steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 07/30/2012 12:24 PM in Cappers

MLB FREE PICK: Los Angeles Dodgers -125

Arizona vs. LA Dodgers, 07/30/2012 22:10
Money Line: -125 LA Dodgers

MLB FREE PICK: Los Angeles Dodgers -125

The Los Angeles Dodgers are showing some great value as a small home favorite on Monday. The Dodgers come in off an impressive 3-game sweep at San Francisco over the weekend and have now won 8 of their last 11 overall.

The Dodgers are a solid 29-20 at home this season, while the Diamondbacks are only 21-27 on the road. Arizona was able to go 7-3 over a long 10-game homestand, thanks in large part to an offense that averaged 6.6 runs/game during that stretch. However, Arizona has struggled offensively on the road. They are averaging just 3.6 runs/game on the road this season.

That sets up a pretty good situation to back one of the more underrated starters in the National League in Aaron Harang. In 20 starts this season, Harang is 7-5 with an impressive 3.39 ERA. He has been even better at home, posting a 2.94 ERA in 8 starts.

Los Angeles is 43-18 in their last 61 games as a home favorite, 20-7 in their last 27 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-1 in Harangs last 5 starts vs. National League West. BET THE DODGERS!

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