10 when trailing lower-division Norfolk State at halftime before erupting for 45 second-half points. The second half last week at College Park saw the offense unable to sustain drives to keep its tiring defense off of the field, contributing to Maryland’s rally.

If there remains a question about LSU, it’s what might happen if the Tigers fall behind and are forced to play catch-up with QB Jarrett Lee. He's well-suited to command a bulletproof Tiger “O” featuring the run, but perhaps out of his depth if forced into a steady diet of passes when playing from behind.

So far, however, Lee has done what has been required and been more than adequate as a replacement the suspended Jordan Jefferson, tossing only one pick in three starts.

Les Miles’ LSU recipe, as illustrated in both the Oregon and Mississippi State wins, is to avoid putting Lee in such a predicament. Instead the Tigers played conservatively on offense while featuring the power thrusts of slashing RBs Spencer Ware and Michael Ford, and waiting for Chavis’ defense or the special teams to create scoring opportunities. So far, this strategy has worked like a charm.

Moreover, the Tiger offense likely adds an extra dimension this week as explosive WR Russell Shepard is expected to be available after an early-season suspension.

Big-game experience, as well as intersectional success, makes a stronger case for LSU as well. The Tigers, calloused by annual SEC wars, have fared exceptionally well in non-conference action under Miles. Indeed, “The Hat” has not lost a regular-season non-SEC game since arriving at Baton Rouge in 2005, winning 25 in a row, with a solid 14-8 mark vs. the number against FBS-level foes in those games.

Counting bowls, Miles is 19-9 vs. the number against FBS non-SEC foes since 2005.

LSU’s non-conference regular-season win streak now stands at 35 games, dating to the 2002 opener at Virginia Tech, when Nick Saban’s Tigers tasted a 26-8 defeat at Blacksburg. The Tigers are also 20-10 vs. the line over that span vs. non-SEC FBS opponents.

On the other hand, note that West Virginia has been a feisty underdog play for several years, standing 9-2 as the “short” for Stewart and Rodriguez the past six campaigns. Included in that total was a competitive 20-14 straight-up loss, but pointspread cover, last year at Baton Rouge.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/19/2011 10:34 PM


Central Florida at BYU (Friday)...UCF is profitable 21-7 vs. spread L2+Ys, and 15-8 as a road dog since 2005. BYU only 25-27 as Provo chalk since 2000. Knights are playing with a chip on their shoulder after falling out of the Top 25 TY after finishing ranked in 2010.

Oregon at ARIZONA...UA has hung tough with UO, covering 5 of last 6 (as avg. 11-pt. underdog), and springing DD upsets in '06 & '07. Wildcat QB Nick Foles had career-best 448 YP vs. Ducks LY. But UO's hurry-up "blur" attack wore down Cats, outscoring them 34-10 after intermission in 48-29 victory in Eugene LY.

Uab at EAST CAROLINA...UAB looking forward to rematch after blowing 42-34 lead with just 9:41 left in eventual 54-42 defeat in Birmingham LY. Blazer QB Bryan Ellis (418 YP) outperformed ECU pilot Dominique Davis (331 YP), but long Pirate punt return and recovered fumble in UAB territory helped ECU overcome deficit.

Ohio at RUTGERS...Ohio is a noteworthy 10-4 as away dog since 2007, while Rutgers just 7-11 as New Brunswick chalk over same time frame.

Southern Miss at VIRGINIA...UVA veterans eager to get another crack at USM after blowing 34-17 third-Q lead in stinging 37-34 setback in Hattiesburg in 2009 (first-ever meeting).

Tulsa at BOISE STATE...BSU can wear its distracting blue unis this week and next vs. Nevada before Mountain West play, which will require a change in outfit color at home per league mandate. BCS-buster Broncos are 41-18 vs. spread on the "blue carpet" since 2000.

Connecticut at BUFFALO...UConn has won and covered last 6 vs. UB (avg. score 35-9). Huskies outscored Bulls 31-7 after intermission in 45-21 home win LY.

Florida State at CLEMSON...FSU's now-starting QB E.J. Manuel capably filled in for injured Christian Ponder LY, hitting 15 of 24 for 210 yds. & rushing for 71 more in last-second 16-13 win in Tallahassee. 'Noles kicked winning 55-yd. FG on final play!

North Carolina at GEORGIA TECH...Suspension-plagued UNC (6 starters were out LY) eager for some payback after blowing 24-17 lead in 30-24 series setback LY at Chapel Hill. Proud Heel "D" geeked while allowing season-high 372 YR vs. Engineers.

Western Michigan at ILLINOIS...Negative role for Illinois' beleaguered HC Ron Zook, who is 2-9 vs. spread hosting non-conference foes since 2006 (1-1 TY).

Florida at KENTUCKY...UF has taken 24 straight in series, including 4 consecutive covers. In last three meetings, Gators have outscored Cats 73-0 in first period.

Virginia Tech at MARSHALL...VT is an eye-popping 25-8 vs. spread as a visitor since 2004 (0-1 TY).

Temple at MARYLAND...Temple is solid 13-4 vs. line vs. non-conference foes since joining the MAC in 2007. Personal revenge game for new Maryland HC Randy Edsall, whose UConn squad suffered 30-16 upset vs. Temple in 2010.

Smu at MEMPHIS...UM has been a poor "investment" since late 2008, recording 8-19 vs. spread mark last 27 on board (1-2 TY).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
09/20/2011 01:30 PM

Florida State, Clemson Begin ACC Schedules

The home team has covered 11 of the last 13 in this ACC series.
The early lead in the ACC Atlantic Division will be on the line at Memorial Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as NCAA football betting enthusiasts can sink their teeth into a crucial tilt between the Florida State Seminoles and the Clemson Tigers.

This is the first ACC test of the year for both of these teams, and it can be seen nationally on ESPN and at 3:30 p.m. (ET).

The Seminoles (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) are coming off of a valiant effort against the No. 1 team in the land, the Oklahoma Sooners. We give head coach Jimbo Fisher and company credit for trying to hang in there with the Sooners, but injuries just mounted up too quickly and the talent differential really showed down the stretch in a 23-13 defeat.

There is always a fear about how a team is going to bounce back from a loss, especially in a tough fixture like this one. But for Florida State, ninth in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll, the concern is about all of the injuries left from the Oklahoma defeat.

The biggest problem could be the health of EJ Manuel. The junior out of Virginia Beach showed some flashes of brilliance against a stout Oklahoma defense, but he left the game with a shoulder injury and is considered day-to-day. Should he not be able to go, it will be up to Clint Trickett, son of offensive line coach Rick Trickett, to make his first career start.

Willie Haulstead isn't like to play for a third straight week due to a concussion, and that's bad news for a receiving corps that lost Kenny Shaw to a concussion following a jarring blow between two Oklahoma defenders this past Saturday night.

Jarred 'Scooter' Haggins has a broken hand and is expected to miss at least three more weeks, and leading receiver Bert Reid is still up in the air with an ankle injury that kept him out of last weekend's defeat.

On the flip side of things, Clemson (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) sits 30th in the Don Best poll and made its debut in both the AP and coaches top 25 polls. Dabo Swinney's gang is ready to state its case as one of the top teams in the ACC this year. And why not?

The Tigers ended a losing streak dating back to 1951 against Auburn last week, and in the process, they ended the defending champs' 17-game winning streak.

Everyone in Clemson was waiting for Tajh Boyd to come up with a fantastic game, and he picked a great time to do it in Week 3 against Auburn. The Tigers' signal caller had the best game of his career, throwing for 386 yards and four TDs. He also rushed for 30 of the team's 238 yards on the ground on the day.

Clemson racked up 624 yards against Auburn on a whopping 92 plays. The Tigers won't get in nearly that many snaps against FSU, but if they'll still be in fantastic shape if they can average anywhere near that same 6.8 yards per play.

The home team has typically dominated this series, winning all but one meeting since 2001. The Seminoles have lost four straight visits to Death Valley, all but one of which have come by at least 16 points.

Clemson is 5-1 ATS over the last six seasons, with the home crew 11-2 ATS in the last 13 clashes of these ACC rivals.

Still, despite the injuries and the history, the Seminoles opened as 3-point favorites on the NCAA football odds before Clemson backers drove that down as low as 1 ½-points by Tuesday morning. The total has risen a point since the start to 50 ½.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: