steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 04/24/2012 12:14 PM in Cappers

MLB FREE PICK: New York Mets +104

Miami vs. NY Mets, 04/24/2012 19:10
Money Line: +104 NY Mets

MLB FREE PICK: New York Mets +104

The Mets are showing some solid value as a home underdog tonight. New York will send out Johan Santana against Josh Johnson. Santana had a rough outing his last time out, but that start came on the road. Santana has been brilliant in his two starts at home, allowing just 1 run on seven hits over 10 innings of work. Santana is 6-1 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in nine career starts against the Marlins.

Johnson appears to be getting a lot of respect based off what he has done in the past, but he has really struggled in 2012. Johnson is 0-2 with 5.94 ERA and 2.040 WHIP. A big sign that he is not in top form is the fact that he has just 8 strike outs over 16.7 innings of work.

The Marlins are just 2-10 against the money line when Johnson starts on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. BET THE METS!

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