cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:02 PM

Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 22


NC STATE (2 - 1) at CINCINNATI (2 - 1) - 9/22/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Friday, September 23


UCF (2 - 1) at BYU (1 - 2) - 9/23/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:05 PM

Short Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, 9/22/2011

NC STATE: 13-4 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
CINCINNATI: 11-1 ATS off game w/ TO margin of +4 or better

Friday, 9/23/2011

UCF: 7-0 ATS off SU loss
BYU: 2-8 ATS after allowing 50+ pts

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:07 PM


Week 4

Trend Report

Thursday, September 22

8:00 PM
North Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home

Friday September 23

8:00 PM
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida's last 5 games
BYU is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of BYU's last 5 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:08 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 22

Thursday's game
Cincinnati (+2) lost 30-19 at NC State LY, as Wolfpack outrushed UC 158-75; both teams passed for 300+ yards. NC State is 2-1 this season, but both wins were vs I-AA foes- they gave up 438 yards in 34-27 loss at Wake Forest two weeks ago. State is 20-11 as a dog with O'Brien as coach, 12-6 on road- they're 8-6 in non-league games. Bearcats are +12 in turnovers already this year, with only one giveaway- they're 4-8 in last dozen games as a home favorite, 6-12 in last 18 non-conference games.

Friday's game
BYU, Central Florida both got upset by in-state rivals last week; BYU got crushed 54-10 by Utah- they've scored total of 40 points in its three games- they're playing tough game for fourth week in row. UCF lost at Florida International last week- they've allowed total of 20 points in two games vs I-A opponents. Since 2007, Knights are 8-3 as road underdogs, 9-5 in non-conference games. BYU is 16-11 as home favorite since 2006; they've been outrushed 408-56 in last two games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:15 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/17/11 32-­39-­1 45.07% -­5450 Detail
09/16/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/15/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/10/11 42-­42-­0 50.00% -­2100 Detail
09/09/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
09/08/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/05/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/04/11 1-­1-­2 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/03/11 34-­16-­2 68.00% +­8200 Detail
09/02/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
09/01/11 7-­12-­0 36.84% -­3100 Detail
Totals 127-­117-­5 52.05% -­850

Thursday, September 22

Game Score Status Pick Amount

North Carolina State - 8:00 PM ET North Carolina State +7 500

Cincinnati - Under 61 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:16 PM

Ohio State At The Shoe Against Colorado Buffaloes

Saturday’s total in Columbus has been bet down to 44 ½ points.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are trending in the wrong direction as they host the Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 p.m. (ET) on either ABC or ESPN2.

Big Ten Ohio State is still a 15-point college football betting favorite with a total of 44 ½. Those are both decreases from the opening 15 ½ pointspread and 46 ½ total.

The fact the total has been bet down is not surprising. After all, Ohio State (2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread) couldn’t even muster a touchdown in the 24-6 loss at Miami last week as 2-point ‘dogs. Senior quarterback Joe Bauserman was a miserable 2-of-14 passing for 13 yards, while true freshman backup Braxton Miller didn’t do much better (2-of-4, 22 yards, one pick, one fumble).

The loss dropped the Buckeyes out of the AP top 25 for the first time since 2004. The Don Best Linemakers Poll lowered them from No. 21 to No. 26.

The Buckeyes at least return home where they’re undefeated, although they struggled there last time out. A win (27-22) over Toledo on September 10 required a late defensive stand and they looked nothing like a 17 ½-point favorite. There was an opening 42-0 home win over Akron, but that MAC bottom-dweller has been outscored 142-17 this season.

Interim head coach Luke Fickell hasn't done much to have that tag removed. He still has two more games before he gets back suspended running back Dan Herron, receiver DeVier Posey and offensive tackle Mike Adams.

Those three players will eventually boost a running game that is 53rd nationally (170 YPG) and a passing game that ranks 96th (172.3 YPG). Fickell is reportedly leaning towards starting Miller this week and the former five-star recruit is very talented with a big arm and ability to scramble.

Ohio State can move the ball on Colorado’s defense (318.7 YPG, 42nd nationally) as long as it doesn’t shoot itself in the foot with turnovers.

The ‘under’ is 3-0 for Ohio State this year with the offense averaging 25 PPG and the defense allowing 15.3 PPG.

The Buckeyes are 7-1-1 in their last nine games against the Pac-12, although Colorado just joined that conference this season. OSU was 15-4 ATS in its prior 19 home games before this season.

Pac-12 Colorado (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) got its first win for new coach Jon Embree last week, 28-14 over Colorado State, played at neutral site Denver The Buffaloes were 7-point favorites and have now ‘covered’ two straight after a 36-33 OT loss to California as 6 ½-point home ‘dogs on Sept. 10.

Senior quarterback Tyler Hansen is healthy and really coming into his own with seven touchdowns versus one interception. He exploded for 474 yards against Cal and the team’s 304 YPG passing ranks 22nd in the country.

Running back Rodney Stewart hasn’t been as successful this year (223 yards, 3.7 yards per carry. That’s coming off a 1,318 yard season, 4.5 yards per carry.

Ohio State allowed 240 rushing yards to Miami last week after a combined 81 the first two. Colorado needs to run Stewart to keep the defense honest, but look for a good effort from the Ohio State front seven and Hansen will need to make plays to keep this game close.

Colorado has a big monkey on its back, losing 18 straight true road games dating back to 2007. The one this year was a 34-17 opening loss at Hawaii as 6-point ‘dogs, surrendering 343 total yards of offense.

The team is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 road games overall.

Colorado does have some injury concerns along the offensive line. Starting center Daniel Munyer (ankle) is questionable, but there’s good news with left tackle David Bakhtiari (knee), who is upgraded to probable.

This is the first meeting between the teams since 1986. Weather is only expected to be in the high 50s, low 60s with a 40 percent chance of precipitation.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:18 PM

Boise State Broncos Host Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Boise State’s Kellen Moore has passed for 716 yards and eight touchdowns.
Just a month or two ago, it really looked like the clash between the Boise State Broncos and the Tulsa Golden Hurricane was going to be one of the best duels pitting two non-AQ schools against each other this year.

The clash doesn't quite have the same luster now that it did back then, but it should still be a great game that NCAA football betting fans don't want to miss out on.

This is the first game of the year played at Bronco Stadium, and you can bet that the hometown crowd is going to be welcoming their Broncos with open arms. Kickoff is slated for 8:00 p.m. (ET) on Saturday, and there will be television coverage available on CBS College Sports.

The Broncos (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) have definitely held up their end of the bargain this year. They steamrolled both the Georgia Bulldogs and the Toledo Rockets on the road to start the campaign, and have to think they're just 10 wins away from making it to the BCS and potentially playing for the National Championship.

Quarterback Kellen Moore is truly rounding into a Heisman Trophy contender this year. He is leading the nation's No. 6 passing attack at 363.0 YPG, and has 716 passing yards and eight TDs.

Last year, Tulsa ranked dead last in the nation in pass defense, allowing over 310 YPG, and the Golden Hurricane haven't gotten off to a much better start this year either. The team is allowing 320.7 YPG through the air, No. 116 in the nation, and the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Oklahoma Sooners combined for nearly 800 passing yards between them.

We knew that the Golden Hurricane (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) were going to struggle defensively stopping the Broncos, especially in their first game of the year on their blue field. But what we didn't know was that the offense might prove to be anemic.

Damaris Johnson, the NCAA all-purpose yardage record-holder, was suspended indefinitely by Tulsa at the end of August for his role in an embezzlement charge involving his girlfriend.

Without Johnson in the fold, Trey Watts is the only man on the team that is averaging over 100 all-purpose yards per game. He has been good for 40.0 return yards, 9.3 receiving yards, and 87.3 rushing yards per game.

Now to make matters even worse, quarterback GJ Kinne has gone down with a knee injury that he suffered last week against the Cowboys, and he has been listed as doubtful on the injury report as of Thursday. Backup Kalen Henderson came in against Oklahoma State and went just 6-of-20 for 104 yards with two TDs against a dreadful three INTs.

The three meetings between these teams since 2003 have all been close. Though Boise State has won all three encounters, all were decided by a touchdown or less, and the Golden Hurricane have stuck in front of the college football odds in all three.

This time though, it's hard to see how this will be anything but one-way traffic if Kinne doesn't play. The Broncos are 28-point favorites, while the 'total' has been set at 62.

It should be a perfect night for football in Boise, as temperatures are expected to dip into the mid-60s with no chance for rain.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:20 PM

No. 7 Oklahoma State visits No. 8 Texas A&M


Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas A&M -3

Two of college football’s most powerful offenses go head-to-head Saturday night, as No. 7 Oklahoma State travels to College Station to battle No. 8 Texas A&M. This game marks the first time two Top-10 teams have squared off at Kyle Field since 1975.

OSU (52.3 PPG, 601 YPG) and A&M (41.5 PPG, 488 YPG) should put some points up. Last September, the Cowboys kicked a field goal as time expired to win 38-35, the second straight year both teams scored at least 30 against each other. The game shouldn’t have been close, as the Aggies outgained OSU 535-351, but had five turnovers. Although the Cowboys have averaged 43.3 PPG in their past three games (all wins) versus Texas A&M, the Aggies’ ninth-ranked scoring defense (10.5 PPG) should be able to contain OSU. Texas A&M limited the high-octane, run-and-shoot from SMU to 347 total yards. The Aggies are 10-1 SU at home since losing to the Cowboys, and are 13-5 ATS in the past 18 games at Kyle Field. All signs point to a comfortable TEXAS A&M win.

This FoxSheets trend also favors the Aggies:

Mike Gundy is 10-20 ATS (33.3%, -12.0 Units) as an underdog as the coach of OKLAHOMA STATE. The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 25.1, OPPONENT 36.3 - (Rating = 1*).

Oklahoma State QB Brandon Weeden is off to a big start again (385 passing YPG, 8 TD), but has also thrown six interceptions already. No. 1 receiver Justin Blackmon, who could be the nation’s best WR as well, has 27 catches for 329 yards and three touchdowns in three games this year. These performances were expected, but not many figured that sophomore Joseph Randle would be such an excellent replacement for the departed Kendall Hunter. Randle has rushed for 120+ yards in all three games, totaling 378 yards (6.1 YPC) and seven touchdowns. The numbers are more impressive when you consider that all of OSU’s opponents could be bowl-bound at the end of the year (Washington State, Troy and Tulsa). Defensively, the Cowboys still need plenty of work, as they rank 84th against the pass (242 YPG) and 82nd against the run (171 YPG).

The Aggies offense is usually led by the RB duo of Cyrus Gray and Christine Michael, who have combined to rush for 349 yards (5.1 YPC) and six touchdowns in two games. However, the passing attack has been even more potent (312 YPG, 18th in nation) with QB Ryan Tannehill completing 72.3% of his passes for 4 TD and only one pick. WRs Ryan Swope and Jeff Fuller have combined for 25 catches, 314 yards and two touchdowns. The most impressive aspect of the Aggies first two games has been their line play on both sides of the ball. The O-line has not allowed a sack and the defense leads the nation with 5.5 sacks per game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:21 PM

Arizona plays Oregon as 3rd straight Top-10 opponent


Kickoff: Saturday, 10:15 p.m. EDT
Line: Oregon -15.5, Total: 65

No. 10 Oregon plays its first true road game of the season when it visits an Arizona team that has been outscored by 50 points during its two-game losing skid.

Arizona gave Oregon a relative scare a year ago, leading 19-14 in Eugene a year ago before the Ducks pulled away with a 48-29 win. Since getting tripped up in their opener against LSU, the Ducks have rolled up 600-plus yards of offense and 55-plus points each of the past two weeks (against Nevada and Missouri State). Arizona has looked helpless against back-to-back, Top-10 opponents, getting outscored 74-24 by Oklahoma State and Stanford (the latter at home). Oregon has topped 40 points in eight of its past nine road games, and is riding a 12-game conference win streak. The pick here is OREGON to win and cover the hefty point spread.

This four-star FoxSheets trend also sides with the Ducks:

Play Against - A home team (ARIZONA) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points. (29-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (87.9%, +24.6 units. Rating = 4*).

Oregon RB LaMichael James started the season slow, with only 121 rushing yards in his first two games, but he exploded against Missouri State with 204 yards and three touchdowns on only a dozen carries (17.0 YPC). In two career games against the Wildcats, James has 243 rushing yards (5.2 YPC) and two scores. QB Darron Thomas had a woeful 4.4 yards per attempt in the season-opening loss to LSU, but in the past two weeks, he has thrown for 14.7 yards per attempt with nine touchdowns and zero picks. Thomas had four TD (3 passing, 1 rushing) in last year’s win over Arizona. Oregon has a full injury report with five players all questionable for Saturday’s game: RB Kenjon Barner (ankle), WR Josh Huff (ankle), TE Curtis White (shoulder), K Rob Beard (illness) and LB Michael Clay (ankle). The Ducks defense has improved greatly since allowing 40 points to LSU in Week 1. They currently rank 10th in the country in passing defense, giving up only 145 YPG.

Despite the brutal schedule, Wildcats QB Nick Foles is third in the nation with 1,049 passing yards to go along with seven touchdowns and no picks. He has thrown a school-record 143 straight passes without an interception. Foles had a ridiculous day at Oregon last year, completing 29-of-54 passes for 448 yards, 3 TD and 1 INT. Foles would prefer if his team had a rushing attack that kept defenses from coming after him. Arizona has 55.7 rushing yards per game (fifth-worst in FBS) and is averaging a woeful 2.6 YPC. The defense has also been a sieve, ranking 111th among the 120 FBS schools in both total defense (473 YPG) and passing yardage (300 YPG).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
09/22/2011 06:23 PM

No. 11 FSU limps into Death Valley Saturday


Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Clemson -3, Total: 50.5

No. 11 Florida State may be without QB E.J. Manuel (shoulder) when it plays its ACC opener at No. 21 Clemson on Saturday.

Redshirt freshman Clint Trickett flashed some promise in relief on Manuel against No. 1 Oklahoma last week, but finished with middling numbers (7-for-15, 134 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). Clemson ended Auburn’s 17-game winning streak by taking advantage of a leaky Auburn defense, racking up 624 yards of offense, the third-highest total in school history. The Seminoles defense will give them a much stiffer challenge. FSU held Oklahoma’s high-powered passing game to 199 yards in its 23-13 defeat. Clemson is 12-7 ATS (63%) in its past 19 conference games, while the Seminoles are 6-11 ATS (35%) in ACC play over the past two seasons. With the uncertainty of Manuel and a banged-up Florida State receiving corps, the pick here is CLEMSON to win and cover at home.

Manuel has a sprain on his non-throwing shoulder and an MRI showed no structural damage. His status is uncertain for the trip to Clemson. The Seminoles receiving corps is also dealing with multiple injuries, as Jarred Haggins is out 4-to-6 weeks with a broken left hand and Kenny Shaw suffered a head-on collision in last week’s game. Bert Reed did not play against Oklahoma due to a sprained ankle and Willie Haulstead is still suffering from concussion symptoms and hasn’t played yet this year. The ground game has also been bitten by the injury bug, as Chris Thompson is trying to overcome a stress fracture in his back. Thompson, who had 845 rushing yards last year, has only gained 45 yards on 17 attempts (2.6 YPC) this season. Defensively, the Seminoles have been sound, ranking fifth in the country in yardage (195 YPG) and 13th in tackles for loss (8.3 per game).

There is no trouble with the play of Clemson’s quarterback, Tajh Boyd. He was 30-of-42 for 386 yards and 4 TD last week, giving him 911 yards, 10 TD and 1 INT in three games. He connected with freshman Sammy Watkins 10 times for 155 yards and 2 TD. The Tigers also have a key offensive injury as leading rusher Andre Ellington suffered a hamstring injury last week. Ellington (300 rush yds, 5.6 YPC) is expected to play against the Seminoles, but if he’s limited, freshman D.J. Howard proved his worth last week with 86 yards on nine carries. The biggest worry for the Tigers is their porous front seven on defense that is allowing 225 rushing YPG (110th in nation) and tallying just 3.3 TFL per game (tied for sixth-fewest in FBS).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 09/22/2011 10:34 PM

    Lots of video information here for several key games:

    Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: