cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/01/2011 07:22 PM

TCU at Baylor

September 1, 2011

TCU has posted double-digit win totals in seven of the last nine seasons and has won 11 games or more in six of those years. Coming off a perfect 13-0 season that was capped by a Rose Bowl win over Wisconsin, the Horned Frogs will embark on their farewell campaign in the Mountain West Conference when they open 2011 at Baylor on Friday night.

As of Thursday morning, most betting shops were listing Gary Patterson’s team as a 4 ½-point favorite with a total of 56. Gamblers can take Baylor to win outright for a plus-175 payout (risk $100 to win $175).

TCU returns just three starters on offense and five on defense. Andy Dalton, a first-round selection of the Cincinnati Bengals who won a school-record 42 games, is one of the eight offensive starters that must be replaced.

That job falls to sophomore quarterback Casey Pachall, who saw limited playing time as a redshirt freshman. He ran for a pair of touchdowns and passed for another, but he has only nine career pass attempts.

Paschall’s job will be made easier by the return of junior RB Ed Wesley, who ran for 1,078 yards and 11 touchdowns while averaging 6.5 yards per carry last year. Paschall also has one of the MWC’s best WRs in Josh Boyce, who garnered first-team freshman All-American honors by catching 34 balls for 646 yards and six TDs in 2010.

But if TCU is going to go to a third straight BCS bowl game, it will be about the defense that’s been one of the country’s most ferocious for six years running. During this stretch, the Horned Frogs have never given up more than 18.7 points per game in a season. From 2008-2010, they surrendered the following PPG averages: 11.3, 12.8 and 12.0.

TCU has two of the nation’s premier LBs in senior Tank Carder and junior Tanner Brock. Carder was named first-team All American last year when he had six tackles for losses and 3.5 sacks. Brock led the Horned Frogs in tackles with 106 stops on his way to earning third-team All-American honors.

This LB duo will have its hands full with Baylor junior QB Robert Griffin, who is quietly enjoying a dazzling career in Waco. Griffin led the Bears to their first bowl game since 1994 last season, throwing for 3,501 yards with a 22/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He is equally effective with his legs, rushing for 635 yards and eight TDs in 2010.

Griffin burst on the scene as a true freshman in ’08, rushing for 843 yards and 13 TDs while passing for 2,091 yards with a 15/3 TD-INT ratio. Thanks to Griffin’s presence, expectations at Baylor were high in ’09, but that optimism went out the window in Week 3 when he tore his ACL.

With Griffin back under center, Art Briles’ team jumped out to a 7-2 start last season, only to drop its last four games including a 38-14 loss to Illinois in the Texas Bowl. Baylor beat only one team with a winning record, capturing a 47-42 home win over a Kansas State squad that finished 7-6.

The Bears return eight starters on offense and five on defense. Therefore, they once again appear to be candidates for high-scoring games galore.

However, Griffin will have to adapt to life without two of his best weapons. RB Jay Finley completed his eligibility by rushing for 1,218 yards and 12 TDs last season. WR Josh Gordon is also gone after leaving the program two weeks ago.

Gordon, who had 42 receptions for 714 yards and seven TDs in 2010, was suspended indefinitely in late July. Baylor does return Griffin’s favorite target, Kendall Wright, who is coming off a 78-catch campaign. Wright had 952 receiving yards and seven TD receptions.

Baylor saw the ‘over’ finish 2010 on a 7-2 run. The Bears gave up 30.5 PPG and allowed 42 points or more in five of their last seven regular-season games.

TCU was one of those teams in Week 3, cruising to a 45-10 win as a 21-point home ‘chalk.’ The Horned Frogs raced out to a 35-3 lead by intermission and were never threatened. Dalton completed 21-of-23 passes for 267 yards and two TDs without being intercepted. Wesley rushed for 165 yards and a pair of scores on 19 carries.

TCU’s defense wouldn’t let Griffin get loose, limiting him to 21 rushing yards on 14 attempts. Griffin connected on 16-of-28 throws for 164 yards and a TD with no interceptions.

Since the Southwestern Conference disbanded in 1996, these old-school rivals have met only three times. TCU has won all three games both straight up and against the spread with the ‘under’ cashing in each instance.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Briles is trying to fix Baylor’s defense with new coordinator Phil Bennett, the former SMU head coach who was the DC at Pitt the last three years.

--Griffin has a 41/11 TD/INT ratio and 23 rushing TDs in his career.

--Since 2005, TCU has a 66-11 straight-up record. The Horned Frogs have won 12 of 14 head-to-head meetings against BCS schools during that stretch.

--During Briles’ three seasons at Baylor, the Bears are only 2-6 ATS as home underdogs.

--TCU is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games as a road favorite from 2008-2010.

--Tulsa WR Damaris Johnson has been suspended indefinitely after being charged with embezzlement on Wednesday. Johnson, the NCAA’s career leader in all-purpose yardage, has basically ‘pulled a Peter Warrick’ for buying loads of clothing merchandise at an extremely reduced price from a girlfriend at a local store. The Golden Hurricane was a 21 ½-point underdog for its Week 1 game at Oklahoma, but the number has now been adjusted to 25.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/01/2011 07:25 PM

Ohio State Buckeyes Open Against Akron Zips

The first Saturday of the 2011 college football season is finally approaching. ESPN will start their day with coverage of the Akron Zips heading to Columbus to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes who are ranked No. 22 on the Don Best Oddsmaker Poll, courtesy of Kenny White.

Kickoff from The Horseshoe is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. (ET).

Ohio State will be seeing its first action on the field since experiencing an offseason of turmoil that sent both quarterback Terrelle Pryor and elite head coach Jim Tressel packing. Their absence is just part of the effects OSU will feel for Saturday’s game as four other players are also suspended for the first five weeks of the year.

That includes the Buckeyes' top running back Dan Herron and wide receiver DeVier Posey.

With that, all of the bad news for Ohio State has been covered as the Buckeyes are a whopping 34-point betting favorite over Akron. The total is set at 47½.

Joe Bauserman has seemingly come out on top of the QB competition in Columbus and will likely start this weekend. However, new head coach Luke Fickell appears to be heading in the direction of a two-quarterback system, adding freshman Braxton Miller to the mix.

Miller should be the signal caller of the future for the Buckeyes and, depending on how this 2011 season plays out, may also become the QB of the present.

Last season ended with a Sugar Bowl victory over Arkansas to give the Buckeyes a 12-1 mark for the season. Their defense ranked No. 5 in the nation in points allowed (14.3 per game) and that ‘D’ will look to keep up their consistent dominance again in 2011.

As for the Akron Zips from the Mid-American Conference, it should not take much to improve upon their campaign last year. They did not win a game until their last opportunity on the 2010 schedule when they beat Buffalo, 22-14.

The team finished with rankings in the hundreds in many categories, including passing yards, rushing yards, points for and points allowed. When a team does not score and cannot stop the other team from scoring, it is the oldest trick in the book for losing.

Junior College transfer Clayton Moore joins the Zips as the new starting QB. He replaces Patrick Nicely who threw 13 picks and just 10 touchdowns a year ago.

Head coach Rob Ianello is working hard to turn around this program, putting together a good staff and doing his part for recruiting. However, recruiting will not help Akron this week at Ohio State.

Ohio State is 7-0 against the spread in their last seven September games, and the ‘over’ is 4-0 in their last four in the same month. Akron is 1-5 ATS in their last six September games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/01/2011 07:27 PM

Alabama Crimson Tide Clash With Kent State

The Alabama Crimson Tide kick off the 2011 college football season tied for first in the inaugural edition of the Don Best Oddsmaker Poll, and will host the Kent State Golden Flashes on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Game time is scheduled for 12:20 p.m. (ET).

The Crimson Tide have eight players ranked No. 1 at their positions according to Kenny White, and 17 in the top 10, and the Don Best odds screen has them as huge 38-point favorites with the total set at 46.

Alabama earned 119.5 points to split the top spot in the Oddsmaker Poll with Oklahoma, and sits at No. 2 in the country according to the Associated Press and the USA Today Top 25 Coaches Poll behind the top-ranked Sooners. The Tide have won nine straight season openers and are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games.

Junior running back Trent Richardson finally gets to take the reins from former Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram as the focal point of the offense after rushing for 700 yards and six touchdowns a year ago when Alabama finished 10-3. Many college football experts consider Richardson to be a Heisman candidate this season, and he will be carrying the load with the team breaking in a new starting quarterback between AJ McCarron and Phillip Sims.

Both McCarron and Sims are expected to see playing time against Kent State, and each will have a difficult time replacing former starter Greg McElroy.

But they will be able to lean on Richardson offensively early on along with arguably the best defense in the nation with 10 returning starters.

Tide head coach Nick Saban will be welcoming his alma mater out of the Mid-American Conference to town, although his team will be without senior wide receiver Darius Hanks (456 yards and three touchdowns in 2010) for the first two games due to an NCAA violation. Hanks is expected to help fill the void left by Julio Jones when he returns.

The Golden Flashes are coming off a disappointing 5-7 campaign and have gone 0-21 all-time against ranked opponents. They are led by junior quarterback Spencer Keith, who threw for 2,212 yards with eight touchdowns and 11 interceptions last season.

Kent State dropped four of its last five games both straight up and ATS to close out last year with the ‘under’ going 3-1 in the past four. The team went 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road in 2010 with the lone victory coming at Bowling Green last October 23, 30-6.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/01/2011 07:30 PM

Big 10 Report - Week 1

September 1, 2011

Thursday, Sept. 1

Wisconsin (-35) vs. UNLV (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)

The Badgers are the popular favorite to win the new Leaders division in the Big Ten and they get a Thursday night showcase to kick off the season. All eyes will be on new quarterback Russell Wilson as he makes his first start as a Badger after transferring from NC State. UW ranked 21st nationally in total offense last year and 5th in scoring offense and they could be just as powerful this season with Wilson and the RB tandem of Ball and White (combined 2,048 rushing yards and 32 touchdowns in ‘10). UNLV lost its starting QB and four top tacklers from last year’s 2-11 squad. The Rebels are just 2-24 in road openers and don’t expect to be a big threat to Wisconsin here. Wisconsin won at UNLV last season, 41-21, and has won 15 straight Camp Randall openers by an average of 18 points per game. Notes: UW redshirt freshman Kyle French will be pressed into field-goal duties on Thursday as regular kicker Philip Welch hasn't healed from a quadriceps injury.

Friday, Sept. 2

Michigan State (-35.5) vs. Youngstown State (7:30 p.m. ET)

The 2010 co-Big Ten Champion Spartans return to action on Friday night against Youngstown State. QB Kirk Cousins is surrounded by a strong receiving corps and good depth at RB, but there are uncertainties on the offensive line (three of five starters need to be replaced) and on defense (four of the top five defenders departed) and that could present a bit of a learning curve early in the season. Youngstown State finished a disappointing 3-8 last year, including a 30-point loss to fellow Big Ten foe Penn State. Michigan State head coach Mark Dantonio is no stranger to the Penguins, spending five years on the coaching staff (1986-90). MSU should have no problem dispatching of the FCS foe. Notes: Michigan State still has a handful of questions along the offensive line, most notable left tackle and center, and will rotate a number of guys in on Friday night.

Saturday, Sept. 3

Northwestern (+3) vs. Boston College (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Northwestern travels to Boston College as a small underdog in one of the more appealing week one matchups, QB Dan Persa’s status remains in question as he is still recovering from a achilles injury suffered last season. Before his injury, Persa led the Wildcats to a 7-3 mark including a last second win over Iowa in 2010 (NU lost its final three games without him). Sophomore Kain Colter will get the start if Persa can’t go. Boston College has a similar problem with its star player. Senior running back and preseason ACC Player of the Year Montel Harris will miss 3-4 weeks after undergoing knee surgery. BC's offense looks a lot less scary with Harris on the sidelines, considering how suspect its passing game was last season. Defensively, the Eagles ranked 10th in total defense and 1st against the run last season. With arguably the best offensive weapons for both teams sidelined, you can expect a low-scoring game with few offensive fireworks. Boston College covered five of its last 6 games last season but is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 as a home favorite. Northwestern is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a road ‘dog but just 4-13 ATS in September.

Ohio State (-34) vs. Akron (Big Ten Network, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Luke Fickell will make his coaching debut with the Buckeyes after a tumultuous offseason. OSU had to say goodbye to longtime head coach Jim Tressel and accomplished QB Terrelle Pryor and will now start the 2011 season with a brand new slate. Senior Joe Bauserman and true freshman Braxton Miller will split time at QB on Saturday and they’ll do it without three offensive starters (RB Herron, WR Posey, and OT Adams are all suspended). The new coach and quarterback situation bears monitoring in what would otherwise be a routine opener for the Buckeyes. Six of OSU’s top eight defenders are gone from a year ago yet this unit still figures to be strong. Akron’s offense provided few fireworks last season (15.6 points per game) on its way to a 1-11 record. The Zips have lost 17 straight true road openers by an average of 29 points per game. Thirty-four points is a lot to lay in week one, especially with an OSU squad that has so many questions. However it’s worth noting that the Buckeyes were a perfect 6-0 ATS last season as a favorite of 20 points or more.

Penn State (-38) vs. Indiana State (12:00 p.m. ET)

Joe Paterno is not openly saying who his starting quarterback will be. Our best guess is that sophomore Rob Bolden and junior Matt McGloin will split time against Indiana State before Paterno officially decides. PSU hosts Alabama on September 10th so Paterno would like to figure out his QB situation before then. Defensively there aren’t any major questions, particularly in the back seven, which boasts a ton of talent and strong depth. The Nittany Lions need this unit to step up after allowing 23.7 points per game in 2010 (up from 12.2 PPG in 2009). FCS Indiana State has just eight wins dating back to 2004. The Sycamores have lost four straight road games against BCS conference foes dating back to 2006, losing by an average of 31.5 points per game. Penn State has won nine straight home openers by an average of 29 points per game.

Iowa (-39) vs. Tennessee Tech (12:00 p.m. ET)

Iowa shouldn’t be overlooked this season despite some key personnel losses from 2010. Sophomore running back Marcus Coker, who will run behind a seasoned offensive line, should have a breakout year. Junior quarterback James Vandenberg has some starting experience, but must prove himself again. Tennessee Tech is a good opponent for the Hawkeyes to “warm-up” against before next week’s annual Cy-Hawk game against Iowa State. The Hawkeyes barely escaped with a 17-16 win at Kinnick Stadium against FCS Northern Iowa two seasons ago and you can bet that head coach Kirk Ferentz has reminded his team of that many times this week. Tennessee Tech returns 19 starters from last year’s 5-6 squad. The Golden Eagles lost at Arkansas and at TCU in 2010 by a combined score of 106-10.

Purdue (-18) vs. Middle Tennessee State (12:00 p.m. ET)

Purdue recently received news that starting QB Rob Henry tore his ACL and will miss the entire 2011 season. With 2010 starting QB Robert Marve still recovering from last year’s knee injury so junior QB Caleb TerBush will make his starting debut against Middle Tennessee State on Saturday. TerBush has played in only one career game but head coach Danny Hope is confident in the 6-foot-6 QB’s athleticism. Some good news for the Boilers: RB Ralph Bolden has returned strong from two knee surgeries and should provide an offensive spark for Purdue. This is no “gimme” game for the Boilers. Middle Tennessee State has been to two straight Bowl games and has defeated Maryland (2x), and has had Mississippi State, Kentucky, Louisville, and Minnesota on the brink of defeat over the past three seasons.

Minnesota (+22.5) at USC (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)

The Jerry Kill Era begins in Minnesota. His week one depth chart is filled with true freshmen and redshirt freshmen, so the playbook won’t be too extensive on Saturday. Former wide receiver MarQueis Gray makes his first start at quarterback for the Gophers, and a trip to the coliseum to play USC is a tough first assignment. Minnesota led 14-13 at home against the Trojans last season before surrendering 19 unanswered points. USC returns a ton of talent on both sides of the ball, including Heisman hopeful QB Matt Barkley. The Trojans have won 13 straight home openers by an average of 24 points per game.

Michigan (-14) vs. Western Michigan (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)

There could be a lot of offensive fireworks in this one. Michigan returns all-everything QB Denard Robinson (2,570 passing yards, 1,702 rushing yards, 32 total touchdowns), albeit in a new offensive system. Western Michigan returns QB Alex Carder (3,334 passing yards, 30 touchdowns) and a bevy of talented receivers. Michigan struggled mightily on defense a year ago and Western Michigan could light up this secondary. Western Michigan has lost 16 straight road openers by an average of 24 points per game (all against BCS schools) and are 0-5 against Michigan (lost 7-31 in most recent meeting in 2009).

Nebraska (-35) vs. Chattanooga (3:30 p.m. ET)

The Huskers should get a blowout against Chattanooga in their first official game as a member of the Big Ten. Nebraska’s biggest strength is its defense, where it boasts three potential All-Americans on all three levels. DT Jared Crick, LB Lavonte David, and CB Alfonzo Dennard lead this unit that might be the nation's best. Offensively, QB Taylor Martinez and RB Rex Burkhead (1,696 rushing yards combined with 19 touchdowns in 2010) should be able to run all over Chattanooga. Nebraska has won five straight season openers (all at home) by an average of 38 points per game (49-11). FCS Chattanooga has lost four straight road games against BCS schools dating back to 2008 by an average margin of 44.2 points per game (last at Auburn by 38 last season).

Illinois (-21) vs. Arkansas State (Big Ten Network, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Illinois has lost four straight season openers – all against Missouri in St. Louis – but should be able to notch a win here against Arkansas State (The Illini have won 13 straight home openers by an average of 27 points per game). Nathan Scheelhaase is back under center after a very successful freshman campaign in which he threw for 17 touchdowns and ran for 5 more. Illinois’ offense shouldn’t have any problems putting points on the board; it’s the defense that has to replace its top four playmakers from a year ago. Despite the 4-8 overall record in 2010, Arkansas State played well against Auburn, Louisville, and Indiana (2-1 ATS) last year and shouldn’t be overlooked by Illinois.

Indiana (-6.5) vs. Ball State (7:00 PM ET)

Here’s another new face as Kevin Wilson makes his head coaching debut for the Hoosiers at Lucas Oil Stadium. Wilson has yet to name a starting quarterback between sophomores Dusty Kiel and Edward Wright-Baker. It’s expected that both will see playing time on Saturday night. Ball State is no slouch. Seventeen starters return from last year’s 4-8 squad that got a lot of big-game experience with two road games at Iowa and at Purdue. The top passer, rusher, receiver, and three tacklers return to form a much improved Cardinals squad.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/02/2011 12:22 AM

Friday’s games
TCU won its last three games vs Baylor by combined score of 89-17; Frogs (-21) outrushed Baylor 291-99 in LY’s 45-10 beatdown in Fort Worth, but TCU graduated 14 of 22 starters, has new QB and only one returning starter on OL. TCU is 10-5 as road favorite last three years, 8-10 in non-league games last four years. Baylor has excellent QB in junior Griffin III, who already has 23 career starts; Bears are just 4-15 as a home dog since ’05 (17-28 vs spread in last 45 games as dog overall). Baylor has 9 starters back on offense, including four on OL. Dangerous game for TCU.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/02/2011 12:25 AM


Friday, September 2

TCU at Baylor: What bettors need to know

TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears (+4.5, 55.5)

THE STORY: No. 15 TCU finished last season a perfect 13-0 and has won 27 of its last 28 games dating back to 2008 but return just eight total starters. Baylor is coming off its first winning season since joining the Big 12 and first bowl appearance since 1994.

The Horned Frogs have dominated this series of late, winning the last three meetings against Baylor by a combined score of 89-17.

TV: ESPN. Line: TCU -6.5

ABOUT TCU (2010: 13-0, 8-0 Mountain West): This is the Horned Frogs’ final season in the Mountain West before they depart for the Big East in 2012. Coach Gary Patterson lost record-setting quarterback Andy Dalton to the NFL and will ask sophomore Casey Pachall to fill his shoes. Linebacker Tank Carder — the Mountain West’s 2010 Defensive Player of the Year — should lead another stout TCU defense.

ABOUT BAYLOR (2010: 7-6, 4-4 Big 12): The Bears’ most successful season since the early 1990s ended sourly with a four-game losing streak and blowout loss to Illinois in the Texas Bowl. Junior quarterback Robert Griffin is Baylor’s do-everything star, and he has plenty of weapons at receiver in Kendall Wright, Josh Gordon and Terrance Williams. Coach Art Briles brought in highly regarded defensive coordinator Phil Bennett to fix a defense that gave up 30.5 points per game in 2010.


1. TCU has finished No. 1 in the FBS in total defense each of the past three years and in five of the last 11 seasons.

2. The Horned Frogs haven’t given up more than 19 points per game since 2004.

3. Baylor returns five players who caught at least 40 passes in 2010.


TCU is 4-0 ATS in its last four games against Baylor but just 1-5 ATS in its last six nonconference games.

Baylor is 18-38 ATS in its last 56 games as a home underdog.

The under is 5-0 in Baylor's last five nonconference games.


Oddsmakers opened with the Horned Frogs giving 6 to 6.5 points to the hosting Bears. But bettors have come in on Baylor with the line dropping all the way to 4.5. This is kind of a dead number, so you could see spread drop another half or full point before kickoff if the books don't get more action on TCU. The total seems to be holding steady between 55 and 56.

PREDICTION: TCU 20, Baylor 14 -- The Bears should be able to keep this one closer than in years past, but the Horned Frogs’ defense will be strong enough to pull out a tight victory.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/02/2011 06:36 PM

Friday, September 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Youngstown State - 7:30 PM ET Michigan State -34 500

Michigan State - Under 62.5 500

Texas Christian - 8:00 PM ET Baylor +3.5 500

Baylor - Over 52.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 09/03/2011 12:02 AM

    nice hit was with ya..seen in your upper post a prediction was 20-14 tcu?...was that yours or just from info, seen you bet the other way...just wondering, but some good info there ty gl 151

    You’ve got to get to the stage in life where going for it is more important than winning or losing.
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/03/2011 07:45 AM

151 Rum.....that was the articles prediction.......its hard enough to pick and find a not even going to try and figure out the score........LOL

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
  • 09/03/2011 08:55 AM

    thats what i asked..lmao..figured it was when u went other 151

    You’ve got to get to the stage in life where going for it is more important than winning or losing.
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/03/2011 07:45 AM

Boise State Broncos Battle Georgia In Atlanta

None of the opening matchups in college football have bigger implications than this one, especially for one team. At 8:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN Saturday night, the Boise State Broncos will take on the Georgia Bulldogs at the Georgia Dome, ostensibly a neutral site.

The teams are ranked sixth and 16th respectively in the Don Best Oddsmaker Poll.

Simply put, national title hopes go out the window if the Broncos lose on Saturday.

This is a tale of two completely different entities in almost every sense. Boise State went from one conference that gets zero respect in the WAC to one that gets just slightly more, the Mountain West. They have an experienced quarterback on Heisman watch who could break NCAA records in senior Kellen Moore and they use a no-huddle, shotgun offense which should play well Saturday on the fast track surface at the dome.

The Broncos also have no player on their roster that was a 4-star recruit or higher.

BSU is the poster child for the little guy attempting to stick it to the BCS. College football is an emotional game and emotions should be flying high in Atlanta for this team fighting for itself and everyone across the world that clings to hope for a playoff system.

As for Georgia, they come from the best conference in college football. The Southeastern Conference has won the last five BCS Championships. The Bulldogs have 26, 4-star recruits or higher in their 2-deep depth chart alone.

Since they are a part of the SEC, they could afford to lose this game and still theoretically be in the chase for a national title if they win the Southeastern Conference. That is a tall task, but it would still be a possibility.

The Bulldogs have a very talented QB in Aaron Murray but he is still just a sophomore. What Georgia wants to do is pound the rock right down the throat of the defense, running the multi-I offense.

News just came out today that three players are out for Boise State in this game due to NCAA eligibility issues. Wide receiver Geraldo Boldewijn (formerly Geraldo Hiwat), safety Cedric Febis and defensive tackle Ricky Tjong-A-Tjoe will be staying at home.

Running back Caleb King was ruled academically ineligible for Georgia and entered the NFL supplemental draft, eventually signed by the Minnesota Vikings. Safety Bacarri Rambo, the best player on the Georgia defense, is facing a possible suspension according to the Don Best injury report.

Chris Petersen has become one of the top football coaches in the NCAA, chalking up double-digit wins in each of his five seasons at the helm for the Broncos. He will have a new offensive coordinator, Brent Pease, but the offense should be business as usual since Pease had been the wide receivers coach.

BSU is currently a 3-point favorite and the total is set at 51 on the Don Best odds screen.

In their last 21 games on the road and on neutral fields, Boise State is an impressive 17-4 against the spread. Georgia is 0-4 ATS in its last four contests as an underdog.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
09/03/2011 07:50 AM

Oregon Ducks, LSU Tigers College Football Preview

The Saturday night ‘instant classic’ between the SEC LSU Tigers and Pac-12 Oregon Ducks has seen a big shift in the pointspread the last few days. This is about as big as it gets during opening week with both ranked in the top-5 nationally.

This is technically a neutral site game from Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas, but LSU will have a sizable home crowd advantage with the much closer 465-mile distance from its Baton Rouge campus. ABC will have the kickoff at 8:00 p.m. (ET).

The Don Best odds screen has LSU as 3 ½-point underdogs with a betting total of 54 ½-points. When we did our initial college football odds preview for Week 1 last Sunday, it was a pick 'em affair.

That pick ’em spread was following the news that LSU quarterback Jordan Jefferson had been suspended indefinitely after being involved in a brawl. Starting receiver Russell Shepard was already ineligible due to an NCAA violation.

Quarterback Jarrett Lee has taken over for Jefferson and is a big question mark despite being a fifth-year senior. There was some thought this spring that he wouldn’t even be the backup, potentially falling behind junior college transfer Zach Mettenberger.

Lee has made just one start since being thrown to the wolves as a redshirt freshman in 2008. He had 16 picks that year. He did play well in relief stints last season, but the passing game was considered a weakness coming in (12th in the SEC last year), and especially with Sheppard out.

The Don Best Oddsmaker Poll has been ahead of the curve when it comes to downgrading the Tigers. They were ranked 11th in the initial ranking despite being fourth in the AP Poll. Oregon is third in the AP as well as Don Best.

LSU went 11-2 straight up last year, but had luck on its side in several wins, with the against the spread mark just 6-7. Coach Les Miles can’t count on any miracles wins, especially against a team of Oregon’s pedigree.

The Tigers need to run the ball early to take the pressure of Lee. Stevan Ridley (1,147 rushing yards) left for the NFL, but there is plenty of talent remaining, starting with Spencer Ware. The O-line should have success against the rebuilt Oregon front-seven, even with guard Josh Dworaczyk (knee) out. At least Oregon won’t have to worry about Lee running, one of Jefferson’s strengths.

Oregon saw its perfect record end last year in the 22-19 BCS Championship loss to Auburn. That was as a 1-point favorite and the team was 1-3 against the spread in its final four games after starting 6-2-1 ATS.

The offense also bogged down some those last four games (29.8 PPG) after 54.7 PPG in the first nine. The Ducks still led the nation in scoring overall (47 PPG), but the ‘under’ was 3-1 to end the season after the ‘over’ stared 7-2.

The spread offense should again be lethal with quarterback Darron Thomas (2,881 yards passing, 486 rushing) and running back LaMichael James (1,731 yards rushing) leading the way. The former had a run-in with police, but escaped suspension.

Star cornerback Cliff Harris wasn’t so lucky and is suspended indefinitely. His loss will also be felt on punt returns. Middle linebacker Kiko Alonso is also suspended.

LSU’s defense was top-12 in the nation last year in both points (18.2) and yards (307.2) per game allowed. Cornerback Patrick Peterson was a big loss and both starting defensive tackles are gone. Stopping Oregon’s attack is a huge challenge, even for a defense projected to be very good again.

This is the first meeting between the schools since 1977. LSU can win outright if it controls the line of scrimmage offensively and the strong-armed Lee plays smart and avoids any turnovers. Those who go against the spread move could have the last laugh in this one.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: