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Tuesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
James Shields, Tampa Bay Rays (5-0, 3.05 ERA)
Shields became the AL’s first five-game winner by throwing six solid innings in a 5-4 win over the Mariners in his last start. He struck out a season-high 11 batters in that outing. However, he also yielded a pair of homers for the second straight start and also walked four batters. Shields has thrown at least 112 pitches in each of his last four trips to the hill.
Ricky Romero, Toronto Blue Jays (4-0, 3.64 ERA)
Romero didn’t have his best stuff in his last outing, allowing five runs over eight innings, but it was enough to help the Jays to an 11-5 win over Texas. Romero walked three straight batters in the fifth before allowing a two-run double. He has chucked at least eight innings three times already this season.
John Danks, Chicago White Sox (2-4, 6.51 ERA)
Danks was drilled for seven runs (six earned) and a pair of home runs in a loss to the Indians last week. It was the second straight start in which he allowed seven runs and he also committed two errors. "I know I will get this ship righted," he told reporters, "but it sure as hell would be nice if we got it righted pretty soon, 'cause it's getting pretty damn frustrating."
Kevin Millwood, Seattle Mariners (0-3, 5.34 ERA)
Millwood dropped his third straight start last week, dropping a 4-3 decision to the Texas Rangers. The veteran is still looking for his first win with the Mariners, but has worked into the seventh inning in his last two trips to the hill. The M’s are averaging only 2.3 runs over his last three starts.
Tuesday’s betting tips: Celtics cleaning up on the road
Weather to watch
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies – 15 mph winds are expected to blow out to center field.
NBA: The under is 4-1 in the Magic’s last five overall.
NBA: The Celtics are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
NBA: The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
NHL: The Devils are 16-7 in their last 23 games as a road underdog.
MLB: Arizona is 10-1 in Ian Kennedy's last 11 home starts.
NBA: The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
NBA: The L.A. Lakers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
NBA: The over is 2-8 in Chicago's last 10 overall.
NHL: The Flyers are 1-5 in their last six playoff games as a favorite.
MLB: The L.A. Angels are 1-6 in Dan Haren's last seven starts.
0 – The New Jersey Devils have never lost a playoff series after taking a 3-1 lead, going 9-0 in those situations. The Devils get a shot to put the Philadelphia Flyers away Tuesday, but are pegged as +130 road underdogs.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
Joakim Noah, Chicago Bulls – The Chicago Bulls are likely to be without their leading rebounder, Joakim Noah, again when they face the Philadelphia 76ers in Tuesday's Game 5. Noah, who missed Sunday's Game 4 with a sprained ankle sustained Friday, was still in a walking boot on Monday. Coach Tom Thibodeau said Noah is "most likely out" for Tuesday's game, a contest the Bulls must win to avoid being eliminated from the postseason.
Game of the day
Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls (-5, 171.5)
“(The Staples Center) is not a hot building. It's kind of a stage. It's a Broadway stage. It has a history and an energy to it, but it's not one of those where you can't hear or sometimes you're afraid to feel (the opposing fans). This is more of a stage than an intense building like Oklahoma City (has)." – Denver Nuggets coach George Karl on heading to the Staples Center Tuesday for Game 5 against the Lakers. The Nuggets are set as 6-point underdogs as they look to avoid elimination. Denver is 37-15 against the spread in its 52 road games.
Notes and tips
Milwaukee Brewers shortstop Alex Gonzalez will be sidelined the rest of the season because of a torn anterior-cruciate ligament, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported Monday. Gonzalez was injured Saturday when his knee buckled as he was sliding into second base. The Brewers signed Gonzalez in the offseason to a one-year, $4.25 million deal. He is hitting .259 with four home runs in 24 games this season.
The Broncos and general manager Brian Xanders have "parted ways," the team announced. While not defining any additional changes or how Xanders' duties will be distributed, Executive Vice President of Football Operations John Elway said the move was part of a shift in the structure of the football operations. Xanders had been with the organization since 2008, and was named general manager in 2009 by then-coach and head of operations Josh McDaniels. He had one year remaining on his contract.
The Braves look to bounce back from yesterday's 5-1 loss and take advantage of a Cubs team that is 1-5 in Ryan Dempster's last 6 home starts. Atlanta is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
Game 951-952: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 14.970; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 16.139
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Under
Game 953-954: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Batista) 14.183; Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.698
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); Over
Game 955-956: Miami at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Sanchez) 15.902; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.883
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-155); Under
Game 957-958: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Delgado) 16.268; Cubs (Dempster) 14.582
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+100); N/A
Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.842; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.032
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Over
Game 961-962: St. Louis at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 16.239; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.269
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); Under
Game 963-964: Colorado at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (White) 14.836; San Diego (Suppan) 14.074
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Over
Game 965-966: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.977; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.769
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-190); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+170); Under
Game 967-968: Texas at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feliz) 17.498; Baltimore (Arrieta) 16.633
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Over
Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.645; Cleveland (Masterson) 14.801
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under
Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.774; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.253
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Under
Game 973-974: Boston at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Bard) 14.179; Kansas City (Duffy) 14.442
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Over
Game 975-976: LA Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 14.769; Minnesota (Diamond) 14.934
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+160); Over
Game 977-978: Toronto at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 17.129; Oakland (McCarthy) 15.483
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-125); Under
Game 979-980: Detroit at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.017; Seattle (Millwood) 16.245
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-215); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+185); Over
-- EJackson is 0-0, 2.84 in his last couple starts.
-- Blanton is 2-0, 1.10 in his last couple starts.
-- ASanchez is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
-- Dempster is 0-1, 1.59 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy has a 2.03 RA in his last couple starts. Westbrook is 3-2, 2.65 in his last five starts.
-- Suppan is 3-1, 2.05 in his last five starts, but four of those five starts were in 2010.
-- Kershaw is 2-0, 3.12 in his last five starts.
-- Shields is 3-0, 2.42 in his last three road starts.
-- Haren is 1-1, 2.79 in his last four starts.
-- McCarthy is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts. Romero is 4-0, 3.41 in his last five starts.
-- Verlander is 2-0, 3.10 in his last four starts.
-- Burnett gave up 12 runs in 2.2 IP in his last start.
-- 41-year old Batista is 1-1, 5.09 in his last three starts.
-- ARodriguez is making first '12 start; he was 0-2, 9.64 in his last three starts in 2011.
-- Delgado is 0-3, 5.60 in his last three starts.
-- Bailey is 1-2, 5.25 in his last six starts. Gallardo is 0-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.
-- White is making his first '12 start; he was 0-3, 8.79 in his last three starts last year.
-- Vogelsong is 0-2, 3.76 in his last four starts.
-- Feliz is 1-1, 3.60 in his four major league starts. Arrieta is 1-1, 3.93 in his last three home starts.
-- Nova is 0-1, 8.49 in his last couple starts.
-- Danks is 1-3, 7.36 in his last four starts. Masterson is 0-1, 4.15 in his last four home starts.
-- Bard is 1-3, 4.88 in four major league starts. Duffy is 1-2, 4.86 in his last three outings.
-- Diamond is making first '12 start; he was 1-5, 5.49 in his last seven starts LY.
-- Millwood is 0-3, 5.79 in his last three starts.
-- Pirates are 8-2 in game following their last ten losses.
-- Marlins won their last seven games, allowing 17 runs. Houston won five of its last seven games.
-- Braves won eight of their last eleven road games. Cubs won three of last four games overall.
-- Cincinnati won six of its last eight road games.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four road games.
-- Dodgers won their last four home games.
-- Cleveland won seven of its last nine games.
-- Orioles won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay won four of its last five road games.
-- Angels won six of their last eight games.
-- Toronto won six of their last nine games. A's won three of last four.
-- Nationals lost their last four road games.
-- Mets lost six of their last nine road games. Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight at home.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last six games.
-- Colorado lost seven of its last nine games. Padres lost eight of last 13.
-- Giants lot five of their last seven games.
-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last eight games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last six games.
-- Boston lost five of its last six games. Royals lost 13 of their 15 home games.
-- Minnesota lost 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last ten games. Detroit lost 10 of last 15.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Pittsburgh games.
-- Seven of Mets' last ten games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 13 Miami road games stayed under total. Five of Houston's last six home games went over.
-- 11 of Cubs' last 13 games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Cincinnati's last six road games.
-- Nine of last thirteen St Louis road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Colorado games went over total.
-- Four of last six games at Dodger Stadium stayed under.
-- Under is 10-4 in Cleveland's last fourteen home games.
-- Under is 9-5 in last fourteen Baltimore games.
-- Last four Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Royals' last twelve home games.
-- Under is 12-3 in Angels' last fifteen games.
-- Five of last six Oakland home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-2 in Detroit's road games this season.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- Don't know who the umpires are for this game.
-- NY-Phil-- Under is 3-0-1 in Porter games this season.
-- Mia-Hst-- Home side won last three Foster games.
-- Atl-Chi-- Four of five Bellino games stayed under total.
-- Cin-Mil-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Scott games, with home team 5-0 in those games.
-- StL-Az-- Road team won five of seven TWelke games.
-- Col-SD-- First game this season for Fairchild; under was 17-13 in his games LY.
-- SF-LA-- Favorites won four of five Johnson games.
-- Tex-Blt-- All five Emmel games went over the total.
-- Chi-Clev-- Three of last four Tichenor games went over total.
-- TB-NY-- Don't know who the umpires are for this game.
-- Bos-KC-- Over is 24-12 in last 36 Guccione games.
-- LA-Min-- Three of four Blaser games stayed under total.
-- Tor-A's-- Don't know who the umpires are for this game.
-- Det-Sea-- Road team won last three Knight games.
Tuesday's MLB Tip Sheet
May 8, 2012
By Brian Edwards
**Braves at Cubs**
--Jeff Samardzija pitched seven strong innings and improved to 4-1 for the season in the Cubs’ 5-1 win Monday vs. Atlanta. Bryan LaHair, who is now batting .388, cracked his eighth homer of the year off of Tommy Hanson to tie the game in the fourth. Two pitches later, Ian Stewart cranked his third homer of the season. Geovany Soto added some insurance in the eighth with a two-run blast. Chipper Jones went 2-for-4 in the losing effort.
--Atlanta (18-12, +386) swept a weekend series at Colorado before arriving in the Windy City for Monday’s series opener against the Cubs. The Braves broke out the brooms and won a 7-2 decision Sunday afternoon as a minus-114 favorite. Brandon Beachy worked six-plus innings to earn his third win. Freddie Freeman hit a triple and a homer for three RBIs, while Dan Uggla popped his fourth dinger of the season.
--Chicago (12-17, -180) took a 7-9 home record into Monday’s series opener at Wrigley Field. The Cubs took two of three from the Dodgers at home over the weekend, including Sunday’s 4-3 win as an even-money underdog. Chicago’s bullpen worked five scoreless innings and David DeJesus walked with the bases loaded in the 11th to plate the winning run.
--Chicago will turn to Ryan Dempster (0-1, 0.95 ERA) in this spot. The veteran right-hander has been extremely sharp all year long, yet the Cubs are winless in his four assignments. Dempster, who has the best ERA in the majors, has received merely seven combined runs of support. The ‘under’ is 3-0-1 in his four outings.
--Dempster hasn’t won since Aug. 11 of last year, covering a span of 13 starts. He threw eight scoreless innings his last time out but took a no-decision nonetheless.
--Randall Delgado (2-3, 5.14) is coming off his best and longest outing of the season, albeit in a losing effort. Delgado worked eight innings and gave up just two runs in a 4-0 loss vs. the Phillies. The righty didn’t issue any free passes and struck out five. The ‘over’ is 3-2 in his five starts.
--Atlanta is in second place in the National League East, one game back of the loop-leading Nationals. Meanwhile, the Cubs and Brewers are sharing the cellar of the NL Central, facing a six-game deficit to division-leading St. Louis.
--The ‘over’ is 16-12-2 overall for the Braves, 10-6-1 in their road games.
--The Cubs have watched the ‘under’ go 16-12 overall, 10-7 in their home outings.
--Most betting shops have installed Chicago as a minus-115 ‘chalk.’ There was not an overnight total due to uncertain wind conditions.
--WGN will have the telecast at 8:05 p.m. Eastern.
**Blue Jays at A’s**
--Most books are listing Toronto (16-13, +81) as a minus-125 favorite with a total of 6 ½ ‘over’ (minus-120). Gamblers can take the Blue Jays on the run line for a plus-135 payout (risk $100 to win $135).
--Oakland (15-14, +475) returns home from a nine-game road trip to host the Blue Jays in the opener of this brief, two-game set. The A’s went 5-4 on the trek thanks to taking two of three from the Rays in St. Pete. They won by a 9-5 count Sunday as generous plus-155 underdogs. Brandon Inge smacked a three-run homer, hit a sac-fly and scored a pair of runs in the victory.
--Toronto is in third place in the AL East, three games back of the division’s co-leaders, Baltimore and Tampa Bay. The Jays had won six of their last seven games until losing back-to-back contests at Los Angeles against the Angels on Saturday and Sunday.
--Oakland’s Brandon McCarthy (2-3, 2.96) has made seven starts with his team going 3-4. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in those seven contests.
--Toronto’s Ricky Romero (4-0, 3.64) will toe the rubber in this spot. He’s reached the eighth inning in three of his five starts. The southpaw has seen the ‘over’ go 4-1 in his five assignments.
--Oakland is 6-4 against lefties. The A’s own a 6-7 record at home this year. They have seen the ‘under’ go 18-10 overall.
--Toronto is 8-6 on the road, 10-9 against right-handers. The Blue Jays have seen the ‘over’ go 15-13 overall.
--The first pitch is scheduled for 10:05 p.m. Eastern.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
--Baltimore has the best money total in MLB (+1,342), earning its backers 13.42 units of profit.
--Worst money team in baseball? That’s the 7-21 Twins (-1,078).
--The ‘over’ is an MLB-best 21-8 overall for Houston.
--The ‘under’ is an AL-best 20-10 overall for the Angels.
--Pittsburgh has seen the ‘under’ go 19-7 overall, tops in the NL.
--The biggest underdog on Tuesday’s card is Seattle, which is plus-185 at home vs. Detroit and RHP Justin Verlander. The M’s will give the starting nod to veteran RHP Kevin Millwood.
--San Francisco is 5-2 against left-hander. The Giants will face the Dodgers’ southpaw Clayton Kershaw tonight.
Diamond Trends - Tuesday
May 8, 2012
By Vince Akins
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The White Sox are 0-15 since June 24, 2011 when playing a night game vs a team that has won at least their last three games for a net profit of $1520 when playing against.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Marlins are 0-10 OU since May 26, 2011 on the road when they won the last two games their starter started after playing in a night game for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.
STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Tigers are 10-0 since July 10, 2011 when Justin Verlander starts as a road 140+ favorite for a net profit of $1000.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:
The Dodgers are 12-0 (4.2 rpg) since 2011 as a favorite after a 5+ run win.
The Angels are 0-10 since May 28, 2011 when playing a night game on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1162 when playing against.
The Mariners are 0-9 since May 17, 2011 at home after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks in a night game for a net profit of $1024 when playing against.