cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:01 PM

Week 2 Preview: Packers at Panthers



Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Green Bay -9, Total: 46

The Panthers gained some momentum despite a Week 1 road loss, but the Packers are poised to bring that to a halt when they visit Carolina on Sunday.

Coming off their season-opening Thursday night win over New Orleans, the Packers will be well-rested and ready. Green Bay was 8-4 ATS away from home last season, while the Panthers were just 2-6 ATS at home. Carolina was also 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS against teams that finished 2010 with a winning record. While QB Cam Newton threw for 422 yards in his first career start, the Green Bay pass defense includes an elite pass rush and three outstanding cornerbacks, far superior to the undermanned defense Newton saw in Arizona. And the Carolina D will be shorthanded with LB Jon Beason, the leader of the unit, out for the year with a torn Achilles. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend working against Carolina and supporting GREEN BAY as the pick:

CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was CAROLINA 12.1, OPPONENT 25.9 - (Rating = 3*).

The Packers have three extra days of rest to get ready for this game. Reigning Super Bowl MVP Aaron Rodgers led Green Bay to a 42-34 win over New Orleans by throwing for 312 yards and three scores. The Pack also provided a solid ground game with 103 yards on 27 carries. The defense did not fare too well against Drew Brees and the Saints, surrendering nearly 400 passing yards. They’re in jeopardy of allowing another chunk of yardage through the air with CB Tramon Williams questionable with a shoulder injury. FS Nick Collins (wrist) is expected to play, but Green Bay’s defensive depth could suffer as DE Mike Neal (knee), LBs Frank Zombo (shoulder) and Vic So’oto (back) and CB Davon House (ankle) are all questionable.

Panthers QB Cam Newton made a loud NFL debut against Arizona, hooking up for 178 of his yards and both TD passes to Steve Smith. The ground game that was supposed to be much improved this year with Newton’s legs and a healthy DeAngelo Williams returning to the team, garnered a paltry 74 yards on 27 carries (2.7 YPC). In addition to Beason going on IR, the Panthers could be without CB Josh Thomas (thigh) and backups QB Jimmy Clausen (undisclosed) and WR Kealoha Pilares (ankle). The Panthers were 0-7 ATS after a road loss in 2010.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:03 PM

Week 2 Preview: Cowboys at 49ers



Kickoff: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Dallas -3, Total: 43

The 49ers used special teams to clinch Jim Harbaugh’s coaching debut, but they’ll face a much tougher test when they host Dallas on Sunday.

The Cowboys offense is far more explosive than the Tarvaris Jackson-led Seattle team San Francisco hosted in its opener. The Seahawks didn’t threaten the Niners’ questionable defensive backfield. Meanwhile, the Cowboys, facing the Jets’ elite defense on the road in Week 1 and with top receiver Dez Bryant struggling with cramps, still rolled up a respectable 400 yards of offense. The 49ers needed two late kick-return touchdowns from Ted Ginn to pull away from Seattle, and their offense was as weak as advertised. They managed just 209 total yards against a soft Seahawks defense. San Fran has lost its past three matchups, SU and ATS, against non-division opponents. And the FoxSheets have a three-star trend working against the Niners, solidifying DALLAS as the pick:

Play Against - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. (24-5 over the last 5 seasons, 82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 3*).

Although Tony Romo ultimately cost his team the game with a poorly-thrown interception late in the fourth quarter, the beleaguered Dallas QB was still able to gain 342 yards through the air with two touchdowns. The rushing offense was an entirely different story though. Felix Jones, who has averaged well above five yards per carry in his career, was held to 2.6 YPC (17 rushes, 44 yards) against the Jets. The Cowboys are dinged up a little bit with WR Dez Bryant (bruised quad), WR Miles Austin (hamstring) and CB Mike Jenkins (shoulder sprain), but all three players are expected to suit up Sunday. CB Orlando Scandrick is not as fortunate, as his high ankle sprain will keep him out 3-to-4 weeks. These teams have split the past eight meetings 4-4 SU, with Dallas prevailing in the most recent matchup in 2008 by a score of 35-22.

San Francisco was not expected to employ a high-octane aerial assault this season, but its rushing attack was supposed to be above average with Frank Gore in the backfield. However, the 49ers gained only 2.7 YPC, tallying just 85 yards on 32 attempts. Gore was limited to 59 yards on 22 carries (2.7 YPC). QB Alex Smith only threw for 124 yards and no touchdowns, but he was an efficient 15-of-20 passing with zero interceptions. Another area of improvement needed is on third downs, where San Francisco was 1-for-12 against Seattle. FS Dashon Goldson (knee) did not play in Week 1, and is questionable to return for Sunday’s game. WR Michael Crabtree has been bothered by his left foot, which has undergone two recent surgeries, but will reportedly continue to play through the pain.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:08 PM

Trending: NFL in September

In preparation of the NFL season getting underway this week, we took a look at how all 32 teams have fared both ATS and Over/Under in the month of September over the past five seasons. The Tennessee Titans boast the best ATS win percentage (69%), while the Miami Dolphins are bringing up the rear at 21%). Here is the complete list:
September ATS W-L Records
TENNESSEE 11-5 (69%)
GREEN BAY 11-6 (65%)
DALLAS 10-6 (63%)
NEW ORLEANS 10-6 (63%)
NY JETS 10-6 (63%)
CINCINNATI 9-6 (60%)
ATLANTA 10-7 (59%)
BUFFALO 10-7 (59%)
BALTIMORE 9-7 (56%)
NY GIANTS 9-7 (56%)
KANSAS CITY 8-7 (53%)
MINNESOTA 8-7 (53%)
SEATTLE 8-7 (53%)
CHICAGO 8-8 (50%)
SAN DIEGO 8-8 (50%)
TAMPA BAY 8-8 (50%)
ARIZONA 8-9 (47%)
PITTSBURGH 8-9 (47%)
NEW ENGLAND 7-8 (47%)
CLEVELAND 7-9 (44%)
OAKLAND 7-9 (44%)
WASHINGTON 6-8 (43%)
DETROIT 6-9 (40%)
HOUSTON 6-9 (40%)
DENVER 6-11 (35%)
ST LOUIS 5-12 (29%)
CAROLINA 4-12 (25%)
MIAMI 3-11 (21%)

Here are some additional numbers for individual teams that have shown high ATS percentages in certain situations in the month of September over the past five seasons:
Buffalo is 5-3 ATS (63%) vs. AFC East, including 3-1 (75%) vs. New England.
Carolina is 1-6 ATS (14%) at home.
Denver is 2-6 ATS (25%) at home.
Detroit is 2-6 ATS (25%) on the road.
Green Bay is 6-2 ATS (75%) as a favorite.
Houston is 1-4 ATS (20%) as a favorite.
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS (75%) as a favorite.
Oakland is 0-3 ATS (0%) as a favorite.
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS (20%) vs. AFC Central opponents.
Seattle is 1-5 ATS (17%) on the road, and 7-2 ATS (78%) at home.
Tennessee is 7-2 ATS (78%) as an underdog.

The Houston Texans are the leaders when it comes to hitting the OVER, doing so in 75% of their September games from 2006-2010. The St. Louis Rams have been the most consistent UNDER play at 71%. Here is how the entire league stacks up:

September ATS Over-Under Records
HOUSTON 12-4 (75%)
SAN DIEGO 11-4 (73%)
NY JETS 11-6 (65%)
OAKLAND 9-5 (64%)
NY GIANTS 10-6 (63%)
DALLAS 9-6 (60%)
NEW ORLEANS 9-6 (60%)
NEW ENGLAND 9-6 (60%)
GREEN BAY 10-7 (59%)
BALTIMORE 8-6 (57%)
DETROIT 9-7 (56%)
SEATTLE 8-7 (53%)
CINCINNATI 8-8 (50%)
MIAMI 8-8 (50%)
BUFFALO 8-9 (47%)
TAMPA BAY 8-9 (47%)
ARIZONA 8-9 (47%)
PITTSBURGH 8-9 (47%)
DENVER 8-9 (47%)
TENNESSEE 7-9 (44%)
CHICAGO 7-9 (44%)
CLEVELAND 7-9 (44%)
ATLANTA 7-10 (41%)
CAROLINA 7-10 (41%)
WASHINGTON 6-9 (40%)
KANSAS CITY 6-10 (38%)
MINNESOTA 5-11 (31%)
ST LOUIS 5-12 (29%)

A closer look at these numbers reveals the following:
Atlanta is 8-1 UNDER (89%) on the road, and 6-2 OVER (75%) at home.
Carolina is 6-2 UNDER (75%) at home.
Dallas is 4-0 OVER (100%) at home vs. NFC East opponents.
Houston is 9-1 OVER (90%) as an underdog.
Minnesota is 6-2 UNDER (75%) at home.
San Francisco is 6-2 UNDER (75%) at home, and 5-2 OVER (71%) on the road.
St. Louis is 8-1 UNDER (89%) on the road.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:13 PM

Week 2 Tip Sheet

September 15, 2011

Week 1 of the NFL gave us few surprises as only three teams receiving three points or more won outright to start the season. Heading into Week 2, a handful of clubs are laying heavy lumber with five teams listed as touchdown or more favorites in the early games. Two of those squads, New Orleans and Pittsburgh, are looking for their first wins of the season as each returns home. We'll start at Heinz Field with a rematch of Super Bowl XL with Seattle making the cross-country trip.

Seahawks at Steelers (-14, 40 ½) - 1:00 PM EST

Pittsburgh turned the ball over seven times in a disappointing 35-7 defeat at rival Baltimore last Sunday, as the Steelers head back home as two-touchdown favorites over the Seahawks. Seattle hung around at San Francisco as the Seahawks trailed the Niners, 19-17 with less than five minutes remaining. However, a pair of Ted Ginn, Jr. special teams' touchdowns gave San Francisco the cover and dropped Seattle to 5-21 SU the last 26 games on the road.

If you're afraid to lay this number with the Steelers, take credence in the following trend. Seattle has failed to cover each of its last eight games as a road underdog of at least nine points, while allowing at least 31 points in each of those losses. The Steelers were 4-0 SU/ATS last season off a loss, as Mike Tomlin's club held three of those opponents to 10 points or less.

Bears at Saints (-7, 47 ½) - 1:00 PM EST

The Falcons closed at short favorites in Week 1 for the second straight season, but Chicago made sure to let the football world know that last year's run to the NFC Title game was no fluke. The Bears dominated Atlanta with a 30-12 blowout at Soldier Field, while keeping the Falcons' offense out of the end zone. Chicago heads to the Big Easy where it will be anything but against a New Orleans' team trying to get its defense on track after allowing 42 points in a season-opening loss at Green Bay.

The Saints are very pedestrian as a home favorite in the Sean Payton era with a 16-16 ATS record when laying points at the Superdome. New Orleans' powerful offense will be without wide receiver Marques Colston, who broke his collarbone in last week's loss at Green Bay. The Bears likely will have veteran linebacker Brian Urlacher in the lineup following the death of his mother earlier in the week. Lovie Smith's club owned a 4-1 ATS mark as a road underdog last season, even though two of those covers came in outright wins over Carolina and Miami.

Chiefs at Lions (-8, 45) - 1:00 PM EST

The last time Detroit was listed as a six-point favorite or more came back in 2006 as the Niners marched into Ford Field and beat the Lions, 19-13. We know the struggles of this franchise over the years, but some people believe this is finally the season where Detroit turns things around. The Lions led off 2011 with an impressive 27-20 victory at Tampa Bay, the third straight road win for Jim Schwartz's team since dropping 26 in a row away from the Motor City. The Chiefs invade Detroit this Sunday after getting embarrassed at home by the Bills, while losing standout safety Eric Berry for the season with a torn ACL.

Kansas City covered five of eight games as an underdog last season, while the embattled Todd Haley is 6-1 ATS his last seven off a loss against a non-division opponent. Meanwhile, the Lions are 5-2 ATS the previous seven home games off a road contest, including a 3-0 SU/ATS ledger as a favorite since December 2009.

Jaguars at Jets (-9, 39) - 1:00 PM EST

Both these teams are coming off close-shave victories at home last week, even though Jacksonville led from start to finish in its win over Tennessee. The Jets needed a late rally to stun the Cowboys, even though New York failed to cover as six-point home favorites. Under Rex Ryan, the Jets are below average when laying points at home with a 6-9 ATS record, including a 2-5 ATS mark as six-point 'chalk' or more.

With David Garrard released days before the season opener, Luke McCown threw for an economical 175 yards, while Maurice Jones-Drew scored the lone Jacksonville touchdown. The Jags are 0-4 ATS the last four Week 2 contests, while scoring 17 points or less in each of those games. On the Jets side, the 'over' is riding a 19-6 run since December 2009, even though a majority of those 'overs' came on the road.

Packers (-10, 47) at Panthers - 1:00 PM EST

Green Bay's offense is on fire after torching New Orleans for 42 points in the Week 1 opener (granted the Packers scored on a 108-yard kickoff return as well). The Pack hits the highway for a trip to Charlotte against top pick Cam Newton and the Panthers, who came up short in a 28-21 loss at Arizona. Newton threw for 422 yards in the defeat, while Carolina's offense showed signs of life after breaking the 20-point barrier only twice last season.

Carolina was not only awful from the straight-up perspective in 2010, but cashed just four times last season. The Panthers owned a 3-10 ATS mark as an underdog, while going 1-4 ATS when receiving points at Bank of America Stadium. The Packers have been solid on the road under Mike McCarthy with a 12-7 ATS mark as away favorites since 2007, including a 34-12 victory at Detroit as 11 ½-point 'chalk' on Thanksgiving in 2009.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:17 PM

Week 2 NFL Preview Capsules

September 15, 2011

OPENING LINE - Saints by 61/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - New Orleans 0-1; Chicago 1-0

SERIES RECORD - Bears lead 13-11

LAST MEETING - Bears beat Saints, 27-24 in OT, Dec. 11, 2008

LAST WEEK - Bears beat Falcons, 30-12; Saints lost to Packers, 42-34





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Both quarterbacks threw for more than 300 yards last week, with Saints' Brees passing for 419 and Bears' Cutler passing for 312. ... Bears coach Lovie Smith 4-0 against Saints, including playoffs, and 3-0 against Saints coach Sean Payton, with all three wins over Payton coming in Chicago. ... In past four indoor starts, Cutler has completed 66.9 percent (81 of 121) of passes for 975 yards, with 10 TDs, 0 INTs. ... Bears RB Matt Forte grew up in suburban New Orleans and averaged school-record 99.2 yards rushing per game for Tulane, which plays home games in Superdome. ... Forte had 158 yards from scrimmage (90 receiving, 68 rushing), including 56-yard TD catch last week. ... Since joining Saints in 2006, Brees leads NFL in attempts (3,062), completions (2,052), yards (23,337) and TDs (158). ... RB and returner Darren Sproles had 250 total yards last week, including 92 yards and TD on punt returns, 76 yards on kick returns, 75 yards receiving and 7 yards rushing. ... In two career games vs. Bears, RB Pierre Thomas, a Chicago native, has 372 yards from scrimmage (192 rushing, 180 receiving) and 3 TDs (two receiving, one rushing). ... WR Devery Henderson had six catches for 100 yards, including a 29-yard TD last week. ... TE Jimmy Graham seeks fifth game in row with TD catch.


OPENING LINE - Ravens by 6

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Baltimore 1-0; Tennessee 0-0-1

SERIES RECORD - Ravens lead 10-9

LAST MEETING - Ravens beat Titans 13-10, Jan. 1, 2009

LAST WEEK - Ravens beat Steelers 35-7, Titans lost to Jaguars 16-14





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Ravens 9-2 when scoring 20 or more points since 2010. ... Ravens have won six of past seven vs AFC. ... Joe Flacco threw three TDs for sixth time in career last week, and Ravens are 5-1 in those games. ... Ravens 18-2 when Flacco has a 100 or better passer rating. ... Ray Rice had eighth 100-yard rushing game of career in opener. He's averaging 102 yards from scrimmage in his career. ... Ravens forced seven turnovers against Steelers. ... S Ed Reed (1,463) needs 20 yards off interception returns to pass Hall of Famer Rod Woodson (1,483) for most all-time. Reed has 12 games with at least two interceptions, most by player whose career started in Super Bowl era. ... Titans QB Matt Hasselbeck is 158 yards passing from 30,000 for career. In two games vs Ravens, Hasselbeck has thrown for 532 yards with seven TDs and two interceptions and a 107 passer rating. ... Chris Johnson averages 92.1 yards rushing in September, fifth-highest in month in NFL history. He averages 103 yards rushing per game at home. ... WR Kenny Britt had fifth 100-yard receiving game of career with 136 yards last week. ... WR Nate Washington one reception short of 200 for career. ... CB Jason McCourty had first career sack last week.


OPENING LINE - Vikings by 3

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Tampa Bay 0-1; Minnesota 0-1

SERIES RECORD - Vikings lead 31-20

LAST MEETING - Buccaneers beat Vikings 19-13, Nov. 16, 2008

LAST WEEK - Buccaneers lost to Lions 27-20; Vikings lost to Chargers 24-17





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Buccaneers have beaten Vikings four straight times, with first win in streak coming in 2001, the last year they were in same division (old NFC Central. ... After gaining 15 yards on five rushes last week against Lions, Bucs RB LeGarrette Blount eager to make more of an impact. He had one carry after second half, when Bucs used hurry-up offense often. ... Buccaneers 28th out of 32 teams in yards rushing allowed last season. They gave up 125 yards on ground to Lions last week. Vikings RB Adrian Peterson will provide a tough test. He averaged more than 6 yards per carry last week vs Chargers. ... Bucs also let Lions drive at least 70 yards for scores last week. ... Bucs defensive line coach Keith Millard was star for Vikings in 1980s, even winning 1989 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award with 18 sacks. ... Home debut for new Vikings QB Donovan McNabb, who managed 39 yards passing last week. ... Peterson has averaged 110 yards rushing per September regular-season game in career (1,650 yards over 15 games), second-best mark in NFL history for those who played minimum of 10 games. Jim Brown is ahead of him - by less than one full yard per game. ... Under coach Brad Childress for last five seasons, Vikings usually were announced as a team to crowd before home games. This week, they'll return to individual player intros as they run out of tunnel.


OPENING LINE - Lions by 81/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Kansas City 0-1; Detroit 1-0-0

SERIES RECORD - Chiefs lead 7-4

LAST MEETING - Lions beat Chiefs 25-20, Dec. 23, 2007

LAST WEEK - Chiefs lost to Bills 41-7, Lions beat Buccaneers 27-20





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Detroit K Jason Hanson has played 296 games with Lions, tied with Bruce Matthews for most with one team in NFL history. ... Detroit's 2007 win over Kansas City was team's last before 19-game losing streak. ... Chiefs trying for sixth straight win over NFC opponents. ... Since start of 2008, Detroit WR Calvin Johnson has 31 receiving TDs, tied for most in NFL. He caught two against Tampa Bay last weekend ... Kansas City RB Jamaal Charles averaging 6.0 yards per carry through 48 career games. ... Detroit QB Matthew Stafford threw for 305 yards last weekend, joining Bobby Layne as only Lion to throw for at least 300 yards in Week 1. ... Since 2010, Kansas City LB Tamba Hali is second in NFL with 151/2 sacks, trailing DeMarcus Ware, who has 171/2. ... Since start of 2010, Detroit's Brandon Pettigrew has 75 catches, tied for third-most by TE. ... Lions DE Cliff Avril has 61/2 sacks in past six home games. ... Chiefs lost S Eric Berry to torn ACL in left knee in opening quarter vs Bills. ... Last weekend was Chiefs' most lopsided season-opening loss, and worst home loss since 45-0 defeat to Steelers 35 years ago. ... Lions have won five straight dating to last season.


OPENING LINE - Jets by 10

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Jacksonville 0-0; New York 0-1

SERIES RECORD - Jaguars lead 6-3

LAST MEETING - Jaguars beat Jets 24-22, Nov. 15, 2009

LAST WEEK - Jaguars beat Titans 16-14; Jets beat Cowboys 27-24





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Last time teams played, Josh Scobee kicked winning FG with no time left moments after Maurice Jones-Drew took knee at 1 to allow Jags to run out clock and complete late comeback. ... Jaguars trying to win first two games of season for seventh time, first since 2006. ... QB Luke McCown went 17 of 24 for 175 yards vs. Tennessee in first start for Jaguars and eighth of NFL career - first since 2007 while with Tampa Bay. McCown has never faced Jets. ... Jones-Drew looking for rushing TDs in each of first two games for first time in career. Had 97 yards and a score vs. Titans, but hasn't had rushing TD in road game since last time these teams met. Needs one receiving TD to tie Fred Taylor for most in franchise history by a running back, with eight. ... TE Marcedes Lewis needs 71 yards receiving to pass Reggie Williams (2,322) for fifth on franchise list, but uncertain if he'll play. Injured right calf in opener, sat out practice Wednesday. ... DE Aaron Kampman (right leg) won't play, CB Derek Cox (chest) doubtful. ... Game marks return of former Jets DBs Dwight Lowery and Drew Coleman. Lowery traded to Jags on Sept. 3; Coleman allowed to leave as free agent. Lowery sealed win with INT with 23 seconds left vs. Titans; Coleman tied for team lead with 7 tackles and had a sack. ... Jaguars defense held Titans RB Chris Johnson to 24 yards rushing. ... New York erased 14-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat Dallas, capped by Nick Folk's 50-yard field goal. ... Jets wearing blue throwback jerseys of New York Titans and are 4-1 in them. ... Jets had no penalties in opener, marking sixth time in franchise history they played penalty-free game - first since 2007. ... QB Mark Sanchez threw for 335 yards in opener, 1 yard shy of career high. It was also his third career 300-yard game. Sanchez was checked for concussion after being hit hard by Cowboys, but was fine. ... WR Plaxico Burress had four catches for 72 yards and a TD in first game since 2008, while with Giants, after serving 20 months in prison on gun charge. ... RB LaDainian Tomlinson, in second season with Jets, needs 243 yards rushing to pass Jerome Bettis (13,662) for fifth place on NFL career rushing list. Also 374 yards from scrimmage behind Barry Sanders (18,190) for fifth on career list. ... CB Darrelle Revis had INT late in opener that helped set up winning score. It was 15th INT of career, but first since Dec. 13, 2009, at Tampa Bay.


OPENING LINE - Bills by 4

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Oakland 1-0; Bills 1-0

SERIES RECORD - Raiders lead 19-18

LAST MEETING - Bills beat Raiders 24-23, Sept. 21, 2008

LAST WEEK - Raiders beat Broncos 23-20; Bills beat Chiefs 41-7





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Hard times have befallen two original AFL franchises. Raiders have gone eight seasons without winning record, haven't made playoffs since 2002. Bills have one winning season, haven't made playoffs since 1999. ... Raiders attempt to turn around struggles against non-division rivals. After sweeping all six meetings against AFC West opponents last year, Oakland went 2-8 against rest of field. ... Raiders attempting to get off to 2-0 start for first time since 2002. ... RB Darren McFadden coming off eighth career 100-yard game. Raiders 6-2 when McFadden hits 100. ... DE Richard Seymour has seven career sacks against Bills, most against any opponent. All of them came during his first eight seasons with New England. ... Bills LB Shawne Merriman has 81/2 sacks against Oakland, most for him against any opponent - all came during his five-plus seasons with San Diego. ... Bills TE Scott Chandler coming off two TD performance against Chiefs. They were Chandler's first scores since 2006, when he was senior at Iowa, and match number of TDs Bills tight ends had combined over past two years. ... QB Ryan Fitzpatrick coming off four TD outing, his third in 11 starts with Buffalo. Bills QBs had four touchdowns passing in game only twice from 2003-'09. ... Bills forced Chiefs to punt times, matching last year's season-best in 14-12 win over Detroit in November.


OPENING LINE - Redskins by 41/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Arizona 0-1; Washington 1-0

SERIES RECORD - Redskins lead 73-44-2

LAST MEETING - Redskins beat Cardinals 24-17, Sept. 21, 2008

LAST WEEK - Cardinals beat Panthers 28-21; Redskins beat Giants 28-14





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Redskins have beaten Cardinals seven times in row. Arizona last won in 2000, when both were in NFC East. ... First-round draft picks scored go-ahead TDs last week in teams' respective victories: Cardinals' Patrick Peterson returned punt 89 yards; Redskins' Ryan Kerrigan ran back interception 9 yards. ... Arizona QB Kevin Kolb had NFL-high 149.3 fourth quarter passing rating last week. His 11.44 yards per pass attempt was tops in NFL. He had TD passes of 48 and 70 yards, matching total of 40-plus yard passes Cardinals completed in entire 2010 season. ... Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald needs two TD catches (65) to set franchise record ahead of Roy Green (66). ... Redskins RB Tim Hightower faces old team after being traded by Cardinals at end of lockout. He rushed for 1,733 yards and 23 TDs in three seasons with Arizona. He ran 25 times for 72 yards and a TD in Washington debut last week. ... Washington QB Rex Grossman looks to have three consecutive 300-yard games for first time in career. In only previous meeting vs Arizona, Grossman threw four INTs and had 10.2 rating with Chicago on Oct. 16, 2006. ... Redskins have thrown a TD pass in a franchise-record 17 straight games. ... Redskins secondary coach Bob Slowik coaching against his son, Cardinals defensive assistant Ryan Slowik.


OPENING LINE - Steelers by 131/2


LAST MEETING - Steelers beat Seahawks 21-0, Oct. 7, 2007

LAST WEEK - Seahawks lost to 49ers 33-17; Steelers lost to Ravens 35-7.





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Pittsburgh has won eight straight home openers and are 23-5 in last 28 games against NFC opponents. ... Steelers haven't started 0-2 since 2002. They finished 10-5-1 that season and made playoffs as wild card. ... Seahawks last started 0-2 in 2008 when they went 4-12. ... Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger's interception last week against Baltimore was first in 173 attempts, a career-best. ... Series even all-time, but Pittsburgh 6-2 at home against Seattle. Seahawks last win in Steel City was 29-10 on Sept. 26, 1999. ... Pittsburgh RB Rashard Mendenhall needs 78 yards rushing to pass former QB Kordell Stewart for 14th most yards in team history. ... Seahawks have second-youngest roster in league ... Seattle 20-13 in September games since 2001, fifth-best winning percentage (.606) in league. ... Bill Leavy, referee in Pittsburgh's 21-10 win over Seattle in 2006 Super Bowl, will work game. Leavy acknowledged making pair of bad calls in fourth quarter that adversely affected Seahawks. ... Pittsburgh WR Mike Wallace has at least 100 yards receiving in his last five regular season games. ... Seattle coach Pete Carroll 1-1 against Steelers, both games coming while he coached New England in the late-1990s. ... Pittsburgh P Dan Sepulveda averaged 52.8 yards on four punts against Ravens, including career-best 64-yarder.



Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox

OPENING LINE - Packers by 10

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Carolina 0-1; Green Bay 1-0

SERIES RECORD - Packers lead 6-4

LAST MEETING - Packers defeated Panthers 35-31, Nov. 8, 2008

LAST WEEK - Packers defeated Saints 42-34; Panthers lost to Cardinals 28-21





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - In past 11 starts with 15-plus attempts (including playoffs), QB Aaron Rodgers has completed 257 of 362 (71 percent) for 3,271 yards with 28 TDs and 3 INTs for 121.2 rating. ... Rodgers became second player in NFL to throw 3 TDs in first quarter of season opener. ... Packers FB John Kuhn has seven TDs (4 rush, 3 receiving) in his past 8 games ... Packers WR Donald Drives has 9,656 receiving yards, tied with Hall of Famer James Lofton for most by Packer ... Packers WR Greg Jennings aims for third game in row with TD catch vs Carolina. He had seven catches for 89 yards and TD last week. Since start of 2007 (including playoffs), he has 43 receiving TDs, third most in NFL ... Packers rookie WR-KR Randall Cobb tied NFL record for longest KR-TD (108 yards) last week. He's second NFL rookie with TD catch (32 yards) and kick return TD in first game ... Packers CB Charles Woodson had forced fumble and recovery in last meeting. He holds franchise record with nine defensive TDs (eight INTs, one fumble recovery). Since start of 2006, his eight INT returns for TDs are most in NFL ... LB Erik Walder has four sacks in last two games ... Panthers No. 1 overall pick QB Cam Newton had 422 yards passing, most by rookie in NFL debut and tied for most by a rookie in a game. His 422 yards are fifth most by player to open season ... In past two games at home, RB Jonathan Stewart has rushed for 270 yards and aims for third in row at home with 130-plus rushing yards. In his past five games at home with 15 or more carries, Stewart has 624 rush yards (124.8 per game) and has 100-plus yards in all five contests ... RB DeAngelo Williams rushed for four TDs in his last meeting with Green Bay ... WR Steve Smith had eight catches for 178 yards and two TDs (77, 26 yards) last week. He had four catches for 105 yards in last meeting with Green Bay ... TE Jeremy Shockey has 513 receptions, seventh-most by tight end ... TE Greg Olsen had four catches for 78 yards in Carolina debut. ... DE Charles Johnson had 41/2 sacks in past five games at home ... CB Chris Gamble has 24 INTs and needs one more to tie CB Eric Davis for club record.


OPENING LINE - Browns by 3

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Cleveland 0-1; Indianapolis 0-1

SERIES RECORD - Browns lead 15-14

LAST MEETING - Colts beat Browns 10-6, Nov. 30, 2008

LAST WEEK - Browns lost to Bengals 27-17; Colts lost to Texans 34-7





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Browns have lost five straight in series and haven't beaten Colts during Peyton Manning era. ... Cleveland's last win over Indy was Sept. 25, 1994. ... Cleveland is making first trip to Lucas Oil Stadium and first trip to Indy in since Sept. 25, 2005. ... Peyton Hillis ranks seventh among AFC's top rushers with 67 yards but averaged just 3.4 yards per carry against Bengals. ... New kickoff rule hasn't affected Browns' Josh Cribbs, who averaged 30.3 yards per return in Week 1. Cribbs needs 6 yards to pass former Super Bowl MVP Desmond Howard for No. 7 on career list for yards on kickoff returns. ... LB D'Qwell Jackson tied for second in sacks after getting two vs. Bengals. ... Colts have not opened season with 0-2 record since 1998, Manning's rookie season. ... Indy has won seven of last eight home openers, losing only in 2008 - Lucas Oil Stadium's grand opening. ... Despite last week's ugly loss at Houston, Indy still has NFL's best September record (26-7, .788) since 2001. ... Only Baltimore (seven) produced more takeaways in Week 1 than Colts defense (three). ... Kerry Collins needs to play four more games to become 16th quarterback in league history with 200 games played. ... RB Joseph Addai needs two rushing TDs to crack the top five in franchise history. Addai has 38. ... WR Reggie Wayne ranks third in AFC with 106 yards receiving. ... Indy averaged 4.0 yards per carry in Week 1 after failing to average 4.0 since Super Bowl-winning season of 2006.


OPENING LINE - Cowboys by 3

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Dallas 1-0; San Francisco 1-0

SERIES RECORD - 49ers lead 16-15-1

LAST MEETING - Cowboys beat 49ers 35-22, Nov. 23, 2008



49ERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (31), RUSH (18), PASS (29)


STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Dallas has won last two matchups. Dallas has faced San Francisco in six of its 14 NFC title games, its most against any opponent. Cowboys are 4-2 in those games. ... They come to Candlestick Park after blowing 14-point fourth-quarter lead in 27-24 loss to Jets last week. ... Dallas is 246-1-1 when leading by 14 points in fourth quarter, according to STATS LLC. ... Cowboys trying to avoid 0-2 start in consecutive seasons for first time since 2000-01. ... Dallas QB Tony Romo went 23 of 36 for 342 yards and two TDs but lost fumble that aided New York's comeback. ... San Francisco coach Jim Harbaugh became sixth 49ers coach to win season opener in first year - and fourth to do so at home. ... 49ers K David Akers, who booted four field goals in 33-17 season-opening win over Seattle, has scored 184 points against Dallas in his career - most by any player against Cowboys since 1950. ... Cowboys committed seven penalties in loss to Jets. ... Harbaugh wouldn't say why running game didn't work in Week 1, but will try to get RB Frank Gore more involved. Gore's 78 yards from scrimmage last week moved him into third place in club history with 8,775 yards. He trails WR Jerry Rice (19,572) and RB Roger Craig (11,506).


OPENING LINE - Broncos by 6

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Cincinnati 1-0; Broncos 0-1

SERIES RECORD - Broncos lead 17-8

LAST MEETING - Broncos beat Bengals, 12-7, Sept. 13, 2009

LAST WEEK - Bengals beat Browns 27-17; Broncos lost to Raiders 23-20





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Bengals haven't won in Denver since 1975. ... Andy Dalton became first Bengals rookie QB to start an opener since Greg Cook in 1969. He hurt right wrist in game but is better. ... Bengals 11-2 when RB Cedric Benson runs for 100 yards as he did last week against Browns. ... WR A.J. Green, fourth overall pick in draft, had a 41-yard, game-winning TD catch in pro debut. ... LB Thomas Howard has three career interceptions against Broncos. ... Broncos could be without four key players who were hurt against Oakland: DE Elvis Dumervil (shoulder), WR Brandon Lloyd (groin), RB Knowshon Moreno (hamstring) and CB Champ Bailey (hamstring). They were already without MLB D.J. Williams (dislocated right elbow), who said this week he's not close to returning, and DT Marcus Thomas (chest). ... QB Kyle Orton threw for 304 yards in opener. ... Rookie Von Miller, second overall pick in draft, forced a fumble on first NFL snap but didn't get to QB after Dumervil aggravated left shoulder injury on Denver's fourth defensive snap and was limited to pass-rushing downs after that. ... S Brian Dawkins led Broncos with nine tackles against Oakland. He's third NFL player to play 16 seasons at safety. ... WR/PR Eric Decker totaled 181 yards last week, including 90-yard punt return for touchdown.


OPENING LINE - Texans by 3

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Houston 1-0; Miami 0-1

SERIES RECORD - Texans lead 5-0

LAST MEETING - Texans beat Dolphins 27-20, Dec. 27, 2009

LAST WEEK - Texans beat Colts 34-7; Dolphins lost to Patriots 38-24





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - While Texans are 5-0 against Miami, those games have been decided by total of 14 points. ... Texans QB Matt Schaub 4-0 against Dolphins. ... In four games against Miami, Andre Johnson has 30 catches for 426 yards and three scores. ... Johnson, a Miami native who played for Hurricanes, says he bought 150 tickets for friends and family. .. Texans set NFL record for most points in first half of season-opener when they took 34-0 lead over Colts. ... Texans' Brett Hartmann had six touchbacks on kickoffs last week, a franchise record and most in NFL in Week 1. ... Houston LB Mario Williams had two sacks in opener to increase career total to 50. ... Texans allowed Colts to convert 1 of 10 third or fourth downs. ... Miami in danger of starting 0-2 for fifth time in six years. ... Dolphins have lost 10 of their past 11 home games. ... Dolphins have gone 20 consecutive games without 100-yard rusher. ... Dolphins were 2 for 14 on third-down conversions Monday, but 4 for 5 on fourth down. ... Of New England's 517 yards passing against Miami, 238 came after catch. ... On Monday, Chad Henne became fourth QB in NFL history to throw for at least 400 yards and rush for at least 50 in same game. His 59 yards rushing is Miami QB record. ... Dolphins DE Jared Odrick says his interception was first ever, including Little League. ... Miami P Brandon Fields averaged 51.2 yards on six kicks in first game.


OPENING LINE - Patriots by 7

RECORD VS. SPREAD - San Diego 0-1; New England 1-0

SERIES RECORD - Patriots lead 21-15-2

LAST MEETING - Patriots beat Chargers 23-20, Oct. 24, 2010

LAST WEEK - Chargers beat Vikings 24-17; Patriots beat Dolphins 38-24





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Last time Patriots opened home season against San Diego, they won 38-14 in 2007. ... In season openers, Tom Brady threw for a Patriots record 517 yards, while Chargers held Vikings to 28 yards passing. ... In last meeting at Gillette Stadium, Patriots won the AFC title game over Chargers on Jan. 20, 2008. Two weeks later, New England lost to New York Giants in Super Bowl. ... Chargers QB Philip Rivers needs 4 yards passing to reach 20,000 for career. ... San Diego TE Antonio Gates needs five catches to pass Kellen Winslow for second most in club history with 542. Charlie Joiner leads with 586. ... Nick Novak makes debut as San Diego's kicker after Nate Kaeding suffered season-ending left knee injury on opening kickoff against Vikings. Novak also played with Washington, Arizona and Kansas City. ... San Diego's Norv Turner got 100th regular-season win as coach last Sunday. ... Brady tries to extend NFL regular-season record to 29 straight home wins. ... Victory over Chargers would make Bill Belichick second coach in NFL with three separate 10-game winning streaks in regular season. Don Shula is the other. ... Brady needs 207 yards passing to go ahead of Jim Kelly for 17th in NFL history, including playoffs. Kelly had 35,467. ... Patriots TEs Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski combined for 13 catches for 189 yards and 2 touchdowns against Miami. ... New England has won its last nine home openers.


OPENING LINE - Eagles by 21/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Philadelphia 1-0; Atlanta 0-1

SERIES RECORD - Eagles lead 17-11-1

LAST MEETING - Eagles beat Falcons 31-17, Oct. 17, 2010

LAST WEEK - Eagles beat Rams 31-13; Falcons lost to Bears 30-12





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Philadelphia QB Michael Vick facing former team for third time - first as starter - since serving federal prison sentence for dogfighting. Donovan McNabb started two years ago in Atlanta, and Kevin Kolb was still No. 1 quarterback for last year's meeting in Philadelphia. ... In 2009 game, Vick came off bench to run for one TD and pass for another in Eagles' 34-7 win. ... Mike Smith had 33-15 record in first three seasons as Falcons coach. Only NFL coaches with more wins going into fourth season are George Seifert (38-10 with San Francisco), Chuck Knox (34-8 with the Los Angeles Rams) and Barry Switzer (34-14 with Dallas Cowboys). ... Atlanta has been outscored 78-33 in last two games. Falcons closed last season with 48-21 playoff loss to Green Bay. ... Eagles going for first 2-0 start since 2004. ... RB LeSean McCoy had 95 of his 122 yards rushing in fourth quarter against Rams. ... Falcons had three turnovers in last week's loss to Bears. They didn't have more than two in any regular-season game a year ago. ... Atlanta TE Tony Gonzalez became NFL's active leader in receptions (1,074) with five-catch performance vs. Chicago. ... Both quarterbacks faced plenty of pressure in Week 1. Ryan sacked five times and took 11 hits. Vick went down three times, though he ran for 98 yards.


OPENING LINE - Giants by 31/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - St. Louis 0-1; New York 0-1

SERIES RECORD - Rams lead 26-14

LAST MEETING - Giants beat Rams 41-13, Sept. 14, 2008

LAST WEEK - Rams lost to Eagles 31-13; Giants lost to Redskins 28-14.





STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Game between two of NFL's most banged up teams pits Steve Spagnuolo, Giants defensive coordinator for 2008 Super Bowl champions, vs. old boss, Tom Coughlin. ... New York has won last four regular season meetings. ... Rams QB Sam Bradford (bruised right index finger) needs 300 yards passing to reach 4,000 for his career. ... RB Cadillac Williams, who had 91 yards vs. Eagles, needs to step up with starter Steven Jackson nursing an injured quad. ...WR Brandon Gibson led team with 50 yards on three catches. ... Also, CB Ron Bartell is out for year with two fractures in neck, WR Danny Amendola (dislocated left elbow) could be out several weeks and backup DE C.J. Ah You will undergo wrist surgery. ... Giants QB Eli Manning 2-0 vs. Rams with seven TDs and no interceptions. ... RB Ahamd Bradshaw has rushed for 290 yards and three TDs in three Monday night games. ...WR Hakeem Nicks, who hurt knee in season opener, has 16 catches for 204 yards and two TDs in last two Monday night games. ... DE Jason Pierre-Paul tied career-high with two sacks last week. ... Pro Bowl DE Justin Tuck hopes to play after missing opener with sore neck.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:20 PM

Green Bay Packers Take On Panthers In Carolina

The defending Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers have never lost a road opener under head coach Mike McCarthy and will look to improve to 6-0 in that scenario when they visit the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Panthers have lost six of their last seven home openers but showed some promise last Sunday at Arizona in a 28-21 season-opening loss.

Game time is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by FOX. Green Bay opened as 10 ½-point favorites according to the Don Best odds screen, but some action on Carolina has lowered the line to 9 ½ in some places. The total is also getting bet up, going from an opener of 43 to as high as 47 following each team’s impressive offensive performance last week.

The Panthers (0-1 straight up and against the spread) are hoping that rookie quarterback Cam Newton continues his strong play after he set an NFL record for most passing yards in a first start with 422 against the Cardinals. Newton threw two touchdown passes to wide receiver Steve Smith and also ran for another score, although he also tossed his first interception. The reigning Heisman Trophy winner completed just 40 percent of his passes in the preseason, making many NFL experts wonder how long it would take for him develop.

The Packers (1-0 SU and ATS) will try to slow Newton down defensively, but they struggled last Thursday in a 42-34 home win against New Orleans. Saints quarterback Drew Brees picked their secondary apart en route to 419 yards and three touchdowns before a last-minute rally fell just short as they were stopped at the goal line on the game’s final play.

Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers got off to a very fast start in the victory and was named NFC Offensive Player of the Week after throwing for 312 yards and three touchdowns - all in the first quarter - against New Orleans. Rodgers connected with 10 different receivers, including tight end Jermichael Finley, who had three catches for 53 yards in his first regular-season action back in the lineup since suffering a knee injury last October 10.

The teams have split four meetings since 2002, with the Packers going 3-1 ATS. The underdog has also covered three of the last four games between the teams, and the ‘over’ has cashed in the past three. Carolina is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight games against NFC opponents while Green Bay is 12-3-1 ATS in its past 16 games against teams with losing records.

The Panthers will be without middle linebacker Jon Beason, who tore his Achilles’ tendon against Arizona. Beason will miss the rest of the season, and he will be replaced by Dan Connor.

The weather forecast for Sunday in Charlotte calls for a mix of sun and clouds and a high temperature of 74 degrees.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:21 PM

Cowboys Face 49ers In San Francisco

The Dallas Cowboys will be looking for their first win of the season Sunday afternoon when they visit the San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick Park.

Dallas is currently listed as a 3-point road favorite on the Don Best odds screen. Sunday’s game will start at 4:05 p.m. (ET).

San Francisco (1-0) kicked the Jim Harbaugh era off on the right foot last weekend with a win over their division rival Seattle Seahawks. The final score of 33-17 made the game look a little easier than it was, as the 49ers were only up 19-17 with under four minutes to go; but two straight kick returns by Ted Ginn Jr. (one on a kickoff, one on a punt) broke the game open and allowed San Francisco to cover as a 6-point favorite.

For the 49ers to have success this week against Dallas and beyond, they will need production from Alex Smith and Frank Gore on offense. Smith was efficient and mistake-free Sunday with 15 completions on 20 attempts, but it equated to only 124 passing yards with no touchdowns (though he did rush for one touchdown). Gore had a very disappointing day with just 59 yards on 22 rushes.

To keep up with Dallas’s high-powered offense, both will have to take their game to the next level this week.

Dallas (0-1) is coming off of an extremely frustrating loss. They became the first team in Cowboys history to lose a game that they led by 14 in the fourth quarter, giving up 17 unanswered points in the final 12 minutes.

Tony Romo’s 23-for-36, 342 yard, two touchdown day looks great on paper, especially against an elite New York Jets defense; but a late interception (his only one of the game) on an extremely ill-advised throw gave the Jets their game-winning field goal, and became the story of the game.

Dallas did cover the spread as a 6-point underdog.

Romo will be fine and has proven to be a steady producer at quarterback; the bigger question moving forward is whether or not Felix Jones can handle the load of being the full-time feature back in Dallas. He managed only 44 yards on 17 carries last week.

If recent trends are any indication, the ‘over’ could be a popular play on the total in this one. Both teams went ‘over’ last week, and dating back to last season, the total has now gone ‘over’ in 13 of Dallas’ last 14 games and five of San Francisco’s last six. And in five meetings since 2000 between these two teams, the total has gone ‘over’ in every one.

The total is currently listed at 42 ½.

For Dallas, wideout Dez Bryant (quad) is questionable for Sunday’s game and cornerback Terrance Newman (groin) is doubtful. Safety Dashon Goldson is questionable for San Francisco.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:23 PM

Falcons Host Eagles In Michael Vick's Return

Michael Vick makes his first return as a starting quarterback to the Georgia Dome on NBC's Sunday Night Football when the Atlanta Falcons play host to his Philadelphia Eagles. These top NFC contenders kick it off at 8:20 p.m. (ET) in Atlanta to finish off the second Sunday of the NFL betting campaign.

All of the hullabaloo over this game is going to be over Vick, and for good reason. He's a fascinating story for certain, ranging from the highs of being drafted No. 1 overall out of Virginia Tech and leading the Falcons to the NFC Championship Game down to being arrested and suspended by the NFL.

Now, Vick is back with the Eagles, and he is fresh off of a year in which he nearly (and arguably should have) won the MVP award. It's Super Bowl or bust for Philadelphia this year, and with that being said, it is going to have to go through the Falcons at some point in all likelihood to reach the Super Bowl.

For Atlanta, last week's loss against the Chicago Bears was unexpected, and it definitely put them in a precarious position. From here, the Falcons travel to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and to the Seattle Seahawks, then they take on the Green Bay Packers in a playoff rematch at the Georgia Dome in Week 5. Needless to say, this isn't an easy stretch, and the possibility is that their season might be hanging by a thread before Halloween.

That puts a ton of pressure on the back of Matt Ryan and his Falcons to get the job done against the Eagles, a team expected to make a strong run for the NFC title.

Ryan knows that this isn't going to be an easy task. The trio of defensive backs, Nnamdi Asomugha, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Asante Samuel shut down Sam Bradford and the St. Louis Rams last week, and they'll hope to do the same in Week 2.

Roddy White had a great start to his 2011 campaign last week by catching eight passes for 61 yards for Atlanta, but he was unable to get anything going vertically up the field. He might struggle again in that department this week and for the majority of the season until rookie Julio Jones emerges as a deep threat on White's opposite side.

Though this Atlanta offense did end up with 386 yards against the Bears, it didn't score an offensive touchdown, settling just for a Kroy Biermann score on defense.

The man to watch out for on the Eagles is LeSean McCoy. Last week, Atlanta allowed Matt Forte to rush for 68 yards and catch five passes for 90 yards and a TD. McCoy is built largely in the same mold as Forte is, having the ability to both run the rock and catch passes out of the backfield, and this could be a great opportunity for the former Pitt Panther to log his second straight game with at least 125 all-purpose yards.

The Falcons also know that they have to fight off some poor recent history to take down Philadelphia. They are just 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings against the Eagles, and in five of those losses, they were beaten by at least two touchdowns.

Last year, the Eagles were a fantastic road team, going 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS, and they put at least 26 points on the board in all but one of those road games. Vick was out of the lineup that week against the Tennessee Titans, and Philadelphia was beaten 37-19.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:25 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Bears (1-0) @ Saints (0-1)—Last three years, Payton’s team is 10-3 vs spread in game following loss; Saints had three extra days to ****** loss in Lambeau opener. NO is 9-3-1 vs spread in last 13 games as non-divisional home favorite- would expect them to run it more here, after only 21 runs, 53 dropbacks in opener. Since 2007, Bears are 12-18 vs spread in game following a loss- they’re 5-9-1 as road dog since ‘08. Chicago won last three series games, with average total in last three, 54, but Bears lost last three visits to Bourbon Street by 22-3-7 points (beat Saints @ LSU in ’05). 10 of Saints’ last 14 home openers, six of Bears’ last seven road openers stayed under total.

Chiefs (0-1) @ Lions (1-0)—Detroit now on 5-game win streak after 27-20 win in Tampa where they put up 431 yards despite covering just 2-11 on third down; Lions is 6-2-1 in last nine games as home favorite- they’re 12-8 vs spread/AFC teams, 10-6 vs spread at home under Schwartz. Detroit was 5-0 vs spread in game following a win LY, after being 7-21-2 in such role from ‘01-‘09. Chiefs were awful in losing home opener 41-7 last week, passing for just 105 yards, converting 3-13 on third down. Have to wonder how much Cassel is affected by sore ribs. Since ’07, Chiefs are 19-13 vs spread on road. Since 2005, they’re 14-24-1 as single digit underdogs. Home side won four of last five series games.

Jaguars (1-0) @ Jets (1-0)— Since 2007, Gang Green is 8-16-1 as home fave, but they’re 12-10 vs spread as favorite under Ryan. Since ’08, Jets are 16-11 vs spread in game following a win- they need to avoid letdown after emotional comeback win in season opener against Cowboys. Jags won five of last six series games, with three of last four decided by 3 or less points, or in OT; Jax outrushed Titans 163-43 last week, converted 9-18 on third down- this is only second time in last 11+ years they’re double digit dog (lost 27-7 (+10.5) at Baltimore in ’07 finale). Jaguars lost five of last six road openers, scoring 10-12-13 points last three years. Five of their last seven road openers stayed under total.

Raiders (1-0) @ Bills (1-0)—Very tough scheduling spot for Oakland, which won in Denver late Monday night (game ended after 1:30 am ET), now has cross-country road trip on short rest, vs hopped-up Buffalo squad that had 23-yard edge in field position in last week’s stunning 41-7 win at Arrowhead, starting five drives in KC territory. Since 2007, Buffalo is 12-7 as a favorite; since ’04, they’re 18-11-1 as a home favorite. Last eight years, Raiders are 25-42-1 as single digit dog. Oakland won four of last five series games, with home side winning last three; Raiders are 3-3 in last six visits here. Under is 8-4 in Buffalo’s last dozen home openers. Bills had excellent balance in opener; 163 rushing yards, 201 passing.

Cardinals (1-0) @ Redskins (1-0)—Have to be concerned about Arizona pass defense after rookie Newton lit them up for 422 yards, most ever by player in his NFL debut. Over last nine years, Cardinals are just 19-32-2 coming off a win, 26-43-3 vs spread on road, but Arizona has won its first road game the last three years, allowing 14.3 ppg-- they’ve lost last seven games vs Washington, losing last six visits here, with four of six losses by 7+ points. Since 2008, Arizona is 5-10-2 as road dog. Since ’05, Washington is 13-19 as a favorite; 9-3 vs spread when laying 3 or less points, 4-16 if laying more than 3. Skins are 5-13-1 in their last 19 games as a home favorite. Skins had three TD’s in four visits to red zone and the defense scored go-ahead TD, a huge plus. Four of Arizona’s last five road openers stayed under total.

Ravens (1-0) @ Titans (0-1)—Tennessee star RB Johnson had nine carries, 24 yards in opener, now Raven defense comes to town after forcing seven turnovers in rivalry win last week. New Titan coach Munchak great lineman; he needs to find way to get Johnson more holes to run thru. Baltimore is 19-11 vs spread in last 30 games as favorite, 5-3 in last eight as road fave, 14-8-2 in last 24 road games overall- they covered four of last five road openers. Tennessee covered its last six games as an underdog in home openers; since 2007, they’re 22-14-1 as a dog, 18-14 coming off a loss. Home team lost last three series games; Ravens won five of last six visits here. Average total in last seven series games is 31.7. Over is 10-6 in Tennessee’s last six home openers.

Seahawks (0-1) @ Steelers (0-1)—Both teams got hammered last week; since 2003, Steelers are 25-18 vs spread in game following a loss; they’ve won last eight home openers, covering five of last six, allowing just 10.5 ppg in those games. Steelers are just 5-13 in last 18 games when laying double digits; since ’08, they’re 16-21-1 as a favorite, but they did cover 15 of last 24 vs NFC teams. Over last decade, Seattle is 1-9 vs spread as double digit underdogs; since 2005, they’re 11-26-1 on foreign soil, 3-14 last two years. Hawks covered six of last 25 tries as a road dog, but since ’05, they’re 23-19-2 coming off a loss. Seahawks lost field position by 16 yards last week, starting 8 of 13 drives 80+ yards from goal line- they had only 64 rushing yards. Home teams won six of last seven series games; Seahawks are 2-6 in Steel City, with last win in ’99.

Packers (1-0) @ Panthers (0-1)—Defending champs were sharp in opening win, with four TD drives of 76+ yards vs Saints- overall they had five TDs on nine drives. Packers won last five road openers, all by 7+ points; they’re 26-12-1 vs spread in last 39 road games, 10-6 as road favorite last four years. Since 2002, GB is 6-3 when laying double digits. Carolina lost six of last seven home openers (0-8 vs spread in last eight); they’ve covered only 11 of last 30 as an underdog. Since ’06, Panthers are 5-9 as a home dog, but they also covered 10 of last 15 as double digit dog. Green Bay is 7-4 in series, 4-2 in last six visits here, but this is their first here in six years; average total in last three series games is 58.3. Four of Pack’s last five road openers went over; under is 11-3-1 in Carolina’s last 15 home openers.

Bucs (0-1) @ Vikings (0-1)—McNabb had 28 net yards passing in sunny San Diego last week, threw horrible pick on screen pass; Minnesota’s only offensive TD came on 51-yard drive. Not good. Tampa Bay is 12-3-1 vs spread on road under Morris- road teams are 25-6-2 in Tampa games so far in his tenure. Home side won 10 of last 11 Buc-Viking games, but teams haven’t met since ’08; Tampa Bay lost four of last five visits here. Minnesota is 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games as a favorite in its home opener- only once in their last six home openers have Vikings won by more than three points. Bucs lost four of last five road openers; they’re 5-9 vs spread in last 14 games as a dog in a road opener. Under is 14-4 in Bucs’ last 18 road openers, 5-1 in Vikings’ last six home openers.

Browns (0-1) @ Colts (0-1)-- This is first time Browns are favored on road in four years, since Week 16 loss at Cincy in 2007. With Manning out, no Indy trends matter, since they're totally different (much worse) without him. Colts trailed 34-0 at half in Houston last week; Texans had no points, 7 first downs in second half. Colts had only 64 rushing yards, were 1-9 on 3rd down. Cleveland gave up couple of TDs in last 5:00 of home loss to Bengals- they had 11 penalties and were just 19-40 passing. Browns covered two of last eight games as a favorite, but over last decade, they're 5-1 as a road favorite. For what its worth, Colts are 5-0 vs new Browns, with last three wins 9-6/13-6/10-6. Cleveland lost its last five road openers, going 1-3-1 vs spread, with three of the five losses by 17+ points. Over is 7-3 in Cleveland's last ten road openers.

Cowboys (0-1) @ 49ers (1-0)-- Dallas led by 14 in 4th quarter at Swamp last week, but blew lead, first time in franchise history (241-1-1) they lost a game when leading by 14+ in 4th quarter. Since 1988, Dallas is 8-3 as a favorite in its road opener; they've won three of last four overall. 49ers' 33 points vs Seattle last week are little misleading, as Ginn returned PR/KR for TDs within 0:59 in last 4:00 of what was 19-17 game. 49ers are 11-4-1 vs spread at home the last two years; they were 0-5 vs spread after a win LY. Dallas won three of last four series games, with average total in last five, 58.6- they were 0-3 as a road favorite LY,and seem to find ways to lose (like the blocked punt last week) so they need this win to erase last week's debacle. Over is 11-3 in Cowboys' last 14 road openers. You have to give 49ers a big edge in special teams.

Texans (1-0) @ Dolphins (0-1)-- Miami had 390 passing yards vs Patriots in opener, but 213 of its 488 total yards came on last three drives, after Pats had blown game open. Houston won all five games vs Miami, with four wins by 3 or less points; their wins here were 21-20/27-20, with last one in 2009. Since 2004, Dolphins are 11-15 as a home dog; they've lost last five games at home. Fish gave up 519 yards passing last week (10.5 ypa). Texans had 34-0 lead at halftime last week, coasted rest of game; they won three of their last four road openers, with seven of last eight going over total. Texans play Saints/Steelers in next two weeks, they better not look past this hungry opponent. Since 2005, Dolphins are 19-31-1 vs spread in game following a loss; Houston is 17-31-2 in its history coming off a win.

Chargers (1-0) @ Patriots (1-0)-- Brady implored fans to get drunk and make lot of noise for this 4:15 kickoff, so expect raucous crowd; New England won its last nine home openers (5-3-1 vs spread), with seven of nine going over the total. Chargers are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as underdog in their road opener, but since 2004, San Diego is 19-5-3 overall as an underdog, 6-2-1 as a road dog the last three years. Bolts brought in Bob Sanders to improve its pass defense- Vikings got only 28 net passing yards last week, but McNabb is no Brady, this we know. Pats are 9-6-1 as home favorite last two years. Patriots won four of last five series games; Chargers lost nine of last ten visits here, with only win in 2005- their last visit here was in '07. Chargers are 22-14-1 coming off a win, New England is 34-23-2. Winner is early favorite in AFC.

Bengals (1-0) @ Broncos (0-1)-- Denver is 11-2 in last 13 series games, winning last meeting 12-7 on bizarre tipped pass in last minute of '09 opener. Bengals lost last eight visits here; their last Mile High win was 1975, but Cincy won its opener, scoring two TDs in last 5:00 behind journeyman backup Gradkowski. Last 5+ years, Cincy is 16-13 as a road dog. Broncos are now 6-20 SU in last 26 games, since starting out 6-0 in '09- since 2006 they're 5-22-1 as a favorite at home. Some fickle Denver fans were chanting for a QB change to Tebow late in Monday night's loss, so pressure on Orton to play better here, but they also need better balance, after 51 dropbacks, only 13 running plays in opener. Cincy is 10-6 vs spread in game following its last 16 wins. Denver is 15-25 vs spread in game after its last 40 losses.

Eagles (1-0) @ Falcons (0-1)-- Over last three years, Atlanta is 13-1-1 against spread in games coming off a loss. Michael Vick returns to Georgia Dome here for first time as an Eagle, so very emotional game for him, after his workmanlike destruction of Rams (237 RY, 8-12 on 3rd down) last week. Atlanta won six of last seven home openers; since 1988, they're 5-3 as underdog in home opener. Eagles scored 37-38-35 points in last three road openers; they're 7-4 as faves in their road opener. Falcons were only NFL team not to score offensive TD last week; they had 52 dropbacks, 14 runs, so expect more balance here. Over last decade, Philly is 27-20 as road favorite, Falcons 7-17 as home underdog; since '07 Eagles are 19-16 coming off a win. Will be curious to see how much of the Georgia Dome crowd is going to be pulling for #7.

Rams (0-1) @ Giants (0-1)-- Rams' coach Spagnuolo is former Giant aide who helped them win Super Bowl, but players win games, and both sides have key injuries. St Louis lost offensive stars Jackson/Amendola in home opener loss, but QB Bradford (bruised finger on passing hand) will play here, much to relief of ESPN. Giants won last four series games, last three by an average score of 36-17, but Big Blue is hurting on defense, losing to Grossman (21-34/258) in opener. Manning converted only 1-10 on 3rd down, as Redskins outscored the Jersey offense 7-0 in second half. Giants are 10-5 as a favorite in home opener; they won last three, by 9-6-13 points. This is Rams' first MNF appearance in five years; they lost their last nine road openers, going 1-10 vs spread in last 11, with last five staying under total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34878 Followers:38
09/15/2011 07:26 PM


Week 2

Trend Report

Sunday, September 18

1:00 PM
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Green Bay's last 11 games on the road
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

1:00 PM
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
NY Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
Chicago is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

1:00 PM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games

1:00 PM
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games

1:00 PM
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

1:00 PM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

1:00 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 12 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Seattle

4:05 PM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

4:15 PM
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

4:15 PM
Cincinnati is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

4:15 PM
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

8:20 PM
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games
Atlanta is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

Monday, September 19

8:30 PM
St. Louis is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of St. Louis's last 16 games on the road
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: