cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:11 PM

Stanford Faces Arizona In Pac-12 Action

The Arizona Wildcats are 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

The Stanford Cardinal (2-0) and Arizona Wildcats (1-1) are set to kick off their inaugural Pac-12 Conference schedules Saturday night in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:45 (ET) from Arizona Stadium and will be nationally-televised on ESPN.

Stanford is favored in the betting odds for a third straight week, currently sitting as 10-point road favorites and the total has been driven up from 53 to 54 1/2.

The West coast school from Palo Alto, CA, has a chance to move up from the No. 3 spot in Don Best Linemakers Poll if the Oklahoma Sooners find potential trouble in Tallahassee.

The Cardinal were 4-point road underdogs the last time they played on the road in this series in 2009, dropping a 43-38 thriller.

Quarterback Andrew Luck has led the program to a 9-1 September record over the last two-plus seasons, registering wins over the San Jose State Spartans (57-3) and Duke Blue Devils (44-14) in the opening two weeks of the 2011 campaign.

Luck completed 20-of-28 passes for 290 yards and tied a career-high with four touchdowns passes versus the Blue Devils on the road in Week 2. He has also helped the offense convert 90.2 percent of its chances (74-of-82) in the red zone over the last two seasons.

Stanford has won three of the last four games overall in this series, while proving victorious in four of its last five chances in the desert.

The Cardinal torched a Wildcats defense that came into last season’s meeting ranked seventh nationally in scoring defense, rolling up 510 yards of total offense on its way to an eventual 42-17 win as 7 1/2-point home favorites.

Total bettors will find that the 'over' has cashed in the last two meetings, snapping a string of five consecutive games in the series going 'under' the total.

Arizona has a laundry list of injuries that includes star wide receiver Juron Criner being listed as doubtful due to undergoing an appendectomy on Sept. 5. The Wildcats have also lost two starters in a secondary that has been horrendous through two games.

Opposing teams have completed 78.5 percent of their passes against the Wildcats this year, which is a bad omen when facing a signal-caller this week that’s projected to be the No. 1 overall pick in the upcoming NFL draft.

The program has posted a 9-22 record against ranked opponents under the direction of head coach Mike Stoops, but the interesting part is how they have picked up such a victory in each of his seven seasons on campus.

The Wildcats must get a ground game going to help quarterback Nick Foles in this contest, as the school is averaging just 58 rushing yards a contest, which is 115th out of 120 teams nationally.

Foles has been dynamite in the pocket, completing 71-of-93 passes for 810 yards and six touchdowns. The potential loss of Criner isn’t as big as many would believe, as the program possesses one of the deeper receiving cores in the country.

Bettors will be watching this line closely leading up to kickoff, as the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Weather forecasts are suggesting clear skies in the Arizona desert and game-time temperatures in the upper-70s.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:11 PM

Wisconsin Badgers Meet Northern Illinois In Chicago

The Wisconsin Badgers play their only non-conference game away from Madison when they meet the Northern Illinois Huskies on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 p.m. (ET).

The Don Best college football odds have Wisconsin between 16 ½-17point favorites, with a lofty total of 64 points.

ESPN3 will have the online broadcast from Soldier Field in Chicago. Reportedly only around 40,000 seats will be sold and less than half should be Northern Illinois fans despite it technically being a homegame.

The Big Ten Badgers (2-0 straight up, 1-0-1 against the spread) have been dominant in home wins over UNLV (51-17) and Oregon State (35-0). The former was a ‘push’ of the 34-point spread, but only because the offensive starters were pulled during the third quarter.

Wisconsin is up to seventh in the AP Poll and a slightly higher sixth at the Don Best Linemakers Poll. The difference is that LSU is ranked third in the former, while Don Best isn’t as high on the SEC school, ranking it tied at seventh with Oregon.

Even though it’s early, coach Bret Bielema must feel like the cat that swallowed the canary with his recruitment of senior quarterback Russell Wilson. He’s been nothing short of brilliant with a 79.4 percent completion percentage and 237.6 quarterback rating (both top-4 nationally).

Critics point out that it’s easy to post great numbers with a dominant offensive line and a defense that needs eight in the box to stop running backs Montee Ball and James White. However, Wilson has firmly grasped the offense in his short time with the club and he’s already one of the leaders.

The defense had some questions marks after allowing 146 rushing yards to UNLV. That was answered with 23 yards allowed on 24 carries against Oregon State. That’s impressive even with OSU star freshman running back Malcolm Agnew sidelined with injury.

The Badgers did allow 244 passing yards to Sean Mannion last week, but most were meaningless and he averaged just 6.4 yards per attempt. They did get some bad news with corner Devin Smith (foot) lost for the year, but Marcus Cromartie is a solid replacement.

Wisconsin has won 30 straight regular season non-conference games (15-11-1 in their last 27 ATS) dating back to 2003. The team is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine games overall, going 4-0 ATS in road and neutral site contests.

Northern Illinois (1-1 SU and ATS) is playing its second-ever game at Soldier Field. It played Big Ten Iowa there in 2007, losing 16-3 as 12-point ‘dogs. This is just a 65-mile jaunt from its DeKalb campus, while it’s 150 miles for Wisconsin.

The Huskies went 11-3 SU (10-3-1 ATS) last year, including a perfect 8-0 regular season mark in the MAC. That helped Jerry Kill get the job at Minnesota and he was replaced by former Wisconsin defensive coordinator Dave Doeren.

Doeren spent five years with the Badgers and they’re so worried about his familiarity that they’re changing all the signals and communication he might know.

Northern Illinois is an offensive minded team despite its coach’s background. Nine starters returned from a group that was seventh nationally in rushing (260.4 YPG) and 12th in points (38 PPG). The offense can line up under center, in the shotgun or in pistol formations.

Senior Chandler Harnish is a dual-threat quarterback who’s thrown for 510 yards this year and rushed for 169 more, accounting for 11 touchdowns between his arm and legs. He threw for 2,530 yards last year and ran for 836.

Northern Illinois beat Army in the opener, 49-26 as 10-point home favorites, but fell at Kansas last week 45-42 as 4-point favorites, surrendering the winning touchdown pass with just nine seconds left.

The ‘over’ has easily gone 2-0 for Northern Illinois this season and is 6-1 in its last seven overall.

Doeren really needs to have some defensive tricks up his sleeve. He’s certainly familiar with Wisconsin’s personnel and formations, but his guys are giving up 278 YPG on the ground (ranked 117th nationally) and 471.5 total yards (ranked 110th). Only two starters returned from last year.

The Huskies gave Wisconsin a game when they last met in 2009, a 28-20 loss as 16 ½-point road ‘dogs. They’re 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Big Ten.

Weather will not be a problem, mostly sunny and in the 60s. However, the extremely hard grass field does have both coaches concerned.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:16 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/15/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/10/11 42-­42-­0 50.00% -­2100 Detail
09/09/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
09/08/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/05/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/04/11 1-­1-­2 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/03/11 34-­16-­2 68.00% +­8200 Detail
09/02/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
09/01/11 7-­12-­0 36.84% -­3100 Detail
Totals 93-­76-­4 55.03% +4700

Friday, September 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Iowa State - 8:00 PM ET Iowa State +4 500

Connecticut - Under 44.5 500

Boise State - 8:00 PM ET Toledo +20 500

Toledo - Over 60.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:23 PM

Las Vegas Money Moves

September 15, 2011

The Wynn and Las Vegas Hilton adjust college numbers early and often

Michigan opened -29 ½ at the Las Vegas Hilton Monday morning and the line was bet up to a high of -31 before some Eastern Michigan money moved the line where it started at -29 ½.

Penn State was a game that the Wynn opened at -6 ½ for its road game at Temple. When the market price was set Monday, -9 was the number and then Temple money slowly came in dropping the game all the way to -6 ½. The game has been bet up to -7 at the Hilton.

Georgia Tech opened as a 14-point home favorite against Kansas and was bet up to -15 ½ and then bet against down to -14 ½ where it sits now.

Colorado was an initial 10-point favorite for the intrastate rival match against Colorado State from Invesco Field, but was quickly bet down to -8 where it sits now at the Hilton.

The Wynn opened Wisconsin -14 against Northern Illinois and by Monday morning the market price was -16 ½. It got to -17 and has since been bet down to -16 ½. (Game being played at Soldier Field)

The Wynn opened 0-2 Notre Dame as a 3 ½-point home favorite against Michigan State. The first bet was on Michigan State taking it down to -3, but then it was bet up to -5 within two hours. The opening number at the Hilton was -6 on Monday morning and has since been bet down to -5 where it currently sits. The Wynn never went to -6. Although the first bettor at the Wynn got the worst of the number, the type of players that wait for these games to come up are pretty sharp and he saw value in the virgin number. Remember, when the Wynn numbers go up, no one in the world has a line up to compare them with. It’s old school handicapping at it’s best for an hour.

New Mexico getting +24 all the way down to +19 ½ against visiting Texas Tech was one of the more attractive wagers from everyone Sunday night at the Wynn. The low limits drove the game fast and by the time offshore outfits had put their numbers up, the game had settled around -19 ½. As of Thursday evening, the game was bet back up to -21.

The biggest disparity of the week rests with Texas A&M being opened Sunday as –a 29 ½-point home favorite to Idaho. The Wynn currently has A&M -36 while the high number of the week was the Hilton's -37, which has since been bet down to -35 ½.

Arizona State opened -1 at the Hilton for their road game at Illinois and has slowly turned into the favorite being with the friendly Illini now a 2-point favorite.

USC opened -13 at the Wynn for their home game against Syracuse and has been bet up to -16. The Hilton currently has USC -17 after opening the game -16 on Monday.

The big game of the week has seen big two-way action. Oklahoma and Florida State have plenty of supporters and valid opinions for wagering on each side. Oklahoma opened as a 3-point road favorite and it’s stayed there.

Ohio State visiting Miami, Fl. doesn’t quite have the same luster it would have had, but it’s still an attractive feature game. The Wynn opened Miami a short 1 ½-point favorite and it has been bet up to -3.

Hawaii got early action at the Wynn when they posted -17 against UNLV. On Thursday morning, most sports books had the game up to -20 ½, but later in the day Hawaii action started coming in. The Hilton currently has the low number of -18.

Stanford has been a popular play with the small money but some respected faces like Arizona as a home underdog getting 10-points here. Coast Resort properties have the low number of -9 while the consensus is -9 ½ around town.

The interesting oddity of the week is seeing Alabama as 45 ½-point home favorites against North Texas while the total is only 53 ½. Anytime you can get the spread-to-total percentage at around 50%, there is great correlated parlay value by either taking the Underdog-Under or the Favorite-Over at 13/5 odds (Bet $50 to win $130). In this game, the percentage is 85%.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:25 PM

Texas Looks For Revenge Against UCLA

The Big 12 Texas Longhorns have a score to settle when they head out West to face the Pac-12 UCLA Bruins on Saturday afternoon.

Texas is between a 3 ½-4-point betting favorite with a reasonably low total of 44 points. The 3:30 p.m. (ET) clash from the Rose Bowl will be broadcast by ABC or corporate partner ESPN.

It was almost a year ago that these teams met in Austin. The 3-0 Longhorns came in as big 15 ½-point favorites and ranked No. 7 in the AP Poll, but left on the wrong side of a 34-12 beat down with five turnovers doing them in.

Texas went into a freefall after that, finishing 2-7 straight-up and against the spread in its final nine games. That was the team’s first losing season since 1997 and the first for coach Mack Brown since 1989.

Brown started this season with tons of pressure, especially with the new Longhorn Network that’s not nearly as valuable without a great football team.

Texas (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) has answered the bell so far, at least in terms of wins. Home triumphs over Rice (34-9) and BYU (17-16) has them ranked No. 25 on the Don Best Linemakers Poll and No. 23 in the AP. The BYU result was a failure to ‘cover’ as 7 ½-point favorites, but Mack was just happy to pull it out in the fourth quarter.

Sophomore quarterback Case McCoy led the game-winning drive in relief last week and he’ll make his first career start with the talented, but ineffective Garrett Gilbert now third string. Case’s brother Colt is a former Longhorn legend and current Cleveland Browns quarterback, making him an instant fan favorite.

Freshman quarterback David Ash will be the backup this week. He was 2-of-3 for 35 passing yards against BYU, while McCoy was 7-of-8 for 57 yards. Ash is the running option of the two, amassing 36 yards last week.

The other big change on offense is that freshman running back Malcolm Brown (154 total rushing yards, 5.1 yards per carry) should start.

The Longhorns’ defense was expected to be the strength and is allowing 229.5 YPG in total yards (ranked 15th nationally). They are young at cornerback, but should keep improving.

The ‘under’ is 2-0 for Texas this year and 7-2 in their last nine overall.

UCLA (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) comes into this game with a lot of question marks. An opening 38-34 loss at Houston as 1 ½-point ‘dogs was followed by a 27-17 home win over San Jose State as big 20 ½-point favorites. Both performances left a lot to be desired.

Coach Rick Neuheisel has his own quarterback problems. Kevin Prince started versus Houston, but left with a head/shoulder injury. Fellow junior Richard Brehaut came in and played well (17-of-26, 264 yards), but was mediocre at best against San Jose State (12-of-23, 145 yards).

Neuheisel won’t say who will start, although Prince is reportedly healed. The pistol offense has been more effective for running backs Johnathan Franklin and Derrick Coleman, who lead the nation’s 16th-ranked rushing attack (252 YPG).

That duo combined for 212 rushing yards against Texas last year, needing only 27 passing yards from Prince. Expect new Texas defensive coordinator Manny Diaz to be much more ready for the rushing attack this year.

The UCLA pass defense got shredded in the opener by Houston’s Case Keenum (30-of-40 for 310 yards, two TDs). It allowed just 111 passing yards last week to Dasmen Stewart, the San Jose State backup playing only due to injury.

The Bruins don’t have to worry about McCoy or Ash passing them crazy this week, but they must stop Brown. Their 180.5 YPG allowed on the ground has them ranked 11th in the Pac-12 and 88th nationally.

Linebacker Glenn Love (shoulder) should return this week, which should help, but the inexperienced defensive line must play a lot better too.

UCLA is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games overall, finishing last year at 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS.

The ‘under’ is 3-0 in UCLA’s last three home games (39.0 average total points) and 25-9 in their last 34 home games overall.

The Southern California weather should be beautiful, clear and around 70 degrees.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:27 PM

Oregon Ducks Look To Roll Over Missouri State

The Bears failed to cover as 41 1/2-point underdogs against the Razorbacks.
The Missouri State Bears (0-2) are set to face off against the Oregon Ducks (1-1) inside Autzen Stadium in Eugene, OR, Saturday afternoon with the kickoff scheduled for 3:30 ET.

Oddsmakers have labeled the No. 7 team in the Don Best Linemakers Poll as 47 1/2-point home favorites against a seemingly overmatched opponent.

Oregon was handed a 40-27 season-opening loss to the LSU Tigers inside Cowboys Stadium on Sept. 3, but bounced back with a dominating 69-20 win over the Nevada Wolf Pack as 26 1/2-point favorites in front of its home fans.

The Ducks will be meeting just their second opponent from the Football Championship Series since the 2007 season, as this will be the first-ever meeting between the two programs. The last such contest ended in an Oregon 69-0 win over Portland State.

Quarterback Darron Thomas has really assumed control of one of the more explosive offense’s in the country, throwing for seven touchdown passes in two games. He completed 31-of-54 passes for 240 yards with a touchdown and interception against a ferocious defense in Week 1.

The junior followed up that performance by ending the Nevada game with a 303.05 passing efficiency rating, hitting on 13-of-19 passing attempts for 295 yards and six scores.

Oregon has simply overmatched opponents at home, coming into this contest winners of 17 straight.

Head coach Chip Kelly has been on campus since 2007, serving as offensive coordinator for two years before taking over the top spot, watching the team post a 24-3 record at Autzen Stadium. The Ducks have averaged 46.1 points per game in those contests.

Missouri State will be playing its third consecutive road game Saturday, coming off losses against Arkansas (51-7) and Eastern Kentucky (28-24).

The Bears failed to cover as 41 1/2-point underdogs against the Razorbacks, but did tally a spread win against Kansas State on Sept. 11, 2010, in falling 48-24 as 27-point road underdogs.

It’s unlikely that this program will be competitive away from home in this situation, especially when being out-gained by 1,466 combined yards in its last five games against lined competition.

All eyes will be fixed on a pair of senior running backs in the Bears backfield, as Chris Douglas and Stephen Johnston are one of the best tandems at the FCS level. Both managed to average over five yards a carry a season ago.

The team is in trouble on the defensive end in allowing opponents to average just under 4.9 yards per carry, as the Ducks are still one of the more dominant running teams in all of college football.

The athletic program will take in $440,000 for stepping up against a Pac-12 Conference opponent, which is a step higher than the $395,000 it netted in playing an SEC school two weeks earlier.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:29 PM

Troubled Ohio State And Miami (FL) Meet On Saturday

The storylines this week all involve players who won’t be on the field Saturday.
Things have changed quite a bit over the course of the last eight years for the Miami Hurricanes and the Ohio State Buckeyes. The two played in the Fiesta Bowl in 2003 for the National Championship, but now, the two cross paths once again as they try to salvage what they can out of frustrating seasons.

Kickoff from Sun Life Stadium will be on Saturday night at 7:30 p.m. (ET), and there will be live television coverage of this NCAA football betting affair on ESPN,, and ESPN Mobile TV.

Unfortunately for both of these teams, the storylines this week all involve who should have been playing but won't be.

Ray Ray Armstrong, Olivier Vernon, Dyron Dye, and Aldarius Johnson are all suspended for the Hurricanes thanks to the fact that they took illegal benefits from Nevin Shapiro, a Miami booster who is currently in jail.

For the Buckeyes, the suspension list is awfully long as well after last season's NCAA investigation over their illegally provided benefits. Boom Herron, DeVier Posey, Mike Adams, and Solomon Thomas have all been suspended, and of course, neither Terrelle Pryor nor Jim Tressel are Buckeyes any longer.

That being said, it has predictably been a questionable start to the season for both.

Miami has had a week and a half to think about their 32-24 loss at the Maryland Terrapins to start the season, marking its fourth straight loss dating back to last year. The Canes didn't have Jacory Harris under center in that one though, and backup Stephen Morris only threw for 195 yards with two picks. Harris was immediately reinstated as the team's starting quarterback when he came back to the roster.

The Buckeyes have dropped to No. 21 in our Don Best Linesmakers Poll, and they have to feel fortunate just to be standing as an undefeated team. They had to fend off the Toledo Rockets last week in a 27-22 win that certainly couldn't have given all that much confidence to the fans at the Horseshoe.

Joe Bauserman has done as good of a job as could be expected for Ohio State. He was more or less just thrown into this mix in this, his senior season, and he never could have imagined that he'd be starting an entire season for the Buckeyes. Bauserman had only thrown a grand total of 47 passes in his entire career before this year, which makes it all the more impressive that this season he has completed 60.9 percent of his passes for 352 yards with four TDs and no INTs.

The Buckeyes' offense might have been terrorized by suspensions in the offseason, but the defense has done its job and remains mostly intact. They have allowed just 214.0 YPG in the first two games of the season, and that bodes well for their future in the Big Ten this year.

Last season, the Hurricanes scored 24 points, but 14 of that came via special teams. The offense turned the ball over four times in the 36-24 loss to OSU.

In spite of its struggles though, Miami is a 2 1/2-point favorite on the Don Best Odds Screen. The total has been set at 46 1/2, dropping from 48 1/2 at the start of the week.

If the betting trends hold up in this one, expect that dropping total to stay 'under'. The 'under' is 36-16-1 in Miami's last 53 home games, and it is also 8-1-2 in Ohio State's last 11 road games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:31 PM

Florida Hosts Tennessee In SEC Matchup

The Florida Gators have won six straight over Tennessee.
The undefeated Tennessee Volunteers and Florida Gators take the field Saturday looking to improve to 3-0 overall and 1-0 in the SEC East.

Per the Don Best odds screen, the Florida Gators are a 9 ½-point favorite at home. The game will be televised nationally on CBS, and kicks off at 3:30 p.m. (ET).

Entering the season, Florida (ranked 15th on this week’s Don Best Linemakers Poll) was one of the betting favorites to win the SEC East alongside South Carolina and Georgia. Tennessee (ranked 30th on the Don Best Linemakers Poll) sat behind that trio, but an upset win over Florida this week would have to put them in the conversation.

Tennessee (2-0) has looked sharp on offense early, scoring 42 points against Montana in their home opener and 45 against Cincinnati last week. The 45-23 win over Cincinnati last week as a 3 ½-point favorite was a good win for the Volunteers, as the Bearcats are a solid football team. The win and cover brought them to 2-0 ATS.

Sophomore quarterback Tyler Bray has looked particularly sharp, compiling a 78.5% completion percentage and a 7-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio through his first two games. Bray will face his toughest defensive challenge yet this weekend against Florida.

Florida (2-0) has had no trouble at all handling their early tune-ups, crushing UAB 39-0 as a 24 ½-point favorite in their home opener and cruising against Florida Atlantic 41-3 as a 34-point favorite last week. Neither game provided much of a test for Florida on either side of the ball.

As was the case last year, all eyes are on John Brantley this season. The young quarterback struggled badly in his first season as the starter last year as the entire offense could never seem to find a rhythm. But surrounded by lightning fast talented athletes and working with new offensive coordinator Charlie Weis, the Gators are expecting Brantley to take a big step forward this season.

If he does, the Gators have the defense and the supporting cast to not only challenge for the SEC East, but potentially for a BCS National Championship. If not, it could be another long and frustrating year for Florida fans. This game will provide a good test early.

Florida has had the upper hand in this SEC East rivalry of late, winning six straight over Tennessee with a 3-2-1 record ATS. Last season’s matchup in Tennessee was a push, as Florida won 31-17 as a 14-point favorite.

Recent home and road splits don’t make Tennessee look too appealing. The Volunteers are 4-12 straight up in their last 16 games on the road, and Florida is 21-3 straight up in their last 24 at home.

The total for Saturday’s contests is currently set at 50 ½. The total has gone ‘under’ in four of the last six games between these two rivals.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:35 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, September 16

Boise State (-38) crushed Toledo 57-14 on blue turf LY, with 500-287 edge in yardage and +5 turnover ratio. Broncos had last week off after a convincing win over Georgia in Atlanta- second longroad trip already for team led by senior QB Moore (41st career start). Rockets lost 27-22 at Ohio State last week, outgaining OSU 338-311 but giving up a PR for a TD. Toledo has nine starters back on both sides of ball- they were just 3-16 on 3rd down last week. Rockets are 10-4 as a home dog since 2001.

2-0 Iowa State needed last-minute score to nip I-AA Northern Iowa in its opener 20-19; UNI outgained State 385-328, but then Cyclones beat rival Iowa 44-41 in OT last week 44-41, converting 13-20 on 3rd down and surviving -2 turnover ratio. UConn lost 24-21 at Vandy last week, scoring only one offensive TD- they were outgained 259-193. Both QBs are inexperienced; Huskies were just 11-29 passing last week, converting on only 3 of 15 third down plays.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
09/16/2011 06:36 PM


Friday, September 16

Boise State at Toledo: What bettors need to know

Boise State Broncos at Toledo Rockets (+20, 59.5)

THE STORY: Boise State wouldn’t figure to have a lot of trouble with Toledo but Ohio State certainly didn’t expect to either.

The No. 4 Broncos insist they won’t be taking the Rockets lightly after Toledo nearly upset the Buckeyes before falling 27-22 last Saturday. Boise State is the highest-ranked team to ever visit Toledo’s Glass Bowl. The Broncos haven’t played in 13 days since defeating Georgia in their nationally-televised opening contest. Boise State routed Toledo 57-14 last season in the only previous meeting between the two schools.


LINE MOVES: This spread opened with BSU at -17 and money on the Broncos has driven the spread as high as -20. The total has also moved, going from its opening post of 58.5 points to 59.5 as of Thursday afternoon.

ABOUT TOLEDO (1-1): The Rockets enter the contest with a lot of confidence after slugging it out with powerful Ohio State. Receiver Eric Page caught 12 passes for 145 yards and two touchdowns against Ohio State and has 17 receptions in two games. The Rockets use a two-quarterback system with Austin Dantin (316 yards, four touchdowns) and Terrance Owens (259 yards, three touchdowns) both faring well.

Toledo also was impressive defensively, holding the Buckeyes to 301 yards. Standout linebacker Dan Molls (leg) will likely miss his second straight game and fellow linebacker Robert Bell (ribs) is also ailing.

The previous highest-ranked team to visit Toledo was No. 9 Pittsburgh in 2003. The Rockets upset the Panthers 35-31.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (1-0): The Broncos forced six three-and-outs in their victory over Georgia. Quarterback Kellen Moore threw three touchdown passes and has thrown multiple touchdowns in 34 of 41 career games. Moore is 39-2 as a starter and is six wins away from matching the career victories record held by former Texas star Colt McCoy.

Defensive end Shea McClellin scored on a 36-yard interception against Toledo last season. Starting safety Cedric Febis was expected to miss his second straight game as one of three Dutch players in Boise State’s program having their eligibility investigated by the NCAA.But Febis was re-instated by the NCAA on Thursday.


1. The Broncos were officially placed on NCAA probation Tuesday. The penalties included the loss of nine scholarships over a three-year span.

2. Toledo’s Page had 11 receptions for 120 yards in last year’s contest against Boise State.

3. Boise State is 17-2 when playing on Fridays.

PREDICTION: Boise State 45, Toledo 17 – The Broncos are well rested and typically well prepared and it’s bad timing for the Rockets to face the Broncos six days after meeting Ohio State.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: