cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/06/2012 07:43 PM

Play On - Underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE) first 2 weeks of the year, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 2 games
25-6 over the last 10 seasons. ( 80.6% | 18.4 units )

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses
60-28 since 1997. ( 68.2% | 0.0 units )

Play Over - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 in conference games, first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games
27-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.4% | 19.3 units )

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/08/2012 12:01 AM

Packers And 49ers Open Up At Lambeau Field

The Green Bay Packers hosting the San Francisco 49ers may not be the most watched game of NFL Week 1, but this 4:25 p.m. (ET) broadcast on FOX is definitely the best matchup.

The Don Best NFL odds screen opened Green Bay as solid 6½-point home favorites, but it has been quickly bet down to 4½-5. The total has gone in the other direction, currently at 46½-47 after starting at 45.

These are the two favored teams to win the NFC in the current future odds. The Don Best Linemakers Poll has Green Bay top-ranked in the entire league, followed by New England, Philadelphia and San Francisco (tied-for-fourth with Pittsburgh). However, the primetime Denver debut of Peyton Manning will beat this game in the ratings.

Green Bay had a perfect 13-0 record last year and looked headed towards its second-straight Super Bowl title. However a loss at Kansas City (19-14) on December 18 planted a seed of doubt and the Giants finished the job in the divisional round with a shocking 37-20 win at Lambeau.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers returns to the scene of the ‘playoff crime’ and brings the NFL’s top-ranked scoring offense with him (35.0 PPG). The passing game should continue to be great and the running game good enough with Cedric Benson the starter while James Starks (turf toe) is out.

The big offensive question is at left tackle (Rodgers’ blindside) where Marshall Newhouse is the full-time starter after Chad Clifton was released. The 49ers were tied-for-seventh in the NFL last year with 42 sacks and keeping Rodgers ‘clean’ is a huge concern this game.

The Packers defense was worst in the NFL last year at 299.8 YPG, but better in points at 22.4 PPG (ranked 19th). There was a big loss in training camp with linebacker Desmond Bishop (hamstring) out for the year and several rookies will have to make immediate contributions, starting with first-round pass rusher Nick Perry.

San Francisco came within a whisper of making the Super Bowl last year, but was undone by some Giants magic and two turnovers in the NFC title game.

Coach Jim Harbaugh proved the pro game was right up his ally after coming over from Stanford. He had no trouble building a ferocious defense that finished second in points allowed (14.3 PPG).

The offense is the big question mark, the opposite situation of Green Bay. Quarterback Alex Smith was almost a casualty of the ‘Peyton Manning sweepstakes,’ but he’s kissed and made up with the organization and has a couple of new toys in receivers Randy Moss and Mario Manningham. The 35-year-old Moss is looking to bounce back after sitting out all of last year.

Harbaugh is still going to pound the ball first with Frank Gore. Bruising Brandon Jacobs was signed to be another option, but he’s doubtful this week (knee). The question is whether Smith can make enough plays in the passing game to beat a great team like Green Bay on the road.

Some additional betting notes to watch: Green Bay has won 13-straight regular season home games (11-2 ATS). The ‘over’ is 11-2 in those contests and also jumped the total in the playoff defeat to the Giants.

Green Bay is also 5-0 SU and ATS in Week 1 games the five seasons.

This series has been owned by the Packers recently, winning the last eight (6-1-1 ATS) with the most recent in December 2010.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/08/2012 12:11 AM

Las Vegas Money Moves

September 6, 2012

Back in June, the Saints were 11-point home favorites over Robert Griffin III and the Redskins. That number slid down to -9 ½ by July, went to -9 on Monday and by Thursday evening, the Saints were only -7.

At one point, the Cardinals were 2 ½-point favorites, but the combination of Arizona's two quarterbacks looking awful in preseason while rookie Russell Wilson shined with the Seahawks has made Seattle the 2 ½-point road favorite with money being attached suggesting that a move to -3 is probable by gameday.

So what gives? Why all the respect for these two rookies? We asked Coast Resorts sports book director Bob Scucci the question and he was pretty straight and simple with his answer. “We have some pretty impressive rookies out there that have shown they can move the ball and have a quick understanding of their systems.”

Quarterbacks like Andy Dalton and Cam Newton proved last season that they could come right out of college and make things happen immediately which has kind of put the thought in the back of every coach’s mind that has a veteran QB who they’re not too sure if he’s the answer to their team’s Super Bowl dreams.

LVH Super Book vice-president Jay Kornegay has another take on why we’re seeing early success from the rookies QB’s and faith given to them by their coaches.

"The kids are better coached from a young age through high school," Kornegay said, "moreso than even 10 years ago. We’re seeing 10-year olds playing cover-2 defenses. The college programs are so much better as far as preparing kids for the next level between the system and getting enough pass reps. It doesn’t surprise me to see them have success at all, and I don’t think the trend is going to end anytime soon."

Andrew Luck showed during the preseason that he can move the ball and take command of the Colts offense and bettors have respected his maturity and leadership. The Bears have been 9 ½-point home favorites against the Colts since the LVH first opened NFL spreads in Las Vegas April 18 and it wasn’t until Thursday that the line went to -10.

While those three quarterbacks have been given the ultimate compliment from bettors, the other two have been picked on.

“Ryan Tannehill will probably struggle the most out of the five rookies just because he doesn’t have the supporting cast around him,” said Kornegay.

Kornegay said the LVH opened the Texans as a 6-point home favorite in April and they have been bet all the way up to -12, with the bulk of that action coming after the Dolphins announced Tannehill would start.

As for the Browns and Brandon Weeden, who the public has bet against taking the Eagles at -8 and pushing it up to -9, Kornegay sees the writing on the wall. "Cleveland has a problem."

One of the bigger moves not involving a rookie quarterback is the Bills action coming in for their game at the Jets. New York was once six-point favorites in the early spreads offered and now are as low as -2 ½ at the South Point.

“I was kind of surprised by that move,” said Scucci. “I don’t understand the large move myself, but we’ve taken a lot of sharp money on the Bills. This will be one of those games where the public will be on the Jets, but we’ll lopsided in Bills straight bets.”

Kornegay kind of understands the move from a psyche standpoint.

“The Bills are full of optimism about their season and bettors have seen that and been betting them to win the conference, Super Bowl and OVER on their season win totals. Whereas the Jets seem to have a little more pressure on them with the media and struggling in the preseason.“

The Jets' offense did struggle throughout the preseason, but there didn’t seem to ever be sense of urgency at any time from Jets coach Rex Ryan. They didn’t even run a Tebow-inspired play on offense during the preseason for fear of tipping off the Bills on how to stop it. Also, the Jets weren’t the only team to go 0-4 in the preseason. Buffalo matched their effort by going winless as well.

The Titans have seen a lot of action the last two days from sharp money across town in their home game against the Patriots. New England was favored by 6 ½-points and they are all the down to -5 ½.

"Despite the number move on the Titans, we’re still going to need the Patriots on Sunday just because they’re such a huge public favorite," said Scucci.

The last 13 Super Bowls losers have gone 2-11 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in their season opener the following season.

The Broncos-Steelers Sunday night game should attract the most action of the weekend and thus far it’s been evenly balanced with the Broncos holding at -1 ½.

“I think Denver should be 2 ½ or 3 in this game,” said Kornegay, “but we’ll let the action dictate where we go from here.”

The top sharp plays of the week around the city are the Rams, Raiders, Bills, Redskins, and Titans.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/08/2012 12:19 AM

Week 1 Tips

September 7, 2012

Week 1 of the NFL season will showcase plenty of new faces under center, including four rookies starting their career on the highway. Only one of these four teams is favored (Seattle), while Cleveland is receiving a touchdown at home with Brandon Weeden making his debut. Since 2008, rookie quarterbacks to start on opening day have been a coin-flip proposition, as Matt Ryan, Mark Sanchez, and Joe Flacco all won, while Cam Newton, Matthew Stafford, and Sam Bradford all lost. We’ll take a look at the five new quarterbacks and their chances on cashing tickets to start the 2012 season.

Colts at Bears (-10, 43) – 1:00 PM EST

The Peyton Manning era is finished in Indianapolis with top pick Andrew Luck taking over the Colts’ franchise. Indianapolis split its four preseason games, while covering three times, including as a four-point underdog at Pittsburgh. The Bears won and cashed their final three preseason contests after losing the exhibition opener to the Broncos.

Chicago finished 8-8 last season, as the Bears lost five of their final six contests after Jay Cutler suffered a season-ending thumb injury. Lovie Smith’s club went 4-4 SU/ATS at Soldier Field in 2011, but the Bears own a 1-4 ATS record at home since 2009 when laying at least six points. The Colts managed covers in four of their final five games last season, while going 3-5 ATS away from Lucas Oil Stadium (all three ATS wins as double-digit underdogs).

Eagles (-9, 43) at Browns – 1:00 PM EST

The Browns will be starting their fifth different quarterback in as many years on opening day as the Eagles invade Northern Ohio. Philadelphia's expectations went through the roof prior to last season, but Andy Reid's club stumbled to a 4-8 start before winning its final four games to finish at 8-8. The Eagles wrapped up the preseason at a perfect 4-0, while covering three times, while the Browns lost their final two exhibition games at home, including a 27-10 defeat to the Eagles.

Philadelphia cashed its last four games to conclude the 2011 season, as the Eagles are just 5-6 ATS the previous 11 contests as a road favorite. Cleveland begins the Weeden era with a 6-1 ATS run to end last season, while going 10-1-1 to the 'under' in the final 12 contests. The biggest issue for the Browns will be scoring, as Cleveland put up 17 points or less in 14 of 16 games last season.

Redskins at Saints (-7 ½, 50) - 1:00 PM EST

Robert Griffin III captured the Heisman Trophy last season, but the former Baylor standout becomes the first rookie to start at quarterback for the Redskins on opening day in the Super Bowl era. Washington heads to New Orleans, as the Saints look to get on track following a tumultuous offseason that included season-long suspensions of head coach Sean Payton and linebacker Jonathan Vilma, but the former University of Miami star will play on Sunday after a judge overturned the ban.

The Saints won and covered all nine games at the Superdome last season, including eight victories by double-digits. New Orleans has put together a tremendous 16-3 ATS record at home since 2008 against non-division opponents, while the 'over' is 11-8 in this span. When Mike Shanahan took over in Washington, the Redskins cashed in five of their first seven games as road 'dogs. However, the 'Skins went 2-4 ATS the final six opportunities when receiving points on the highway to wrap up last season.

Dolphins at Texans (-12, 42 ½) - 1:00 PM EST

Miami went through a preseason to forget at 0-4 SU/ATS, while scoring just 43 points. The Dolphins are turning to rookie Ryan Tannehill to reinvigorate this Miami franchise, even though the team didn't beat one playoff squad in a 6-10 campaign last season. Now, Miami heads to Houston for a battle with a Texans' club going for their second straight playoff appearance.

Houston cashed in 12 of 18 games last season, but four of their six non-covers came against teams that didn't qualify for the playoffs. The Texans may be without one of their top offensive weapons, Arian Foster, who is listed as "questionable" with a knee ailment. The Dolphins have moved forward from the Tony Sparano era onto Joe Philbin, but Miami owns a 19-7 ATS as a road underdog since 2008, including four straight covers to close last season.

Seahawks (-2 ½, 40 ½) at Cardinals - 4:25 PM EST

How rare is it that Seattle is laying points away from the Pacific Northwest? The Seahawks are road favorites for just the fourth time since 2008, while winning just six of their last 25 games on the highway in the last three seasons. Seattle trots out former Wisconsin (and N.C. State) quarterback Russell Wilson for his first regular season game against an Arizona club that won six of eight home contests last season.

The Cardinals had plenty of problems in the preseason figuring out their quarterback quandary, as John Skelton came out on top over Kevin Kolb, who is making the big bucks after getting picked up from Philadelphia prior to last season. Arizona split a pair of games with Seattle last season with the home team winning each time, while the only two losses at University of Phoenix Stadium came to the Giants and Steelers. Under Ken Whisenhunt, the Cardinals have covered four of five openers, including last season's Week 1 victory over Carolina.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/09/2012 11:08 AM

Monthly money: Best and worst NFL bets in September

Handicapping NFL games in September can be tricky, especially for bettors have been anxiously waiting to place wagers on football after sweating out the dog days of summer.

Nonetheless, the London Olympics are in the books and the pig is in the air, meaning the sweltering days of summer will soon be history.

Let’s take a quick look at how teams in the NFL have fared during the opening month of September since 1990.

Listed below are the GOOD and BAD ATS (Against The Spread) September performers. Teams had to beat the spread 66.7 percent or more of the time, or lose to the spread 33.3 percent or less of the time, in order to qualify for the list.

All results were extracted from the 2012 PLAYBOOK Football Preview magazine.


Dallas • 21-9 ATS as underdogs

The Cowboys are America’s team and almost always have enough talent to compete, if not win as often as their fans or oddsmakers think. Dallas is known for big plays and that is usually why they come through when catching points early in the season.

Kansas City • 22-10 ATS vs. division opponents

The Chiefs have long been known to focus their attention on AFC West encounters, both home and away. The rivalries in this division are about as fierce and full of hate as any in football and Kansas City has always made it their business to keep it personal.

Keep an Eye On:

Denver • 13-7 ATS as underdogs

The Broncos used to enjoy a tremendous home-field advantage, but have only had one winning regular season in Denver since 2006. They have been a much better wager when catching points.


Arizona • 10-21 ATS at home, 7-15 ATS when favored

The further Kurt Warner is removed from the Arizona franchise, the lower the Cardinals continue to sink. Even when the Redbirds had pretty good teams in recent years, they were slow out the gate, even at home.

Carolina • 7-14 ATS as favorites

John Fox was a successful head coach in Charlotte for the most part, but he was more known for how his teams closed the year than how they began them. Carolina has always been a far better road underdog than a favorite.

Cincinnati • 11-25 ATS at home, 10-20 ATS when favored

Bengals fans have been apathetic towards ownership, despite the team reaching the playoffs three times in the past seven seasons. The franchise averaged just over 49,000 patrons per game last season, last in the NFL. The days of the “The Jungle” are long gone and the Bengals’ home-field edge could bankrupt football bettors.

Cleveland • 2-5 ATS as favorites

When your talent level is in the lower 20 percent of the league, winning games is a problem. Positioning teams like this as favorites can be very profitable, as long as you are betting the other side. Cleveland does not deserve to be giving points to anybody at this juncture.

St. Louis • 13-26 ATS away

This is our second Kurt Warner reference, but it’s apparent what his impact was on two franchises after he departed. The Rams have assembled mediocre players for years and are clearly not capable of taking their act on the road in the first quarter of the season.

Keep An Eye On:

Chicago • 11-20 ATS as favorites

Previously, Chicago played more home games early in the season in order to have fewer cold-weather games in the northern part of the country. The Bears were often not equipped to handle being favored.

Oakland • 11-20 ATS vs. division opponents

The days of “Commitment to Excellence” with the Raiders went out like Al Davis’ leisure suits. AFC West rivals still derive pleasure from kicking Oakland’s posterior to this day.

Pittsburgh • 9-17 ATS as underdogs

The Steelers have been notorious slow starters, often peaking late in the season and taking a few early lumps since the Chuck Noll days in Pittsburgh.

St. Louis • 12-23 as favorites

Even when the Rams were the “Greatest Show on Turf” under Dick Vermeil, the St. Louis defense allowed too many points, making them a crummy choice as a favorite.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/09/2012 11:09 AM

NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 1

Want to handicap Sunday's NFL action but don't have time to research every game? Check out our NFL poolies cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs. We give you quick-hitting notes on all of Week 1's action.

Indianapolis colts at Chicago Bears (-10, 43.5)

Chicago won the teams' last meeting during the 2008 Kickoff Weekend. Forte raced 50 yards for a touchdown and linebacker Lance Briggs returned a fumble 21 yards for a score as the Bears posted a 29-13 victory on Sept. 7, 2008. The Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in Week 1.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Minnesota Vikings (-4, 39.5)

Minnesota is listing four-time Pro Bowler Adrian Peterson, who is ahead of schedule in his recovery from torn anterior and medial collateral ligaments, as a game-time decision despite Peterson telling reporters he's ready to play. The Jaguars are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 1.

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-2.5, 38.5)

The Bills are 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings at New York, but the Jets have won seven of the past eight overall meetings, including 28-24 in Week 12 last season.

Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (-11.5, 42.5)

Houston has won all six matchups against the Dolphins, including a 23-13 victory at Miami last season. However, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in those six meetings.

New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans (+5.5, 47)

The Patriots have won six of the last eight games in the series, going 5-3 ATS and 6-2 O/U in that span.

St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions (-9, 45.5)

The Rams averaged a mere 179.2 passing yards last season, 23rd in the league. Detroit was 22nd versus the pass, allowing 239.4 yards through the air each week. The over is 4-1 in Lions' last five games overall.

Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (-9, 50.5)

Washington leads the all-time series 15-8 and has won eight of 11 meetings in New Orleans. The Saints won the most recent meeting 33-30 in overtime in 2009. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns (+9.5, 43.5)

Running back Trent Richardson, the No. 3 overall pick, has yet to take a snap after undergoing knee surgery last month but is expected to play Sunday. He will be part of an untested backfield with rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden, the 22nd overall selection.

Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5, 43.5)

The Falcons are 23-0 when Ryan has a quarterback rating over 100. Opposing QBs recorded an average passer rating of just 79.1 - seventh lowest in the NFL - versus Kansas City last season. The under is 12-2 in Chiefs' last 14 home games.

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-5, 46.5)

The Packers have 52 wins on kickoff weekend, tied with Chicago for the most ever. Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in Week 1 and 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings with the Niners.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (+1, 41)

Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll is 4-1 SU against Arizona in his coaching career, however the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Arizona.

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1, 46.5)

The Panthers (6-11) have the worst Week 1 record in the NFL while the Buccaneers (14-22) are fourth-worst. That said, the Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Bucs.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (-1, 44.5)

Denver QB Peyton Manning is 2-1 with six touchdowns and four interceptions in three career regular-season games against Pittsburgh. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings between Denver and Pittsburgh.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5, 41)

The Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings with their AFC North rivals and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five trips to Baltimore.

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (-1, 46.5)

Oakland is 36-15-1 in home openers, the third-best mark in the NFL. The Raiders have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games with the Bolts.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/09/2012 11:11 AM


Week 1

49ers at Packers: What bettors need to know

San Francisco at Green Bay (-5, 46.5)

Two teams coming off postseason disappointment face off in one of the premier games of the NFL's opening weekend when the San Francisco 49ers travel to Green Bay to face Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay is bent on redemption after squandering a 15-1 regular season by bowing out in its first playoff game, while the 49ers will try to make the next step this season after a 20-17 overtime loss to the Super Bowl champion New York Giants in the NFC title game.

It's also a matchup of contrasting quarterbacks, though both were effective in their own right in 2011. Rodgers had one of the best seasons in NFL history with 4,643 passing yards, 45 touchdowns against only six interceptions and a league-record 122.5 rating. San Francisco's Alex Smith also blossomed, but he did so by becoming an effective game manager, passing for 3,144 yards with 17 touchdowns and five interceptions. The Packers lead the all-time series between the traditional NFL powers 30-25-1 and have won the past nine meetings, including all three under coach Mike McCarthy.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Packers -5. O/U: 47.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (2011: 13-3): San Francisco upgraded Smith's receiving corps by adding Randy Moss, Mario Manningham and rookie A.J. Jenkins and added some depth in the backfield by signing Brandon Jacobs and drafting LaMichael James. The 49ers also return virtually everyone from a defense that ranked second in points allowed and fourth in total yards allowed last season.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2011: 15-1): Green Bay didn't do much in the offseason, and it didn't need to. The Packers were dominant in 2011 until the playoffs, and they have the pieces in place to make a deeper playoff run this year. The Packers' biggest change was letting running back Ryan Grant go to free agency and replacing him with Cedric Benson, who is coming off his third consecutive 1,000-yard season.


* Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in Week 1.
* Over is 4-0 in Packers’ last four games vs. NFC opponents.
* 49ers are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* San Francisco is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games in Green Bay.


1. The Packers have 52 wins on kickoff weekend, tied with Chicago for the most ever.

2. Smith has won 14 of his past 17 starts, and the 49ers are 10-0 when he has a rating of 100.0 or better.

3. The 49ers led the NFL with a plus-28 turnover margin last year, the second-best mark in the NFL since 1970.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/09/2012 11:13 AM


Week 1

Sunday Night Football: Steelers at Broncos

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (-1, 46)

Peyton Manning moving to the Denver Broncos and his recovery from multiple neck surgeries was one of the big stories of the offseason. On Sunday night, Manning and the Broncos will get a real look at just how far the four-time NFL MVP has come in his recovery when they host the Pittsburgh Steelers. This version of Denver, with Manning instead of Tim Tebow under center, is very different from the team that knocked the Steelers out of the playoffs last winter - at least offensively. The defense, which sacked Ben Roethlisberger five times and picked him off once, remains largely intact. The Steelers will throw a defense at Manning that led the NFL last season while surrendering only 171.9 passing yards per game.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Broncos -1. O/U: 44.5

ABOUT THE STEELERS (2011: 12-4): Pittsburgh finished 21st in scoring at 20.3 points in 2011 and let offensive coordinator Bruce Arians leave in the offseason, replacing him with former Kansas City Chiefs head coach Todd Haley. The first order of business for Haley will be protecting Roethlisberger and his running backs, who have been operating behind a line with several holes. Roethlisberger has been sacked 122 times in the last seasons. Haley has installed sets with two tight ends and a fullback to help with protection and provide extra weapons beyond wide receivers Antonio Brown and Mike Wallace. The defense returns intact and a year older, though starting free safety Ryan Clark will miss the opener due to a sickle-cell trait that is aggravated at high altitude.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2011: 8-8): Tebow provided plenty of excitement for Denver fans in 2011, but Manning brings the prospect of consistent production from the passing game. Wide receivers Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas give Manning a strong set of targets while Willis McGahee and Lance Ball headline the running game. Thomas provided the picture that the Steelers saw all offseason, breaking for an 80-yard touchdown in overtime in the playoffs. The less-talked about addition to the Broncos was former Jacksonville Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio, who takes over as defensive coordinator. Del Rio has a pair of ends in Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil that combined for 21 sacks last season. Each pulled down Roethlisberger once in the playoff win.


* Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Under is 6-1 in Steelers last seven games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.


1. The Broncos defense will not have LB D.J. Williams, who has been suspended six games for violating the league’s substance abuse policy.

2. Manning is 2-1 with six touchdowns and four interceptions in three career regular-season games against Pittsburgh.

3. Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in season openers.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/09/2012 11:15 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in Hilton handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........

6) Miami Dolphins, 93
5) Houston Texans, 96
4) Carolina Panthers, 126
3) Pittsburgh Steelers, 134
2) New Jersey Giants, 159
1) Kansas City Chiefs, 176

T27) Jacksonville Jaguars, 34
T27) Arizona Cardinals, 34
29) Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 28
30) Chicago Bears, 22
31) New Orleans Saints, 21
32) Cleveland Browns, 17

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32922 Followers:38
09/09/2012 12:16 PM

Early Games:

Sunday, September 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Indianapolis - 1:00 PM ET Chicago -9.5 500
Chicago - Over 43 500

Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Jacksonville +3.5 500
Minnesota - Under 37.5 500

Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET N.Y. Jets -3 500
N.Y. Jets - Under 39.5 500

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Miami +13 500
Houston - Under 41.5 500

New England - 1:00 PM ET Tennessee +4.5 500
Tennessee - Over 48 500

St. Louis - 1:00 PM ET Detroit -9 500
Detroit - Over 45.5 500

Washington - 1:00 PM ET New Orleans -9 500
New Orleans - Over 50.5 500

Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Philadelphia -9.5 500
Cleveland - Under 43 500

Atlanta - 1:00 PM ET Kansas City +1 500
Kansas City - Under 42.5 500

Late Games posted later:

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: